BLACKBOXSTOCKS INC.
For the period ended Dec 31, 2025. Filed Feb 23, 2026.
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A company's yearly report to the SEC, with audited financial statements. It is the fullest account a company gives of its business, its finances and the risks it sees.
FY2025 · Filed Feb 23, 2026
What changed in Risk Factors?
Read the current filingPrevious report: 10-K
Period ended 2024-12-31; filed 2025-03-21.
0001437749-25-008773
Item 1A. Risk FactorsCurrent report: 10-K
Period ended 2025-12-31; filed 2026-02-23.
0001437749-26-005114
Item 1A. Risk FactorsThe baseline is this issuer’s latest earlier reporting period of the same form that was filed before the current report. A previous 10-Q is a different quarter, not a year-over-year comparison. Amendments are excluded.
Compared 84 previous paragraphs and 119 current paragraphs.
72 unchanged; 8 reworded; 39 added; 4 removed; 0 previous and 0 current paragraphs rearranged.
Tables are not compared: 1 previous and 9 current tables excluded. Dates, whitespace, punctuation and numbering changes are ignored; changes to financial figures remain significant.
A changed paragraph is not evidence that risk increased or decreased. An unchanged paragraph does not establish that risk stayed the same.
Added paragraphs (39)
Current report
There is no assurance when or if the Merger will be completed. Any delay in completing the Merger may substantially reduce the potential benefits that Blackboxstocks expects to obtain from the Merger.
Current report
Completion of the Merger is subject to the satisfaction or waiver of a number of conditions, as set forth in the Merger Agreement, including the approval by Blackboxstocks’ stockholders, approval by Nasdaq of Blackboxstocks’ application for the initial listing of Blackboxstocks’ common stock to be issued in connection with the Merger, and other customary closing conditions. There can be no assurance that Blackboxstocks and REalloys will be able to satisfy the closing conditions or that closing conditions beyond their control will be satisfied or waived. If the conditions are not satisfied or waived, the Merger may not occur or may not be completed within the expected timeframe, and Blackboxstocks may materially and adversely lose some or all of the potential benefits it expects to achieve as a result of the Merger and could result in additional transaction costs or other effects associated with uncertainty about the Merger.
Current report
Blackboxstocks and REalloys can agree at any time to terminate the Merger Agreement, even though Blackboxstocks’ stockholders and/or REalloys’ securityholders have already adopted the Merger Agreement and thereby approved the Merger and the other transactions contemplated by the Merger Agreement. Blackboxstocks and REalloys can also terminate the Merger Agreement under other specified circumstances.
Current report
In addition, if the Merger Agreement is terminated and our board of directors determines to seek another business combination, it may not be able to find a third party willing to provide equivalent or more attractive consideration than the consideration to be provided by each party in the Merger. In such circumstances, our Board of Directors may elect to, among other things, divest all or a portion of Blackboxstocks’ business, or take the steps necessary to liquidate all of Blackboxstocks’ business and assets, and in either case, the consideration that Blackboxstocks receives may be less attractive than the consideration to be received by Blackboxstocks pursuant to the Merger Agreement.
Current report
The issuance of shares of Blackboxstocks common stock to REalloys stockholders in the Merger will substantially dilute the voting power of current Blackboxstocks stockholders. Having a minority share position will reduce the influence that current stockholders have on the management of Blackboxstocks.
