Skip to main content

Upstart Holdings Inc

For the period ended Dec 31, 2024. Filed Feb 14, 2025.

View on SEC.gov

About this filing

A company's yearly report to the SEC, with audited financial statements. It is the fullest account a company gives of its business, its finances and the risks it sees.

FY2024 · Filed Feb 14, 2025

UPST$21.89-1.1%Stored close · as of Nov 6, 2026

What changed in Management’s Discussion and Analysis?

Read the current filing

Previous report: 10-K

Period ended 2023-12-31; filed 2024-02-15.

0001647639-24-000009

Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Current report: 10-K

Period ended 2024-12-31; filed 2025-02-14.

0001647639-25-000018

Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The baseline is this issuer’s latest earlier reporting period of the same form that was filed before the current report. A previous 10-Q is a different quarter, not a year-over-year comparison. Amendments are excluded.

Compared 149 previous paragraphs and 153 current paragraphs.

79 unchanged; 60 reworded; 13 added; 9 removed; 1 previous and 1 current paragraphs rearranged.

Tables are not compared: 16 previous and 17 current tables excluded. Dates, whitespace, punctuation and numbering changes are ignored; changes to financial figures remain significant.

A changed paragraph is not evidence that risk increased or decreased. An unchanged paragraph does not establish that risk stayed the same.

Added paragraphs (13)

Current report

We consider credit performance of Upstart-powered loans to be one of the most important measures of the effectiveness of our AI models. However, credit performance is impacted by multiple factors, including factors that our models do not predict, such as macroeconomic conditions.

Current report

However, the quarterly vintages of core personal loans that originated in the first quarter of 2021 through the first quarter of 2024 are currently forecasted to underperform relative to their target returns. Even though our underwriting models have over time utilized more variables and data points about borrowers which has improved model performance, they were not designed to predict the severe impact of recent changes to macroeconomic conditions, credit market volatility and interest rate fluctuations that have occurred, all of which were (and still are) beyond our control. The forecasted underperformance for these vintages reflects the impact of a combination of factors that occurred during that period, including the elimination of government stimulus measures and the worsening of the macroeconomic environment, via rising inflation and the resulting sharply higher interest rates.

Current report

The evolving macroeconomic conditions during that period led to more borrowers not making payments on their personal loans than anticipated at the time of underwriting. For example, borrowers likely prioritized repayment of loans that are secured by necessities, such as mortgages or auto loans, over unsecured personal loans. Higher interest rates also likely led to higher payment obligations, which reduced the ability of borrowers to remain current on their obligations. These factors led to increased delinquencies, defaults and bankruptcies declared by borrowers, resulting in more charge-offs and fewer recoveries, all of which had an adverse effect on the credit performance of loans facilitated on our marketplace during that time period.

Current report

To respond to macroeconomic changes more rapidly, we introduced the Upstart Macro Index (“UMI”) in 2023, which estimates the impact that observed macroeconomic changes may have on credit performance for Upstart-powered unsecured personal loans.

Current report

The core personal loans that originated in the second quarter of 2024 or later are currently forecasted to deliver returns in line with target yields. This reversion in performance, relative to the quarterly vintages of core personal loans that originated in the first quarter 2021 through the first quarter 2024, was driven by a combination of factors including increased conservatism in underwriting and the relative stabilization of macroeconomic conditions, as reflected in the UMI, which has helped credit perform in line with our models’ predictions as there has been less unexpected volatility in macroeconomic factors impacting loan performance. Our most recent AI models also benefited from more data on borrower repayment patterns from the period of significant macroeconomic changes. This resulted in substantive positive changes in observed and expected borrower repayments even for vintages with limited seasoning. This makes our more recent models more accurate than those used in early 2021. Refer to section “Factors Affecting Our Performance - Impact of Macroeconomic Environment” for additional details.

Current report

Gain on debt extinguishment consists of the gain recognized from the repurchase of a portion of the outstanding 2026 Notes. Refer to“Note 9. Borrowings” in Part II, Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for further details on our Notes.

Current report

Other income, net decreased by $2.4 million, or 11%, in the year ended December 31, 2024 compared to the prior year. The decrease was due to a $1.9 million decrease in dividend income and a $0.5 million decrease in miscellaneous other income, net.

Current report

In the year ended December 31, 2024, expense on convertible notes increased by $3.0 million, or 63%, compared to the prior year. The increase was primarily due to higher outstanding convertible debt balances resulting from 2029 Notes and 2030 Notes issued during the year ended December 31, 2024.

Current report

In the year ended December 31, 2024, gain on debt extinguishment increased by $33.4 million, or 100%, compared to the year ended December 31, 2023. During the third quarter of 2024, the Company repurchased a portion of the outstanding principal amount of the 2026 Notes and recognized a gain on debt extinguishment of $33.4 million during the year ended December 31, 2024.

Current report

Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Fair value determination requires the selection and use of valuation techniques and inputs subject to judgments and estimates that can significantly affect the amounts reported in the financial statements.
Removed paragraphs (9)

Previous report

We have included similar disclosures in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, and in our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q starting from the quarter that ended June 30, 2022. We recently identified an error in the calculations that supported some of these statements. This resulted in an overstatement of the expected return of an equal investment in all vintages of Upstart-powered core personal loans that originated in the first quarter of 2018 through the third quarter of 2023 by 0.9 - 1.3% for each disclosure. The error also impacted our forecasts of the performance of certain quarterly loan vintages relative to target returns in the aforementioned reports. After correcting for the error, vintages retained by the hypothetical lending partner that we forecasted to meet or exceed target returns still include those originated from mid-2018 through mid-2021, but no longer include vintages from mid-2021 through mid-2022. Loans purchased by the hypothetical institutional investor would have been expected to experience underperformance relative to target returns through mid-2023 vintages, not through mid-2022 vintages. Importantly, the error did not impact any of our financial statements, any forecasts prepared for our actual lending partners or institutional investors, or the overall expected performance trend.

