NMI Holdings Inc
For the period ended Dec 31, 2024. Filed Feb 14, 2025.
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A company's yearly report to the SEC, with audited financial statements. It is the fullest account a company gives of its business, its finances and the risks it sees.
FY2024 · Filed Feb 14, 2025
What changed in Risk Factors?
Read the current filingPrevious report: 10-K
Period ended 2023-12-31; filed 2024-02-15.
0001547903-24-000035
Item 1A. Risk FactorsRisk Related to Our Business OperationsRisk Related to Regulation of the Mortgage Insurance IndustryRisks Related to Our Holding Company and Capital StructureGeneral Risks Related to Ownership of Our Common StockCurrent report: 10-K
Period ended 2024-12-31; filed 2025-02-14.
0001547903-25-000026
Item 1A. Risk FactorsRisk Related to Our Business OperationsRisk Related to Regulation of the Mortgage Insurance IndustryRisks Related to Our Holding Company and Capital StructureGeneral Risks Related to Ownership of Our Common StockThe baseline is this issuer’s latest earlier reporting period of the same form that was filed before the current report. A previous 10-Q is a different quarter, not a year-over-year comparison. Amendments are excluded.
Compared 268 previous paragraphs and 263 current paragraphs.
231 unchanged; 32 reworded; 0 added; 4 removed; 1 previous and 0 current paragraphs rearranged.
Tables are not compared: 0 previous and 0 current tables excluded. Dates, whitespace, punctuation and numbering changes are ignored; changes to financial figures remain significant.
A changed paragraph is not evidence that risk increased or decreased. An unchanged paragraph does not establish that risk stayed the same.
Removed paragraphs (4)
Previous report
•The COVID-19 virus may continue to impact our financial results and may also continue to affect our business, liquidity and financial condition.
Previous report
•COVID-19 and any related imposed containment measures.
Previous report
The COVID-19 virus may continue to impact our financial results and may also continue to affect our business, liquidity and financial condition.
Previous report
The COVID-19 virus has had and may continue to have negative impacts on the economy and on the financial, equity and credit markets, both globally and within the U.S. The rise of new variants (including those with greater transmissibility and/or mortality rates), may continue to pose a global risk and affect communities across the U.S. During the pandemic, there were a number of governmental and GSE efforts to implement programs designed to assist individuals and businesses impacted by the COVID-19 virus, among them the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CARES Act). These programs provided financial assistance for businesses and individuals, and targeted regulatory relief for financial institutions. Among other things, the CARES Act previously suspended foreclosures and evictions. The GSEs, the primary purchasers of mortgages we insure, also adopted certain measures during the pandemic to assist borrowers impacted by COVID-19, including providing a forbearance plan to certain borrowers. Since the COVID-related forbearance programs have since ended, there can be no assurance that borrowers will be able to remain current on their mortgages, and a significant percentage could remain in default and result in mortgage insurance claims. The extent to which the COVID-19 virus and future variants may materially impact our future financial results, business, liquidity and/or financial condition is uncertain and cannot be predicted.
Reworded paragraphs (32)
Previous wording
•Future issuance of debt or preferred stock, which would rank senior to our Class A common stock upon our liquidation, may adversely affect the market value of our common stock.
Current wording
•Future issuance of debt or preferred stock, which would rank senior to our common stock upon our liquidation, may adversely affect the market value of our common stock.
Previous wording
The MI industry is highly competitive. With six private MI companies actively competing for business from the same residential mortgage originators, it is important that we continue to differentiate ourselves from the other mortgage insurers, each of which sells substantially similar products to ours. One or more of our competitors may seek to capture increased market share from the government MIs or from other private mortgage insurers. They may do that by reducing prices, offering alternative coverage and product options, including offerings for loans not intended to be sold to the GSEs, loosening their underwriting guidelines or relaxing risk management policies. Such behavior could, in turn, improve their competitive positions in the industry and negatively impact our ability to achieve our business goals. Competition within the private mortgage insurance industry could result in our loss of customers, lower premiums, riskier credit guidelines and other changes that could lower our revenues or increase our expenses. If our IT systems are inferior to our competitors', existing and potential customers may choose our competitors' products over ours. If we are unable to compete effectively against our competitors and attract and retain customers, our revenue may be adversely impacted, which could adversely impact our growth and profitability.
Current wording
The MI industry is highly competitive. With six private MI companies actively competing for business from the same residential mortgage originators, it is important that we continue to differentiate ourselves from the other mortgage insurers, each of which sells substantially similar products to ours. We may experience increased competition due to consolidation among our existing competitors or the emergence of new private MI companies. One or more of our competitors may seek to capture increased market share from the government MIs or from other private mortgage insurers. They may do that by reducing prices, offering alternative coverage and product options, including offerings for loans not intended to be sold to the GSEs, loosening their underwriting guidelines or relaxing risk management policies. Such behavior could, in turn, improve their competitive positions in the industry and negatively impact our ability to achieve our business goals. Competition within the private mortgage insurance industry could result in our loss of customers, lower premiums, riskier credit guidelines and other changes that could lower our revenues or increase our expenses. If our IT systems are inferior to our competitors', existing and potential customers may choose our competitors' products over ours. If we are unable to compete effectively against our competitors and attract and retain customers, our revenue may be adversely impacted, which could adversely impact our growth and profitability.
Previous wording
Certain of our competitors are subsidiaries of larger and more diversified corporations that may have access to greater amounts of capital and financial resources, or a lower cost of capital than we do. Some may have better financial strength ratings than we have. As a result, they may be better positioned to compete in and outside of the traditional MI market, including when the GSEs pursue alternative forms of credit enhancement or credit risk transfer other than private MI, such as their IMAGIN and EPMI programs that were suspended in 2021, but could be relaunched in the same or alternative form in the future.
Current wording
Certain of our competitors are subsidiaries of larger and more diversified corporations that may have access to greater amounts of capital and financial resources, or a lower cost of capital than we do. Some may have better financial strength ratings than we have. As a result, they may be better positioned to compete in and outside of the traditional MI market, including when the GSEs pursue alternative forms of credit enhancement or credit risk transfer other than private MI.