Current report
Pursuant to the terms of the Merger Agreement, at the Effective Time, Blackboxstocks will issue (or reserve for future issuance) to REalloys stockholders as Merger Consideration: (i) approximately 46,312,574 shares of its common stock, using the assumed Exchange Ratio of 0.3694, (ii) approximately 5,000 shares of Series C Preferred Stock at a ratio of one share of REalloys Preferred Stock to one share of Series C Preferred Stock (which is subject to change depending on the number of outstanding securities of Blackboxstocks and REalloys at the effective time of the Merger), (iii) warrants to purchase up to an aggregate of approximately 4,486,423 shares of Blackboxstocks common stock based on an assumed price of $8.47 per share, the closing price of the Blackboxstocks common stock on Nasdaq on December 26, 2025, and (iv) an aggregate of approximately 355,962 shares of Blackboxstocks common stock as related to the REalloys SAFEs, based on an assumed price of $8.47 per share, the closing price of the Blackboxstocks common stock on Nasdaq on December 26, 2025, in each case after giving effect to the proposed reverse stock split contemplated by the Reverse Stock Split Proposal. As a result, upon completion of the Merger, the current Blackboxstocks stockholders and holders of certain outstanding options and warrants to purchase shares of Blackboxstocks common stock will hold approximately 4,519,055 pre-reverse stock split shares, which is currently expected to be approximately 7.9% of the fully diluted equity of the post-merger combined company (the “Combined Company”). Accordingly, the issuance of the shares of Blackboxstocks common stock to REalloys stockholders in the Merger will significantly reduce the ownership stake and relative voting power of each share of Blackboxstocks common stock held by current Blackboxstocks stockholders. Consequently, following the Merger, the ability of Blackboxstocks’ current stockholders to influence the management of Blackboxstocks will be substantially reduced.
Current report
For illustrative purposes, the conversion of REalloys’ Preferred Stock into Series C Preferred Stock, would entitle holders of the former REalloys Preferred stock to 500 votes per share of Series C Preferred Stock, to vote in all matters with holders of Blackboxstocks Common Stock. This illustrative example assumes the 5,000 issued and contingently issuable at December 26, 2025, REalloys Series X Preferred Stock were outstanding and converted to Series C Preferred Stock at a 1:1 ratio, as contemplated in the Merger, with an assumed aggregate Stated Value of $15,000,000 or $3,000 per share, and a hypothetical Nasdaq Minimum Price of Blackboxstocks of $6.00 immediately preceding the Merger. The number of votes attributable to the Series C Preferred Stock has an inverse relationship to Blackboxstocks’ minimum price immediately preceding the Merger completion. This example excludes the impacts of potential Make-Whole, dividends in arrears, and any other adjustments to Stated Value as contemplated by terms of the REalloys’ Series X Stock or the Series C Preferred Stock and does not represent an indication or estimate of the expected actual voting impact on completion of the merger.
Current report
The issuance, or expected issuance, of Blackboxstocks common stock and Series C Preferred Stock in connection with the Merger could decrease the market price of Blackboxstocks common stock.
Current report
In connection with the Merger and as part of the Merger Consideration, Blackboxstocks expects to issue shares of Blackboxstocks common stock and Series C Preferred Stock to REalloys stockholders. The anticipated issuance of Blackboxstocks common stock and Series C Preferred Stock in the Merger may result in fluctuations in the market price of Blackboxstocks common stock, including a stock price decrease. In addition, the perception in the market that the holders of a large number of shares of Blackboxstocks common stock may intend to sell shares could reduce the market price of Blackboxstocks common stock.
Current report
CVR holders may not receive any payment on the CVRs, the CVRs may otherwise expire valueless, and the U.S. federal income tax treatment of CVRs in unclear.
Current report
Pursuant to the CVR Agreement and the Merger Agreement, holders of each share of Blackboxstocks common stock immediately prior to Closing, will receive a dividend of one contractual contingent value right entitling such holders to receive net proceeds received by Blackboxstocks from any transaction in which the Blackboxstocks or Blackbox Operating grants, sells, licenses or otherwise transfers some or all of the rights to any and all of the assets, rights, and properties owned, used, or useable by Blackbox Operating in connection with or related to the business as conducted by Blackbox Operating and all of the Blackboxstocks rights therein. The right of Blackboxstocks stockholders to receive any future payment on or to derive any value from the CVRs will be contingent solely upon the achievement of the events specified in the CVR Agreement within the time period specified in the CVR Agreement. If the payment triggering events are not achieved for any reason within the time period specified in the CVR Agreement, no payments will be made under the CVRs, and the CVRs will expire valueless.
Current report
Additionally, the U.S. federal income tax treatment of the CVRs is subject to substantial uncertainty. There is no legal authority directly addressing the U.S. federal income tax treatment of the receipt of, and payments under, the CVRs, and there can be no assurance that the IRS would not assert, or that a court would not sustain, a position that could potentially result in adverse U.S. federal income tax consequences to holders of the CVRs.