Previous report

In 2020, we announced our entry into the auto lending market and in April 2021, we acquired Prodigy Software, Inc. (“Prodigy”), a leader in automotive commerce software solutions. Prodigy provided a modern multi-channel car buying experience, helping dealerships serve consumers with a holistic software solution that integrates legacy systems. The acquisition enabled the launch of Upstart Auto Retail software, a cloud-based solution that enables dealerships across the country, where the vast majority of auto loans are transacted, to provide consumers with access to Upstart-powered auto loans.

Previous report

As part of the January 2023 Plan, we suspended development work for small business loans to focus our resources on acceleration of further development of our personal loan, auto loan, and HELOC products.

Previous report

In the year ended December 31, 2023, other income (expense), net increased by $11.7 million, or 124%, compared to the prior year. The increase was primarily due to an increase of $11.7 million in dividend income as yields on sweep investments have increased due to rising interest rates.

Previous report

For the year ended December 31, 2023 the expense on convertible notes remained relatively consistent compared to the prior year.

Previous report

As of December 31, 2023, the potential value of these risk sharing arrangements, to be realized over time, ranges between $0 to $205.2 million, depending on the actual future performance of the loans sold under these arrangements. The estimated value of our risk sharing arrangements is $95.0 million, which represents the undiscounted value of the capital at risk and is based on the actual and expected future performance of the underlying loans.

Previous report

Additionally, our cash requirements for the next 12 months for the committed capital arrangements are expected to be $21.5 million.
Reworded paragraphs (60)

Previous wording

Upstart applies artificial intelligence models and cloud applications to the process of underwriting consumer credit. Our AI marketplace connects consumers with our lending partners. Consumers can access Upstart-powered loans via Upstart.com, through a lender-branded product on our lending partners’ own websites, and through auto dealerships that use our Upstart Auto Retail software. We enable our lending partners to provide an exceptional digital-first experience to consumers and originate valuable credit products. As our technology continues to improve and additional lending partners adopt our platform, consumers benefit from improved access to affordable and frictionless credit.

Current wording

Upstart applies artificial intelligence (“AI”) models and cloud applications to the process of underwriting consumer credit. Our AI marketplace connects consumers with our lending partners. Consumers can access Upstart-powered loans via Upstart.com, through a lender-branded product on our lending partners’ own websites, and through auto dealerships that use our Upstart Auto Retail software. We enable our lending partners to provide an exceptional digital-first experience to consumers and originate valuable credit products. As our technology continues to improve and additional lending partners adopt our platform, consumers benefit from improved access to affordable and frictionless credit.

Previous wording

We believe that banks and other traditional lenders will continue to be at the forefront of consumer lending in the United States. We believe AI lending will become increasingly critical as this industry continues to undergo a broad digital transformation. Our strategy is to partner with banks and credit unions and provide them with access to an AI lending marketplace that they can configure as they originate consumer loans under their own brand, according to their own business and regulatory requirements.

Current wording

We believe that banks and other traditional lenders will continue to be at the forefront of consumer lending in the United States. We believe AI lending will become increasingly critical as this industry continues to undergo a broad digital transformation. Our strategy is to partner with banks and credit unions and provide them with access to an AI lending marketplace that they can configure as they originate consumer loans, according to their own business and regulatory requirements.

Previous wording

Loans issued through our marketplace are retained by our lending partners, purchased by our network of institutional investors, or funded by Upstart’s balance sheet. Investors may also invest in Upstart-powered loans through our pass-through and securitization programs.

Current wording

Loans issued through our marketplace are retained by our lending partners, purchased by our network of institutional investors, or funded by Upstart’s balance sheet. Investors may also invest in Upstart-powered loans through our pass-through and securitization programs. We believe that institutional investors, often referred to as “private credit,” have played an increasingly large role in financing consumer lending in the United States and we have adapted our strategy to take advantage of this opportunity.

Previous wording

As of December 31, 2023, out of the total principal of loans transacted on our marketplace in 2023, 48% were purchased by institutional investors, 32% were retained by our lending partners, 16% were held on our balance sheet, and the remaining 4% were contributed as collateral to the securitization transaction we completed in July 2023, which we have consolidated in our financial statements. Starting in 2022, we increased the utilization of our balance sheet to fund loans to fill gaps in investor demand, to aid in price discovery, and to hold loans on our balance sheet for research and development purposes (“R&D Loans”), including to test and evaluate our AI models for these loans. R&D Loans are primarily our auto refinance and auto retail loan products, personal loan products issued to new categories of borrowers, and other new loan products. R&D Loans are not yet part of our established capital markets programs or other loan funding programs with institutional investors. The remainder of loans on our balance sheet represent core personal loans, which Upstart would sell to institutional investors.

Current wording

Out of the total principal of loans transacted on our marketplace during the year ended December 31, 2024, 65% were purchased by institutional investors, 25% were retained by our lending partners, and 10% were held on our balance sheet. We retain loans on our balance sheet to fill gaps in investor demand, to aid in price discovery, and for research and development purposes (“R&D Loans”), including to test and evaluate our AI models for these loans. R&D Loans are primarily our auto refinance and auto retail loan products, personal loan products issued to new categories of borrowers, and other new loan products, including small dollar loans and HELOCs. R&D Loans are not yet part of our fully-established capital markets programs with institutional investors and we continue our work on developing such programs. The remainder of loans on our balance sheet represent core personal loans, which Upstart would sell to institutional investors.

Previous wording

To improve the loan funding capacity for our marketplace across business and macroeconomic cycles, we secured multiple committed capital arrangements with institutional investors in 2023, which delivered a significant amount of loan funding to the Upstart marketplace. We continue our work on expanding committed capital arrangements for our marketplace.

Current wording

To improve the loan funding capacity for our marketplace across business and macroeconomic cycles, we have secured multiple committed capital and other co-investment arrangements with institutional investors and lending partners beginning in 2023, which have delivered a significant amount of loan funding to the Upstart marketplace. While these efforts have strengthened the amount and resiliency of our loan funding, we continue to secure additional capital to support the growth of our business and further diversify our sources of capital and institutional investor base to ensure long-term scalability.

