Ameresco, Inc.

Outlook

“We entered 2026 with positive business momentum and a more favorable operating environment than we faced at this time last year. With our diversified Project and Energy Asset offerings covering a comprehensive portfolio of building efficiency and infrastructure solutions, we believe Ameresco has the capabilities to consistently meet our global customers’ needs to increase their energy supplies, reduce their energy costs, and provide greater energy resiliency. This positioning underpins our confidence in Ameresco’s growth prospects in 2026 and beyond,” concluded CEO George Sakellaris.

The company is guiding revenue of $2.1 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $283 million at the midpoints of our ranges, representing growth of 9% and 19%, respectively. We anticipate placing approximately 100-120 MWe of energy assets in service, including 2 RNG plants. Our expected capex is $300 million to $350 million, the majority of which we expect to fund with additional energy asset debt, tax equity or tax credit sales.

The cadence of the year should follow our historical seasonal pattern, with a heavier weighting toward the second half. We expect revenues in the second half of the year to represent approximately 60% of our total revenue for 2026. This is consistent with our performance from the past couple of years.

Our first quarter is typically our seasonally lowest revenue quarter and has been further impacted by severe weather conditions. Therefore, we expect our first quarter revenue and Adjusted EBITDA to track similar to Q1 of last year. With the expected continued growth of our energy asset portfolio, depreciation and interest expenses are expected to continue to increase as those assets come into service. Given the linear nature of those costs, we expect first quarter EPS to be negative by approximately $0.30.

The Company’s Adjusted EBITDA and Non-GAAP EPS guidance excludes the potential impact of redeemable non-controlling interest activity, one-time charges, energy asset and goodwill impairment charges, changes in contingent consideration, restructuring activities, as well as any related tax impact.