CareDx Inc
For the period ended Dec 31, 2024. Filed Feb 28, 2025.
View on SEC.govAbout this filing
A company's yearly report to the SEC, with audited financial statements. It is the fullest account a company gives of its business, its finances and the risks it sees.
FY2024 · Filed Feb 28, 2025
CDNA$84.42+7.5%Stored close · as of Nov 9, 2026
What changed in Risk Factors?
Read the current filingPrevious report: 10-K
Period ended 2023-12-31; filed 2024-02-28.
0001217234-24-000033
Item 1A. Risk FactorsCurrent report: 10-K
Period ended 2024-12-31; filed 2025-02-28.
0001217234-25-000012
Item 1A. Risk FactorsThe baseline is this issuer’s latest earlier reporting period of the same form that was filed before the current report. A previous 10-Q is a different quarter, not a year-over-year comparison. Amendments are excluded.
Compared 477 previous paragraphs and 418 current paragraphs.
324 unchanged; 86 reworded; 6 added; 58 removed; 9 previous and 2 current paragraphs rearranged.
Tables are not compared: 0 previous and 0 current tables excluded. Dates, whitespace, punctuation and numbering changes are ignored; changes to financial figures remain significant.
A changed paragraph is not evidence that risk increased or decreased. An unchanged paragraph does not establish that risk stayed the same.
Added paragraphs (6)
Current report
On August 10, 2023, MolDX and Noridian released a draft proposed revision to the LCD (DL38568, Palmetto; DL38629, Noridian) that, if adopted, would revise the existing foundational LCD, MolDX: Molecular Testing for Solid Organ Allograft Rejection (L38568 and L38629). On August 16, 2024, CMS issued a press release entitled “MolDX Local Coverage Determination Statement,” announcing that after careful consideration of the feedback received from interested parties, as well as the public comments and further review of evidence, the Medicare Administrative Contractors, or MACs, decided not to finalize the proposed LCD issued on August 10, 2023. CMS further stated that due to the importance of identifying solid organ allograft rejection early and to ensure the public has additional opportunities to comment on the policy, the MACs intend to issue a new LCD in the coming months. CMS stated that neither it nor the MACs have changed coverage for the blood tests that monitor for organ transplantation rejection when ordered by their physicians in medically appropriate circumstances, and explained that transplant patients would continue to have access to these blood tests, including: when there are signs or symptoms of rejection; after a physician-assessed pretest, including for surveillance testing; after an indeterminate biopsy; as a replacement for a biopsy when deemed clinically appropriate by the patient’s qualified physician; and for evaluation of the adequacy of immunosuppression.
Current report
•risks related to our operations in Russia and Iran, including restrictions on our access to banking services, changes in the U.S., EU or other sanctions laws that limit financial transactions or increase or compliance burden and potential legal exposure and counterparty risk;
Current report
Disputes with labor unions may adversely affect our ability to operate in our Sweden facility and may impact our financial results.
Current report
Our production group in Sweden is represented by an IF Metall collective bargaining agreement. Our failure to successfully renegotiate this labor agreement as it expires could lead to work stoppages or other disputes with labor unions. Our manufacturing facility in Sweden is used to support the production, packaging and labeling of our proprietary test kits: Olerup SSP, QTYPE, AlloSeq cfDNA and HCT. Disruptions to our manufacturing facility through various forms of labor disputes could adversely affect us. Any strike, work stoppage, or other dispute with a labor union distracts management from operating the business, may displace employees from ordinary job positions to fill in vacant positions, may affect our reputation, and could materially adversely affect our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
Current report
For AlloSure Kidney and other similar testing solutions, if required by the FDA or if new laws are enacted we may be required to conduct additional analytical studies and clinical trials to demonstrate clinical validity and safety and effectiveness of our tests, and submit to the FDA a premarket approval application, or PMA, or 510(k) premarket notification application. We would need to obtain FDA approval or clearance for any existing tests currently offered as LDTs, and subsequent to commercialization of any new tests. There can be no assurance that any of our tests or additional uses of our tests for which we seek clearance or approval in the future will be cleared or approved on a timely basis, or at all, and there can be no assurance that labeling claims will be consistent with our current claims or adequate to support continued adoption of and reimbursement for our current and future tests. Moreover, any new FDA or regulatory requirements could complicate our compliance efforts.
Current report
Specifically, we determined that insufficient risk assessment was performed to identify risks related to complex and/or non-routine transactions and financial reporting personnel failed to perform control activities and to provide necessary oversight and monitoring of the accounting and reporting of complex and/or non-routine transactions. This control deficiency creates a reasonable possibility that a material misstatement of our consolidated financial statements would not be prevented or detected on a timely basis and constitutes a material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting. This material weakness resulted in immaterial corrected errors in the reporting of stock-based compensation expense as presented within Part II - Item 9B of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Removed paragraphs (58)
Previous report
In March and May 2023, MolDX issued new billing articles related to the LCD entitled Molecular Testing for Solid Organ Allograft Rejection. The billing article issued in May 2023, or the Revised Billing Article, and together with the billing article issued in March 2023, the Billing Articles, impacted Medicare coverage for AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Heart, AlloMap Heart and AlloSure Lung, and required certain companies, including us, to implement new processes to address the requirements related to Medicare claim submissions. Noridian adopted the Revised Billing Article on August 17, 2023, with a retroactive effective date of March 31, 2023.
Previous report
Although we believe the Billing Articles are inconsistent with the LCDs, Noridian’s and MolDX’s responses to public comments explaining the intended scope of various LCDs, and medical necessity, we determined to pause our Medicare reimbursement submissions for AlloSure Kidney commencing on March 7, 2023 to allow us further time to evaluate the implications of the Billing Article and update our billing processes for AlloSure Kidney tests by educating clinicians and working with centers to update our test order forms to capture the new information required under the Billing Article. Accordingly, we did not submit claims for approximately 3,200 AlloSure Kidney tests for Medicare reimbursement for the period from March 7, 2023 through March 31, 2023 and did not recognize revenue on these claims in the first quarter of 2023 aggregating to approximately $8.9 million, or the Impacted March Tests.
Previous report
On May 18, 2023, we submitted a letter to Noridian explaining, among other things, (i) our belief that the Billing Articles impose new restrictions on Medicare coverage for the CareDx tests from those contained in the existing LCDs, (ii) that we planned to submit claims for reimbursement for the Impacted March Tests for which we had not obtained additional information from the ordering physicians to be able to specifically determine whether these tests meet the new coverage restrictions contained in the Billing Articles, and (iii) that AlloSure Kidney orders with a date of service on or after March 31, 2023 for other indications outside the parameters of the Revised Billing Article, or where the reason for testing is not specified by the ordering physician, will either not be billed pending the receipt of additional information regarding whether the orders meet the coverage restrictions contained in the Revised Billing Article or be submitted with a test description that is intended to identify those tests as falling outside the parameters of the Revised Billing Article. Following the submission of this letter to Noridian on May 18, 2023, we submitted claims for reimbursement for the Impacted March Tests for which we subsequently received payment from Noridian and recognized revenue totaling approximately $7.8 million in the second quarter of 2023.
