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ASSURED GUARANTY LTD

For the period ended Dec 31, 2024. Filed Feb 28, 2025.

View on SEC.gov

About this filing

A company's yearly report to the SEC, with audited financial statements. It is the fullest account a company gives of its business, its finances and the risks it sees.

FY2024 · Filed Feb 28, 2025

AGO$73.78+0.4%Stored close · as of Nov 9, 2026

What changed in Risk Factors?

Read the current filing

The baseline is this issuer’s latest earlier reporting period of the same form that was filed before the current report. A previous 10-Q is a different quarter, not a year-over-year comparison. Amendments are excluded.

Compared 232 previous paragraphs and 240 current paragraphs.

119 unchanged; 94 reworded; 23 added; 9 removed; 10 previous and 4 current paragraphs rearranged.

Tables are not compared: 0 previous and 0 current tables excluded. Dates, whitespace, punctuation and numbering changes are ignored; changes to financial figures remain significant.

A changed paragraph is not evidence that risk increased or decreased. An unchanged paragraph does not establish that risk stayed the same.

Added paragraphs (23)

Current report

•Developments in the global financial markets, political systems and economy generally.

Current report

•The impact of narrow credit spreads on the demand for financial guaranty insurance.

Current report

•Effects of global climate change on the Company’s insurance portfolio and investments.

Current report

•The impact on reserves from uncertainties of estimates of expected insurance losses to be paid (recovered).

Current report

•Alternative investments, including investments managed by Sound Point and exclusivity with Sound Point, may not result in the benefits anticipated, and may increase credit, interest rate, liquidity, reputational, and other risks.

Current report

•Exposure to less predictable political, credit and legal risks by underwriting insurance in non-U.S. markets and/or covering new sectors or classes of business.

Current report

•Loss of senior management and other key employees and delay or inability to develop or recruit suitable replacements.

Current report

•Evolving cybersecurity, privacy and data security regulations.

Current report

•The exploration of artificial intelligence used in some of the Company’s business operations.

Current report

•Reduction in the Company’s liquidity from significant claim payments.

Current report

Risks Related to Applicable Law, Litigation and GAAP

Current report

•The impact of changes in applicable laws or regulations on the ability of issuers to satisfy their obligations.

Current report

•Difficulties in effecting a change of control of AGL under applicable insurance laws.

Current report

Some of the public finance obligors that have issued obligations insured or reinsured by the Company are experiencing significant budget, pension and revenue shortfalls, and difficulties in obtaining additional financing.

Current report

The underwriting of insurance in new sectors or classes of business may subject the Company to additional credit risk because the underwriting history and loss experience for such exposures is minimal or nonexistent which could adversely affect the Company’s results of operations. In addition, the underwriting of insurance in new sectors or classes of business may present novel legal issues or political challenges beyond the Company’s control.

Current report

Evolving cybersecurity, privacy and data security regulations could adversely affect the Company’s business.

Current report

The Company and its subsidiaries are subject to numerous cybersecurity, data privacy and protection laws and regulations in a number of jurisdictions, particularly with regard to personally identifiable information, including the EU General Data Protection Regulation, the UK Data Protection Act 2018, and the Bermuda Personal Information Protection Act 2016. In the United States, there are numerous federal, state and local cybersecurity, privacy and data security laws and regulations governing the collection, sharing, use, retention, disclosure, security, transfer, storage and other processing of personal information. These laws and regulations are increasing in complexity and number, change frequently and sometimes conflict. The Company’s compliance efforts are further complicated by the fact that these cybersecurity, privacy and data security laws and regulations around the world may be subject to uncertain or inconsistent interpretations and enforcement. The Company’s failure to comply with these requirements could result in penalties and fines, regulatory enforcement actions, reputational harm and/or criminal prosecution in one or more jurisdictions, which could require significant effort from its management and technical personnel to remedy, increase the Company’s costs of doing business, and ultimately have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, financial condition and results of operations.

Current report

The Company is beginning to explore the use of Artificial Intelligence in some of its business operations, and challenges with properly managing the use of Artificial Intelligence, compliance with new laws and regulations applicable to Artificial Intelligence, difficulties implementing Artificial Intelligence technologies efficiently and effectively, and challenges to the Company’s competitive position from faster or more effective use of Artificial Intelligence by competitors or other third-parties, could adversely affect the Company’s business.