Previous wording

Upstart’s revenues are primarily earned in exchange for the use of our platform and for borrower referral services provided to our lending partners through our lending marketplace. Fees for these services can be either fixed or based on a variable price per unit, depending on the contractual arrangement. Platform services result in loan originations by our lending partners using our platform and referral services result in a referral of a borrower obtaining a loan from our lending partners. These fees are combined for accounting purposes as they represent a single performance obligation. We do not charge the borrowers on our platform any referral, platform or other similar fees for our loan matching services.

Current wording

Upstart’s revenues are primarily earned in exchange for the use of our platform and for borrower referral services provided to our lending partners through our lending marketplace. Fees for these services can be either fixed or based on a variable price per unit, depending on the contractual arrangement. Platform services result in loan originations by our lending partners using our platform and referral services result in a referral of a borrower obtaining a loan from our lending partners. These fees are combined for accounting purposes as they represent a single performance obligation. We do not charge borrowers on our platform any referral, platform, or other similar fees for loans originated by our lending partners.

Previous wording

We also charge the holder of the loan (either a lending partner or institutional investor) a servicing fee based on the outstanding principal over the lifetime of the loan for ongoing servicing of the loan. In addition, we earn a smaller portion of our revenue from interest income for loans held on our balance sheet and gain or (loss) generated through our capital markets programs.

Current wording

We also charge the holder of the loan (either a lending partner or institutional investor) a servicing fee based on the outstanding principal over the lifetime of the loan for ongoing servicing of the loan. In addition, we receive certain ancillary borrower fees inclusive of late payment fees and ACH fail fees as part of loan servicing. Further, we earn a portion of our revenue from interest income for loans held on our balance sheet.

Previous wording

Loans on our platform today are predominantly sourced from Upstart.com. For these loans, we incur variable costs in the form of borrower acquisition costs and borrower verification and servicing costs. Borrower acquisition, verification and servicing costs are highly correlated with Transaction Volume, which fluctuates on a quarter by quarter basis. We continue to focus on improvements to our level of automation and Conversion Rate (as defined below) through our increasingly sophisticated risk models and our evolving channel mix which have contributed to improving our loan unit economics over time.

Current wording

Loans on our platform today are predominantly sourced from Upstart.com. For these loans, we incur variable costs in the form of borrower acquisition costs and borrower verification and servicing costs. Borrower acquisition, verification and servicing costs are highly correlated with Transaction Volume (as defined below), which fluctuates on a quarter by quarter basis. We continue to focus on improvements to our level of automation and Conversion Rate (as defined below) through our increasingly sophisticated risk models and our evolving channel mix which have contributed to improving our loan unit economics over time.

Previous wording

While the credit performance of Upstart-powered loans can be impacted by a variety of macroeconomic and other factors, we consider credit performance to be one of the most important measures of the effectiveness of our AI models. We evaluate the credit performance of core personal loans by comparing the target returns expected at the time of origination to the returns received by our lending partners and institutional investors. The target return, a critical component of our loan pricing, is calculated using estimated cash flows, which are developed based on a number of factors, including credit losses and prepayment rates. While target returns across our lending partners and institutional investors vary depending on their programs’ objectives and risk tolerance, overall performance is calculated based on the variance between the initially expected returns and the actual return on capital invested in Upstart-powered loans.

Current wording

We evaluate the credit performance of core personal loans by comparing the target returns expected at the time of origination to the returns received by our lending partners and institutional investors. The target return, a critical component of our loan pricing, is calculated using estimated cash flows, which are developed based on a number of factors, including credit losses and prepayment rates. While target returns across our lending partners and institutional investors vary depending on their programs’ objectives and risk tolerance, overall performance is calculated based on the variance between the initially expected returns and the actual return on capital invested in Upstart-powered loans.

Previous wording

Lending is a cyclical industry, and we believe it is important to take a long-term view of credit performance. An equal investment in all vintages of Upstart-powered core personal loans that originated in the first quarter of 2018 through the third quarter of 2023 is currently expected to deliver returns in line with a blended target of 9.0%. At a more granular level, all quarterly vintages of core personal loans that originated in 2018 through the fourth quarter of 2020 are currently forecasted to meet or exceed the target returns set at the time of loan origination. The quarterly vintages of core personal loans that originated in the first quarter 2021 through the second quarter 2023 are currently forecasted to underperform relative to their target returns. The core personal loans that originated in the third quarter of 2023 or later are currently forecasted to deliver returns in line with target yields. This reversion in performance was driven by a combination of factors including increased conservatism in underwriting and the relative stabilization of macroeconomic conditions, as reflected in UMI. Refer to section “Factors Affecting Our Performance - Impact of Macroeconomic Environment” for additional details.

Current wording

Lending is a cyclical industry, and we believe it is important to take a long-term view of credit performance. An equal investment in all vintages of Upstart-powered core personal loans that originated in the first quarter of 2018 through the third quarter of 2024 is currently expected to deliver returns in line with a blended target of 9.6%.

Previous wording

We measure credit performance of R&D loans, which are a substantial part of the loan portfolio held on our balance sheet (refer to section “Liquidity and Capital Resources - Composition of Retained Loan Portfolio”), using an approach similar to the core personal loans held on our balance sheet. Variances between targeted and actual returns for these loans are expected to be higher, as the underlying risk models are in the early phases of their development cycle. The initial target returns for these products are also generally lower than comparative market benchmarks. The combination of these factors decreases the value of R&D loans on our balance sheet, which negatively impacts our overall financial results. However, this is a required part of our product development cycle, and should be considered alongside other product development costs, such as data science and engineering. These costs collectively are managed as part of overall investment in product development. As our R&D models improve, we expect the difference between target and delivered returns will decrease and converge to market returns. This will allow us to launch these products for our lending partners and institutional investors, at which point they become part of our core product offerings.