Current report
The Merger poses risks for Blackboxstocks’ ongoing operations, including, among others:
Current report
As a result of the foregoing, we may be unable to realize the full strategic and financial benefits currently anticipated from the Merger, and cannot assure that the Merger will be accretive to Blackboxstocks in the near term or at all. Furthermore, if we fail to realize the intended benefits of the Merger, the market price of the Combined Company’s common stock could decline to the extent that the market price reflects those benefits. Our stockholders will have experienced substantial dilution of their ownership interests in Blackboxstocks without receiving any commensurate benefit, or only receiving part of the commensurate benefit to the extent the Combined Company is able to realize only part of the strategic and financial benefits currently anticipated from the Merger.
Current report
Because the lack of a public market for REalloys common stock makes it difficult to evaluate the fairness of the Merger, REalloys stockholders may receive consideration in the Merger that is greater than or less than the fair market value of REalloys common stock.
Current report
The outstanding common stock of REalloys is privately held and is not traded in any public market. The lack of a public market makes it extremely difficult to determine the fair market value of REalloys common stock. Since the percentage of Blackboxstocks’ common stock and Series C Preferred Stock to be issued to REalloys stockholders was determined based on negotiations between the parties, it is possible that the value of the Blackboxstocks common stock and Series C Preferred Stock to be issued in connection with the Merger will be greater than the fair market value of REalloys shares. Alternatively, it is possible that the value of the shares of Blackboxstocks common stock and Series C Preferred Stock to be issued in connection with the Merger will be less than the fair market value of REalloys shares.
Current report
Directors and officers of Blackboxstocks and REalloys may have interests in the Merger that are different from, or in addition to, those of Blackboxstocks stockholders and REalloys stockholders generally that may influence them to support or approve the Merger.
Current report
The officers and directors of Blackboxstocks and REalloys may have interests in the Merger that are different from, or are in addition to, those of Blackboxstocks stockholders and REalloys stockholders generally. Effective upon the closing of the Merger, Leonard Sternheim and Robert Winspear are expected to be employed as executive officers by the Combined Company. It is expected that six of the current directors of REalloys, and one current director of Blackboxstocks will be appointed as directors of the Combined Company after the completion of the Merger and may receive cash and equity compensation in consideration for such service. Contingent upon closing of the Merger, Gust Kepler has agreed to sell Leonard Sternheim certain shares of Blackboxstocks Series A Preferred Stock that will effectively confer voting control of the Combined Company currently held by Mr. Kepler to Mr. Sternheim for nominal consideration. Upon the Merger, the vesting of outstanding equity awards held by Blackboxstocks’ directors and officers will accelerate, and certain Blackboxstocks officers may be entitled to certain severance benefits in connection with changes in their employment. In addition, the directors and executive officers of Blackboxstocks and REalloys also have certain rights to indemnification or to directors’ and officers’ liability insurance that will survive the completion of the Merger. These interests may have influenced the directors and executive officers of Blackboxstocks and REalloys to support or recommend the proposals presented to Blackboxstocks and REalloys stockholders.
Current report
If the Merger is completed, REalloys executive officers and REalloys appointees to the Combined Company’s board of directors will have the ability to significantly influence the Combined Company’s management and business affairs, as well as matters submitted to the Combined Company’s board of directors or stockholders for approval, especially if they decide to act together with the current REalloys stockholders.
Current report
Upon completion of the Merger, the former REalloys stockholders will own approximately 92.7% of the Combined Company on a fully diluted basis, excluding the effects of adjustments based on Blackboxstocks’ net cash at closing. Contingent upon closing of the Merger, Gust Kepler has also agreed to sell Leonard Sternheim certain shares of Blackboxstocks Series A Preferred Stock that will effectively confer voting control of the Combined Company to Mr. Sternheim. If the Merger is completed, the Combined Company is expected to be led by REalloys’ executive officers. Furthermore, the Combined Company’s anticipated board of directors will consist of nine members, six of which will be appointed by REalloys and one of which will be appointed by Blackboxstocks, pursuant to the terms and conditions of the Merger Agreement and two which are expected to be appointed immediately following the Merger. As a result, such persons, if they choose to act together, will have the ability to significantly influence the Combined Company’s management and business affairs, as well as matters submitted to the Combined Company’s board of directors or stockholders for approval.