Current report

The Company is beginning to explore the use of Artificial Intelligence technologies in its business, and its research into and continued deployment of such capabilities remain ongoing. Artificial Intelligence is still in its early stages, and the introduction and use of Artificial Intelligence technologies may result in unintended consequences or other new or expanded risks and liabilities. If the content, analyses or recommendations that Artificial Intelligence applications assist in producing are, or are alleged to be, deficient, inaccurate or biased, such as due to limitations in Artificial Intelligence algorithms, insufficient or biased base data or flawed training methodologies, the Company’s business, financial condition, results of operations and reputation may be adversely affected. In addition, the use of Artificial Intelligence carries inherent risks related to data privacy and security, such as unintended or inadvertent transmission of proprietary or sensitive information, including personal data. There is uncertainty in the legal and regulatory landscape for Artificial Intelligence, which is not fully developed and rapidly evolving, and any laws, regulations or industry standards adopted in response to the emergence of Artificial Intelligence may be burdensome, could entail significant costs, and may restrict or impede the Company’s ability to successfully develop, adopt and deploy Artificial Intelligence technologies efficiently and effectively. Additionally, the Company’s competitors or other third parties may incorporate Artificial Intelligence into their products and services more quickly or more successfully, which could cause the Company to experience competitive disadvantages that adversely affect its results of operations.

Current report

In January 2025, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) issued Administrative Guidance on Article 9.1 of the Global Anti-Base Erosion Model Rules, which excludes certain deferred tax assets for purposes of computing a multinational enterprise group’s effective tax rate when they arose prior to the application of the global minimum tax as a result of certain governmental arrangements or following the introduction of a new corporate income tax. If this guidance were adopted in countries in which the Company operates it could adversely affect tax expense.

Current report

Risks Related to Applicable Law, Litigation and GAAP

Current report

Changes in applicable laws or regulations may adversely impact the ability of issuers to satisfy obligations insured or reinsured by the Company.

Current report

Certain issuers of obligations insured or reinsured by the Company are reliant on governmental subsidies, funding, grants, loans and other forms of financial assistance, including, for example, emergency funding for disasters and catastrophes, regulated subsidies paid to utilities, housing subsidies and federal aid for schools. In addition, certain issuers of obligations insured or reinsured by the Company may rely on current federal, state and local tax laws (such as tariff regimes impacting imports and the transportation sector) and/or on legal and regulatory frameworks impacting their businesses (for example, the healthcare industry’s development around Medicaid, Medicare and the Affordable Care Act). If current laws or regulations impacting issuers of obligations in the Company’s insurance portfolio are changed in a manner adversely impacting such issuers and/or governmental financial assistance supporting such issuers is reduced or eliminated, the Company may experience increased levels of losses or claims on its insured obligations.
Removed paragraphs (9)

Previous report

•Developments in the U.S. and global financial markets and economy generally.

Previous report

•Narrow credit spreads adversely affecting demand for financial guaranty insurance.

Previous report

•Global climate change adversely affecting the Company’s insurance portfolio and investments.

Previous report

•The loss of the Company’s key executives or its inability to retain other key personnel.

Previous report

Risks Related to GAAP, Applicable Law and Litigation

Previous report

There can be no assurance that Sound Point will not become subject to possible enforcement actions. Sound Point and its principals and employees could also be named as defendants in, or otherwise become involved in, a regulatory action or litigation. Any such regulatory action or litigation could be disruptive, time-consuming, expensive and lead to negative financial and reputational consequences that have a material adverse effect on Sound Point’s business, financial condition or results of operations and, consequently, the value of the Company’s ownership interest in Sound Point and/or its investments in Sound Point funds, other vehicles and separately managed accounts.

Previous report

The Company operates in a hybrid work-from-home and work-from-office paradigm. Working from home at least part of the time has made the Company more dependent on internet and communications access and capabilities and has heightened the risk of cybersecurity attacks to its operations.

Previous report

Risks Related to GAAP, Applicable Law and Litigation

Previous report

As a result of any such reallocation of votes, the voting rights of a holder of AGL common shares might increase above 5% of the aggregate voting power of the outstanding common shares, thereby possibly resulting in such holder becoming a reporting person subject to Schedule 13D or 13G filing requirements under the Exchange Act. In addition, the reallocation of votes could result in such holder becoming subject to the short swing profit recovery and filing requirements under Section 16 of the Exchange Act.
Reworded paragraphs (94)

Previous wording

You should carefully consider the following information, together with the information contained in AGL’s other filings with the SEC. The risks and uncertainties discussed below are not the only ones the Company faces. However, these are the risks that the Company’s management believes are material. The Company may face additional risks or uncertainties that are not presently known to the Company or that management currently deems immaterial, and such risks or uncertainties also may impair its business or results of operations. The risks discussed below could result in a significant or material adverse effect on the Company’s financial condition, results of operations, liquidity, or business prospects.

Current wording

You should carefully consider the following information, together with the information contained in AGL’s other filings with the SEC. The risks and uncertainties discussed below are not the only ones the Company faces. However, these are the risks that the Company’s management believes are material. The Company may face additional risks or uncertainties that are not presently known to the Company or that management currently deems immaterial, and such risks or uncertainties also may impair its business or results of operations. The risks discussed below could result in a significant or material adverse effect on the Company’s financial condition, results of operations, capital, liquidity, business prospects and/or share price.