Current wording

We measure credit performance of R&D Loans, which are a substantial part of the loan portfolio held on our balance sheet (refer to section “Liquidity and Capital Resources - Composition of Retained Loan Portfolio”), using an approach similar to the core personal loans held on our balance sheet. Variances between targeted and actual returns for these loans are expected to be higher, as the underlying risk models are in the earlier phases of their development cycle in comparison to core personal loans. The initial target returns for these products are also generally lower than comparative market benchmarks. The combination of these factors decreases the value of R&D Loans on our balance sheet, which negatively impacts our overall financial results. However, this is a required part of our product development cycle, and should be considered alongside other product development costs, such as data science and engineering. These costs collectively are managed as part of overall investment in product development. As our R&D models improve, we expect the difference between target and delivered returns will decrease and converge to market returns. This will allow us to launch these products for our lending partners and institutional investors, at which point they become part of our core product offerings.

Previous wording

Loan funding provided by institutional investors started to become constrained in the second quarter of 2022 and has remained constrained, largely due to concerns about the macroeconomic environment. In response to inflationary pressure, the U.S. Federal Reserve has raised, and may continue to raise, interest rates, leading to more expensive loan offers across borrower categories. At the same time, macroeconomic uncertainty had generally made institutional investors more cautious and caused them to reduce the amount of capital available to fund Upstart-powered loans.

Current wording

For example, loan funding provided by institutional investors started to become constrained in 2022, largely due to concerns about the macroeconomic environment. In response to inflationary pressure, the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates through 2023, leading to more expensive loan offers across borrower categories, which impacted our business. At the same time, macroeconomic uncertainty generally made institutional investors more cautious and caused them to reduce the amount of capital available to fund Upstart-powered loans.

Previous wording

In response to this challenging macroeconomic environment where many lenders and credit investors have significantly reduced or paused investments in Upstart-powered loans, we announced reductions in workforce in November 2022 (“November 2022 Plan”) and January 2023 (“January 2023 Plan”) that resulted in the termination of approximately 7% and 20% of our workforce, respectively. These steps were designed to reduce operating costs, streamline operations and return Upstart to profitability in the future. As of December 31, 2023, we have completed both the November 2022 Planand January 2023 Plan. Refer to“Note 16. Reorganization Expenses”for more information.

Current wording

In response to this challenging macroeconomic environment where many lenders and credit investors had significantly reduced or paused investments in Upstart-powered loans, we announced reductions in workforce in January 2023 (“January 2023 Plan”) that resulted in the termination of approximately 20% of our workforce. To further decrease operating costs, streamline operations, and return Upstart to profitability in the future, during theyear ended December 31, 2024, the Company implemented an additional series of initiatives which reduced the Company’s workforce by approximately 13%. Refer to “Note 16. Reorganization Expenses” for more information. While we believe that the macroeconomic environment started to improve in 2024, disruption in financial markets could impair our lending partners and result in constrained funding, which would adversely impact our business, financial condition and operating results.

Previous wording

Further, several of our lending partners have paused or reduced loan originations in order to limit their exposure in the current macroeconomic environment. Further disruption in financial markets could impair our lending partners and result in further constrained funding, which would adversely impact our business, financial condition and operating results. In order to create greater stability for our business, in 2023 we secured several committed capital arrangements with institutional investors that contribute loan funding over longer durations. We continue our work on expanding committed capital arrangements and in the interim period, we have utilized and may continue to utilize our balance sheet to support loan funding. While our goal remains to operate as a capital-light marketplace for credit, we will continue to leverage our balance sheet in the short term as we evaluate opportunities to implement a committed capital structure.

Current wording

In order to create greater stability for our business, beginning in 2023, we secured several committed capital and co-investment arrangements with institutional investors and other third-parties that provide loan funding over longer durations. We continue our work on expanding our loan funding capacity and in the interim period, we have utilized and may continue to utilize our balance sheet to support loan funding. While our goal remains to operate as a capital-light marketplace for credit, we will continue to leverage our balance sheet in the short term as we evaluate opportunities to implement committed capital and co-investment structures.

Previous wording

Our credit decisioning process takes into account macroeconomic conditions, such as unemployment levels and personal savings rates, that we receive from third party sources. To respond to macroeconomic changes and provide relevant and up-to-date information to our lending partners, we introduced a new metric, UMI, in 2023. UMI is designed to quantify the level of underlying macroeconomic risk, specific to our borrower base, relative to a benign credit environment. A UMI of 1.0 reflects loan losses at this baseline rate. We subsequently launched an update to UMI which removes seasonal patterns to better describe the underlying macroeconomic effects. As of December 31, 2023, UMI was measured at approximately 1.65, meaning that current macroeconomic conditions contributed an incremental risk of approximately 65% to the repayment performance of an Upstart-powered loan, compared to the baseline.

Current wording

Our credit decisioning process takes into account macroeconomic conditions data, such as unemployment levels and personal savings rates, that we receive from third-party sources. To respond to macroeconomic changes and provide relevant and up-to-date information to our lending partners, we introduced a new metric, UMI, in 2023. UMI is designed to quantify the level of underlying macroeconomic risk, specific to our borrower base, relative to a benign credit environment. A UMI of 1.0 reflects loan losses at this baseline rate. We subsequently launched an update to UMI which removes seasonal patterns to better describe the underlying macroeconomic effects. As of December 31, 2024, UMI was measured at approximately 1.40, meaning that current macroeconomic conditions contributed an incremental risk of approximately 40% to the repayment performance of an Upstart-powered unsecured personal loan, compared to the baseline.

Previous wording

We continuously monitor the direct and indirect impacts of the current macroeconomic conditions on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.

Current wording

We continuously monitor the direct and indirect impacts of the current macroeconomic conditions, including interest rate changes, on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.

Previous wording

We believe that disruptions in the banking sector may limit our ability to attract new lending partners and may cause existing lending partners to reduce loan originations on our platform. In order to address recent funding constraints for our personal loans, Upstart has utilized its balance sheet to support short-term funding requirements of loans that would otherwise be purchased and held by institutional investors or securitized. In 2023, we secured several committed capital arrangements with institutional investors, which have delivered, and are expected to deliver, a significant amount of loan funding to the Upstart marketplace.