Previous wording
Further, at the direction of the FHFA, the GSEs have expanded their credit and mortgage risk transfer programs. These programs have included the use of structured finance vehicles, obtaining insurance from non-mortgage insurers, including off-shore reinsurance, engaging in credit-linked note transactions in the capital markets, or using other forms of debt issuances or securitizations that transfer credit risk directly to other investors. The growing success of these programs and the perception that some of these risk-sharing structures have beneficial features in comparison to private MI (e.g., lower costs, reduced counter-party risk due to collateral requirements or more diversified insurance exposures) may create increased competition for private MI on loans traditionally sold to the GSEs with private MI.
Current wording
Further, at the direction of the FHFA, the GSEs have expanded their credit and mortgage risk transfer programs. These programs have included the use of structured finance vehicles, obtaining insurance from non-mortgage insurers, including off-shore reinsurance, engaging in credit-linked note transactions in the capital markets, or using other forms of debt issuances or securitizations that transfer credit risk directly to other investors. If any of these programs successfully grow in comparison to private MI, it may create increased competition for private MI on loans traditionally sold to the GSEs with private MI.
Previous wording
•deductibility of mortgage interest or other changes in tax policy, including the TCJA of 2017, which may have an effect on the residential housing market;
Current wording
•deductibility of mortgage interest or other changes in tax policy, which may have an effect on the residential housing market;
Previous wording
•GSEs' demand to participate in the high-LTV or first-time homebuyer origination market;
Current wording
•GSEs' demand to participate in the high-LTV or first-time homebuyer origination market; and
Previous wording
•the extent to which the GSEs' guaranty and other fees, credit underwriting guidelines and other business terms affect lenders' willingness to extend credit for high-LTV mortgages; and
Current wording
•the extent to which the GSEs' guaranty and other fees, credit underwriting guidelines and other business terms affect lenders' willingness to extend credit for high-LTV mortgages.
Previous wording
The frequency and severity of claims we incur is uncertain and depends largely on general economic conditions, including unemployment rate, interest rates, inflation and the effect of the Federal Reserve's action to control inflation (which could lead to potential economic downturn), and trends in home prices. These risks may also be impacted by developments relating to the COVID-19 virus in the future. To the extent that certain risks are unforeseen, or if we have underestimated the frequency and/or severity of loss of certain risks, our underwriting and credit risk management policies and practices may not be sufficient to mitigate the effects of these risks. If these policies and practices do not correctly anticipate risk or the potential for loss, we may underwrite business for which we have not charged premium commensurate with the risk, which could result in material adverse effects on our business, financial condition and operating results.
Current wording
The frequency and severity of claims we incur is uncertain and depends largely on general economic conditions, including unemployment rate, interest rates, inflation and the effect of the Federal Reserve's action to control inflation (which could lead to potential economic downturn), and trends in home prices. To the extent that certain risks are unforeseen, or if we have underestimated the frequency and/or severity of loss of certain risks, our underwriting and credit risk management policies and practices may not be sufficient to mitigate the effects of these risks. If these policies and practices do not correctly anticipate risk or the potential for loss, we may underwrite business for which we have not charged premium commensurate with the risk, which could result in material adverse effects on our business, financial condition and operating results.
Previous wording
Our losses result from events that reduce a borrower's ability or willingness to continue to make mortgage payments. These events include borrower-specific factors, such as job loss, illness, death, divorce, and existing federal supported forbearance programs. These events also include macroeconomic factors, such as rising unemployment, market deterioration, rising interest rates and home price depreciation. Borrowers with high-LTV mortgages often have more difficulty (compared to borrowers with lower LTV mortgages) weathering personal financial hardships caused by unforeseen events, because they may not have sufficient personal savings or available credit to structure viable workout solutions. Rising unemployment rates and deterioration in economic conditions for extended periods of time, across the U.S. or in specific regional economies (such as the wave of layoffs in the technology sector in the recent past), generally increases the likelihood of borrower defaults.
Current wording
Our losses result from events that reduce a borrower's ability or willingness to continue to make mortgage payments. These events include borrower-specific factors, such as job loss, illness, death, divorce, and existing federal supported forbearance programs. These events also include macroeconomic factors, such as rising unemployment, market deterioration, rising interest rates and home price depreciation. Borrowers with high-LTV mortgages often have more difficulty (compared to borrowers with lower LTV mortgages) weathering personal financial hardships caused by unforeseen events, because they may not have sufficient personal savings or available credit to structure viable workout solutions. Rising unemployment rates and deterioration in economic conditions for extended periods of time, across the U.S. or in specific regional economies, generally increases the likelihood of borrower defaults.
Previous wording
A lower level of persistency could reduce our future revenues from our monthly-paid premium products, which constituted about 90% of our primary IIF at year-end 2023. Higher than expected persistency rates could negatively impact our future profitability on monthly premium policies if market and economic conditions change significantly from those we expected when we established the premium rates. In addition, a higher than expected persistency rate will decrease the profitability from single premium policies if they remain in force longer than was estimated when the policies were written.
Current wording
A lower level of persistency could reduce our future revenues from our monthly-paid premium products, which constituted about 91% of our primary IIF at year-end 2024. Higher than expected persistency rates could negatively impact our future profitability on monthly premium policies if market and economic conditions change significantly from those we expected when we established the premium rates. In addition, a higher than expected persistency rate will decrease the profitability from single premium policies if they remain in force longer than was estimated when the policies were written.