Previous wording

The following summarizes some of the risks and uncertainties that may adversely affect the Company’s financial condition, results of operations, capital, liquidity, business prospects or share price. It is provided for convenience and should be read together with the more expansive explanations below this summary.

Current wording

The following summarizes some of the risks and uncertainties that may adversely affect the Company’s financial condition, results of operations, capital, liquidity, business prospects and/or share price. It is provided for convenience and should be read together with the more expansive explanations below this summary.

Previous wording

•Significant budget deficits and pension funding and revenue shortfalls of certain state and local governments and entities that issue obligations the Company insures.

Current wording

•Significant budget deficits and pension funding and revenue shortfalls of certain public finance obligors that issue obligations the Company insures.

Previous wording

•Downgrades to the U.S. government’s sovereign credit ratings, or to the credit ratings of instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities.

Current wording

•Higher U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio and/or downgrades to the U.S. government’s sovereign credit ratings, or to the credit ratings of instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities.

Previous wording

•Credit losses and interest rate changes adversely affecting the Company’s investments.

Current wording

•The effect of credit losses and interest rate changes on the Company’s investments.

Previous wording

•The Company’s investments in Sound Point are subject to the risks faced by asset managers generally and the risks of Sound Point’s investment business more specifically.

Current wording

•The Company’s investments in Sound Point.

Previous wording

•Minority ownership interests and inability to control the business, management or policies of such interests.

Current wording

•Minority ownership interests and the inability to control the business, management or policies of such interests.

Previous wording

•A sudden need to raise additional capital as a result of insurance losses or as a result of changes in regulatory or rating agency capital requirements applicable to its insurance companies, at a time when additional capital may not be available or may be available only on unfavorable terms.

Current wording

•A sudden need to raise additional capital as a result of insurance losses or as a result of changes in regulatory or rating agency capital requirements applicable to its insurance subsidiaries at a time when additional capital may not be available or may be available only on unfavorable terms.

Previous wording

The Company’s holding companies’ ability to meet their obligations may be constrained.

Current wording

•Constraints on the Company’s holding companies' ability to meet their obligations.

Previous wording

Changes in U.S. tax laws could reduce the demand or profitability of financial guaranty insurance, or negatively impact the Company’s investments.

Current wording

•The impacts of changes in U.S. tax laws on the demand or profitability of financial guaranty insurance and the Company’s investments.

Previous wording

•U.S. Persons holding AGL’s shares may be subject to adverse tax consequences if AGL is considered to be a PFIC for U.S. federal income tax purposes.

Current wording

•Adverse tax consequences to U.S. Persons holding AGL’s shares if AGL is considered to be a PFIC for U.S. federal income tax purposes.

Previous wording

An ownership change under Section 382 of the Code could have adverse U.S. federal tax consequences.

Current wording

•U.S. federal tax consequences of an ownership change under Section 382 of the Code.

Previous wording

A change in AGL’s U.K. tax residence or its ability to otherwise qualify for the benefits of income tax treaties to which the U.K. is a party could adversely affect an investment in AGL’s common shares.

Current wording

•A change in AGL’s U.K. tax residence or its ability to otherwise qualify for the benefits of income tax treaties to which the U.K. is a party.

Previous wording

Changes in U.K. tax law or in AGL’s ability to satisfy all the conditions for exemption from U.K. taxation on dividend income or capital gains in respect of its direct subsidiaries could affect an investment in AGL’s common shares.

Current wording

•Changes in U.K. tax law or in AGL’s ability to satisfy all the conditions for exemption from U.K. taxation on dividend income or capital gains in respect of its direct subsidiaries.

Previous wording

•An adverse adjustment under U.K. legislation governing the taxation of U.K. tax resident holding companies on the profits of their non-U.K. subsidiaries adversely affecting Assured Guaranty's tax liability.

Current wording

•An adverse adjustment under U.K. legislation governing the taxation of U.K. tax resident holding companies on the profits of their non-U.K. subsidiaries.

Previous wording

•An adverse adjustment under U.K. transfer pricing legislation could adversely impact Assured Guaranty’s tax liability.

Current wording

•An adverse adjustment under U.K. transfer pricing legislation.

Previous wording

•Assured Guaranty’s financial results may be affected by measures taken in response to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) project.

Current wording

•Measures taken in response to the OECD Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) project.

Previous wording

•Changes in or inability to comply with applicable law and regulations.

Current wording

•The impact of changes in or inability to comply with applicable law and regulations.

Previous wording

•Legislation, regulation or litigation arising out of the struggles of distressed obligors.

Current wording

•Legislation, regulation, legal or regulatory determinations, or litigation arising out of struggles of distressed obligors.