Current wording

We believe that disruptions in the banking sector may limit our ability to attract new lending partners and may cause existing lending partners to reduce loan originations on our platform. In order to address recent funding constraints for our personal loans, Upstart has utilized its balance sheet to support short-term funding requirements of loans that would otherwise be purchased and held by institutional investors or securitized. We have secured several committed capital and co-investment arrangements with institutional investors and lending partners, which have delivered, and are expected to deliver, a significant amount of loan funding to the Upstart marketplace.

Previous wording

We believe that significant growth opportunities exist to apply our evolving AI technology to additional segments of credit, and we continue to invest in research and development of our products. In 2022, we introduced a new offering of personal loans for borrowers interested in small dollar loans, and in the third quarter of 2023, we launched a HELOC product on our platform. We may incur expenses to support the launch of new products and fund early loan originations. Monetization prospects for new products are uncertain, and costs associated with integrating, developing and marketing new products might not be recovered, which could weigh on our top-line growth and profitability.

Current wording

We believe that significant growth opportunities exist to apply our evolving AI technology to additional segments of credit, and we continue to invest in research and development of our products. We introduced a new offering of unsecured personal loans for borrowers interested in small dollar loans in 2022, launched our HELOC product in the third quarter of 2023, and launched auto secured personal loans in the second quarter of 2024. We may incur expenses to support the launch of new products and fund early loan originations. Monetization prospects for new products are uncertain, and costs associated with integrating, developing and marketing new products might not be recovered, which could weigh on our top-line growth and profitability. For full-year 2024, new products had not yet achieved positive unit economics.

Previous wording

We define Transaction Volume, Dollars as the total principal of loan originations facilitated on our marketplace during the years presented. We define Transaction Volume, Number of Loans as the number of loan originations facilitated on our marketplace during the years presented. Increases in Transaction Volume are dependent on our loan funding programs having sufficient access to capital. Decreases in the availability of funding due to factors such as volatility in the capital markets and macroeconomic conditions will generally cause a decline in Transaction Volume. Transaction Volume is driven by improvements in our AI models and technology, including our ability to streamline and automate the loan application and origination process. Transaction Volume can also be driven by borrower acceptance rates and their sensitivity to the interest rates offered through our platform. We believe these metrics are good proxies for our overall scale and reach as a marketplace. Transaction Volume, Dollars decreased by 59% in the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the prior year and Transaction Volume, Number of Loans decreased by 61% over the same year. This contraction was driven by a reduction in funding availability caused by macroeconomic uncertainty and by elevated consumer risk and cost of funds. These changing macroeconomic conditions required adjustments to our models which resulted in our loans becoming more expensive and decreasing both the pool of qualified potential borrowers and overall consumer demand.

Current wording

We define Transaction Volume, Dollars as the total principal of loan originations (or committed amounts for HELOCs) facilitated on our marketplace during the years presented. We define Transaction Volume, Number of Loans as the number of loan originations (or commitments issued for HELOCs) facilitated on our marketplace during the years presented. Increases in Transaction Volume are dependent on our loan funding programs having sufficient access to capital. Decreases in the availability of funding due to factors such as volatility in the capital markets and macroeconomic conditions will generally cause a decline in Transaction Volume. Transaction Volume is driven by improvements in our AI models and technology, including our ability to streamline and automate the loan application and origination process. Transaction Volume can also be driven by several other factors, including borrower acceptance rates and their sensitivity to the interest rates offered through our platform. We believe these metrics are good proxies for our overall scale and reach as a marketplace. Transaction Volume, Dollars increased 28% in theyear ended December 31, 2024 compared to the prior year and Transaction Volume, Number of Loans increased 59% in the year ended December 31, 2024 compared to the prior year. These increases were primarily due to model improvements and product initiatives, which resulted in an increase in the number of qualified borrowers and more attractive loan offers. The increase in Transaction Volume, Number of Loans was higher than the increase in Transaction Volume, Dollars due to the decrease in average loan size, primarily due to the increase in small dollar loans.

Previous wording

We define Conversion Rate as the Transaction Volume, Number of Loans in a period divided by the number of rate inquiries received that we estimate to be legitimate, which we record when a borrower requests a loan offer on our platform. We track this metric to understand the impact of improvements to the efficiency of our borrower funnel on our overall growth. Historically, our Conversion Rate has benefited from improvements to our technology, which have made our evaluation of risk more accurate and our verification process more automated, or from the addition of lending partners that have made our offers more competitive. However, our Conversion Rate can be impacted by a variety of internal factors such as changes in the amount of origination fees that we charge or changes in the rate of returns we target for our lending partners and institutional investors. External factors, including shifts in macroeconomic conditions, also impact our Conversion Rate. For example, as the U.S. Federal Reserve raises interest rates, the average interest rates charged to borrowers for Upstart-powered loans also increase, which results in decreases to our Conversion Rate. Our ability to continue to improve our Conversion Rate depends in part on our ability to continue to improve our AI models and Percentage of Loans Fully Automated and the mix of marketing channels in any given period. Our Conversion Rate decreased to 9.7% in the year ended December 31, 2023 from 14.1% in the year ended December 31, 2022 primarily driven by lower approval rates following the significant increase in interest rates, which were in turn driven by elevated risk and cost of capital. The impact of these factors was partially offset by an increased portion of repeat borrowers on our platform.

Current wording

We define Conversion Rate as the Transaction Volume, Number of Loans in a period divided by the number of rate inquiries received that we estimate to be legitimate, which we record when a borrower requests a loan offer on our platform. We track this metric to understand the impact of improvements to the efficiency of our borrower funnel on our overall growth. Historically, our Conversion Rate has benefited from improvements to our technology, which have made our evaluation of risk more accurate and our verification process more automated, or from the addition of lending partners that have made our offers more competitive. However, our Conversion Rate can be impacted by a variety of internal factors such as changes in the amount of origination fees that we charge or changes in the rate of returns we target for our lending partners and institutional investors. External factors such as shifts in macroeconomic conditions, including interest rate changes, also impact our Conversion Rate. Our ability to continue to improve our Conversion Rate depends in part on our ability to continue to improve our AI models and Percentage of Loans Fully Automated and the mix of marketing channels in any given period. Our Conversion Rate increased to 16.5% in the year ended December 31, 2024 from 9.7% in the year ended December 31, 2023, primarily driven by underwriting model improvements and product initiatives, coupled with continued optimization in our acquisition channels.