Previous wording
Mortgage interest rates tend to follow the 10-year Treasury yield, which rises and falls based on expectations for the benchmark rate set by the Federal Reserve. In the years leading up to 2022, mortgage interest rates had been at historical lows, primarily as a result of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve which kept the federal funds rate at historical lows. Starting in 2022, in an attempt to curb rising inflation, the Federal Reserve repeatedly and rapidly increased the federal funds rate which, in
Current wording
Mortgage interest rates tend to follow the 10-year Treasury yield, which rises and falls based on several factors, including but not limited to expectations for the benchmark rate set by the Federal Reserve, inflation trends, economic conditions and investor sentiment. In the years leading up to 2022, mortgage interest rates had been at historical lows, primarily as a result of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve which kept the federal funds rate at historical lows. Starting in 2022, in an attempt to curb rising inflation, the Federal Reserve repeatedly and rapidly increased the federal funds rate which, in July 2023, hit its highest levels in 22 years, and led to rising interest rates and mortgage interest rates in 2022 and 2023. As a result of the higher mortgage interest rates in 2022 and 2023, we observed lower refinancing activities in the mortgage market compared to what we had observed in recent years prior to 2022, and therefore decreased turnover in our IIF. Despite the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in 2024, the 10-year Treasury yield and 30-year fixed rate mortgage interest rates remained elevated.
Previous wording
However, if in the future inflation lowers and the Federal Reserve subsequently loosens its monetary policy, mortgage interest rates would likely decline. As in the years leading up to 2022, if we experience a lower interest rate environment in the future, we expect that to drive higher levels of refinancing in the mortgage market, including with respect to loans we insure which may have interest rates (i.e., such as those written in 2022 and 2023 in a higher interest rate environment) that are higher than the future prevailing rates. A lower interest environment could subsequently lead to an increased turnover in our IIF, which could negatively impact our future revenues. We are unsure, however, what the ultimate impact on our revenues will be as insured mortgages are refinanced, because the number of policies we write for replacement mortgages may be more or less than the terminated policies associated with the refinanced mortgages and could be written at lower premium rates. In addition, the GSEs and other mortgage investors who hold the mortgages on which we write mortgage insurance largely control the decision on whether to maintain mortgage insurance. If the GSEs and other mortgage investors change their view on the timing of cancellation of mortgage insurance due to house price appreciation, policy goals, other risk appetite decisions or otherwise, we could experience increased and unexpected turnover in our IIF, which could negatively impact our future revenues.
Current wording
However, if mortgage interest rates decline in the future, we expect any such decline to drive higher levels of refinancing in the mortgage market, including with respect to loans we insure which may have interest rates that are higher than the future prevailing rates. A lower interest environment could subsequently lead to an increased turnover in our IIF, which could negatively impact our future revenues. We are unsure, however, what the ultimate impact on our revenues will be as insured mortgages are refinanced, because the number of policies we write for replacement mortgages may be more or less than the terminated policies associated with the refinanced mortgages and could be written at lower premium rates. In addition, the GSEs and other mortgage investors who hold the mortgages on which we write mortgage insurance largely control the decision on whether to maintain mortgage insurance. If the GSEs and other mortgage investors change their view on the timing of cancellation of mortgage insurance due to house price appreciation, policy goals, other risk appetite decisions or otherwise, we could experience increased and unexpected turnover in our IIF, which could negatively impact our future revenues.
Previous wording
Since 2021, inflation has increased dramatically. Rising inflation may negatively impact our expense base by increasing the costs (including for services) we have to pay contractors, employees, service providers and vendors. Higher inflation also puts a strain on consumer spending. As general costs for goods and services increase for consumers, their housing and mortgage affordability decrease. Inflation's adverse impact on housing and mortgage affordability may therefore lower overall housing demand, result in lower NIW volume and negatively impact our business, future revenue and financial condition.
Current wording
Periods of rising inflation may negatively impact our expense base by increasing the costs (including for services) we have to pay contractors, employees, service providers and vendors. Higher inflation also puts a strain on consumer spending. As general costs for goods and services increase for consumers, their housing and mortgage affordability decrease. Inflation's adverse impact on housing and mortgage affordability may therefore lower overall housing demand, result in lower NIW volume and negatively impact our business, future revenue and financial condition.
Previous wording
In an attempt to curb rising inflation, the Federal Reserve repeatedly and rapidly increased the federal funds rate in 2022 and 2023 which led to rising interest rates and mortgage interest rates, before announcing a pause in September 2023. Higher interest rates and mortgage rates may have an adverse impact on the refinancing origination market and purchase origination market. Higher rates have an adverse impact on the refinancing origination market because higher mortgage interest rates lower the opportunity to refinance an existing loan at a lower mortgage interest rate. Higher rates also have an adverse impact on the purchase origination market because higher mortgage interest rates lower housing and mortgage affordability, and thus consumers' demand for homes. Affordability issues and increases in mortgage rates may also put downward pressure on home prices as buyers' demand for homes decreases. Falling housing demand may result in fewer mortgage originations and a lower price per transaction, reducing the overall size of the MI market. Falling home prices may also result in an increase in our default losses as borrowers' equity in their homes declines and thus decreases our future revenues and returns.
Current wording
To curb rising inflation, the Federal Reserve increased the federal funds rate in 2022 and 2023, which elevated interest rates and mortgage interest rates, before announcing a pause in September 2023. Despite the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in 2024, the 10-year Treasury yield and 30-year fixed rate mortgage interest rates remained elevated. Higher interest rates and mortgage rates may have an adverse impact on the refinancing origination market and purchase origination market. Higher rates have an adverse impact on the refinancing origination market because higher mortgage interest rates lower the opportunity to refinance an existing loan at a lower mortgage interest rate. Higher rates also have an adverse impact on the purchase origination market because higher mortgage interest rates lower housing and mortgage affordability, and thus consumers' demand for homes. Affordability issues and increases in mortgage rates may also put downward pressure on home prices as buyers' demand for homes decreases. Falling housing demand may result in fewer mortgage originations and a lower price per transaction, reducing the overall size of the MI market. Falling home prices may also result in an increase in our default losses as borrowers' equity in their homes declines and thus decreases our future revenues and returns.