Previous wording

•An inability to obtain accurate and timely financial information from Sound Point and other alternative investment managers, including AHP, may impair the Company’s ability to comply with reporting obligations.

Current wording

•The inability to obtain accurate and timely financial information from Sound Point or other alternative investment managers.

Previous wording

•Changes in the fair value of the Company’s insured credit derivatives portfolio, certain of its investments, its committed capital securities (CCS), its FG VIEs, its CIVs, and/or the Company’s decision to consolidate or deconsolidate one or more FG VIEs and/or CIVs during a financial reporting period, subjecting its financial condition and results of operations to volatility.

Current wording

•Changes in the fair value of the Company’s insured credit derivatives portfolio, certain of its investments, its committed capital securities (CCS), its FG VIEs, and/or the consolidation or deconsolidation of one or more FG VIEs during a financial reporting period.

Previous wording

•Provisions in the Code and AGL’s Bye-Laws reducing or increasing the voting rights of its common shares.

Current wording

•Provisions in the Code and AGL’s Bye-Laws reducing the voting rights of its common shares.

Previous wording

Developments in the U.S. and global financial markets and economy generally may adversely affect the Company’s financial condition, results of operations, capital, liquidity, business prospects and share price.

Current wording

Developments in the global financial markets, political systems and the economy generally may adversely affect the Company’s financial condition, results of operations, capital, liquidity, business prospects and share price.

Previous wording

In recent years, the global financial markets and economy generally have been impacted by changes in inflation and interest rates, and political events such as trade confrontations between the U.S. and China. The global economic and political systems also have been impacted by events in the Middle East and Eastern Europe (including events in the Ukraine), as well as Southeast Asia and South America, and could be impacted by other events in the future, including natural and man-made events and disasters.

Current wording

In recent years, global financial markets, political systems and the economy generally have been impacted by changes in inflation and interest rates, governmental policies and geopolitical events such as strategic competition and trade confrontations between the U.S. and China, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, conflict in the Middle East, and events in Southeast Asia, including tensions between China and Taiwan and provocative actions taken by North Korea, and could be impacted by other natural and man-made events in the future, such as trade protectionism through tariffs.

Previous wording

These and other risks could materially and negatively affect the Company’s ability to access the capital markets, the cost of the Company’s debt, the demand for its credit enhancement products, the amount of losses incurred on transactions it guarantees, the value and performance of its investments (including those that are accounted for as CIVs), the Company’s earnings from its investment in Sound Point, the capital and liquidity position and financial strength and enhancement ratings of its insurance subsidiaries, and the price of its common shares.

Current wording

These and other risks could materially and negatively affect the Company’s ability to access the capital markets, the cost of the Company’s debt, the demand for its credit enhancement products, the amount of losses incurred on transactions it guarantees, the value and performance of its investments, the Company’s earnings from its ownership interest in Sound Point, the capital and liquidity position and financial strength and enhancement ratings of its insurance subsidiaries, and the price of its common shares.

Previous wording

Some of the state and local governments and entities that issue obligations the Company insures are experiencing significant budget deficits and pension funding and revenue shortfalls that could result in increased credit losses or liquidity claims and increased rating agency capital charges on those insured obligations.

Current wording

Some of the public finance obligors that have issued obligations insured or reinsured by the Company are experiencing significant budget, pension and revenue shortfalls, and difficulties in obtaining additional financing, that could result in increased credit losses or liquidity claims and increased rating agency capital charges on those insured obligations.

Previous wording

Some of the state, territorial, and local governments that issue the obligations the Company insures are experiencing significant budget deficits and pension funding and revenue collection shortfalls. Certain territorial or local governments, including ones that have issued obligations insured by the Company, have sought protection from creditors under Chapter 9 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code, or, in the case of Puerto Rico, the similar provisions of the Puerto Rico Oversight, Management, and Economic Stability Act (PROMESA), as a means of restructuring their outstanding debt. In some instances where local governments were seeking to restructure their outstanding debt, pension and other obligations owed to workers were treated more favorably than senior bond debt owed to the capital markets. If the issuers of the obligations in the Company’s public finance portfolio do not have sufficient funds to cover their expenses and are unable or unwilling to raise taxes, decrease spending or receive federal assistance, the Company may experience increased levels of losses or liquidity claims on its insured public finance obligations.

Current wording

Certain territorial or local governments, including ones that have issued obligations insured or reinsured by the Company, have sought protection from creditors under Chapter 9 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code, or, in the case of Puerto Rico, the similar provisions of the Puerto Rico Oversight, Management, and Economic Stability Act (PROMESA), as a means of restructuring their outstanding debt. In some instances where local governments were seeking to restructure their outstanding debt, pension and other obligations owed to workers were treated more favorably than senior bond debt owed to the capital markets. If the issuers of the obligations in the Company’s public finance portfolio do not have sufficient funds to cover their expenses and are unable or unwilling to raise taxes, decrease spending, or receive federal assistance, the Company may experience increased levels of losses or liquidity claims on its insured public finance obligations.