Previous report
On August 10, 2023, MolDX and Noridian released a draft proposed revision to the LCD (DL38568, Palmetto; DL38629, Noridian) that, if adopted, would revise the existing foundational LCD, MolDX: Molecular Testing for Solid Organ Allograft Rejection (L38568 and L38629). On August 14, 2023, MolDX released a draft billing article (DA58019) to accompany the proposed draft LCD, which generally reflected the changes in coverage included in the Revised Billing Article. The comment period end date for this proposed LCD was September 23, 2023. We presented at public meetings regarding the proposed draft LCD held on September 18, 2023 and September 20, 2023, with MolDX and Noridian, respectively. We also submitted written comments on the proposed draft LCD.
Previous report
For new diagnostic testing services, each private and government payer decides whether to cover the test, the amount it will reimburse for a covered test and the specific conditions for reimbursement. Clinicians and recipients may not be likely to order a diagnostic test unless third-party payers pay a substantial portion of the test price. Therefore, coverage determinations and reimbursement levels and conditions are critical to the commercial success of a diagnostic testing service, and if we are not able to secure positive coverage determinations and reimbursement levels, our business will be materially adversely affected.
Previous report
Any third-party payer may stop or lower payment at any time, which could substantially reduce our revenue. See the risk factor above titled “We receive a substantial portion of our revenues from Medicare, and the loss of, or a significant reduction in, reimbursement from Medicare would severely and adversely affect our financial performance”.
Previous report
Since each payer makes its own decision as to whether to establish a policy to reimburse for a test, seeking payer coverage and other approvals is a time-consuming and costly process. We cannot be certain that adequate coverage and reimbursement for AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, or future solutions will be provided in the future by any third-party payer.
Previous report
Reimbursement for AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart and AlloSure Heart comes primarily from Medicare and private third-party payers such as insurance companies and managed care organizations. The reimbursement process can take six months or more to complete depending on the payer and a new LCD through Medicare takes approximately 18 months. See the discussion regarding the Billing Articles underthe risk factor above titled “We receive a substantial portion of our revenues from Medicare, and the loss of, or a significant reduction in, reimbursement from Medicare would severely and adversely affect our financial performance”.
Previous report
Coverage policies approving AlloMap Heart have been adopted by many of the largest private payers. Many of the payers with positive coverage policies have also entered into contracts with us to formalize pricing and payment terms. We continue to work with third-party payers to expand and seek such coverage and to appeal denial decisions based on existing and ongoing studies, peer-reviewed publications, support from physician and patient groups and the growing number of AlloMap Heart tests that have been reimbursed by public and private payers. There are no assurances that the current policies will not be modified in the future. If our test is considered on a policy-wide level by major third-party payers, whether at our request or on their own initiative, and our test is determined to be ineligible for coverage and reimbursement by such payers, if we do not submit for Medicare reimbursement for AlloSure Kidney for certain prior or future periods or if the Billing Articles continue to limit Medicare reimbursement for AlloSure Heart or AlloMap Heart, our collection efforts and potential for revenue growth could be adversely impacted.
Previous report
Our Medicare Part B coverage for AlloSure Kidney and AlloMap Heart is included in a formal local coverage decision for molecular diagnostics. However, any change in this coverage decision or other future adverse coverage decisions by CMS, including with respect to coding or as a result of the Billing Articles, could substantially reduce our revenue.
Previous report
Medicare reimbursements currently comprise a significant portion of our revenue. Our current Medicare Part B reimbursement was not set pursuant to a national coverage determination by CMS. Although we believe that coverage is available under Medicare Part B even without such a determination, we currently lack the national coverage certainty afforded by a formal coverage determination by CMS. This means that Medicare contractors, including our California Medicare contractor, currently may continue to develop their own coverage and reimbursement policies with respect to our technology.
Previous report
Until 2016, AlloMap Heart was billed using an unlisted Current Procedural Terminology, or CPT, code, but in 2016, a new CPT Category 1 Multianalyte Assays with Algorithmic Analyses, or MAAA, code was added that specifically describes the test. Further, pursuant to MolDX billing requirements, the AlloMap Heart test also has been assigned a McKesson Diagnostics Z-Code™, which is included on all Medicare claims.
Previous report
If in the future CMS makes a determination not to pay for this code, or for any MAAA codes, this could be harmful to our business, and could have negative spillover implications that prevent or limit coverage by other third-party payers that might mirror aspects of Medicare payment criteria.
Previous report
Since the launch of AlloSure Kidney in October 2016, and at the instruction of the MolDX Program of Palmetto, the test has been billed utilizing an unlisted CPT code. If in the future CMS makes a determination to no longer provide coverage for services billed with an unlisted CPT code, our ability to bill and obtain reimbursement from public and private payers could be negatively impacted. In addition, we received “Z” codes for AlloSure Kidney in order to submit for future Medicare reimbursement. Moreover, there can be no assurance that any of our tests or other offerings currently being promoted or on the market or being leveraged by clinicians or patients without FDA clearance or approval will continue to be allowed without such clearance or approval.
Previous report
On July 19, 2022, the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit affirmed the Court’s judgment dismissing our patent infringement suit against Natera. In May 2023, we submitted a petition of certiorari to the U.S. Supreme Court for consideration of the patent infringement suit and in October 2023, the U.S. Supreme Court declined to hear our suit.
Previous report
In addition, in response to our patent infringement suit filed against Natera on March 26, 2019, Natera filed suit against us on January 13, 2020 in the Court alleging, among other things, that AlloSure infringes Natera’s U.S. Patent 10,526,658. This case was consolidated with our patent infringement suit on February 4, 2020. On March 25, 2020, Natera filed an amendment to the suit alleging, among other things, that AlloSure also infringes Natera’s U.S. Patent 10,597,724. The suit seeks a judgment that we have infringed Natera’s patents, an order preliminarily and permanently enjoining us from any further infringement of such patents and unspecified damages. On May 13, 2022, Natera filed two new complaints alleging that AlloSure infringes Natera’s U.S. Patents 10,655,180 and 11,111,544. These two cases were consolidated with the patent infringement case on June 15, 2022. On May 17, 2022, Natera agreed to dismiss the case alleging infringement of Natera’s U.S. Patent 10,526,658. On September 6, 2022, we withdrew our motion to dismiss. On December 11, 2023, the Court dismissed Natera's U.S. Patent 10,597,724. Natera has appealed that decision. On January 26, 2024, following a five-day trial, a jury concluded that we did not infringe Natera's U.S. Patent 10,655,180 but did infringe Natera's U.S. Patent 11,111,544. The jury awarded Natera approximately $96.3 million in damages based on sales of AlloSure and AlloSeq between September 2021 and August 2023. Natera's U.S. Patent 11,111,544 expires in September 2026. We anticipate continued litigation as to whether our current AlloSure process infringes the patent. Natera may also move for injunctive relief. We intend to seek judicial review of the verdict and contest any potential claims of ongoing infringement and any motion for injunctive relief. We intend to defend these matters vigorously, and believe that we have good and substantial defenses to the claims alleged in the suits, but there is no guarantee that we will prevail.