Current report
The pendency and close of the Merger could have an adverse effect on Blackboxstocks’* or REalloys*’* business, financial condition, results of operations or business prospects.*
Current report
The pendency and close of the Merger could disrupt Blackboxstocks’ and/or REalloys’ businesses in the following ways, among others:
Current report
Should they occur, any of these matters could adversely affect the businesses of, or harm the financial condition, results of operations or business prospects of, Blackboxstocks or REalloys.
Current report
The Exchange Ratio is not adjustable based on the market price of Blackboxstocks’* common stock, so the Merger consideration at the closing may have a greater or lesser value than at the time the Merger Agreement was signed*.
Current report
The Merger Agreement has set the Exchange Ratio formula for the REalloys common stock, and the Exchange Ratio is only adjustable upward or downward to reflect Blackboxstocks’ and REalloys’ equity capitalization as of immediately prior to the Effective Time and the excess cash Blackboxstocks has at the effective time of the Merger. Any changes in the market price of common stock before the completion of the Merger will not affect the number of shares REalloys securityholders will be entitled to receive pursuant to the Merger Agreement. Therefore, if before the completion of the Merger, the market price of Blackboxstocks common stock declines from the market price on the date of the Merger Agreement, then REalloys securityholders could receive Merger consideration with substantially lower value. Similarly, if before the completion of the Merger, the market price of Blackboxstocks common stock increases from the market price on the date of the Merger Agreement, then REalloys securityholders could receive Merger Consideration with substantially more value for their shares of REalloys common stock than the parties had negotiated for in the establishment of the Exchange Ratio.
Current report
If the Merger does not qualify as a reorganization under Section 368(a) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, or is otherwise taxable to U.S. REalloys stockholders, then such holders may be required to pay U.S. federal income taxes.
Current report
For U.S. federal income tax purposes, the Merger is intended to constitute a reorganization within the meaning of Section 368(a) of the Code. If the Internal Revenue Service (the “IRS”) or a court determines that the Merger should not be treated as a reorganization or a tax deferred contribution, a holder of REalloys stock or warrants would recognize taxable gain or loss upon the exchange of REalloys stock or warrants for Blackboxstocks common stock or warrants pursuant to the Merger Agreement.
Current report
Blackboxstocks is expected to incur substantial expenses related to the Merger with REalloys.
Current report
Blackboxstocks has incurred, and expects to continue to incur, substantial expenses in connection with the Merger, as well as operating as a public company. Blackboxstocks will incur significant fees and expenses relating to legal, accounting, financial advisory and other transaction fees and costs associated with the Merger. Actual transaction costs may substantially exceed Blackboxstocks’ estimates and may have an adverse effect on the Combined Company’s financial condition and operating results.
Current report
Failure to complete the Merger could negatively affect the value of Blackboxstocks common stock and the future business and financial results of both Blackboxstocks and REalloys.
Current report
If the Merger is not completed, the ongoing businesses of Blackboxstocks and REalloys could be adversely affected. Moreover, each of Blackboxstocks and REalloys will be subject to a variety of risks associated with the failure to complete the Merger, including without limitation the following:
Current report
If the Merger is not completed, the market price of Blackboxstocks common stock and the business and financial results of both Blackboxstocks (including the cessation of its operations) and REalloys could be materially affected.
Current report
The Merger is expected to result in a limitation on the Combined Company’s ability to utilize its net operating loss carryforward.