Previous wording

In addition, obligations supported by revenue streams, which may include both revenue and non-revenue bonds, such as those issued by toll road authorities, municipal utilities, airport authorities or mass transit, may be adversely affected by revenue declines resulting from reduced demand, changing demographics, evolving business practices that began during the COVID-19 pandemic including hybrid work models, telecommuting, video conferencing and other alternative work arrangements, or other causes. These obligations, which may not necessarily benefit from financial support from other tax revenues or governmental authorities, may also experience increased losses if the revenue streams are insufficient to pay scheduled interest and principal payments.

Current wording

Obligations supported by revenue streams, which may include both revenue and non-revenue bonds, such as those issued by healthcare facilities, toll road authorities, municipal utilities, airport authorities or mass transit, may be adversely affected by revenue declines resulting from reduced demand, changing demographics, evolving business practices including hybrid work models, telecommuting, and other alternative work arrangements, or other causes. These obligations may also be adversely affected by increased costs resulting from operational strain, high financing costs and other capital constraints. These obligations, which may not necessarily benefit from financial support from other tax revenues or governmental authorities, may experience increased losses if the revenue streams are insufficient to pay scheduled interest and principal payments and the obligors are unable or unwilling to increase utility rates or revenues, decrease costs, or obtain other additional financing.

Previous wording

The Company is exposed to the risk that issuers of obligations that it insures or other counterparties may default on their financial obligations, whether as a result of insolvency, lack of liquidity, operational failure (whether related to cybersecurity incidents, fraud, mismanagement or otherwise) or other reasons, and the amount of insurance exposure the Company has to some risks is quite large. The Company seeks to reduce this risk by managing exposure to large single risks, as well as concentrations of correlated risks, through tracking its aggregate exposure to single risks in its various lines of insurance business and establishing underwriting criteria to manage risk aggregations. Should the Company's risk assessments prove inaccurate and should the applicable limits prove inadequate, the Company could be exposed to larger than anticipated losses, and could be required by the rating agencies to hold additional capital against insured exposures whether or not downgraded by the rating agencies. The Company’s ultimate exposure to a single risk may exceed its underwriting guidelines (caused by, for example, acquisitions, reassumptions, accretion or amortization of the portfolio faster than the single risk).

Current wording

The Company is exposed to the risk that issuers of obligations that it insures or other counterparties may default on their financial obligations, whether as a result of insolvency, lack of liquidity, operational failure (whether related to cybersecurity incidents, mismanagement, fraud or otherwise) or other reasons, and the amount of insurance exposure the Company has to some risks is quite large. The Company seeks to reduce this risk by managing exposure to large single risks, as well as concentrations of correlated risks, through tracking its aggregate exposure to single risks in its various lines of insurance business and establishing underwriting criteria to manage risk aggregations. However, in certain cases, the Company’s ultimate exposure to a single risk may exceed its underwriting guidelines (caused by, for example, bond accretion exceeding the risk limitation, acquisitions, reassumptions or other strategic exceptions). Should the Company's risk assessments prove inaccurate and/or should the applicable limits prove inadequate, the Company could be exposed to larger than anticipated losses, and could be required by the rating agencies to hold additional capital against insured exposures whether or not downgraded by the rating agencies.

Previous wording

The Company is exposed to correlation risk across its insured exposures and in its investment portfolio. During periods of strong macroeconomic performance, stress in an individual transaction generally occurs for idiosyncratic reasons or as a result of issues in a single sector. During a broad economic downturn or in the face of a significant natural or man-made event or disaster (such as the COVID-19 pandemic or events in Ukraine and the Middle East), a wider range of the Company’s insurance and investments could be exposed to stress at the same time. This stress may manifest itself in any or all of the following: ratings downgrades of insured risks, which may require more capital in the Company’s insurance subsidiaries; a reduction in the value of the Company’s investments; and actual defaults and losses in its insurance portfolio, investments and / or CIVs.

Current wording

The Company is exposed to correlation risk across its insured exposures and in its investment portfolio. During periods of strong macroeconomic performance, stress in an individual transaction generally occurs for idiosyncratic reasons or as a result of issues in a single sector. During a broad economic downturn or in the face of a significant natural or man-made event or disaster (such as the COVID-19 pandemic), a wider range of the Company’s insurance and investments could be exposed to stress at the same time. This stress may manifest itself in any or all of the following: ratings downgrades of insured risks, which may require more capital in the Company’s insurance subsidiaries; a reduction in the value of the Company’s investments; and actual defaults and losses in its insurance portfolio and/or investments.

