IMMUCELL CORP DE
For the period ended Jun 30, 2024. Filed Aug 13, 2024.
View on SEC.govAbout this filing
A company's report for each of its first three quarters. The financial statements are not audited. It shows how the business has moved since the last annual report, and what management says changed.
Jun 30, 2024 · Filed Aug 13, 2024
What changed in Risk Factors?
Read the current filingPrevious report: 10-Q
Period ended 2024-03-31; filed 2024-05-14.
0001213900-24-042925
Item 1A. RISK FACTORSCurrent report: 10-Q
Period ended 2024-06-30; filed 2024-08-13.
0001213900-24-068245
Item 1A. RISK FACTORSThe baseline is this issuer’s latest earlier reporting period of the same form that was filed before the current report. A previous 10-Q is a different quarter, not a year-over-year comparison. Amendments are excluded.
Compared 59 previous paragraphs and 59 current paragraphs.
38 unchanged; 20 reworded; 1 added; 0 removed; 1 previous and 0 current paragraphs rearranged.
Tables are not compared: 14 previous and 14 current tables excluded. Dates, whitespace, punctuation and numbering changes are ignored; changes to financial figures remain significant.
A changed paragraph is not evidence that risk increased or decreased. An unchanged paragraph does not establish that risk stayed the same.
Added paragraphs (1)
Current report
No sales after first quarter of 2026 until we secure additional DP supply.
Reworded paragraphs (20)
Previous wording
Gross margin on product sales: One of our goals is to achieve a gross margin (before related depreciation expenses) as a percentage of total sales of 45% or more after the initial launch of new products. Depreciation expense will be a larger component of costs of goods sold forRe-Tain® than it is for theFirst Defense® product line. Gross margins generally improve over time, but this anticipated improvement may not be realized forRe-Tain®. Many factors discussed in this Quarterly Report (including inflation, cost increases, supply-chain disruptions and the rising price of oil and other commodities and supplies) impact our costs of goods sold. There is a risk that we are not able to achieve our gross margin goals, which would adversely affect our operating results and could impact our future operating plans. We missed our gross margin goals in 2023 and 2022 with realized gross margins of 22% and 41%, respectively, and during the first quarter of 2024 with a realized gross margin of 32%. There is also a risk that our plans to maintain or improve our gross margin may not be realized due to cost increases, production yield losses, additional manufacturing contamination events, production equipment failures, the inability to raise our selling prices, or any combination of these factors. In addition, such negative events, depending on their severity, could deplete our cash resulting in an inability to fund our business.
Current wording
Gross margin on product sales: One of our goals is to achieve a gross margin as a percentage of total sales of 40% or more (including depreciation expense) after the initial launch of new products. Depreciation expense will be a larger component of costs of goods sold forRe-Tain® than it is for theFirst Defense® product line. Gross margins generally improve over time, but this anticipated improvement may not be realized forRe-Tain®. Many factors discussed in this Quarterly Report (including contaminations, process yields, inflation, cost increases, supply-chain disruptions and the rising price of oil and other commodities and supplies) impact our costs of goods sold. There is a risk that we are not able to achieve our gross margin goal, which would adversely affect our operating results and could impact our future operating plans. We missed our gross margin goal during the year ended December 31, 2023 and during the first half of 2024 with realized gross margins of 22% and 28%, respectively. There is a risk that our plans to maintain or improve our gross margin may not be realized due to cost increases, production yield losses, additional manufacturing contamination events, production equipment failures, the inability to raise our selling prices, or any combination of these factors. In addition, such negative events, depending on their severity, could deplete our cash resulting in an inability to fund our business.
Previous wording
Exposure to interest rates and debt service obligations: Rising interest rates could negatively affect the operating costs of dairy and beef producers and thus put further financial pressure on an already stressed business sector, which could indirectly, but materially and adversely, affect our business. During the first quarter of 2020, we removed the direct aspect of this particular exposure to our business by refinancing our bank debt (with the exception of our line of credit) with fixed rate notes. Our mortgage debt outstanding as of March 31, 2024 was $5.8 million bearing interest at the fixed rate of 3.53% per annum. Our equipment loans outstanding as of March 31, 2024 were $2.5 million bearing interest at the fixed rate of 3.5% per annum. The outstanding balance on the two State of Maine loans as of March 31, 2024 was approximately $700,000 bearing interest at the fixed rate of 5% per annum. The $3 million in debt that we secured during the third quarter of 2023 bears interest at the blended fixed rate of 7.33% per annum and had an outstanding balance of $2.8 million as of March 31, 2024. Our outstanding debt as of March 31, 2024 aggregating $11.7 million bears interest at the blended fixed rate of 4.51% per annum. Increasing interest rates would negatively impact the cost of any future borrowings. This was experienced on the new debt facilities aggregating $3 million that we closed during the third quarter of 2023. A decline in sales or gross margin, coupled with this debt service burden, could impair our ability to fund our capital and operating needs and objectives. The additional debt we incurred to fund our growth objectives has significantly increased our total debt service costs. We are obligated to make principal and interest payments aggregating approximately $2.0 million during both of the years ending December 31, 2024 and 2025. See Note 10 to the accompanying unaudited financial statements for more details about our debt.