Previous wording

A driver of our Contribution Margin and operating efficiency is the Percentage of Loans Fully Automated, which is defined as the total number of loans in a given period originated end-to-end (from initial rate request to final funding for personal loans and small dollar loans and from initial rate request to signing of the loan agreement for auto loans) with no human involvement required divided by the Transaction Volume, Number of Loans in the same period. We have been successful in increasing the level of loan automation on the platform over the past few years while simultaneously holding fraud rates constant and at very low levels. We believe our growth over the last several years has been driven in part by our ability to rapidly streamline and automate the loan application and origination process on our platform. We expect growth of the percentage of loans fully automated to subside in the near term. However, the expansion of our loan offerings may cause it to fluctuate from period to period depending on the loan offering mix and other external factors. Our Percentage of Loans Fully Automated increased to 87% in the year ended December 31, 2023 from 75% in the year ended December 31, 2022 , driven primarily by increasing the accuracy of our models, by eliminating previously manual processes, and by an increased portion of repeat borrowers on our platform.

Current wording

A driver of our Contribution Margin and operating efficiency is the Percentage of Loans Fully Automated, which is defined as the total number of loans in a given period originated end-to-end (from initial rate request to final funding for personal loans and small dollar loans and from initial rate request to signing of the loan agreement for auto loans) with no human involvement required by the Company divided by the Transaction Volume, Number of Loans in the same period. We have been successful in increasing the level of loan automation on the platform over the past few years while simultaneously holding fraud rates at very low levels. We believe our growth over the last several years has been driven in part by our ability to rapidly streamline and automate the loan application and origination process on our platform. We expect growth of the Percentage of Loans Fully Automated to subside in the near term. However, as we expand our loan offerings, this percentage may fluctuate from period to period depending on the loan offering mix and other external factors. Our Percentage of Loans Fully Automated increased to 91% in the year ended December 31, 2024 from 87% in theyear ended December 31, 2023.

Previous wording

(1)Borrower acquisition costs consist of our sales and marketing expenses adjusted to exclude costs not directly attributable to attracting a new borrower, such as payroll-related expenses for our business development and marketing teams, as well as other operational, brand awareness and marketing activities. These costs do not include reorganization expenses associated with the January 2023 Plan.

Current wording

(1)Borrower acquisition costs consist of our sales and marketing expenses adjusted to exclude costs not directly attributable to attracting a new borrower, such as payroll-related expenses for our business development and marketing teams, as well as other operational, brand awareness and marketing activities. These costs do not include reorganization expenses.

Previous wording

(2)Borrower verification and servicing costs consist of payroll and other personnel-related expenses for personnel engaged in loan onboarding, verification and servicing, as well as servicing system costs. It excludes payroll and personnel-related expenses and stock-based compensation for certain members of our customer operations team whose work is not directly attributable to onboarding and servicing loans. These costs do not include reorganization expenses associated with the January 2023 Plan.

Current wording

(2)Borrower verification and servicing costs consist of payroll and other personnel-related expenses for personnel engaged in loan onboarding, verification and servicing, as well as servicing system costs. It excludes payroll and personnel-related expenses and stock-based compensation for certain members of our customer operations team whose work is not directly attributable to onboarding and servicing loans. These costs do not include reorganization expenses.

Previous wording

See the section titled “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for a reconciliation of income from operations to Contribution Profit.

Current wording

See the section titled “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for a reconciliation of loss from operations to Contribution Profit.

Previous wording

We calculate Adjusted EBITDA as net income (loss) adjusted to exclude stock-based compensation expense and certain payroll tax expenses, depreciation and amortization, expense on convertible notes, net gain on a lease modification, provision for income taxes, and reorganization expenses. We calculate Adjusted EBITDA Margin as Adjusted EBITDA divided by total revenue. Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin includes interest expense from corporate debt and warehouse credit facilities which is incurred in the course of earning corresponding interest income. See the section titled “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for a reconciliation of net income (loss) to Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin.

Current wording

We calculate Adjusted EBITDA as net income (loss) adjusted to exclude stock-based compensation expense and certain payroll tax expenses, depreciation and amortization, expense on convertible notes, provision for income taxes, gain on debt extinguishment, net gain on lease modification and reorganization expenses. We calculate Adjusted EBITDA Margin as Adjusted EBITDA divided by total revenue. Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin includes interest expense from corporate debt and warehouse credit facilities which is incurred in the course of earning corresponding interest income. See the section titled “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for a reconciliation of net income (loss) to Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin.

Previous wording

We define Adjusted Net Income (Loss) as net income (loss) exclusive of stock-based compensation expense and certain payroll tax expenses as well as certain items that are not related to core business and ongoing operations, such as reorganization expenses and net gain on a lease modification. Adjusted Net Income (Loss) Per Share is calculated by dividing Adjusted Net Income (Loss) Per Share by the weighted-average common shares outstanding. See the section titled “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for a reconciliation of net income (loss) to Adjusted Net Income (Loss) and Adjusted Net Income (Loss) per Share.

Current wording

We define Adjusted Net Income (Loss) as net income (loss) exclusive of stock-based compensation expense and certain payroll tax expenses as well as certain items that are not related to core business and ongoing operations, such as gain on debt extinguishment, net gain on lease modification and reorganization expenses. Adjusted Net Income (Loss) Per Share is calculated by dividing Adjusted Net Income (Loss) Per Share by the weighted-average common shares outstanding. See the section titled “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for a reconciliation of net income (loss) to Adjusted Net Income (Loss) and Adjusted Net Income (Loss) per Share.