Previous wording

Losses on insured exposures significantly in excess of those expected by the Company could have a negative effect on the Company’s financial condition, results of operations, capital, business prospects and share price. Certain issuers have defaulted on their debt service payments, and the Company has paid claims on them. The total net expected loss the Company calculates related to such exposures is net of credit for estimated recoveries on claims already paid, and recoveries significantly below those expected by the Company could also have a negative effect on the Company’s financial condition, results of operations, capital, liquidity, business prospects and share prices. Additional information about the Company’s exposure and legal actions related to that exposure may be found in, Part II, Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, Note 3, Outstanding Exposure.

Current wording

Losses on insured exposures significantly in excess of those expected by the Company could have a negative effect on the Company’s financial condition, results of operations, capital, business prospects and share price. Certain issuers have defaulted on their debt service payments, and the Company has paid claims on them. The total net expected loss the Company calculates related to such exposures is net of a credit for estimated recoveries on claims already paid, and recoveries significantly below those expected by the Company could also have a negative effect on the Company’s financial condition, results of operations, capital, liquidity, business prospects and share prices. Additional information about the Company’s exposure and legal actions related to that exposure may be found in Part II, Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, Note 4, Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered).

Previous wording

Downgrades to the U.S. government’s sovereign credit ratings, or to the credit ratings of instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, could result in a deterioration in general economic conditions, increased credit losses in the Company’s insured portfolio, impairments or losses in its investment portfolio, and other risks to the Company and its credit ratings that the Company is not able to predict.

Current wording

A higher U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio and/or downgrades to the U.S. government’s sovereign credit ratings, or to the credit ratings of instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, could result in a deterioration in general economic conditions, increased credit losses in the Company’s insured portfolio, impairments or losses in its investment portfolio, and other risks to the Company and its credit ratings that the Company is not able to predict.

Previous wording

In the U.S., debt ceiling and budget deficit concerns, which have increased the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown, payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings, could weaken the U.S. dollar, global economy and banking system, cause market volatility, raise the cost of credit, negatively impact the Company’s insured and investment portfolios, and disrupt general economic conditions in ways that the Company is not able to predict, which could materially and adversely affect the Company’s business, financial condition and results of operations. While rating agencies currently permit sub-sovereign and corporate credits in the U.S. to be rated higher than sovereign credits, in the event that the U.S. government is downgraded and if the rating agencies no longer permit sub-sovereign and/or corporate credit ratings to be higher than the U.S. government, the resulting downgrades could result in a material adverse impact to the Company’s credit ratings and its insurance and investment portfolios.

Current wording

In the U.S., debt ceiling and budget deficit concerns, which have increased the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown, payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings, could weaken the U.S. dollar, global economy and banking system, cause market volatility, raise the cost of credit, reduce public investment, increase interest rates and inflation, negatively impact the Company’s insured and investment portfolios, and disrupt general economic conditions in ways that the Company is not able to predict, which could materially and adversely affect the Company’s business, financial condition and results of operations. While rating agencies currently permit sub-sovereign and corporate credits in the U.S. to be rated higher than sovereign credits, in the event that the U.S. government is downgraded and if the rating agencies no longer permit sub-sovereign and/or corporate credit ratings to be higher than the U.S. government, the resulting downgrades could result in a material adverse impact to the Company’s credit ratings and its insurance and investment portfolios.

Previous wording

The Company may be exposed to a higher risk of default of U.S. public finance obligations in connection with a U.S. government default. While the Company historically has experienced low levels of defaults in its U.S. public finance insured portfolio, from time-to-time state and local governments that issue some of the obligations the Company insures have reported budget shortfalls that have required them to raise taxes and/or cut spending in order to satisfy their obligations. While there has been support provided by the U.S. federal government designed to provide aid to state and local governments, including during the COVID-19 pandemic, certain state and local governments remain under financial stress. If the issuers of the obligations in the Company’s U.S. public finance insurance portfolio are reliant on financial assistance from the U.S. government in order to meet their obligations, and the U.S. government does not provide such assistance, the Company may experience credit losses or impairments on those obligations.

Current wording

The Company may be exposed to a higher risk of default of U.S. public finance obligations in connection with a U.S. government default. While the Company historically has experienced low levels of defaults in its U.S. public finance insured portfolio, from time-to-time state and local governments that issue some of the obligations the Company insures have reported budget shortfalls that have required them to raise taxes and/or cut spending in order to satisfy their obligations. While there has been support provided by the U.S. federal government designed to provide aid to state and local governments, certain state and local governments remain under financial stress. If the issuers of the obligations in the Company’s U.S. public finance insurance portfolio are reliant on financial assistance from the U.S. government in order to meet their obligations, and the U.S. government does not provide such assistance, the Company may experience credit losses or impairments on those obligations.