Previous wording
In addition, if the Federal Reserve decides to resume its interest rate hikes in the future, there can be no guarantee it will raise rates at a gradual pace, nor can there be any assurance that markets will not adversely react to rate increases and that the rate hikes would not trigger an economic downturn. Downturns in the domestic economy may result in more homeowners defaulting and our losses increasing, with a corresponding decrease in our returns. Therefore, the ultimate impact that higher inflation rates will have on the mortgage origination and mortgage insurance markets, and our loan delinquencies, is unknown, and changes in inflation, interest rates and mortgage interest rates may have an adverse impact on our business, future revenue and financial condition.
Current wording
There can be no guarantee or assurance that markets will not adversely react to future interest rate decisions at the Federal Reserve or that such interest rate decisions will not trigger an economic downturn. Downturns in the domestic economy may result in more homeowners defaulting and our losses increasing, with a corresponding decrease in our returns. Therefore, the ultimate impact that higher inflation rates and the Federal Reserve's reaction thereto will have on the mortgage origination and mortgage insurance markets, and our loan delinquencies, is unknown, and changes in inflation, interest rates and mortgage interest rates may have an adverse impact on our business, future revenue and financial condition.
Previous wording
The actual claims we incur as our portfolio matures are difficult to predict and depend on the specific characteristics of our current in-force book (including the credit score and DTI ratio of the borrower, the LTV ratio of the mortgage and geographic concentrations, among others), as well as the risk profile of new business we write in the future. In addition, our claims experience is affected by macroeconomic factors such as housing prices, inflation, interest rates, mortgage rates, unemployment rates and other events, such as natural disasters or global pandemics, and any federal, state or local governmental response thereto. See Part II, Item 7, "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Insurance Claims and Claim Expenses." Incurred losses and claims may exceed our expectations in the event of general economic weakness or decreases in housing values. An increase in the number or size of claims, compared to what we anticipate, could adversely affect our operating results and financial condition.
Current wording
The actual claims we incur as our portfolio matures are difficult to predict and depend on the specific characteristics of our current in-force book (including the credit score and DTI ratio of the borrower, the LTV ratio of the mortgage and geographic concentrations, among others), as well as the risk profile of new business we write in the future. In addition, our claims experience is affected by macroeconomic factors such as housing prices, inflation, interest rates, mortgage rates, unemployment rates and other events, such as natural disasters, including earthquakes, wildfires, hurricanes, floods and tornadoes or pandemics, and any federal, state or local governmental response thereto. See Part II, Item 7, "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Insurance Claims and Claim Expenses." Incurred losses and claims may exceed our expectations in the event of general economic weakness or decreases in housing values. Even if our default rate remains the same, the total number of claims that we incur will increase as our portfolio continues to grow. An increase in the number or size of claims, compared to what we anticipate, could adversely affect our operating results and financial condition.
Previous wording
We insure mortgages for homes in areas that have been impacted by natural disasters, including from hurricanes and wildfires. Following such natural disasters, we and other MIs typically experience an increase in defaults on insured mortgages secured by homes in the impacted areas that negatively impact our incurred losses. Our ultimate claims exposure when we experience these events depends on the number of loans in default, proximate cause of each default and cure rate of the default population. Cure rates on loan defaults following natural disasters are influenced by the adequacy of homeowners and other hazard insurance carried on a related property, GSE-sponsored forbearance and other assistance programs, and a borrower's access to aid from government entities and private organizations, in addition to other factors which generally impact cure rates in unaffected areas. We have observed that loans in default in disaster zones typically cure at a higher rate than non-disaster related loans in default. As such, we historically have established lower reserves for these type of defaults than we otherwise do for similarly situated loans in default in non-disaster zones. Due to the inherent uncertainty and significant judgment involved in our assumptions, our loss estimates may turn out to be materially inaccurate, and we can provide no assurance that actual claims paid by us, if any, on defaulted loans in disaster zones will not be substantially different than the reserves we establish for such claims.
Current wording
We insure mortgages for homes in areas that have been impacted by natural disasters, including from earthquakes, wildfires, hurricanes, floods and tornadoes. Following such natural disasters, we and other MIs typically experience an increase in defaults on insured mortgages secured by homes in the impacted areas that negatively impact our incurred losses. Our ultimate claims exposure when we experience these events depends on the number of loans in default, proximate cause of each default and cure rate of the default population. Cure rates on loan defaults following natural disasters are influenced by the adequacy of homeowners and other hazard insurance carried on a related property, GSE-sponsored forbearance and other assistance programs, and a borrower's access to aid from government entities and private organizations, in addition to other factors which generally impact cure rates in unaffected areas. We have observed that loans in default in disaster zones typically cure at a higher rate than non-disaster related loans in default. As such, we historically have established lower reserves for these type of defaults than we otherwise do for similarly situated loans in default in non-disaster zones. Due to the inherent uncertainty and significant judgment involved in our assumptions, our loss estimates may turn out to be materially inaccurate, and we can provide no assurance that actual claims paid by us, if any, on defaulted loans in disaster zones will not be substantially different than the reserves we establish for such claims.
Previous wording
Since 2020, the FHFA has been increasingly vocal about climate and natural disasters and their impact on the GSEs and the Federal Home Loan Banks (together, the regulated entities) and the national housing market, and has designated climate change as a priority concern and instructed the GSEs to actively consider its effects in their decision making. In January 2021, the FHFA issued a Request for Input (RFI) regarding Climate and Natural Disaster Risk Management on the regulated entities and hosted a public listening session. The RFI asked for information on data, FHFA’s supervisory and regulatory responsibilities, financial disclosures, affordability, and fairness and equity. In December 2021, the FHFA's current director (and then acting director) Sandra Thompson issued a statement that instructed FHFA's regulated entities to designate climate change as a priority concern and actively consider its effects in their decision making. To that end, the FHFA announced a new Conservatorship Scorecard which would hold the GSEs accountable for ensuring resiliency to climate risks, and also enhanced its monitoring and supervision of climate change issues. The FHFA has also established eight agency-wide internal working groups and a steering committee to assess the progress of the regulated entities in managing climate risk. The goals of the working groups and steering committee are to better understand the impact of climate risk on the housing and mortgage markets. It is possible that efforts to manage climate risk by the FHFA, GSEs (including through GSE guideline or mortgage insurance policy changes) or others could materially impact the volume and characteristics of our NIW (including its policy terms), home prices in certain areas and defaults by borrowers in certain areas, as well as increase the costs to us of providing mortgage insurance in certain areas, and therefore may impact our business and operations.