Previous report
Furthermore, on May 23, 2022, Plumbers & Pipefitters Local Union #295 Pension Fund filed a federal securities class action inthe U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California against us; Reginald Seeto, our former President, Chief Executive Officer and member of our Board of Directors; Ankur Dhingra, our former Chief Financial Officer; Marcel Konrad, our former interim Chief Financial Officer and former Senior Vice President of Finance & Accounting; and Peter Maag, our former President, former Chief Executive Officer, former Chairman of our Board of Directors and current member of our Board of Directors. The action alleges that we and the individual defendants made materially false and/or misleading statements and/or omissions and that such statements violated Section 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or the Exchange Act, and Rule 10b-5 promulgated thereunder. The action also alleges that the individual defendants are liable pursuant to Section 20(a) of the Exchange Act as controlling persons of our Company. The suit seeks to recover damages caused by the alleged violations of federal securities laws, along with the plaintiffs’ costs incurred in the lawsuit, including their reasonable attorneys’ and experts’ witness fees and other costs.
Previous report
On August 25, 2022, the court appointed an investor group led by the Oklahoma Police Pension and Retirement System as lead plaintiffs and appointed Saxena White P.A. and Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP as lead counsels. Plaintiffs filed an amended complaint on November 28, 2022. On January 27, 2023, defendants moved to dismiss all claims and to strike certain allegations in the amended complaint. On May 24, 2023, the court granted our motion to strike and motion to dismiss, dismissing all claims against defendants with leave to amend. On June 28, 2023, plaintiffs filed a second amended complaint against us, Reginald Seeto, our former President, Chief Executive Officer and member of our Board of Directors; Ankur Dhingra, our former Chief Financial Officer; and Peter Maag, ourformer President, former Chief Executive Officer, former Chairman of our Board of Directors and current member of our Board of Directors. Under a briefing schedule ordered by the court on June 12, 2023, defendants filed a motion to dismiss and motion to strike the second amended complaint on July 26, 2023, plaintiffs’ opposition was filed on August 30, 2023 and defendants’ reply was filed on September 22, 2023. The court held oral argument on October 31, 2023. The parties filed a joint status statement with the court on February 15, 2024. We intend to defend ourselves vigorously, and believe that we have good and substantial defenses to the claims alleged in the suit, but there is no guarantee that we will prevail.
Previous report
Additionally, on September 21, 2022, Jeffrey Edelman brought a stockholder derivative action complaint in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California, or the Edelman Derivative Action, against us as nominal defendant and Reginald Seeto, our former President, Chief Executive Officer and member of our Board of Directors; Ankur Dhingra, our former Chief Financial Officer; Peter Maag, ourformer President, former Chief Executive Officer, former Chairman of our Board of Directors and current member of our Board of Directors; and the other members of our Board of Directors. The plaintiff alleges that the individual defendants breached their fiduciary duties as directors and/or officers of our Company and engaged in insider trading, waste of corporate assets, unjust enrichment and violations of Sections 14(a) and 20(a) of the Exchange Act. The action alleges that the individual defendants are liable pursuant to Section 20(a) of the Exchange Act as controlling persons of our Company. The suit seeks a declaration that the individual defendants breached their fiduciary duties to us, violated Sections 14(a) and 20(a) of the Exchange Act and were unjustly enriched, and also seeks to recover damages sustained by us as a result of the alleged violations, along with the plaintiff’s costs incurred in the lawsuit, including reasonable attorneys’ and experts’ fees, costs and expenses.
Previous report
In addition, on February 7, 2023, Jaysen Stevenson brought a stockholder derivative action complaint in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California, or the Stevenson Derivative Action, against us as nominal defendant and Reginald Seeto, our former President, Chief Executive Officer and member of our Board of Directors; Ankur Dhingra, our former Chief Financial Officer; Peter Maag, our former President, former Chief Executive Officer, former Chairman of our Board of Directors and current member of our Board of Directors; and other current and former members of our Board of Directors. The claims and allegations in the Stevenson Derivative Action are substantially similar to those in the Edelman Derivative Action. The plaintiff alleges that the individual defendants breached their fiduciary duties as our directors and/or officers and engaged in insider trading, waste of corporate assets, unjust enrichment and violations of Sections 14(a) and 20(a) of the Exchange Act. The suit seeks declaratory relief and to recover alleged damages sustained by us as a result of the alleged violations, along with the plaintiff’s costs incurred in the lawsuit, including reasonable attorneys’ and experts’ fees, costs and expenses.
Previous report
On March 9, 2023, the court consolidated the Edelman Derivative Action and the Stevenson Derivative Action and stayed both actions pursuant to the terms of the stay order in the Edelman Derivative Action. The consolidated derivative action remains stayed. The parties in the Stevenson Derivative Action filed a joint status statement with the court on September 6, 2023, and the parties in the consolidated derivative action filed a joint status statement and administrative motion with the court on February 13, 2024.
Previous report
Additionally, on February 8, 2024, Christian Jacobsen filed a stockholder derivative action complaint in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California against us as nominal defendant and Dr. Seeto, Mr. Dhingra, Dr. Maag, and other current and former members of our Board of Directors (the “Jacobsen Derivative Action”). The plaintiff alleges that the individual defendants breached their fiduciary duties as directors and/or officers of our Company, violated Section 14(a) of the Exchange Act, are liable for contribution under Sections 10(b) and 21(D) of the Exchange Act, engaged in unjust enrichment, waste of corporate assets, aiding and abetting, insider trading, and misappropriation of information, and/or are liable for indemnification. The suit seeks declaratory relief, disgorgement, and to recover alleged damages sustained by us as a result of the alleged violations, along with plaintiff’s costs incurred in the lawsuit, including reasonable attorneys’, accountants’, and experts’ fees, costs, and expenses. The Jacobsen Derivative Action was designated related to the consolidated derivative action.
Previous report
We intend to defend ourselves vigorously, and we believe that we have good and substantial defenses to the claims alleged in the consolidated derivative action and the Jacobsen Derivative Action, but there is no guarantee that we will prevail.
Previous report
•lack of clinical validation data to support the effectiveness of the test;
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If we do not achieve our projected development goals in the time frames we announce and expect, the commercialization of additional diagnostic solutions by us may be delayed and, as a result, our business will suffer and our stock price may decline.
Previous report
•our ability to successfully market and sell our testing services and products;
Previous report
•our ability to successfully commercialize new diagnostic solutions;
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•the amount of our research and development expenditures;
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•the timing of cash collections from third-party payers;
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•the extent to which our current and future solutions, if any, are eligible for coverage and reimbursement from third-party payers;
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•the process of integrating new acquisitions, and the associated potential disruption to our business;
Previous report
•changes in coverage and reimbursement or in reimbursement-related laws directly affecting our business, including as a result of the Billing Articles;
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•any intellectual property infringement lawsuit or opposition, interference or cancellation proceeding in which we may become involved or that otherwise may affect our intellectual property position;
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•announcements by our competitors of new or competitive products;
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•regulatory or legal developments affecting our test or competing products;
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•changes in expectation as to our future financial performance, including financial estimates, publications or research reports by securities analysts.