Current wording
Exposure to interest rates and debt service obligations: Rising interest rates could negatively affect the operating costs of dairy and beef producers and thus put further financial pressure on an already stressed business sector, which could indirectly, but materially and adversely, affect our business. During the first quarter of 2020, we removed the direct aspect of this particular exposure to our business by refinancing our bank debt (with the exception of our line of credit) with fixed rate notes. Our mortgage debt outstanding as of June 30, 2024 was $5.7 million bearing interest at the fixed rate of 3.53% per annum. Our equipment loans outstanding as of June 30, 2024 were $2.3 million bearing interest at the fixed rate of 3.50% per annum. The outstanding balance on the two State of Maine loans as of June 30, 2024 was approximately $700,000 bearing interest at the fixed rate of 5% per annum. The $3 million in debt that we secured during the third quarter of 2023 bears interest at the blended fixed rate of 7.33% per annum and had an outstanding balance of $2.7 million as of June 30, 2024. Our outstanding debt as of June 30, 2024 aggregating $11.4 million bears interest at the blended fixed rate of 4.51% per annum. Increasing interest rates would negatively impact the cost of any future borrowings. This was experienced on the new debt facilities aggregating $3 million that we closed during the third quarter of 2023. A decline in sales or gross margin, coupled with this debt service burden, could impair our ability to fund our capital and operating needs and objectives. The additional debt we incurred to fund our growth objectives has significantly increased our total debt service costs. We are obligated to make principal and interest payments aggregating approximately $2 million during both of the years ending December 31, 2024 and 2025. See Note 10 to the accompanying unaudited financial statements for more details about our debt.
Previous wording
Debt covenants: Our bank debt is subject to certain financial covenants. We are required to meet a minimum debt service coverage (DSC) ratio of 1.35. Our actual DSC ratios were (1.10), 0.44, 2.68 and 2.03 for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively. Our actual DSC ratio was (0.14) for the trailing twelve-month period ended March 31, 2024. There can be no assurance that we can exceed the required level in subsequent years. During the first quarter of 2023, the DSC ratio covenant for the year ending December 31, 2023 was waived by our lender. Instead, we were required to meet a minimum DSC ratio requirement of 1.35 for the twelve-month periods ending June 30, 2024, September 30, 2024 and December 31, 2024, and then again annually after that. During the first quarter of 2024, the DSC ratio covenant for the twelve-month period ending June 30, 2024 was preemptively waived by our lenders. If we are unable to achieve the required DSC ratio going forward or reach a favorable agreement with our lenders regarding that requirement (including an amendment to or waiver of such requirement), we would be in violation of that covenant, which could result in unfavorable amendments to the terms of our bank debt or have other adverse impacts on our business and results of operations.
Current wording
Debt covenants: Our debt with Gorham Savings Bank and the Finance Authority of Maine is subject to certain financial covenants. We are required to meet a minimum debt service coverage (DSC) ratio of 1.35. Our actual DSC ratios were (1.10), 0.44, 2.68 and 2.03 for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively. Our actual DSC ratio was (0.18) for the trailing twelve-month period ended June 30, 2024. There can be no assurance that we can exceed the required level in subsequent years. During the first quarter of 2023, the DSC ratio covenant for the year ending December 31, 2023 was waived by our lender. Instead, we were required to meet a minimum DSC ratio requirement of 1.35 for the twelve-month periods ending June 30, 2024, September 30, 2024 and December 31, 2024, and then again annually after that. During the first quarter of 2024, the DSC ratio covenant for the twelve-month period ended June 30, 2024 was preemptively waived by our lenders. During the third quarter of 2024, the DSC ratio covenant for the twelve-month period ending September 30, 2024 was preemptively waived by our lenders. If we are unable to achieve the required DSC ratio going forward or reach a favorable agreement with our lenders regarding that requirement (including an amendment to or waiver of such requirement), we would be in violation of that covenant, which could result in unfavorable amendments to the terms of our bank debt or have other adverse impacts on our business and results of operations.