Current wording
Since 2020, the FHFA has been increasingly vocal about climate and natural disasters and their impact on the GSEs and the Federal Home Loan Banks (together, the regulated entities) and the national housing market, and has designated climate change as a priority concern and instructed the GSEs to actively consider its effects in their decision making. To that end, the FHFA established a new Conservatorship Scorecard which would hold the GSEs accountable for ensuring resiliency to climate and disaster risks, and also enhanced its monitoring and supervision of climate change issues. In 2024, FHFA issued two Advisory Bulletins on climate-related risk management that established a GSE risk management framework to include: (1) governance; (2) risk identification and assessment, controls, and monitoring processes; (3) metrics and data; (4) scenario analysis; and (5) risk reporting and communication processes. The GSEs have also updated their disaster playbooks, implemented Green Bond products, and partnered with FHFA to develop additional tools and analysis. It is possible that efforts to manage climate risk by the FHFA, GSEs (including through GSE guideline or mortgage insurance policy changes) or others could materially impact the volume and characteristics of our NIW (including its policy terms), home prices in certain areas and defaults by borrowers in certain areas, as well as increase the costs to us of providing mortgage insurance in certain areas, and therefore may impact our business and operations.
Previous wording
Our mortgage insurance business has been quickly growing since 2013. Our future operating results depend to a large extent on our ability to successfully manage the continued growth of our business and the demands such growth places on our operations personnel and senior management team. The unexpected loss of key management and other personnel, or the inability to recruit, develop and retain qualified management talent in the future, could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition or operating results. If we are unable to manage future expansion in our operations, we may experience compliance and operational problems, be required to slow the pace of growth, or have to incur additional expenditures beyond current projections to support such growth, any one of which could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition or operating results.
Current wording
Our mortgage insurance business has been growing quickly. Our future operating results depend to a large extent on our ability to successfully manage the continued growth of our business and the demands such growth places on our operations personnel and senior management team. The unexpected loss of key management and other personnel, or the inability to recruit, develop and retain qualified management talent in the future, could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition or operating results. If we are unable to manage future expansion in our operations, we may experience compliance and operational problems, be required to slow the pace of growth, or have to incur additional expenditures beyond current projections to support such growth, any one of which could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition or operating results.
Previous wording
We have adopted information security procedures and controls to safeguard our systems and the information that we process, transmit and store, including multi-factor authentication and a new biometrics solution to authenticate employee login. Despite these efforts, we may not be able to anticipate or implement effective preventive measures against all cyber threats, or detect and contain a breach in a timely manner, including because employees or contractors may not follow the controls we have implemented, the invasive techniques used change frequently or are not recognized until launched, and because security attacks can originate from a wide variety of sources and methods. Our remote or hybrid working arrangements may exacerbate these risks. Our employees, contractors, customers or other users of our systems are from time-to-time subject to fraudulent inducements by parties attempting to gain access to our data or that of our customers. Although we seek to have appropriate information security policies and systems in place, there is no assurance that our information security policies and systems in place can prevent unauthorized use or disclosure of confidential information, including nonpublic personal information. Any compromise of the security of our IT systems may result in loss of personally identifiable information, financial losses, loss of customers and the inability to transact business; could be costly and time-consuming to address and resolve; could expose us to liability for further compromise, damages, harm our reputation; and may subject us to regulatory scrutiny and/or expose us to civil litigation or regulatory action. If any of these were to occur, our business, financial condition and operating results could be materially adversely affected. Further, the technology errors and omissions, and insurance coverage we maintain may be unavailable or inadequate to fully cover claims and/or costs associated with incidents that may occur in the future.
Current wording
We have adopted information security procedures and controls to safeguard our systems and the information that we process, transmit and store, including multi-factor authentication and a new biometrics solution to authenticate employee login. Despite these efforts, we may not be able to anticipate or implement effective preventive measures against all cyber threats, or detect and contain a breach in a timely manner, including because employees or contractors may not follow the controls we have implemented, the invasive techniques used change frequently or are not recognized until launched, and because security attacks can originate from a wide variety of sources and methods. Further, the sophistication, availability and use of artificial intelligence by threat actors may present an increased level of risk. Our remote or hybrid working arrangements may exacerbate these risks. Our employees, contractors, customers or other users of our systems are from time-to-time subject to fraudulent inducements by parties attempting to gain access to our data or that of our customers. Although we seek to have appropriate information security policies and systems in place, there is no assurance that our information security policies and systems in place can prevent unauthorized use or disclosure of confidential information, including nonpublic personal information. Any compromise of the security of our IT systems may result in loss of personally identifiable information, financial losses, loss of customers and the inability to transact business; could be costly and time-consuming to address and resolve; could expose us to liability for further compromise, damages, harm our reputation; and may subject us to regulatory scrutiny and/or expose us to civil litigation or regulatory action. If any of these were to occur, our business, financial condition and operating results could be materially adversely affected. Further, the technology errors and omissions, and insurance coverage we maintain may be unavailable or inadequate to fully cover claims and/or costs associated with incidents that may occur in the future.
Previous wording
With the GSEs in a prolonged conservatorship, there has been ongoing debate over the future role and purpose of the GSEs in the U.S. housing market. The U.S. Congress may legislate, or the administration may implement through administrative reform, structural and other changes to the GSEs and the functioning of the secondary mortgage market. Since 2011, there have been numerous legislative proposals intended to incrementally scale back the GSEs (such as a statutory mandate for the GSEs to transfer mortgage credit risk to the private sector) or to completely reform the housing finance system. Congress, however, has not enacted any legislation to date. The proposals vary with regard to the government's role in the housing market and, more specifically, with regard to the existence of an explicit or implicit government guarantee. Recently, there has been increased focus on and discussion of administrative reform independent of legislative action. The former director of FHFA leadership was more focused on preparing the GSEs to exit from conservatorship by increasing the GSEs’ overall capital levels and reducing their credit risk profile. In December 2020, the FHFA published a final rule (2020 ERCF rule) establishing a new enterprise regulatory capital framework (ERCF) for the GSEs, which included provisions governing the capital relief allowed to the GSEs for loans with private MI. The 2020 ERCF rule established that loans with private MI, as opposed to loans without private MI, provide more favorable capital relief to the GSEs.