Previous report
If the use of AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart or any of our other solutions is not supported by studies published in peer-reviewed scientific and medical publications, and then periodically supplemented with additional support in peer-reviewed journals, the rate of adoption of our current and future solutions by clinicians and treatment centers and the rate of reimbursement of our current and future solutions by payers may be negatively affected.
Previous report
While we have had success in generating peer-reviewed publications regarding AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, and AlloSure Heart, additional peer-reviewed publications regarding AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart and our future products and patient and digital solutions may be limited by many factors, including delays in the completion of, poor design of, or lack of compelling data from clinical studies that would be the subject of the article. If our current and future products and patient and digital solutions or the technology underlying AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, or our future products and patient and digital solutions do not receive sufficient favorable exposure in peer-reviewed publications, the rate of clinician adoption and positive reimbursement coverage decisions could be negatively affected. The publication of clinical data in peer-reviewed journals is a crucial step in commercializing and obtaining reimbursement for diagnostic solutions such as ours, and our inability to control when, if ever, results are published may delay or limit our ability to derive sufficient revenue from any product that is the subject of a study.
Previous report
To ensure the success of AlloSure Kidney and future tests based on donor-derived cell-free DNA, or dd-cfDNA, we will need to continue our efforts to complete and publicize research and trials, especially the Kidney Allograft Outcomes AlloSure Registry, or K-OAR, registry study, that provides evidence of the utility of dd-cfDNA and validate AlloSure Kidney as a solution.
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Reworded paragraphs (86)
Previous wording
•Our financial results currently are largely dependent on sales of AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart and AlloSure Lung tests and products, and we will need to generate sufficient revenues from these and other solutions and tests we develop to grow our business.
Current wording
•Our financial results currently are largely dependent on sales of AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare and AlloSure Lung tests and products, and we will need to generate sufficient revenues from these and other solutions and tests we develop to grow our business.
Previous wording
We have identified material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2022, which were not remediated at December 31, 2023. If we are unable to remediate these material weaknesses and maintain an effective system of internal control over financial reporting, we may not be able to accurately report our financial results in a timely manner.
Current wording
•We have identified a material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2022, which was not remediated at December 31, 2024. If we are unable to remediate this material weakness and maintain an effective system of internal control over financial reporting, we may not be able to accurately report our financial results in a timely manner.
Previous wording
•Transplant centers may not adopt AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, or our other solutions due to historical practices or due to more favorable reimbursement policies associated with other means of monitoring transplants.
Current wording
•Transplant centers may not adopt AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare, AlloSure Lung, or our other solutions due to historical practices or due to more favorable reimbursement policies associated with other means of monitoring transplants.
Previous wording
•If our laboratory facility in the U.S. becomes inoperable, we will be unable to perform AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, and future testing solutions, if any, and our business will be harmed.
Current wording
•If our laboratory facility in the U.S. becomes inoperable, we will be unable to perform AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare, AlloSure Lung and future testing solutions, if any, and our business will be harmed.
Previous wording
•Healthcare reform measures could hinder or prevent the commercial success of AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart and AlloSure Heart.
Current wording
•Healthcare reform measures could hinder or prevent the commercial success of AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare and AlloSure Lung.
Previous wording
We have incurred substantial net losses since our inception, and we may continue to incur additional losses for the next several years. For the year ended December 31, 2023, our net loss was $190.3 million. As of December 31, 2023, we had an accumulated deficit of $678.3 million. We expect to continue to incur significant operating expenses and anticipate that our expenses will increase due to costs relating to, among other things:
Current wording
We have incurred substantial net losses since our inception, and we may continue to incur additional losses for the next several years. For the year ended December 31, 2024, our net income was $52.5 million and, for the year ended December 31, 2023, our net loss was $190.3 million. As of December 31, 2024, we had an accumulated deficit of $626.2 million. We expect to continue to incur significant operating expenses and anticipate that our expenses will increase due to costs relating to, among other things:
Previous wording
For the year ended December 31, 2023, revenue from Medicare for AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Kidney and AlloSure Heart represented 53% of testing services revenue. However, we may not be able to maintain or increase our tests reimbursed by Medicare for a variety of reasons, including changes in reimbursement practices, general policy shifts, or reductions in reimbursement amounts. We cannot predict whether Medicare reimbursements will continue at the same payment amount or with the same breadth of coverage in the future, if at all.
Current wording
For the year ended December 31, 2024, revenue from Medicare for AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare and AlloSure Lung represented 50% of testing services revenue. However, we may not be able to maintain or increase our tests reimbursed by Medicare for a variety of reasons, including changes in reimbursement practices, general policy shifts, or reductions in reimbursement amounts. We cannot predict whether Medicare reimbursements will continue at the same payment amount or with the same breadth of coverage in the future, if at all.
Previous wording
The Protecting Access to Medicare Act of 2014, or PAMA, included a substantial new payment system for clinical laboratory tests under the Clinical Laboratory Fee Schedule, or CLFS. Under PAMA, the reimbursement rate for AlloMap Heart is currently $3,240 for Medicare beneficiaries.
Current wording
The Protecting Access to Medicare Act of 2014, or PAMA, included a substantial new payment system for clinical laboratory tests under the Clinical Laboratory Fee Schedule, or CLFS.
Previous wording
AlloSure Kidney has been a covered service for Medicare beneficiaries since October 2017 through a Local Coverage Determination, or LCD, first issued by Palmetto MolDX, or MolDX, which was formed to identify and establish coverage and reimbursement for molecular diagnostics tests, and then adopted by Noridian Healthcare Solutions, our Medicare Administrative Contractor, or Noridian. The Medicare reimbursement rate for AlloSure Kidney is currently $2,841.
Current wording
AlloSure Kidney has been a covered service for Medicare beneficiaries since October 2017 through a Local Coverage Determination, or LCD, first issued by Palmetto MolDX, or MolDX, which was formed to identify and establish coverage and reimbursement for molecular diagnostics tests, and then adopted by Noridian Healthcare Solutions, our Medicare Administrative Contractor, or Noridian.
Previous wording
If future reimbursement price levels are less than the current price, our revenues and our ability to achieve profitability could be impaired, and the market price of our common stock could decline. We may also not be able to maintain or increase the portion of our tests reimbursed by Medicare for a variety of other reasons, including changes in reimbursement practices and general policy shifts, including the Billing Articles.
Current wording
If future reimbursement price levels are less than the current price, our revenues and our ability to achieve profitability could be impaired, and the market price of our common stock could decline. We may also not be able to maintain or increase the portion of our tests reimbursed by Medicare for a variety of other reasons, including changes in reimbursement practices and general policy shifts.
Previous wording
On a five-year rotational basis, Medicare requests bids for its regional Medicare Administrative Contractors, or MAC, services. The MAC for California is currently Noridian Healthcare Solutions. Our current Medicare coverage through Noridian provides for reimbursement for tests performed for qualifying Medicare patients throughout the U.S. so long as the tests are performed in our California laboratory. We cannot predict whether Noridian or any future MAC will continue to provide reimbursement for AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Heart or AlloSure Lung at the same payment amount or with the same breadth of coverage in the future, if at all. Additional changes in the MAC processing Medicare claims for AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart or AlloSure Lung could impact the coverage or payment amount for our tests and our ability to obtain Medicare coverage for any products we may launch in the future.