Previous wording
Inflation, supply disruptions, tax rates and economic downturns: Inflation is having a material and adverse impact on almost all supplies we purchase and labor we hire and retain. Continuing or increasing inflationary trends could materially reduce our gross margin on product sales if we are unable or unwilling to impose offsetting price increases on our customers. The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) during the year ended December 31, 2023, improved to 3.4% for all items before seasonal adjustment. This is down from 6.5% and 7.0% during the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. We are facing significant production constraints, supply disruptions and inflationary increases which were initially triggered, in large part directly or indirectly, by the COVID-19 pandemic. The extent and duration of the negative impact on the economics of our customers and on the demand for our products going forward are very difficult to assess. The dairy market, similar to many others, has been unstable as a result of the pandemic. The price paid to producers for milk has been very volatile. The Class III milk price has been extremely volatile since the onset of the pandemic. Market conditions have improved somewhat, but this volatility remains a concern. Additionally, like most input costs, the cost of grain and other feed is rising, which puts a strain on the profitability of our customers. There is also economic uncertainty for beef producers, as the supply chain is interrupted or otherwise adversely affected due to closures of processing plants and reduced throughput. This is a very unusual situation for farmers who work so hard to improve production quality and efficiency in order to help feed a growing population with high-quality and cost-effective proteins. The pandemic created risk and continues to create uncertainty and challenges for us and has created or contributed to global supply-chain disruptions and has affected international trade, while creating a worldwide health and economic crisis. Stock market valuations have declined and recovered somewhat but remain very volatile. Inflation has increased significantly, and tax rates may increase. There is a risk of a period of economic downturn, the severity and duration of which are difficult to know. Prior to the pandemic and the responsive federal economic stimulus programs, many feared the United States had taken on too much national debt. Now the debt load is significantly higher. A combination of the conditions, trends and concerns summarized above could have a corresponding negative effect on our business and operations, including the supply of the colostrum we purchase to produce our**First Defense®**product line, the demand for our products in the U.S. market and our ability to penetrate or maintain a profitable presence in international markets. We are experiencing shortages in key components and needed products, backlogs and production slowdowns due to difficulti…
Excerpt shortened here; the source contains the full paragraph.
Current wording
Inflation, supply disruptions, tax rates and economic downturns: Inflation is having a material and adverse impact on almost all supplies we purchase and labor we hire and retain. Continuing or increasing inflationary trends could materially reduce our gross margin on product sales if we are unable or unwilling to impose offsetting price increases on our customers. We are facing significant production constraints, supply disruptions and inflationary increases which were initially triggered, in large part directly or indirectly, by the COVID-19 pandemic. The extent and duration of the negative impact on the economics of our customers and on the demand for our products going forward are very difficult to assess. The dairy market, similar to many others, has been unstable as a result of the pandemic. The price paid to producers for milk has been very volatile. The Class III milk price has been extremely volatile since the onset of the pandemic. Market conditions have improved somewhat, but this volatility remains a concern. Additionally, like most input costs, the cost of grain and other feed is rising, which puts a strain on the profitability of our customers. There is also economic uncertainty for beef producers, as the supply chain is interrupted or otherwise adversely affected due to closures of processing plants and reduced throughput. This is a very unusual situation for farmers who work so hard to improve production quality and efficiency in order to help feed a growing population with high-quality and cost-effective proteins. The pandemic created risk and continues to create uncertainty and challenges for us and has created or contributed to global supply-chain disruptions and has affected international trade, while creating a worldwide health and economic crisis. Stock market valuations have declined and recovered somewhat but remain very volatile. Inflation has increased significantly, and tax rates may increase. There is a risk of a period of economic downturn, the severity and duration of which are difficult to know. Prior to the pandemic and the responsive federal economic stimulus programs, many feared the United States had taken on too much national debt. Now the debt load is significantly higher. A combination of the conditions, trends and concerns summarized above could have a corresponding negative effect on our business and operations, including the supply of the colostrum we purchase to produce ourFirst Defense® product line, the demand for our products in the U.S. market and our ability to penetrate or maintain a profitable presence in international markets. We are experiencing shortages in key components and needed products, backlogs and production slowdowns due to difficulties accessing needed supplies and labor and other restrictions which increase our costs and affect our ability to consistently deliver our products to market in a timely manner. Our exposure to this risk is mitigated to some extent by the fact that our suppl…
Excerpt shortened here; the source contains the full paragraph.