Current report
Under Section 382 of the Code, use of Blackboxstocks’ net operating loss carryforwards (“NOLs”) will be limited if Blackboxstocks experiences a cumulative change in ownership of greater than 50% in a moving three-year period. At December 31, 2025, Blackboxstocks had approximately $5.2 million of net operating loss carryforwards, which NOLs will begin to expire in 2035 and are available to offset taxable income or reduce taxes payable through 2041. Blackboxstocks will experience an ownership change as a result of the Merger and therefore its ability to utilize its NOLs and certain credit carryforwards remaining at the effective time of the Merger will be limited. The limitation will be determined by the fair market value of Blackboxstocks’ common stock outstanding prior to the ownership change, multiplied by the applicable federal rate. It is expected that the Merger will impose a limitation on Blackboxstocks’ NOLs. Limitations imposed on Blackboxstocks’ ability to utilize NOLs could cause U.S. federal and state income taxes to be paid earlier than would be paid if such limitations were not in effect and could cause such NOLs to expire unused, in each case reducing or eliminating the benefit of such NOLs
Current report
In general, either party can refuse to complete the Merger if there is a material adverse effect (as defined in the Merger Agreement) affecting the other party between March 10, 2025, the date of the Merger Agreement, and the closing of the Merger. However, some types of changes do not permit either party to refuse to complete the Merger, even if such changes would have a material adverse effect on Blackboxstocks or REalloys, as the case may be:
Current report
If adverse changes occur but Blackboxstocks and REalloys must still complete the Merger, the market price of our common stock may suffer.
Current report
We may become involved in securities litigation or stockholder derivative litigation in connection with the Merger, and this could divert the attention management and harm the Combined Company’s business, and insurance coverage may not be sufficient to cover all related costs and damages.
Current report
Securities litigation or stockholder derivative litigation frequently follows the announcement of certain significant business transactions, such as the sale of a business division or announcement of a business combination transaction. We may become involved in this type of litigation in connection with the Merger, and the Combined Company may become involved in this type of litigation in the future. Litigation often is expensive and diverts management’s attention and resources, which could adversely affect the business of Blackboxstocks or the Combined Company.
Removed paragraphs (4)
Previous report
If our shares of securities become subject to the penny stock rules, it would become more difficult to trade our shares.
Previous report
The Merger will require REalloys Inc. to apply for an initial listing on Nasdaq which may not be granted.
Previous report
The Merger is expected to be treated as a reverse merger by Nasdaq which will require the post-Merger Company to apply for an initial listing on the Nasdaq Capital Market. There are numerous listing requirements including but not limited to minimum equity requirements and certain minimum requirements for stockholder holdings and a minimum bid price of $4.00 per share. There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to meet the initial listing requirements of the Nasdaq Capital Market which could result in either the Company’s delisting or termination of the Merger.
Reworded paragraphs (8)
Previous wording
We intend to expand our product and service offering including the introduction of products and services which employ and expand upon our current proprietary system and technology. These products and services are expected to include applications targeted for investors who are not day traders or swing traders and products designed for professional traders. We introduced certain products and services in 2024 and 2025, expect to continue to introduce additional products and services in 2025 and spend significant capital on advertising and marketing of such products and services. If we are unable to generate significant revenue from this or other new products and services, we may incur significant operating losses.
Current wording
We intend to expand our product and service offering including the introduction of products and services which employ and expand upon our current proprietary system and technology. These products and services are expected to include applications targeted for investors who are not day traders or swing traders and products designed for professional traders. We introduced certain products and services in 2024 and 2025 including educational products and expect to continue to introduce additional products and services in 2026 as well as spend significant capital on advertising and marketing of such products and services. If we are unable to generate significant revenue from these or other new products and services, we may incur significant operating losses.
Previous wording
In addition, the Company expects to incur a number of non-recurring costs associated with the Merger, including taxes, legal fees, advisor fees, filing fees, mailing expenses, and financial printing expenses. There can be no assurance that the actual costs will not exceed those estimated and the actual completion of the Merger may result in additional and unforeseen expenses. Many of these costs will be payable whether or not the Merger is completed. While it is expected that benefits of the Merger achieved by the Company will offset these transaction costs over time, this net benefit may not be achieved in the short-term or at all, particularly if the Merger are delayed or does not happen at all. These combined factors could adversely affect the business, results of operations or financial condition of the Company.
Current wording
In addition, the Company has and expects to continue to incur a number of non-recurring costs associated with the Merger, including taxes, legal fees, advisor fees, filing fees, mailing expenses, and financial printing expenses. There can be no assurance that the actual costs will not exceed those estimated and the actual completion of the Merger may result in additional and unforeseen expenses. Many of these costs will be payable whether or not the Merger is completed. While it is expected that benefits of the Merger achieved by the Company will offset these transaction costs over time, this net benefit may not be achieved in the short-term or at all, particularly if the Merger are delayed or does not happen at all. These combined factors could adversely affect the business, results of operations or financial condition of the Company.