Current wording
On a five-year rotational basis, Medicare requests bids for its regional MAC services. The MAC for California is currently Noridian Healthcare Solutions. Our current Medicare coverage through Noridian provides for reimbursement for tests performed for qualifying Medicare patients throughout the U.S. so long as the tests are performed in our California laboratory. We cannot predict whether Noridian or any future MAC will continue to provide reimbursement for AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare, or AlloSure Lung at the same payment amount or with the same breadth of coverage in the future, if at all. Additional changes in the MAC processing Medicare claims for AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare or AlloSure Lung could impact the coverage or payment amount for our tests and our ability to obtain Medicare coverage for any products we may launch in the future.
Previous wording
Any decision by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, or CMS, or its local contractors to reduce or deny coverage for our tests, including as a result of the Billing Articles or otherwise, would have a significant adverse effect on our revenue and results of operations and ability to operate and raise capital. Any such decision could also cause affected clinicians treating Medicare-covered patients to reduce or discontinue the use of our tests.
Current wording
Any decision by CMS or its local contractors to reduce or deny coverage for our tests would have a significant adverse effect on our revenue and results of operations and ability to operate and raise capital. Any such decision could also cause affected clinicians treating Medicare-covered patients to reduce or discontinue the use of our tests.
Previous wording
Our financial results currently are largely dependent on sales of AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart and AlloSure Lung tests and products, and we will need to generate sufficient revenues from these and other solutions and tests we develop to grow our business.
Current wording
Our financial results currently are largely dependent on sales of AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare and AlloSure Lung tests and products, and we will need to generate sufficient revenues from these and other solutions and tests we develop to grow our business.
Previous wording
We expect that sales of testing services and products will account for a substantial portion of our revenue for at least the next two years. If we are unable to increase sales of our testing services or products or successfully develop and commercialize other solutions, tests or enhancements, or if we do not continue our Medicare reimbursement submissions for AlloSure Kidney at the same levels in place prior to the Billing Articles, our revenues and ability to achieve profitability would be impaired, and the market price of our common stock could decline.
Current wording
We expect that sales of testing services and products will account for a substantial portion of our revenue for at least the next two years. If we are unable to increase sales of our testing services or products or successfully develop and commercialize other solutions, tests or enhancements, or if we do not continue our Medicare reimbursement submissions for AlloSure Kidney at the same levels in place prior to the Billing Articles issued by Palmetto MolDX in 2023 (the “Billing Articles”), our revenues and ability to achieve profitability would be impaired, and the market price of our common stock could decline.
Previous wording
Health insurers and other third-party payers may decide to revoke coverage of our existing test, decide not to cover our future solutions or may provide inadequate reimbursement, which could jeopardize our commercial prospects.
Current wording
Health insurers and other third-party payers may decide to revoke coverage of our existing tests, decide not to cover our future solutions or may provide inadequate reimbursement, which could jeopardize our commercial prospects.
Previous wording
Successful commercialization of AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart and AlloSure Heart depends, in large part, on the availability of coverage and adequate reimbursement from government and private payers. Favorable third-party payer coverage and reimbursement are essential to meeting our immediate objectives and long-term commercial goals.
Current wording
Successful commercialization of AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart and AlloSure Heart, HeartCare and AlloSure Lung depends, in large part, on the availability of coverage and adequate reimbursement from government and private payers. Favorable third-party payer coverage and reimbursement are critical to the commercial success of a diagnostic testing service, and if we are not able to secure positive coverage determinations and reimbursement levels, our business will be materially adversely affected.
Previous wording
If third-party payers decide not to cover our diagnostic testing services or if they offer inadequate payment amounts, our ability to generate revenue from AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, AlloSure Lung and future solutions could be limited. Payment for diagnostic tests furnished to Medicare beneficiaries is typically made based on a fee schedule set by CMS. In recent years, payments under these fee schedules have decreased and may decrease further.
Current wording
Seeking payer coverage and other approvals is a time-consuming and costly process. If third-party payers decide not to cover our diagnostic testing services or if they offer inadequate payment amounts, our ability to generate revenue from AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare, AlloSure Lung and future solutions could be limited.
Previous wording
We have in the past been, and from time to time in the future may become, involved in lawsuits, claims and proceedings incident to the ordinary course of, or otherwise in connection with, our business. For example, in response to our false advertising suit filed against Natera Inc., or Natera, on April 10, 2019, Natera filed a counterclaim against us on February 18, 2020 in the U.S. District Court for the District of Delaware, or the Court, alleging we made false and misleading claims about the performance capabilities of AlloSure. The trial concluded on March 14, 2022, with the jury finding that Natera violated the Lanham Act by falsely advertising the scientific performance of its Prospera transplant test and awarding us $44.9 million in damages, comprised of $21.2 million in compensatory damages and $23.7 million in punitive damages. In July 2023, the Court upheld and reaffirmed the March 2022 jury verdict but did not uphold the monetary damages awarded by the jury. Both parties have appealed and briefing is ongoing. Our appeal may be unsuccessful or, if it is successful and the damages are upheld, we may be unable to collect any monetary damages. In August 2023, the Court issued an injunction prohibiting Natera from making the claims the jury previously found to be false advertising.
Current wording
We have in the past been, and from time to time in the future may become, involved in lawsuits, claims and proceedings incident to the ordinary course of, or otherwise in connection with, our business. We intend to defend ourselves vigorously, and we believe that we have good and substantial defenses to the claims alleged in the suits, but there is no guarantee that we will prevail. See Note 9, Commitments and Contingencies, to the consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K under the caption “Litigation and Indemnification Obligations”, which is incorporated herein by reference.
Previous wording
From time to time, we expect to estimate and publicly announce the anticipated timing of the accomplishment of various clinical and other product development goals. In addition, we have included a discussion of a number of anticipated targets in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. The actual timing of accomplishment of these targets could vary dramatically compared to our estimates, in some cases for reasons beyond our control. We cannot be certain that we will meet our projected targets and if we do not meet these targets as publicly announced, the commercialization of our diagnostic solutions may be delayed or may not occur at all and, as a result, our business will suffer and our stock price may decline.
Current wording
We have included a discussion of a number of anticipated targets in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. The actual timing of accomplishment of these targets could vary dramatically compared to our estimates, in some cases for reasons beyond our control. We cannot be certain that we will meet our projected targets and if we do not meet these targets as publicly announced, the commercialization of our diagnostic solutions may be delayed or may not occur at all and, as a result, our business will suffer and our stock price may decline.
Previous wording
•delays resulting from the failure of third-party suppliers or contractors to meet their obligations in a timely and cost-effective manner;
Current wording
•delays resulting from the failure of third-party suppliers or contractors to meet their obligations in a timely and cost-effective manner; or
Previous wording
•failure to obtain or maintain necessary clearances or approvals to market the test; or
Current wording
•failure to obtain or maintain necessary clearances or approvals to market the test.