Previous wording

We charge our lending partners platform fees in exchange for usage of our AI lending marketplace, which includes collection of loan application data, underwriting of credit risk, verification and fraud detection, and the delivery of electronic loan offers and associated documentation. We also charge referral fees to our lending partners in exchange for the referral of borrowers from Upstart.com. Referral fees are charged to lending partners on a per borrower basis upon origination of a loan. These fees are charged net of any fees the lending partner charges Upstart. Upstart pays these lending partners a one-time loan premium fee upon completion of the minimum holding periods. Upstart also pays lending partners monthly loan trailing fees based on the amount and timing of principal and interest payments made by borrowers of the underlying loans.

Current wording

We charge our lending partners platform fees in exchange for usage of our AI lending marketplace, which includes collection of loan application data, underwriting of credit risk, verification and fraud detection, and the delivery of electronic loan offers and associated documentation. We also charge referral fees to our lending partners in exchange for the referral of borrowers from Upstart.com. Referral fees are charged to lending partners on a per borrower basis upon origination of a loan. These fees are charged net of any fees the lending partner charges Upstart. Upstart pays these lending partners a one-time loan premium fee upon completion of the minimum holding periods. Upstart also pays certain lending partners monthly loan trailing fees based on the amount and timing of principal and interest payments made by borrowers of the underlying loans.

Previous wording

Interest income, interest expense, and fair value adjustments, net is comprised of interest income, interest expense and net changes in the fair value of financial instruments held on our consolidated balance sheets as part of our ongoing operating activities, excluding loan servicing assets and liabilities. Interest income, interest expense, and fair value adjustments, net also includes realized gain (loss) on the sale of loans. Interest income, interest expense, and fair value adjustments, net can fluctuate based on the fair value of financial instruments held on our consolidated balance sheets. This amount has historically been a small percentage of our total revenue, and we do not manage our business with a focus on growing this component of revenue.

Current wording

Interest income, interest expense, and fair value adjustments, net is comprised of interest income, interest expense and net changes in the fair value of financial instruments held on our consolidated balance sheets as part of our ongoing operating activities, excluding loan servicing assets and liabilities. Interest income, interest expense, and fair value adjustments, net also includes realized gain or loss on the sale of loans. Interest income, interest expense, and fair value adjustments, net can fluctuate based on the fair value of financial instruments held on our consolidated balance sheets. This amount has historically been a small percentage of our total revenue, and we do not manage our business with a focus on growing this component of revenue.

Previous wording

For the year ended December 31, 2021, other income (expense), net primarily consists of our voluntarily repayment of proceeds received in the previous year under the Paycheck Protection Program plus related accrued interest. In the year ended December 31, 2022 and 2023, other income (expense), net primarily consists of dividend income earned by the Company on its unrestricted cash balances.

Current wording

Other income, net primarily consists of dividend income earned by the Company on its unrestricted cash and cash equivalents balances.

Previous wording

Expense on convertible notes is comprised of coupon interest expense and amortization of the debt discount on our convertible notes.

Current wording

Expense on convertible notes is comprised of coupon interest expense and amortization of the debt discount on our Notes.

Previous wording

The following table summarizes our historical consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income (loss):

Current wording

The following table summarizes our historical consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive loss:

Previous wording

Revenue from fees, net decreased $346.8 million, or 38%, in the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the prior year, due to a $318.1 million decrease in revenue from platform and referral fees, net and a $28.7 million decrease in servicing and other fees, net. The decrease of the platform and referral fees, net was primarily driven by a 61% decrease in the Transaction Volume, Number of Loans from 1,129,672 in the year ended December 31, 2022 to 437,659 in the year ended December 31, 2023, which was partially offset by increases in prices of our services. The decrease in servicing fees was primarily due to a decrease in the outstanding principal of serviced loans, as well as a decrease in net gain related to loan servicing rights upon loan sales.

Current wording

Revenue from fees, net increased $75.0 million, or 13%, in the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to the prior year, due to an $88.3 million increase in revenue from platform and referral fees, net and a $13.3 million decrease in servicing and other fees, net. The increase of the platform and referral fees, net was primarily driven by a 59% increase in the Transaction Volume, Number of Loans from 437,659 in the year ended December 31, 2023 to 697,092 in the year ended December 31, 2024. The decrease in servicing fees was primarily due to a decrease in the outstanding principal of serviced loans, partially offset by an increase in net gain related to loan servicing rights upon loan sales.

Previous wording

Interest income, interest expense, and fair value adjustments, net increased $18.0 million, or 28%, in the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the prior year. The increase was primarily driven by a $63.4 million increase in interest income, including a $19.7 million increase in interest income recognized by consolidated securitization entities, due to an increase in unpaid principal balance of loans held on the consolidated balance sheets. The increase was partially offset by a $24.1 million increase in interest expense due to an increase in borrowings compared to the prior year, including $6.7 million of interest expense recognized by consolidated securitization entities. The increase in unfavorable fair value adjustments, net is primarily attributable to a $29.0 million net impact of increased loan charge-offs and the impact of mark-to-market fair value adjustments, including $5.5 million recognized by consolidated securitization entities, and fair value adjustments related to the beneficial interests of $26.5 million. This net impact was partially offset by a $34.1 million decrease in realized loss on loan sales during the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the prior year.

Current wording

Interest income, interest expense, and fair value adjustments, net increased $47.9 million, or 102%, in the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to the prior year. The increase was driven by a $36.1 million decrease in unfavorable fair value adjustments, net, and a $17.4 million increase in interest income, partially offset by a $5.5 million increase in interest expense. The decrease in unfavorable fair value adjustments is primarily attributable to a $19.3 million decrease in negative mark-to-market adjustments and loan charge-offs, an $8.8 million decrease in fair value loss on beneficial interests, and an $8.1 million decrease in realized losses on loan sales. The increase in interest income was primarily driven by an increase in the average outstanding principal balance of loans held on the consolidated balance sheets during the period, including $9.3 million of interest income recognized by consolidated securitization entities. The increase was partially offset by an increase in interest expense due to an increase in borrowings, including an increase of $2.9 million recognized by consolidated securitization entities. The increase in interest income and interest expense recognized by consolidated securitization entities was due to the timing of the transaction, resulting in full year of income and expense recognized in 2024 compared to two quarters in 2023.