Current wording
With the GSEs in a prolonged conservatorship, there has been ongoing debate over the future role and purpose of the GSEs in the U.S. housing market. The U.S. Congress may legislate, or the administration may implement through administrative reform, structural and other changes to the GSEs and the functioning of the secondary mortgage market. Since 2011, there have been numerous legislative proposals intended to incrementally scale back the GSEs (such as a statutory mandate for the GSEs to transfer mortgage credit risk to the private sector) or to completely reform the housing finance system. Congress, however, has not enacted any legislation to date. The proposals vary with regard to the government's role in the housing market and, more specifically, with regard to the existence of an explicit or implicit government guarantee. Recently, there has been increased focus on and discussion of administrative reform independent of legislative action. The former director of FHFA leadership under the first Trump administration was more focused on preparing the GSEs to exit from conservatorship by increasing the GSEs’ overall capital levels and reducing their credit risk profile. In December 2020, the FHFA published a final rule (2020 ERCF rule) establishing a new enterprise regulatory capital framework (ERCF) for the GSEs, which included provisions governing the capital relief allowed to the GSEs for loans with private MI. The 2020 ERCF rule established that loans with private MI, as opposed to loans without private MI, provide more favorable capital relief to the GSEs. Additionally, while in conservatorship, each GSE has been subject to the terms of senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements (PSPAs) establishing Treasury's ownership of senior preferred stock and warrants in the GSEs. The PSPAs, as amended by the Treasury Department in collaboration with the FHFA, also establish Treasury's right to consent to any GSE release from conservatorship, among other rights.
Previous wording
Leadership at the FHFA changes from time-to-time. Given that the Director of the FHFA is removable by the President at will, the agency's agenda, policies and actions likely will be significantly influenced by the then current administration. Accordingly, it is difficult to predict whether or how the FHFA might seek to implement GSE oversight beyond the current administration's term. In 2021, President Biden removed the former director of FHFA and appointed a new director to lead the FHFA. Unlike the prior Director's focus to exit the GSEs from conservatorship, Director Thompson's actions are more focused on balancing the dual mandate of the GSEs, including safety and soundness of the housing finance system and on increasing the accessibility and affordability of mortgage credit, especially to low-and-moderate income borrowers and underserved communities. Between Director Thompson and the Treasury Department, they possess significant capacity to effect administrative GSE reforms. In September 2021, the FHFA under Director Thompson, together with the Treasury Department, proposed amendments to the 2020 ERCF rule. On March 16, 2022, the FHFA adopted the final rule (effective May 16, 2022) (2022 ERCF amendment) that amended the ERCF by refining the prescribed leverage buffer amount and the CRT securitization framework for the GSEs, which reduced the amount of capital the GSEs are required to hold, including by increasing the capital credit the GSEs receive for the credit risk that they distribute. While the 2022 ERCF amendment made positive modifications to the ERCF, the total capital required to be held by the GSEs upon implementation of the final rule remains significant. An increase in the capital required to be held by us under PMIERs could make our products more expensive and could have a material adverse impact on our financial condition and future business prospects.
Current wording
Leadership at the FHFA changes from time-to-time. Given that the Director of the FHFA is removable by the President at will, the agency's agenda, policies and actions likely will be significantly influenced by the then current administration. Accordingly, it is difficult to predict whether or how the FHFA might seek to implement GSE oversight beyond the current administration's term. Between the Director of the FHFA and the Treasury Department, they possess significant capacity to effect administrative GSE reforms. Subsequent to the adoption of the 2020 ERCF rule and the PSPAs, the Director of the FHFA, together with the Treasury Department, have adopted amendments to both the 2020 ERCF and the PSPAs to help facilitate the ultimate release of the GSEs from conservatorship and additional changes could be adopted. Further changes to the ERCF, the PSPAs, or the business practices of the GSEs, including any that increase the capital required to be held by us under PMIERs, could make our products less desirable or more expensive and could have a material adverse impact on our financial condition and future business prospects.
Previous wording
In recent years, the FHFA has set goals for the GSEs to transfer significant portions of the GSEs' mortgage credit risk to the private sector. Several credit risk transfer products had been created to transfer mortgage credit risk to the private sector, including the now suspended IMAGIN and EPMI and others discussed above in "Our NIW volumes could be adversely affected if lenders and investors select alternatives to private MI." To the extent these and any other current or potential credit risk products that may evolve in a manner that displace primary MI coverage, the amount of insurance we write may be reduced. It is difficult to predict the impact of any other current or potential alternative credit risk transfer products, if any, that are developed to meet the goals established by the FHFA.
Current wording
In recent years, the FHFA has set goals for the GSEs to transfer significant portions of the GSEs' mortgage credit risk to the private sector. To the extent any other current or potential credit risk products that may evolve in a manner that displace primary MI coverage, the amount of insurance we write may be reduced. It is difficult to predict the impact of any other current or potential alternative credit risk transfer products, if any, that are developed to meet the goals established by the FHFA.