Previous wording
Risks associated with our funding strategy forRe-Tain**®: The inability to maintain adequate cash and liquidity to support the commercialization ofRe-Tain®** is a risk to our business. Achieving FDA approval of our pharmaceutical-grade Nisin produced at commercial-scale is the most critical action remaining in front of us on our path to U.S. regulatory approval ofRe-Tain®. Having completed the construction and equipping of the DS production facility (as described in more detail inPART I: ITEM 2 of this Quarterly Report) at a cost of approximately $20.8 million, we will continue to incur product development expenses to operate and maintain this facility until commercialization. Absent sufficient sales ofRe-Tain®at a profitable gross margin, we would be required to fund all debt service costs from available cash and sales of theFirst Defense® product line, which would reduce, and could eliminate, our expected profitability going forward and significantly reduce our cash flows.
Current wording
Risks associated with our funding strategy forRe-Tain**®: The inability to maintain adequate cash and liquidity to support the commercialization ofRe-Tain®** is a risk to our business. Achieving FDA approval of our pharmaceutical-grade Nisin produced at commercial-scale is the most critical action remaining in front of us on our path to U.S. regulatory approval ofRe-Tain®. Having completed the construction and equipping of the DS production facility (as described in more detail inPART I: ITEM 2 of this Quarterly Report) at a cost of approximately $20.8 million, we will continue to incur product development expenses to operate and maintain this facility until commercialization.
Previous wording
Contamination events and equipment failures in our production process: During 2023 and 2022, we experienced certain contamination events and equipment failures in our production process that resulted in scrapped inventory and a slowdown of our production process and had a significant impact on our operating results. We are at risk of further such production contaminations or equipment failures resulting in more scrapped inventory if we do not continue to improve our farm operations and implement other necessary improvements from farms to finished goods. The realization of this risk following the above-mentioned contamination events did result in a slowdown of our production output during 2023 to remediate this problem, which led to less sales and gross margin during the year. Additional contamination events or equipment failures causing significantly less production output, depending on their severity, could deplete our cash resulting in an inability to fund our business operations.
Current wording
Contamination events, equipment failures and gross margin from our production process: During the first half of 2024 as well as during 2023 and 2022, we experienced certain contamination events and equipment failures in our production process that resulted in scrapped inventory and a slowdown of our production process, which had a significant negative impact on our operating results. The realization of this risk following the contamination events discussed above did result in a slowdown of our production output during 2023 to remediate this problem, which led to less sales and gross margin during the year. We are at risk of further such production contaminations or equipment failures resulting in more scrapped inventory. Additional contamination events or equipment failures causing significantly less production output, depending on their severity, could deplete our cash resulting in an inability to fund our business operations.
Previous wording
Lower than anticipated treatment cure rates could be experienced because the product is administered to cows that we would not identify as the best treatment candidates based on SCC data.
Current wording
Lower than anticipated treatment cure rates could be experienced because the product is administered to cows that we would not identify as the best treatment candidates based on SCC data or because the product is administered to cows that are infected with pathogens outside of our label claims.
Previous wording
Reliance on sales of theFirst Defense® product line: We are reliant on the market acceptance of theFirst Defense®product line to generate product sales and fund our operations. Our business would not have been profitable during the years ended December 31, 2012, 2013, 2015 and 2016, during the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2017 or during the three-month periods ended March 31, 2019, December 31, 2020, June 30, 2021, September 30, 2021, December 31, 2021 and March 31, 2022 without the gross margin that we earned on sales of theFirst Defense® product line. Our anticipated return to more consistent profitability is contingent upon the gross margin we earn fromFirst Defense®.
Current wording
Reliance on sales of theFirst Defense® product line: We are reliant on the market acceptance of theFirst Defense® product line to generate product sales and fund our operations. Our business would not have been profitable during the years ended December 31, 2012, 2013, 2015 and 2016, during the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2017 or during the three-month periods ended March 31, 2019, December 31, 2020, June 30, 2021, September 30, 2021, December 31, 2021 and March 31, 2022 without the gross margin that we earned on sales of theFirst Defense® product line. Our anticipated return to profitability is contingent upon the gross margin we earn fromFirst Defense® and prudent management of product development expenses.