Previous wording

A downgrade of the U.S. government may also result in higher interest rates, which could adversely affect the distressed RMBS that are in the Company’s insured portfolio, reduce the market value of the fixed-maturity securities held in the Company’s investment portfolio and dampen municipal bond issuance.

Current wording

A higher U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio and/or downgrade of the U.S. government may also result in higher interest rates, which could adversely affect the distressed RMBS that are in the Company’s insured portfolio, reduce the market value of the fixed-maturity securities held in the Company’s investment portfolio and dampen municipal bond issuance.

Previous wording

Demand for financial guaranty insurance generally fluctuates with changes in market credit spreads. Credit spreads, which are based on the difference between interest rates on high-quality or “risk free” securities versus those on lower-rated securities, fluctuate due to a number of factors, and are sensitive to the absolute level of interest rates, current credit experience and investors’ risk appetite. When interest rates are low, or when the market is relatively less risk averse, the credit spread between high-quality or insured obligations versus lower-rated obligations typically narrows. As a result, financial guaranty insurance typically provides lower interest cost savings to issuers than it would during periods of relatively wider credit spreads. Issuers are less likely to use financial guaranties on their new issues when credit spreads are narrow, so (absent other factors) this results in decreased demand or premiums obtainable for financial guaranty insurance.

Current wording

Demand for financial guaranty insurance generally fluctuates with changes in market credit spreads. Credit spreads, which are based on the difference between interest rates on high-quality or “risk free” securities versus those on lower-rated securities, fluctuate due to a number of factors, and are sensitive to the absolute level of interest rates, current credit experience and investors’ risk appetite. When the bond market is less volatile or is relatively less risk averse, the credit spread between high-quality or insured obligations versus lower-rated obligations typically narrows. As a result, financial guaranty insurance typically provides lower interest cost savings to issuers than it would during periods of relatively wider credit spreads. Issuers are less likely to use financial guaranties on their new issues when credit spreads are narrow, so (absent other factors) this results in decreased demand or premiums obtainable for financial guaranty insurance.

Previous wording

The Company’s results of operations are affected by the performance of its investments, which primarily consist of fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments. As of December 31, 2023, fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments held by the Company had a fair value of approximately $8.3 billion. Credit losses on the Company’s investments adversely affect the Company’s financial condition and results of operations by reducing net income and shareholders’ equity. Alternative investments, including the Company’s equity method investment in Sound Point, Loss Mitigation Securities and CVIs may be more susceptible to credit losses than most of the rest of the Company’s fixed-maturity portfolio.

Current wording

The Company’s results of operations are affected by the performance of its investments, which primarily consist of fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments. As of December 31, 2024, fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments held by the Company had a fair value of approximately $7.7 billion. Credit losses on the Company’s investments adversely affect the Company’s financial condition and results of operations by reducing net income and shareholders’ equity. Alternative investments, including the Company’s equity method ownership interest in Sound Point, Loss Mitigation Securities and CVIs may be more susceptible to credit losses than most of the rest of the Company’s fixed-maturity portfolio.

Previous wording

The impact of changes in interest rates may also adversely affect both the Company’s financial condition and results of operations. For example, if interest rates decline, funds reinvested will have a lower yield than expected, reducing the Company’s future investment income compared to the amount it would earn if interest rates had not declined. However, the value of the Company’s fixed-rate investments would generally increase, resulting in an unrealized gain on investments and improving the Company’s financial condition. Conversely, if interest rates increase, the Company’s results of operations would improve as a result of higher future reinvestment income, but its financial condition would be adversely affected, since value of the fixed-rate investments generally would be reduced.

Current wording

The impact of changes in interest rates may also adversely affect both the Company’s financial condition and results of operations. For example, if interest rates decline, the value of the Company’s existing fixed-rate investments would generally be expected to increase, resulting in an unrealized gain on investments and improving the Company’s financial condition. At the same time, funds reinvested in new fixed rate investments will have a lower expected yield, reducing the Company’s future investment income compared to the amount it would have earned if interest rates had not declined. Conversely, if interest rates increase, the Company’s future results of operations could improve because of higher future reinvestment income from its new fixed rate investments, but its financial condition could be adversely affected since value of the fixed-rate investments generally would be reduced. Regarding the Company’s existing floating rate investments, as interest rates decline or increase, income from such investments will generally decrease or increase, respectively, while the value of such investments may or may not experience a material gain or loss commensurate with changes in prevailing interest rates.

Previous wording

The financial guaranties issued by the Company’s insurance subsidiaries insure the credit performance of the guaranteed obligations over an extended period of time, in some cases over 30 years, and, in most circumstances, the Company has no right to cancel such financial guaranties. As a result, the Company’s estimate of ultimate losses to be paid (recovered) on a policy is subject to significant uncertainty over the life of the insured transaction. Additionally, even after the Company pays a claim on its financial guaranties (or determines no claim is owing), subsequent related litigation may result in additional losses. If the Company’s actual losses exceed its current estimate, the Company’s financial condition, results of operations, capital, liquidity, business prospects, financial strength ratings and ability to raise additional capital may all be adversely affected.