Previous wording
Transplant, like all specialties, is based on evidence-based medicine. As a result, laying a strong foundation of evidence and improved clinical utility is essential in the adoption of the tools offered by us. The results of our studies involving AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart and AlloSure Heart have been presented at major medical society congresses and published in peer-reviewed publications in leading medical journals. This continued presence in peer-reviewed publications is necessary to promote clinician adoption and favorable reimbursement decisions. We believe that peer-reviewed journal articles that provide evidence of the utility of our solutions or the technology underlying AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart and our other products and patient and digital solutions are very important to the commercial success of our solutions. Clinicians typically take a significant amount of time to adopt new products, testing practices and clinical treatments, partly because of perceived liability risks and the uncertainty of third-party reimbursement. It is critical to the success of our sales efforts that we educate a sufficient number of clinicians and administrators about AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart and our future solutions, and demonstrate the clinical benefits of these solutions. Clinicians may not adopt, and third-party payers may not cover or adequately reimburse for, our current and future products and patient and digital solutions unless they determine, based on published peer-reviewed journal articles and the experience of other clinicians, that our diagnostic current and future products and patient and digital solutions provide accurate, reliable and cost-effective information that is useful in monitoring transplant recipients and making informed and timely treatment decisions.
Current wording
In addition, the publication of clinical data in peer-reviewed publications is necessary to promote clinician adoption and favorable reimbursement decisions. Clinicians typically take a significant amount of time to adopt new products, testing practices and clinical treatments, partly because of perceived liability risks and the uncertainty of third-party reimbursement. It is critical to the success of our sales efforts that we educate a sufficient number of clinicians and administrators about AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare, AlloSure Lung and our future solutions, and demonstrate the clinical benefits of these solutions. If our solutions fail to gain commercial acceptance by patients, clinicians or third-party payers, our business and results of operations would be negatively affected.
Previous wording
The field of diagnostic testing in transplantation is evolving. Although there have been few advances in technology relating to organ rejection in transplant recipients, the market for medical diagnostic companies is marked by rapid and substantial technological development and innovations that could make AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart and our other products and patient and digital solutions, including those in development, outdated. We must continually innovate, expand and update our test offerings to address unmet needs in monitoring transplant-related conditions. AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, and our other products and patient and digital solutions, including those in development, could become obsolete unless we continually innovate, enhance and expand our product offerings to include new clinical applications. If we are unable to demonstrate the effectiveness of AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, our other products and patient and digital solutions and future diagnostic solutions and tests, if any, compared to new methodologies and technologies, then sales of our tests, products and patient and digital solutions could decline, which would harm our business and financial results.
Current wording
The field of diagnostic testing in transplantation is evolving. Although there have been few advances in technology relating to organ rejection in transplant recipients, the market for medical diagnostic companies is marked by rapid and substantial technological development and innovations that could make AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare, AlloSure Lung, and our other products and patient and digital solutions, including those in development, outdated. We must continually innovate, expand and update our test offerings to address unmet needs in monitoring transplant-related conditions. AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare, AlloSure Lung, and our other products and patient and digital solutions, including those in development, could become obsolete unless we continually innovate, enhance and expand our product offerings to include new clinical applications. If we are unable to demonstrate the effectiveness of AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare, AlloSure Lung, or our other products and patient and digital solutions and future diagnostic solutions and tests, if any, compared to new methodologies and technologies, then sales of our tests, products and patient and digital solutions could decline, which would harm our business and financial results.
Previous wording
Our product kits are sold to hundreds of laboratories, mainly in Europe and the U.S. Laboratories order our products based on the accuracy, speed and cost of the test together with the cost and availability of equipment on which to run the test. Switching to or adopting our products may require the purchase of new and costly testing equipment. To attract new laboratory customers, the performance of our products must provide a performance or cost advantages over similar products sold by our competitors.
Current wording
Our product kits are sold to hundreds of laboratories, mainly in Europe and the U.S. Laboratories order our products based on the accuracy, speed and cost of the test together with the cost and availability of equipment on which to run the test. Switching to or adopting our products may require the purchase of new and costly testing equipment. To attract new laboratory customers, the performance of our products must provide performance or cost advantages over similar products sold by our competitors.
Previous wording
If clinicians, hospital administrators and laboratories do not adopt and continue to use our tests and products or our future solutions and tests, our business and financial results will suffer.
Current wording
If clinicians, hospital administrators and laboratories do not adopt or continue to use our tests and products or our future solutions and tests, our business and financial results will suffer.
Previous wording
Historically, our financial results have been, and we expect that our operating results will continue to be, subject to quarterly fluctuations. Our net income (loss) and other operating results will be affected by numerous factors, including:
Current wording
Historically, our financial results, including our net income (loss), have been, and we expect that our operating results will continue to be, subject to quarterly fluctuations as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are outside of our control, including those listed elsewhere in this “Risk Factors” section. In addition, to the extent that we continue to spend considerable amounts on research and development expenditures, commercialization efforts for new diagnostic solutions and new acquisitions and their related integration into our business, we expect to incur costs before achieving any anticipated future benefits.
Previous wording
Transplant centers may not adopt AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, or our other solutions due to historical practices or due to more favorable reimbursement policies associated with other means of monitoring transplants.
Current wording
Transplant centers may not adopt AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare, AlloSure Lung or our other solutions due to historical practices or due to more favorable reimbursement policies associated with other means of monitoring transplants.
Previous wording
Due to the historically limited monitoring options and the well-established coverage and reimbursement for biopsies, clinicians are accustomed to monitoring for acute rejection in kidney and heart transplant recipients by utilizing biopsies. Many clinicians use AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart and AlloSure Heart in parallel with biopsies rather than as an alternative to biopsies. While we do not market AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart or AlloSure Heart as biopsy alternatives, per se, if treatment center administrators view our test as an alternative to a biopsy but believe they would derive more revenue from the performance of biopsies, such administrators may be motivated to reduce or avoid the use of our test. While biopsies are less common for monitoring kidney transplant patients, there are transplant centers that manage patients with protocol biopsies, which could impact AlloSure Kidney revenue. We cannot provide assurance that our efforts will increase the use of our test by new or existing customers. Our failure to increase the frequency of use of our test by new and existing customers would adversely affect our growth and revenues.
Current wording
Due to the historically limited monitoring options and the well-established coverage and reimbursement for biopsies, clinicians are accustomed to monitoring for acute rejection in kidney and heart transplant recipients by utilizing biopsies. Many clinicians use AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare and AlloSure Lung in parallel with biopsies rather than as an alternative to biopsies. While we do not market AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare or AlloSure Lung as biopsy alternatives, per se, if treatment center administrators view our test as an alternative to a biopsy but believe they would derive more revenue from the performance of biopsies, such administrators may be motivated to reduce or avoid the use of our test. While biopsies are less common for monitoring kidney transplant patients, there are transplant centers that manage patients with protocol biopsies, which could impact AlloSure Kidney revenue. We cannot provide assurance that our efforts will increase the use of our test by new or existing customers. Our failure to increase the frequency of use of our test by new and existing customers would adversely affect our growth and revenues.