Previous wording
Concentration of sales: Sales of theFirst Defense® product line aggregated 99% of our total product sales during both of the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022 and during both of the three-month periods ended March 31, 2024 and 2023. Our primary customers for the majority of our product sales (91% and 92% during the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively, and 87% during both of the three-month periods ended March 31, 2024 and 2023) are in the U.S. dairy and beef industries. Product sales to international customers, who are also in the dairy and beef industries, aggregated 9% and 8% of our total product sales during the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively, and 13% during both of the three-month periods ended March 31, 2024 and 2023. The concentration of our sales from one product into just two markets (the dairy and beef markets) is a risk to our business. The animal health distribution segment has been aggressively consolidating over the last few years, with larger distributors acquiring smaller distributors. A large portion of our product sales (79% and 73% during the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively, and 80% and 77% during the three-month periods ended March 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively) was made to two large distributors. A large portion of our trade accounts receivable (76% and 79% as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively) was due from these two distributors. We have a good history with these distributors, but the concentration of sales and accounts receivable with a small number of customers does present a risk to us, including risks related to such customers experiencing financial difficulties or altering the basis on which they do business with us in a manner unfavorable to us.
Current wording
Concentration of sales: Sales of theFirst Defense® product line aggregated 99% of our total product sales during both of the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022 and during both of the six-month periods ended June 30, 2024 and 2023. Our primary customers for the majority of our product sales (91% and 92% during the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively, and 88% and 90% during the six-month periods ended June 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively) are in the U.S. dairy and beef industries. Product sales to international customers, who are also in the dairy and beef industries, aggregated 9% and 8% of our total product sales during the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively, and 12% and 10% during the six-month periods ended June 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively. The concentration of our sales from one product into just two markets (the dairy and beef markets) is a risk to our business. The animal health distribution segment has been aggressively consolidating over the last few years, with larger distributors acquiring smaller distributors. A large portion of our product sales (79% and 73% during the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively, and 79% and 78% during the six-month periods ended June 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively) was made to two large distributors. A large portion of our trade accounts receivable (77% and 79% as of June 30, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively) was due from these two distributors. We have a good history with these distributors, but the concentration of sales and accounts receivable with a small number of customers does present a risk to us, including risks related to such customers experiencing financial difficulties or altering the basis on which they do business with us in a manner unfavorable to us.
Previous wording
Production capacity constraints: We invested $3.7 million from 2019 to the first quarter of 2022 to increase our production capacity (in terms of annual sales dollars) for theFirst Defense® product line from approximately $16.5 million to approximately $23 million based on current selling prices and estimated production yields. During the fourth quarter of 2021, we reached this new, higher level of production output on an annualized basis. During 2021, we initiated three additional investments aggregating $4.7 million to increase our estimated annual production capacity for theFirst Defense® product line to approximately $30 million, which we completed at the end of 2022. We are making initial plans and investments to further increase our production capacity in 2025 and after. While this capacity expansion investment has proceeded very close to budget, there is a risk of cost overruns in our ongoing projects and any future production expansions that we may undertake, and a risk that we will not be able to achieve our production capacity growth objectives on a timely basis, resulting in a continuing or increasing shortfall in supply to the market. The inability to meet market demand for our products is a risk to our business. The historically large backlog of orders, as well as any ongoing order backlog, presents a risk that we could lose customers during this period that are not easily regained thereafter, when our production capacity is expected to meet or exceed sales demand. Our long-term capital plan to continue to expand theFirst Defense® product line requires ongoing review of equipment capacity and utilization across the manufacturing value stream at the 56 Evergreen Drive facility and our leased facilities at 175 Industrial Way, as well as assessment of costs, functional obsolescence and reliability of equipment. This review and assessment could identify a need to fund unexpected equipment maintenance or replacement costs.