Current wording

The financial guaranties issued by the Company’s insurance subsidiaries insure the credit performance of the guaranteed obligations over an extended period of time, in some cases over 30 years, and, in most circumstances, the Company has no right to cancel such financial guaranties. As a result, the Company’s estimate of ultimate losses to be paid (recovered) on a policy is subject to significant uncertainty over the life of the insured transaction. Additionally, even after the Company pays a claim on its financial guaranties (or determines no claim is owing), subsequent related litigation may result in additional losses. If the Company’s actual losses exceed its current estimate, the Company’s financial condition, results of operations, capital, liquidity, business prospects, financial strength ratings, ability to raise additional capital and share price may all be adversely affected.

Previous wording

The Company’s expected loss models and reserve assumptions take into account current and expected future trends, which contemplate the impact of current and possible developments in the performance of the exposure and any related legal proceedings. These factors, which are integral elements of the Company's reserve estimation methodology, are updated on a quarterly basis based on current information. Also, in some instances, the Company may not be able to reasonably estimate the amount or range of loss that could result from an unfavorable outcome of a legal proceeding based on the information available at the stage of the legal proceeding or its estimate may prove to be materially different than the actual results. Loss models and reserve assumptions may be impacted by changes to interest rates due both to discounting and transaction structures that include floating rates, which could impact the calculation of expected losses. Because such information changes over time, sometimes materially, the Company’s projection of losses and its related reserves may also change materially. Much of the recent development in the Company’s loss projections and reserves relate to the Company’s insured Puerto Rico exposures.

Current wording

The Company’s expected loss models and reserve assumptions take into account current and expected future trends, which contemplate the impact of current and possible developments in the performance of the exposure and any related legal proceedings. These factors, which are integral elements of the Company's reserve estimation methodology, are updated on a quarterly basis based on current information. Also, in some instances, the Company may not be able to reasonably estimate the amount or range of loss that could result from an unfavorable outcome of a legal proceeding based on the information available at the stage of the legal proceeding or its estimate may prove to be materially different than the actual results. Loss models and reserve assumptions may be impacted by changes to interest rates due both to discounting and transaction structures that include floating rates, which could impact the calculation of expected losses. Because such information changes over time, sometimes materially, the Company’s projection of losses and its related reserves may also change materially.

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Rearranged current paragraphs (4)

Current report — wording carried from elsewhere

•The subjectivity of the valuation of many of the Company’s assets and liabilities.

Current report — wording carried from elsewhere

•Limitations on the ability of AGL and its subsidiaries to meet their liquidity needs.

Current report — wording carried from elsewhere

•AGL may, and AG Re and AGRO will, become subject to taxes in Bermuda.

Current report — wording carried from elsewhere

AGL and its non-U.S. subsidiaries for a taxable year, even if such income is not distributed and may be subject to U.S. federal income tax on a portion of any gain upon a sale or other disposition of its shares at ordinary income tax rates.
Rearranged previous paragraphs (10)

Previous report — wording carried elsewhere

•Alternative investments not resulting in the benefits anticipated.

Previous report — wording carried elsewhere

Expansion of the categories and types of the Company’s investments (including those accounted for as CIVs), including allocations of investments to Sound Point and the exclusivity arrangement with Sound Point, may expose it to increased credit, interest rate, liquidity and other risks.

Previous report — wording carried elsewhere

Estimates of expected insurance losses to be paid (recovered), including losses with respect to related legal proceedings, are subject to uncertainties and actual amounts may be different, causing the Company to reserve either too little or too much for future losses.

Previous report — wording carried elsewhere

The valuation of many of the Company’s assets and liabilities includes methodologies, estimates and assumptions that are subject to differing interpretations and could result in changes to valuations of the Company’s assets and liabilities that may materially adversely affect the Company’s financial condition, results of operations, capital, business prospects and share price.

Previous report — wording carried elsewhere

Alternative investments may not result in the benefits anticipated.

Previous report — wording carried elsewhere

Some of the Company’s non-U.S. operations expose it to less predictable political, credit and legal risks.

Previous report — wording carried elsewhere

Significant claim payments may reduce the Company’s liquidity.

Previous report — wording carried elsewhere

The ability of AGL and its subsidiaries to meet their liquidity needs may be limited.

Previous report — wording carried elsewhere

AGL may, and AG Re and AGRO will, become subject to taxes in Bermuda, which may adversely affect the Company’s future results of operations and an investment in the Company.

Previous report — wording carried elsewhere

Applicable insurance laws may make it difficult to effect a change of control of AGL.