Previous wording
Our AlloSure Kidney solution for kidney transplant recipients competes against existing diagnostic tests utilized by pathologists, which involves evaluating biopsy samples to determine the presence or absence of rejection. However, because of the risks and discomforts of the invasive kidney biopsy procedure, as well as the expense and relatively low rate of finding moderate to severe grade rejection, biopsy is not a standard practice for surveillance of transplanted kidneys. Additional competition for kidney surveillance diagnostics currently comes from general, non-specific clinical chemistry tests such as serum creatinine, urine protein, donor specific antibodies, complete blood count, lipid profile and others that are widely ordered by physician offices and routinely performed in clinical reference labs and hospital labs. Our competitors also include companies that are focused on the development and commercialization of molecular diagnostic tests. In the field of post-transplant surveillance, Natera, Eurofins, and Oncocyte, have commercially available molecular diagnostics tests.
Current wording
Our AlloSure Kidney solution for kidney transplant recipients competes against existing diagnostic tests utilized by pathologists, which involves evaluating biopsy samples to determine the presence or absence of rejection. However, because of the risks and discomforts of the invasive kidney biopsy procedure, as well as the expense and relatively low rate of finding moderate to severe grade rejection, biopsy is not a standard practice for surveillance of transplanted kidneys. Additional competition for kidney surveillance diagnostics currently comes from general, non-specific clinical chemistry tests such as serum creatinine, urine protein, donor specific antibodies, complete blood count, lipid profile and others that are widely ordered by physician offices and routinely performed in clinical reference labs and hospital labs. Our competitors also include companies that are focused on the development and commercialization of molecular diagnostic tests. In the field of post-transplant surveillance, Natera, Eurofins, and Oncocyte have commercially available molecular diagnostics tests. Other entrants with kitted products have indicated they are entering the market for post-transplant surveillance, including Thermo Fisher, Devyser, Bio-Rad, EuroBio, and Oncocyte.
Previous wording
We expect the competition for pre-transplant typing and post-transplant surveillance to increase as there are numerous established and startup companies in the process of developing products and services for the transplant market which may directly or indirectly compete with our existing pre- and post-transplant solutions, or our development pipeline. Competition from other companies, especially those with an eye toward transitioning to more automated typing processes, could impact our ability to maintain market share and its current margins. For example, QTYPE competes with other quantitative polymerase chain reaction, or PCR, products including products offered by Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc., or Thermo Fisher, as well as alternatives to PCR such as next generation sequencing, or NGS, typing products.
Current wording
We expect the competition for pre-transplant typing and post-transplant surveillance to increase as there are numerous established and startup companies in the process of developing products and services for the transplant market which may directly or indirectly compete with our existing pre- and post-transplant solutions, or our development pipeline. Competition from other companies, especially those with an eye toward transitioning to more automated typing processes, could impact our ability to maintain market share and its current margins. For example, QTYPE competes with other quantitative polymerase chain reaction, or PCR, products including products offered by Thermo Fisher, as well as alternatives to PCR such as next generation sequencing, or NGS, typing products.
Previous wording
Many of our potential competitors may have greater brand recognition or substantially greater financial and technical resources and development, production and marketing capabilities than we do. Others may develop lower-priced, less complex tests that could be viewed by clinicians and payers as functionally equivalent to our AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart and AlloSure Heart tests, which could force us to lower the current list price of our test and impact our operating margins and our ability to achieve profitability. If we are unable to compete successfully against current or future competitors, we may be unable to increase market acceptance for and sales of AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart and our products and patient and digital solutions, which could prevent us from increasing or sustaining our revenues or achieving profitability and could cause the market price of our common stock to decline.
Current wording
Many of our potential competitors may have greater brand recognition or substantially greater financial and technical resources and development, production and marketing capabilities than we do. Others may develop lower-priced, less complex tests that could be viewed by clinicians and payers as functionally equivalent to our AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare and AlloSure Lung tests, which could force us to lower the current list price of our test and impact our operating margins and our ability to achieve profitability. If we are unable to compete successfully against current or future competitors, we may be unable to increase market acceptance for and sales of AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare, AlloSure Lung tests, and our products and patient and digital solutions, which could prevent us from increasing or sustaining our revenues or achieving profitability and could cause the market price of our common stock to decline.
Previous wording
Our research and development efforts will be hindered if we are not able to acquire or contract with third parties for access to additional tissue and blood samples.
Current wording
Our research and development efforts will be hindered if we are not able to acquire or contract with third parties for access to tissue and blood samples.
Previous wording
We may in the future selectively pursue strategic collaborations for the development, validation and commercialization of any new diagnostic solutions we may develop. In any future third party collaboration, we may be dependent upon the success of the collaborators in performing their responsibilities and their continued cooperation. Our collaborators may not cooperate with us or perform their obligations under our agreements with them. We cannot control the amount and timing of our collaborators’ resources that will be devoted to performing their responsibilities under our agreements with them. Our collaborators may choose to pursue alternative technologies in preference to those being developed in collaboration with us. The development, validation and commercialization of our potential solutions may be delayed if collaborators fail to fulfill their responsibilities in a timely manner or in accordance with applicable regulatory requirements or if they breach or terminate their collaboration agreements with us. Any issues arising from these arrangements will affect our ability to serve the entire region, and our reputation may suffer even if we subsequently locate new partners, which may permanently affect our business. Disputes with our collaborators could also impair our reputation or result in development delays, decreased revenues and litigation expenses.
Current wording
We cannot control the amount and timing of our collaborators’ resources that will be devoted to performing their responsibilities under our agreements with them. Our collaborators may choose to pursue alternative technologies in preference to those being developed in collaboration with us. The development, validation and commercialization of our potential solutions may be delayed if collaborators fail to fulfill their responsibilities in a timely manner or in accordance with applicable regulatory requirements or if they breach or terminate their collaboration agreements with us. Any issues arising from these arrangements will affect our ability to serve the entire region, and our reputation may suffer even if we subsequently locate new partners, which may permanently affect our business. Disputes with our collaborators could also impair our reputation or result in development delays, decreased revenues and litigation expenses.
Previous wording
The value of AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart and AlloSure Heart depends, in large part, on our ability to perform AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart and AlloSure Heart tests on a timely basis and at a high quality standard, and on our reputation for such timeliness and quality. Failure to implement necessary procedures, transition to new equipment or processes or hire new personnel could result in higher costs of processing or an inability to meet market demand in a timely manner.
Current wording
The value of AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare and AlloSure Lung depends, in large part, on our ability to perform AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare and AlloSure Lung tests on a timely basis and at a high quality standard, and on our reputation for such timeliness and quality. Failure to implement necessary procedures, transition to new equipment or processes or hire new personnel could result in higher costs of processing or an inability to meet market demand in a timely manner.
Previous wording
There can be no assurance that we will be able to perform AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, or our future solutions, if any, on a timely basis at a level consistent with demand, that our efforts to scale our commercial operations will not negatively affect the quality of test results or that we will be successful in responding to the growing complexity of our testing operations. If we encounter difficulty meeting market demand for our current and future solutions, our reputation could be harmed and our future prospects and our business could suffer.
Current wording
There can be no assurance that we will be able to perform AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare, AlloSure Lung or our future solutions, if any, on a timely basis at a level consistent with demand, that our efforts to scale our commercial operations will not negatively affect the quality of test results or that we will be successful in responding to the growing complexity of our testing operations. If we encounter difficulty meeting market demand for our current and future solutions, our reputation could be harmed and our future prospects and our business could suffer.
