INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC /NEW/
For the period ended Dec 31, 2025. Filed Feb 26, 2026.
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The yearly report of a company based outside the US. It covers much of what a 10-K does, and may follow accounting rules other than US ones.
FY2025 · Filed Feb 26, 2026
Use the contents to explore the available documents and sections.
Contents
Viability statement
The Directors have determined that a
three-year period ending 31 December
2028 is appropriate for the viability
statement. The Group’s annual financial
planning process prepares a three‑year
plan that incorporates principal risks,
strategic priorities, and prevailing market
conditions. This plan is reviewed by the
Directors and provides the overarching
framework for strategic and longer‑term
decision‑making across the business.
Principal risks
The relative strength and resilience
of the IHG business model to
severe shocks has been proven by
performance through the Covid-19
pandemic, with positive cash flows
being generated through one of the
most challenging periods of trading in
the history of the industry. In assessing
the viability of the Group, the Directors
have considered the impact of the
principal risks as outlined on pages
48 to 53. The discussion on those pages
includes a description of why these
risks are important to the achievement
of our objectives and how the Group
manages these risks.
We have considered which principal
risks could have the most significant
and direct impact to the viability of the
Group during the three-year period of
assessment and they are shown below,
alongside the scenario that is used to
model those risks.
| Viability scenarios and assumptions | |
| Trading and profitability improved in 2025 reflecting the continued growth in travel demand and our increase in net system size. Our efficient operating model resulted in Group adjusted free cash flowa of $893m during 2025 and net debta increased by $551m, after $1,167m of ordinary dividends and the share buyback. The Group’s business model is discussed in more detail on pages 24 to 29.There is a range of possible planning scenarios over the three-year period considered in this review due to macro uncertainties and geopolitical risks affecting markets in each of our regions. In assessing the viability of the Group, the Directors have reviewed a number of scenarios, weighting downside risks that would threaten the business model, future performance, solvency and liquidity of the Group more heavily than opportunities.In performing the viability analysis, the Directors have considered a ‘Base Case’ which assumes that global RevPAR in 2026 to 2028 continues to grow in line with market expectations in each of our regions. | The assumptions applied in the viability assessment are consistent with those used for Group planning purposes, the going concern assessment, for impairment testing and for assessing recoverability of deferred tax assets (see further detail on page 183).The Directors have also reviewed a ‘Severe Downside Case’ reflecting a severe but plausible scenario equivalent to the market conditions experienced through the 2008-09 global financial crisis, in which RevPAR declines by 17% in 2026 before recovering by 5% in both 2027 and 2028. A ‘Combined Scenario’ has also been considered, modelling the Severe Downside Case in conjunction with a significant cash flow impact from a one-off event, such as a cybersecurity incident. The viability assessment has been undertaken by evaluating the Base Case, Severe Downside Case and Combined Scenario with reference to the Group’s available liquidity. |
| Scenarios modelled | Related to principal risks |
|---|---|
| Severe Downside CaseThis models a prolonged decrease in RevPAR, which may be driven by external or internal factors. | –Operational resilience to incidents or disruption or control breakdown (including geopolitical, safety and security, cybersecurity, fraud and health-related).–Guest preferences for, or loyalty to, IHG-branded hotel experiences and channels.–Talent and capability attraction, retention and development.–Our ability to deliver technological or digital performance or innovation (at scale, speed etc).–Owner preferences for or ability to invest in our brands. |
| Combined ScenarioThis models the Severe Downside Case and the impact of a specific material incident, which could relate to cybersecurity or an alternative material impact on the cash flow statement. | All of the risks above, and–Data and information usage, storage and transfer.–Legal, regulatory and contractual complexity or litigation exposures. |
Viability statement continued
We have also considered the principal
risks that may impact the viability of the
Group over a longer period; for example,
the impact of climate-related physical
and transition risks. The physical and
transition climate risks to which IHG is
most exposed are discussed in the TCFD
statement on pages 77 to 81. Physical
risks are not considered material to
the long-term viability of the Group,
and transition risks present both
opportunities and risks. While some
transition risks have been assessed as
being potentially material to the Group
over the next one to five years under
a 1.5°C scenario, this scenario is not
considered a likely outcome, leading
to the probability of a material impact
on the Group’s viability assessment
through 31 December 2028 as low.
Funding
The Group’s revolving credit facility
(RCF) was refinanced in December 2025
with a new$1,500m facility. The facility
has an initial five-year term, maturing
in December 2030, with two additional
one-year extension options. There are
no financial covenants in the new facility.
See note 23 to the Group Financial
Statements for further details.
In September 2025, the Group issued
a five-year€850m bond. There are
three bond maturities in the period
under consideration:£350m in August
2026,€500m in May 2027 and£400m
in October 2028. It has been assumed
that there is an annual bond issuance
up to one year in advance of maturities.
We continue to plan to maintain an
investment-grade credit rating, which
provides good access to the debt
capital markets.
Viability assessment
The Group enters the assessment period with substantial liquidity at 31 December 2025 of $2,599m, comprising cash and cash equivalents (net of overdrafts and restricted cash) of $1,099m plus an undrawn bank facility of $1,500m.Under the Base Case, Severe Downside Case and Combined Scenario, the Group is forecast to generate positive free cash flow over the 2026–28 period. The principal risks that could be applicable have been considered and are able to be absorbed within the liquidity available.The Directors reviewed a number of actions that could be taken if required to reduce discretionary spend, creating substantial additional liquidity.The Directors reviewed a reverse stress test scenario to determine what would be required to exhaust the liquidity in the Combined Scenario. This included modelling no refinancing available during the period of assessment. The Directors concluded that it was very unlikely that a single risk or combination of the risks considered could create the sustained impact required to threaten the viability of the Group.
Conclusion
The Directors have assessed the
viability of the Group over the three-year
period to 31 December 2028, taking
account of the Group’s current position,
the Group’s strategy and the principal
risks documented in the Strategic
Report. Based on this assessment, the
that the Group will be able to continue
in operation and meet its liabilities
as they fall due over the period to
31 December 2028.
See also our business model on pages
24 to 29 the going concern assessment
on page 183 and the impact of the
principal risks on pages 48 to 53.
For and on behalf of the Board
| Strategic Report | Governance | Group Financial Statements | Parent Company Financial Statements | Additional Information |
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