Previous wording
On September 9, 2022, the U.S. banking regulators announced their intent to revise U.S. regulatory capital requirements to align them with Basel IV. On July 27, 2023, the U.S. banking regulators jointly issued a proposed rule that would revise large bank capital requirements. On September 18, 2023, the U.S. banking regulators announced this proposed rule would increase risk-based capital requirements for banks with total assets of $100 billion or more. This proposal increases the risk weights for LTVs that are above 80% and eliminates the current capital relief credit that is given to these loans if they are covered by mortgage insurance. Accordingly, as proposed, the revised standards would mean mortgage insurance would not lower the LTV ratio of residential loans for capital purposes for these large banks, and therefore may decrease their demand for mortgage insurance. These large banks may also retreat from high LTV lending if the proposal, as drafted, is passed. However, we do not have clarity on when we can expect the final proposal or how much time will be provided for banking organizations to implement the final rule once it has been issued. Further, it is possible (but not mandated by Basel IV) that the U.S. banking regulators and the GSEs might likewise discontinue taking mortgage insurance into account when determining a mortgage’s LTV ratio for prudential (non-capital) purposes. We believe the existing U.S. implementation of the Basel IV capital framework supports continued use of private MI by portfolio lenders as a risk and capital management tool; however, with the ongoing implementation of Basel IV and the continued evolution of the Basel framework, it is difficult to predict the extent of the impact, if any, on the MI industry and the ultimate form of any potential future modifications to the regulations by federal banking regulators. If the Basel Committee revises the Basel IV framework to reduce or eliminate the capital benefit banks receive from insuring low down payment loans with private MI, our current and future business may be adversely affected.
Current wording
On September 9, 2022, the U.S. banking regulators announced their intent to revise U.S. regulatory capital requirements to align them with Basel IV. On July 27, 2023, the U.S. banking regulators jointly issued a proposed rule that would revise large bank capital requirements. On September 18, 2023, the U.S. banking regulators announced this proposed rule would increase risk-based capital requirements for banks with total assets of $100 billion or more. This proposal increases the risk weights for LTVs that are above 80% and eliminates the current capital relief credit that is given to these loans if they are covered by mortgage insurance. Accordingly, as proposed, the revised standards would mean mortgage insurance would not lower the LTV ratio of residential loans for capital purposes for these large banks, and therefore may decrease their demand for mortgage insurance. These large banks may also retreat from high LTV lending if the proposal, as drafted, is passed. However, as of July 10, 2024, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, as a member of the Basel Committee, made public remarks in favor of issuing a new proposed rule. The comment period for the proposal, originally scheduled to end on November 30, 2023, was extended to January 16, 2024. The full Basel Committee has yet to finalize next steps on a future path forward. Accordingly, we do not have clarity on when we can expect the final proposal or how much time will be provided for banking organizations to implement the final rule once it has been issued. Further, it is possible (but not mandated by Basel IV) that the U.S. banking regulators and the GSEs might likewise discontinue taking mortgage insurance into account when determining a mortgage’s LTV ratio for prudential (non-capital) purposes. We believe the existing U.S. implementation of the Basel IV capital framework supports continued use of private MI by portfolio lenders as a risk and capital management tool; however, with the ongoing implementation of Basel IV and the continued evolution of the Basel framework, it is difficult to predict the extent of the impact, if any, on the MI industry and the ultimate form of any potential future modifications to the regulations by federal banking regulators. If the Basel Committee revises the Basel IV framework to reduce or eliminate the capital benefit banks receive from insuring low down payment loans with private MI, our current and future business may be adversely affected.
Previous wording
NMIH serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any significant operations of its own. NMIH's principal source of operating cash is investment income, and could in the future include dividends from NMIC and Re One, which currently does not have active insurance exposure. NMIC has the capacity to pay aggregate ordinary dividends of $96.3 million to NMIH during the twelve-month period ending December 31, 2024, without prior approval from the Wisconsin OCI. NMIH also has access to $250 million of undrawn revolving credit capacity under the senior secured credit facilities. In addition, NMIH currently receives cash from our insurance subsidiaries, consisting of payments made under our tax and expense-sharing arrangements. Among such agreements, the Wisconsin OCI has approved the allocation of interest expense on our $400 million aggregate principal amount of senior secured notes that mature on June 1, 2025 (the Notes) and senior secured credit facilities to NMIC to the extent proceeds from the Notes offering and facility are distributed to NMIC or used to repay, redeem or otherwise defease amounts raised by NMIC under prior credit arrangements that have previously been distributed to NMIC. The expense-sharing arrangements between us and our subsidiaries, as amended, have been approved by the Wisconsin OCI, but such approval may be revoked at any time. NMIH depends on these sources of liquidity to make principal and interest payments under its current debt arrangements and to pay certain corporate expenses and income taxes, among other things. If payments to NMIH were curtailed or limited, there is a risk that NMIH would be unable to satisfy its financial obligations.
Current wording
NMIH serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any significant operations of its own. NMIH's principal source of operating cash is investment income, and could in the future include dividends from NMIC and Re One, which currently does not have active insurance exposure. NMIC has the capacity to pay aggregate ordinary dividends of $98.4 million to NMIH during the twelve-month period ending December 31, 2024, without prior approval from the Wisconsin OCI. NMIH also has access to $250 million of undrawn revolving credit capacity under the senior unsecured credit facilities. In addition, NMIH currently receives cash from our insurance subsidiaries, consisting of payments made under our tax and expense-sharing arrangements. Among such agreements, the Wisconsin OCI has approved the allocation of interest expense on our $425 million aggregate principal amount of senior unsecured notes that mature on August 15, 2029 (the 2024 Notes) and senior unsecured credit facilities to NMIC to the extent proceeds from the 2024 Notes offering and facility are distributed to NMIC or used to repay, redeem or otherwise defease amounts raised by NMIC under prior credit arrangements that have previously been distributed to NMIC. The expense-sharing arrangements between us and our subsidiaries, as amended, have been approved by the Wisconsin OCI, but such approval may be revoked at any time. NMIH depends on these sources of liquidity to make principal and interest payments under its current debt arrangements and to pay certain corporate expenses and income taxes, among other things. If payments to NMIH were curtailed or limited, there is a risk that NMIH would be unable to satisfy its financial obligations.
Previous wording
We currently have and will continue to have a substantial amount of indebtedness. As of December 31, 2023 our debt totaled approximately $397.6 million.