Previous wording
From 2022 to 2023, our revenue declined from $321.8 million to $280.3 million, which represents an annual decrease of (13)%. In the future, our revenue may not grow at all and it may continue to decline. We believe that our future revenue will depend on, among other factors:
Current wording
From 2023 to 2024, our revenue increased from $280.3 million to $333.8 million, which represents an annual increase of 19%. In the future, our revenue may not grow at all and it may continue to decline. We believe that our future revenue will depend on, among other factors:
Previous wording
•our ability to maintain reimbursement for AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart and AlloSure Heart and secure reimbursement for our future solutions;
Current wording
•our ability to maintain reimbursement for AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare and AlloSure Lung and secure reimbursement for our future solutions;
Previous wording
If our laboratory facility in the U.S. becomes inoperable, we will be unable to perform AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, and future testing solutions, if any, and our business will be harmed.
Current wording
If our laboratory facility in the U.S. becomes inoperable, we will be unable to perform AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare, AlloSure Lung and future testing solutions, if any, and our business will be harmed.
Previous wording
We perform all of our testing services for the U.S. in our laboratory located in Brisbane, California. We do not have redundant laboratory facilities. Brisbane, California is situated on or near earthquake fault lines. Our facility and the equipment we use to perform testing services would be costly to replace and could require substantial lead time to repair or replace if damaged or destroyed. Our facilities may be harmed or rendered inoperable by natural or man-made disasters, including earthquakes, power outages, wildfires, flooding, hurricanes, droughts and other extreme weather events and changing weather patterns, which are increasing in frequency due to the impacts of climate change and may render it difficult or impossible for us to perform our tests for some period of time. The inability to perform our tests may result in the loss of customers or harm our reputation, and we may be unable to regain those customers in the future. Although we possess insurance for damage to our property and the disruption of our business, we do not have earthquake insurance and thus coverage may not be sufficient to cover all of our potential losses and may not continue to be available to us on acceptable terms, if at all.
Current wording
We perform all of our testing services for the U.S. in our laboratory located in Brisbane, California. We do not have redundant laboratory facilities. Brisbane, California is situated on or near earthquake fault lines. Our facility and the equipment we use to perform testing services would be costly to replace and could require substantial lead time to repair or replace if damaged or destroyed. Our facilities may be harmed or rendered inoperable by natural or man-made disasters, including earthquakes, power outages, wildfires, flooding, hurricanes, droughts and other extreme weather events and changing weather patterns, which are increasing in frequency due to the impacts of climate change and may render it difficult or impossible for us to perform our tests for some period of time. The inability to perform our tests may result in the loss of customers or harm our reputation, and we may be unable to regain those customers in the future. Although we possess insurance for damage to our property and the disruption of our business, we do not have earthquake insurance and thus coverage may not be sufficient to cover all of our potential losses and may not continue to be available to us on acceptable terms, if at all. We do not know, however, if we will be able to maintain existing insurance with adequate levels of coverage, and, in the event of a major earthquake in our region, our business could suffer significant and uninsured damage and loss.
Previous wording
If we failed to secure any such licenses, we would not be able to process samples from recipients in such states. We also expect that it would be difficult, time-consuming and costly to train, equip and use a third-party to perform tests on our behalf. We could only use another facility with the established state licensures and CLIA certification necessary to perform AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, or future solutions following validation and other required procedures. We cannot be certain that we would be able to find another CLIA-certified facility willing or able to adopt AlloSure Kidney, AlloSure Lung, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart or future solutions or able to comply with the required quality and regulatory standards, or that this laboratory would be willing or able to perform the tests for us on commercially reasonable terms.
Current wording
If we failed to secure any such licenses, we would not be able to process samples from recipients in such states. We also expect that it would be difficult, time-consuming and costly to train, equip and use a third-party to perform tests on our behalf. We could only use another facility with the established state licensures and CLIA certification necessary to perform AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare, AlloSure Lung or future solutions following validation and other required procedures. We cannot be certain that we would be able to find another CLIA-certified facility willing or able to adopt AlloSure Kidney, AlloMap Heart, AlloSure Heart, HeartCare, AlloSure Lung or future solutions or able to comply with the required quality and regulatory standards, or that this laboratory would be willing or able to perform the tests for us on commercially reasonable terms.
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Rearranged current paragraphs (2)
Current report — wording carried from elsewhere
If we cannot maintain existing clinical collaborations and enter into new ones, our efforts to commercialize and develop products could be delayed.
Current report — wording carried from elsewhere
We have identified a material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2022, which was not remediated at December 31, 2024. If we are unable to remediate this material weakness and maintain an effective system of internal control over financial reporting, we may not be able to accurately report our financial results in a timely manner.
Rearranged previous paragraphs (9)
Previous report — wording carried elsewhere
•lack of commercial acceptance by patients, clinicians or third-party payers.
Previous report — wording carried elsewhere
If we are unable to successfully compete with established players in the clinical surveillance of the transplantation field, we may be unable to increase or sustain our revenues or achieve profitability.
Previous report — wording carried elsewhere
•our decision to continue our Medicare reimbursement submissions for AlloSure Kidney;
Previous report — wording carried elsewhere
•our decision to issue future financial guidance and the terms of such guidance;
Previous report — wording carried elsewhere
Our business could be adversely impacted by inflation.
Previous report — wording carried elsewhere
See the discussion of the Billing Articles under the risk factor above titled “Health insurers and other third-party payers may decide to revoke coverage of our existing test, decide not to cover our future solutions or may provide inadequate reimbursement, which could jeopardize our commercial prospects”.
Previous report — wording carried elsewhere
We were inspected as part of the customary College of American Pathologists audit and recertified in March 2022 as a result of passing that inspection. We expect the next regular inspection under the CLIA to occur in 2024.
Previous report — wording carried elsewhere
Because of the breadth of these laws and the narrowness of available statutory and regulatory exemptions, it is possible that some of our business activities could be subject to challenge under one or more of such laws. Any action brought against us for violation of these laws or regulations, even if we successfully defend against it, could cause us to incur significant legal expenses and divert our management’s attention from the operation of our business. We may be subject to private “qui tam” actions brought by individual whistleblowers on behalf of the federal or state governments, with potential liability under the federal False Claims Act, including mandatory treble damages and significant per-claim penalties. We previously received a civil investigative demand, or CID, from the United States Department of Justice, or DOJ, requesting that we produce certain documents in connection with a False Claims Act investigation being conducted by the DOJ regarding certain business practices related to our kidney testing and phlebotomy services, and a subpoena from the SEC in relation to an investigation by the SEC in respect of matters similar to those identified in the CID, as well as certain of our accounting and public reporting practices. On September 25, 2023, we reported that by letter dated September 19, 2023, we were notified by the staff of the
Previous report — wording carried elsewhere
Third parties may independently develop similar or competing technology that avoids the patents we own or exclusively license. We cannot be certain that the steps we have taken will prevent the misappropriation and use of our intellectual property, particularly in foreign countries where the laws may not protect our proprietary rights as fully as in the United States.