Previous wording

Sales and marketing expenses decreased by $218.6 million, or 63%, in the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the prior year. The decrease was primarily due to a $212.2 million decrease in advertising and other traffic acquisition cost. As a percentage of total revenue, sales and marketing expenses decreased from 41% to 25%.

Current wording

Sales and marketing expenses increased by $39.7 million, or 31%, in the year ended December 31, 2024 compared to the prior year. The increase was primarily due to a $34.5 million increase in advertising and other traffic acquisition costs and a $5.2 million increase in payroll and other personnel related expenses. As a percentage of total revenue, sales and marketing expenses increased from 25% to 26%.

Previous wording

Customer operations expenses decreased by $37.6 million, or 20%, in the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the prior year. The decrease was primarily due to a $35.6 million decrease in payroll and other personnel-related expenses due to a decrease in headcount and Transaction Volume. As a percentage of total revenue, customer operations expenses increased from 22% to 29%.

Current wording

Customer operations expenses increased by $7.6 million, or 5%, in the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to the prior year. The increase was primarily due to a $14.2 million increase in servicing expenses, $2.9 million increase in information verification expenses, and a $1.2 million removal of an operational contingency reserve in the prior year. The increase was partially offset by a $11.3 million decrease in payroll and other personnel-related expenses due to a decrease in headcount. As a percentage of total revenue, customer operations expenses decreased from 29% to 25%.

Previous wording

Engineering and product development expenses increased by $42.9 million, or 18%, for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the prior year. The increase was primarily due to a $45.8 million increase in payroll and other personnel-related expenses, primarily driven by a $39.0 million expense related to the one time cancellation of PRSUs for our CTO. The increase was offset by a $2.9 million decrease on engineering infrastructure, support services, and consultants. As a percentage of total revenue, engineering and product development expenses increased from 28% to 55%.

Current wording

Engineering and product development expenses decreased by $26.5 million, or 9%, for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to the prior year. The decrease was primarily due to a $26.7 million decrease in payroll and other personnel-related expenses, primarily driven by an expense related to the cancellation of PRSUs during the year ended December 31, 2023, refer to“Note 10. Stockholders' Equity”. As a percentage of total revenue, engineering and product development expenses decreased from 55% to 40%.

Previous wording

General, administrative, and other expenses increased by $27.1 million, or 15%, for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the prior year. The increase was primarily due to an increase of $22.9 million in payroll and personnel-related costs as a result of increased stock-based compensation expense and severance payments under the January 2023 Plan and an increase of $11.4 million in depreciation and amortization expense. The increase was partially offset by a decrease of $6.0 million in other personnel-related expenses driven by a decrease in headcount and a $3.1 million decrease in insurance expense. As a percentage of total revenue, general, administrative, and other expenses increased from 22% to 41%.

Current wording

General, administrative, and other expenses increased by $18.5 million, or 9%, for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to the prior year. The increase was primarily due to an increase of $15.5 million in payroll and personnel-related costs and an increase of $8.6 million in legal and compliance expenses. The increase was partially offset by a decrease of $4.4 million in depreciation and amortization expenses and a $1.5 million decrease in insurance expense. As a percentage of total revenue, general, administrative, and other expenses decreased from 41% to 36%.

Previous wording

To address these limitations, we provide a reconciliation of Contribution Profit, Contribution Margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin, and Adjusted Net Income (Loss) and Adjusted Net Income (Loss) Per Share to loss from operations and net income (loss), respectively. We encourage investors and others to review our financial information in its entirety, not to rely on any single financial measure and to view Contribution Profit, Contribution Margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin, Adjusted Net Income (Loss), and Adjusted Net Income (Loss) Per Share in conjunction with their respective related GAAP financial measures.

Current wording

To address these limitations, we provide a reconciliation of Contribution Profit, Contribution Margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin, and Adjusted Net Income (Loss) and Adjusted Net Income (Loss) Per Share to income (loss) from operations and net income (loss), respectively. We encourage investors and others to review our financial information in its entirety, not to rely on any single financial measure and to view Contribution Profit, Contribution Margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin, Adjusted Net Income (Loss), and Adjusted Net Income (Loss) Per Share in conjunction with their respective related GAAP financial measures.

Previous wording

The following table presents a reconciliation of income (loss) from operations to Contribution Profit and Contribution Margin. We define Operating Margin as our income (loss) from operations divided by revenue from fees, net.

Current wording

The following table presents a reconciliation of loss from operations to Contribution Profit and Contribution Margin. We define Operating Margin as our loss from operations divided by revenue from fees, net.

Previous wording

(1)Borrower acquisition costs were $307.6 million, $302.7 million, and $90.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, 2022 and 2023, respectively. Borrower acquisition costs consist of our sales and marketing expenses adjusted to exclude costs not directly attributable to attracting a new borrower, such as payroll-related expenses for our business development and marketing teams, as well as other operational, brand awareness and marketing activities. These costs do not include reorganization expenses associated with the January 2023 Plan.

Current wording

(1)Borrower acquisition costs were $302.7 million, $90.5 million, and $125.0 million for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2023 and 2024, respectively. Borrower acquisition costs consist of our sales and marketing expenses adjusted to exclude costs not directly attributable to attracting a new borrower, such as payroll-related expenses for our business development and marketing teams, as well as other operational, brand awareness and marketing activities. These costs do not include reorganization expenses.

Showing the first 40 of 60 pairs. Open the source sections for the rest.

Rearranged current paragraphs (1)

Current report — wording carried from elsewhere

At a more granular level, all quarterly vintages of core personal loans that originated in 2018 through the fourth quarter of 2020 are currently forecasted to meet or exceed the target returns set at the time of loan origination.
Rearranged previous paragraphs (1)

Previous report — wording carried elsewhere

August 15, 2026 unless earlier converted, redeemed, or repurchased in accordance with their terms. Refer to “Note 10. Borrowings” in Part II, Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for further details on our Notes.