Current wording
We currently have and will continue to have a substantial amount of indebtedness. As of December 31, 2024 our debt totaled approximately $415.1 million.
Previous wording
In addition, our senior secured credit facilities and the indenture governing our senior secured notes contain certain restrictive covenants that, among other things, limit our ability to incur additional indebtedness, make investments, incur liens, transfer or dispose of assets, merge with or acquire other companies and pay dividends. Our senior secured credit facilities require us to comply with certain financial and other maintenance covenants. A failure to comply with covenants or the other terms of our senior secured credit facilities and the indenture governing our senior secured notes could result in an event of default under such indebtedness, which, if not remedied, may trigger an event of default under certain other indebtedness.
Current wording
In addition, our senior unsecured credit facilities and the indenture governing our senior unsecured notes contain certain restrictive covenants that, among other things, limit our ability to incur additional indebtedness, make investments, incur liens, transfer or dispose of assets, merge with or acquire other companies and pay dividends. Our senior unsecured credit facilities require us to comply with certain financial and other maintenance covenants. A failure to comply with covenants or the other terms of our senior unsecured credit facilities and the indenture governing our senior unsecured notes could result in an event of default under such indebtedness, which, if not remedied, may trigger an event of default under certain other indebtedness.
Previous wording
If the lenders under our senior secured credit facilities terminate their commitments or we are unable to satisfy certain covenants or representations, we may not have access to funding in a timely manner, or at all, when we require it. If funding is not available under the senior secured credit facilities when we require it, our ability to continue our business practices or pursue our current strategy could be limited. If any indebtedness under the senior secured credit facilities or our senior notes is accelerated, we cannot assure you that our assets would be sufficient to repay such amounts in full, and the lenders and/or noteholders could foreclose on the collateral securing the obligations under the senior secured credit facilities and the senior notes, including, subject to regulatory approval, the stock of NMIC and Re One. Any of these actions could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operating results.
Current wording
If the lenders under our senior unsecured credit facilities terminate their commitments or we are unable to satisfy certain covenants or representations, we may not have access to funding in a timely manner, or at all, when we require it. If funding is not available under the senior unsecured credit facilities when we require it, our ability to continue our business practices or pursue our current strategy could be limited. If any indebtedness under the senior unsecured credit facilities or our senior notes is accelerated, we cannot assure you that our assets would be sufficient to repay such amounts in full, and the lenders and/or noteholders could foreclose on the collateral securing the obligations under the senior unsecured credit facilities and the senior notes, including, subject to regulatory approval, the stock of NMIC and Re One. Any of these actions could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operating results.
Previous wording
Any indebtedness we may incur under our senior secured credit facilities and our future indebtedness may be subject to variable rates of interest, exposing us to interest rate risk. If interest rates increase, our debt service obligations on such variable rate indebtedness would increase, resulting in a reduction of our net income that could be significant, even though the principal amount borrowed would remain the same.
Current wording
Any indebtedness we may incur under our senior unsecured credit facilities and our future indebtedness may be subject to variable rates of interest, exposing us to interest rate risk. If interest rates increase, our debt service obligations on such variable rate indebtedness would increase, resulting in a reduction of our net income that could be significant, even though the principal amount borrowed would remain the same.
Previous wording
We may incur substantial additional debt in the future, including up to $250 million in borrowings we may choose to make under our 2021 Revolving Credit Facility. Although the credit agreement governing our 2021 Revolving Credit Facility and the indenture governing our senior secured notes each limit our ability and the ability of certain of our subsidiaries to incur additional debt, these restrictions are subject to a number of qualifications and exceptions, and, under certain circumstances, we may incur additional debt in compliance with these restrictions. In addition, our 2021 Revolving Credit Facility and indenture does not prevent us from incurring certain obligations that do not constitute "indebtedness" as defined therein. To the extent that we incur additional debt or such other obligations, the risks associated with our credit agreement and indenture described above, including our possible inability to service our debt or other obligations, would increase.
Current wording
We may incur substantial additional debt in the future, including up to $250 million in borrowings we may choose to make under our 2024 Revolving Credit Facility. Although the credit agreement governing our 2024 Revolving Credit Facility and the indenture governing our senior unsecured notes each limit our ability and the ability of certain of our subsidiaries to incur additional debt, these restrictions are subject to a number of qualifications and exceptions, and, under certain circumstances, we may incur additional debt in compliance with these restrictions. In addition, our 2024 Revolving Credit Facility and indenture does not prevent us from incurring certain obligations that do not constitute "indebtedness" as defined therein. To the extent that we incur additional debt or such other obligations, the risks associated with our credit agreement and indenture described above, including our possible inability to service our debt or other obligations, would increase.
Previous wording
As of December 31, 2023, we had 87,334,138 shares of our common stock issued and 80,881,280 shares outstanding. Sales of substantial amounts of our common stock in the public market in the future, or the perception that these sales could occur, could cause the market price of our common stock to decline. These sales could also make it more difficult for us to sell equity or equity-related securities in the future, at a time and place that we deem appropriate.
Current wording
As of December 31, 2024, we had 87,902,626 shares of our common stock issued and 78,600,726 shares outstanding. Sales of substantial amounts of our common stock in the public market in the future, or the perception that these sales could occur, could cause the market price of our common stock to decline. These sales could also make it more difficult for us to sell equity or equity-related securities in the future, at a time and place that we deem appropriate.
Previous wording
Future issuance of debt or preferred stock, which would rank senior to our Class A common stock upon our liquidation, may adversely affect the market value of our common stock.
Current wording
Future issuance of debt or preferred stock, which would rank senior to our common stock upon our liquidation, may adversely affect the market value of our common stock.
Rearranged previous paragraphs (1)
Previous report — wording carried elsewhere
July 2023, hit its highest levels in 22 years, and led to rising interest rates and mortgage interest rates in 2022 and 2023. As a result of the higher mortgage interest rates in 2022 and 2023, we observed lower refinancing activities in the mortgage market compared to what we had observed in recent years prior to 2022, and therefore decreased turnover in our IIF.