METHANEX CORP
For the period ended Mar 31, 2026. Filed Apr 29, 2026.
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Mar 31, 2026 · Filed Apr 29, 2026
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Contents
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This First Quarter 2026 Management’s Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") as well as comments made during the First Quarter 2026 investor conference call contain forward-looking statements with respect to us and our industry. These statements relate to future events or our future performance. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. Statements that include the words "believes," "expects," "may," "will," "should," "potential," "estimates," "anticipates," "aim," "goal," "targets," "plan," "predict" or other comparable terminology and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements.
More particularly and without limitation, any statements regarding the following are forward-looking statements:
the expected benefits of the OCI Acquisition, including benefits related to expected synergies and commodity diversification,
anticipated synergies and Methanex's ability to achieve such synergies following closing of the OCI Acquisition,
expected demand for methanol, including demand for methanol for energy uses, and its derivatives,
expected new methanol supply or restart of idled capacity and timing for startup of the same,
expected increase in methanol production of assets acquired as part of the OCI Acquisition,
expected shutdowns (either temporary or permanent) or restarts of existing methanol supply (including our own facilities), including, without limitation, the timing and length of planned maintenance outages,
expected methanol and energy prices,
expected levels of methanol purchases from traders or other third parties,
expected levels, timing and availability of economically priced natural gas supply to each of our plants,
capital committed by third parties towards future natural gas exploration and development in the vicinity of our plants,
our expected capital expenditures and anticipated timing and rate of return of such capital expenditures,
anticipated operating rates of and production at our plants,
expected operating costs, including natural gas feedstock costs and logistics costs,
expected tax rates or resolutions to tax disputes,
expected cash flows, cash balances, earnings capability, debt levels, debt reduction and deleveraging plans, and share price,
availability of committed credit facilities and other financing,
our ability to meet covenants associated with our long-term debt obligations,
our shareholder distribution strategy and anticipated distributions to shareholders,
commercial viability and timing of, or our ability to execute future projects, plant restarts, capacity expansions, plant relocations or other business initiatives or opportunities,
our financial strength and ability to meet future financial commitments,
expected global or regional economic activity (including industrial production levels) and gross domestic product growth,
potential impact of tariffs on global economic activity and Methanex,
expected outcomes of litigation or other disputes, claims and assessments, and
expected actions of governments, governmental agencies, gas suppliers, courts, tribunals or other third parties.
We believe that we have a reasonable basis for making such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this document are based on our experience, our perception of trends, current conditions and expected future developments as well as other factors. Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing the conclusions or making the forecasts or projections that are included in these forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, future expectations and assumptions concerning the following:
Methanex's ability to realize the expected strategic, financial and other benefits of the OCI Acquisition in the timeframe anticipated or at all,
the supply of, demand for and price of methanol, methanol derivatives, natural gas, coal, oil and oil derivatives,
the supply of, demand for and price of ammonia,
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 21
our ability to procure natural gas feedstock on commercially acceptable terms,
operating rates of our facilities,
receipt or issuance of third-party consents or approvals or governmental approvals related to rights to purchase natural gas,
the establishment of new fuel standards,
operating costs, including natural gas feedstock and logistics costs, capital costs, tax rates, cash flows, foreign exchange rates and interest rates,
the availability of committed credit facilities and other financing,
our ability to sustain the designed operating rates of the Geismar 3 plant,
global and regional economic activity (including industrial production levels) and gross domestic product growth,
absence of a material negative impact from major natural disasters,
absence of a material negative impact from changes in laws or regulations,
absence of a material negative impact from political instability in the countries in which we operate, and
enforcement of contractual arrangements and ability to perform contractual obligations by customers, natural gas and other suppliers and other third parties.
However, forward-looking statements, by their nature, involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements. The risks and uncertainties primarily include those attendant with producing and marketing methanol and successfully carrying out major capital expenditure projects in various jurisdictions, including, without limitation:
unforeseen difficulties in integrating the business operations or assets purchased pursuant to the OCI Acquisition into our business and operations,
failure to realize the expected strategic, financial and other benefits of the OCI Acquisition in the timeframe anticipated or at all,
unexpected costs or liabilities associated with the OCI Acquisition,
increased indebtedness of Methanex,
conditions in the methanol and other industries, including fluctuations in the supply, demand and price for methanol and its derivatives, including demand for methanol for energy uses,
the price of natural gas, coal, oil and oil derivatives,
our ability to obtain natural gas feedstock on commercially acceptable terms to underpin current operations and future production growth opportunities,
the ability to carry out corporate initiatives and strategies,
actions of competitors, suppliers and financial institutions,
conditions within the natural gas delivery systems that may prevent delivery of our natural gas supply requirements,
competing demand for natural gas, especially with respect to any domestic needs for gas and electricity,
actions of governments and governmental authorities, including, without limitation, implementation of policies or other measures that could impact the supply of or demand for methanol or its derivatives,
changes in laws or regulations,
import or export restrictions, anti-dumping measures, increases in duties, taxes and government royalties and other actions by governments that may adversely affect our operations or existing contractual arrangements,
world-wide economic conditions, and
other risks described in our 2025 Annual Management’s Discussion and Analysis and this First Quarter 2026 Management’s Discussion and Analysis.
Having in mind these and other factors, investors and other readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. They are not a substitute for the exercise of one’s own due diligence and judgment. The outcomes implied by forward-looking statements may not occur and we do not undertake to update forward-looking statements except as required by applicable securities laws.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 22
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