Previous wording
The calculation of the number of Blackboxstocks shares to be issued may be adjusted if there is a change in REalloys share capital between the date of Merger Agreement and Closing.
Current wording
The calculation of the number of Blackboxstocks shares to be issued in the Merger may be adjusted if there is a change in REalloys share capital between the date of Merger Agreement and Closing.
Previous wording
The completion of the Merger may trigger certain change in control, consent, assignment or other provisions in agreements to which the Company, its subsidiary Blackbox.io, or REalloys is a party. In addition, the completion of the Merger may trigger certain technical provisions in agreements to which the Company, Blackbox.io or REalloys is a party. If such parties are unable to assert that such provisions should not apply, or the parties are unable to comply with or negotiate waivers of those provisions, the counterparties may exercise their rights and remedies under the agreements, including potentially terminating such agreements or seeking monetary damages. Even if the Company, Blackbox.io or REalloys is able to negotiate waivers, the counterparties may require a fee for such waivers or seek to renegotiate the agreements on terms less favorable to the Company.
Current wording
The completion of the Merger may trigger certain change in control, consent, assignment or other provisions in agreements to which the Company, our subsidiary Blackbox Operating, or REalloys is a party. In addition, the completion of the Merger may trigger certain technical provisions in agreements to which the Company, Blackbox Operating or REalloys is a party. If such parties are unable to assert that such provisions should not apply, or the parties are unable to comply with or negotiate waivers of those provisions, the counterparties may exercise their rights and remedies under the agreements, including potentially terminating such agreements or seeking monetary damages. Even if the Company, Blackbox Operating or REalloys is able to negotiate waivers, the counterparties may require a fee for such waivers or seek to renegotiate the agreements on terms less favorable to the Company.
Previous wording
Failure to complete the Merger could adversely affect the market price of our common shares as well as our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Current wording
Failure to complete the Merger could adversely affect the market price of our common stock as well as our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Previous wording
If the Merger is not completed for any reason, the price of our common shares may decline, and our business, financial condition and results of operations may be impacted to the extent that the market price of our common shares reflects positive market assumptions that the Merger will be completed and the related expected benefits will be realized; based on significant expenses, such as legal, advisory and financial services which generally must be paid regardless of whether the Merger is completed; based on potential disruption of our business and distraction of our workforce and management team and other contemplated transactions under the Merger Agreement (the “Contemplated Transactions”).
Current wording
If the Merger is not completed for any reason, the price of our common stock may decline, and our business, financial condition and results of operations may be impacted to the extent that the market price of our common stock reflects positive market assumptions that the Merger will be completed and the related expected benefits will be realized; based on significant expenses, such as legal, advisory and financial services which generally must be paid regardless of whether the Merger is completed; based on potential disruption of our business and distraction of our workforce and management team and other contemplated transactions under the Merger Agreement.
Previous wording
The announcement and pendency of the Merger could have an adverse effect on the stock price of our common shares as well as our business, financial condition, results of operations or business prospects.
Current wording
The pendency of the Merger could have an adverse effect on the stock price of our common stock as well as our business, financial condition, results of operations or business prospects.
Previous wording
The announcement and pendency of the Merger could disrupt our businesses in negative ways. For example, customers and other third-party business partners may seek to terminate and/or renegotiate their relationships with the Company as a result of the Merger, whether pursuant to the terms of their existing agreements or otherwise. In addition, current and prospective employees may experience uncertainty regarding their future roles with the Company upon consummation of the Merger, which might adversely affect our ability to retain, recruit and motivate key personnel. Should they occur, any of these events could adversely affect the stock price of our common shares, or harm our financial condition, results of operations or business prospects.
Current wording
The pendency of the Merger could disrupt our businesses in negative ways. For example, customers and other third-party business partners may seek to terminate and/or renegotiate their relationships with the Company as a result of the Merger, whether pursuant to the terms of their existing agreements or otherwise. In addition, current and prospective employees may experience uncertainty regarding their future roles with the Company upon consummation of the Merger, which might adversely affect our ability to retain, recruit and motivate key personnel. Should they occur, any of these events could adversely affect the price of our common stock, or harm our financial condition, results of operations or business prospects.