Current wording
Production capacity constraints: We invested $3.7 million from 2019 to the first quarter of 2022 to increase our production capacity (in terms of annual sales dollars) for theFirst Defense® product line from approximately $16.5 million to approximately $23 million based on current selling prices and estimated production yields. During the fourth quarter of 2021, we reached this new, higher level of production output on an annualized basis. During 2021, we initiated three additional investments aggregating $4.7 million to increase our estimated annual production capacity for theFirst Defense® product line to approximately $30 million, which we completed at the end of 2022. We are making initial plans to further increase our production capacity. While previous capacity expansion investments have proceeded very close to budget, there is a risk of cost overruns in our ongoing projects and any future production expansions that we may undertake, and a risk that we will not be able to achieve our production capacity growth objectives on a timely basis, resulting in a continuing or increasing shortfall in supply to the market. The inability to meet market demand for our products is a risk to our business. The historically large backlog of orders, as well as any ongoing order backlog, presents a risk that we could lose customers during this period that are not easily regained thereafter, when our production capacity is expected to meet or exceed sales demand. Our long-term capital plan to continue to expand theFirst Defense® product line requires ongoing review of equipment capacity and utilization across the manufacturing value stream at the 56 Evergreen Drive facility and our leased facilities at 175 Industrial Way, as well as assessment of costs, functional obsolescence and reliability of equipment. This review and assessment could identify a need to fund unexpected equipment maintenance or replacement costs.
Previous wording
Regulatory requirements for theFirst Defense® product line: First Defense® is sold in the United States subject to a product license from the Center for Veterinary Biologics, USDA, which was first obtained in 1991, with subsequent approvals of line extensions in 2017 and 2018. As a result, our operations are subject to periodic inspection by the USDA, and we are at risk of an unfavorable outcome from such inspections. The potency of serial lots is directly traceable to the original serial used to obtain the product performance claims (the Reference Standard). Due to the unique nature of the label claims, host animal re-testing is not required as long as periodic laboratory analyses continue to support the stability of stored Reference Standard. To date, these analyses have demonstrated strong stability. However, if the USDA were not to approve requalification of the Reference Standard, additional clinical studies could be required to meet regulatory requirements and allow for continued sales of the product, which could interrupt sales and adversely affect our operating results. Territories outside of the United States may require additional regulatory oversight that we may not be able to meet with our current facilities, processes and resources. During July 2023, the USDA issued a Voluntary Stop Distribution and Sale (VSDS) and a Hold Release onFirst Defense® preventing us from shipping product (while not restricting us from continuing to produce inventory) until two inspectional observations were resolved. We promptly responded to the inspectional observations involved. On August 1, 2023, the USDA verbally rescinded the VSDS, and on August 4, 2023, the USDA verbally rescinded the Hold Release, allowing us to resume normal shipping during the week of August 7, 2023. There is a risk that we will become subject to similar or additional regulatory actions in the future. In these cases, the resulting interruption in sales could have a material and adverse effect on our operating results.
Current wording
Regulatory requirements for theFirst Defense® product line: First Defense® is sold in the United States subject to a product license from the Center for Veterinary Biologics, USDA, which was first obtained in 1991, with subsequent approvals of line extensions in 2017 and 2018. As a result, our operations are subject to periodic inspection by the USDA, and we are at risk of an unfavorable outcome from such inspections. The potency of serial lots is directly traceable to the original serial used to obtain the product performance claims (the Reference Standard). Due to the unique nature of the label claims, host animal re-testing is not required as long as periodic laboratory analyses continue to support the stability of stored Reference Standard. To date, these analyses have demonstrated strong stability. However, if the USDA were not to approve requalification of the Reference Standard, additional clinical studies could be required to meet regulatory requirements and allow for continued sales of the product, which could interrupt sales and adversely affect our operating results. Territories outside of the United States may require additional regulatory oversight that we may not be able to meet with our current facilities, processes and resources. There is a risk that we will become subject to regulatory actions in the future, including actions that result in our inability to ship product. In these cases, the resulting interruption in sales could have a material and adverse effect on our operating results.
Previous wording
Regulatory requirements forRe-Tain**®:*The commercial introduction of this product in the United States requires us to obtain FDA approval. Completing the development through to approval of the NADA by the FDA involves risk. While four of the five required Technical Sections have been approved, the regulatory development process timeline has been extensive (approximately 16 years from when the product rights were returned to us by a former partner in 2007) and has involved multiple commercial production strategies and multiple submissions of the Chemistry, Manufacturing and Controls (CMC) Technical Section. We received an Incomplete Letter from the FDA regarding this CMC Technical Section during the third quarter of 2022 that clarified the required path to product approval. During May of 2024, we received an Incomplete Letter from the FDA in response to our November of 2023 re-submission. To reduce the risk associated with this process, we are working with a qualified contract manufacturer (Norbrook) for alignment of the required validations and DP manufacture and have met with the FDA to clarify filing strategy and requirements. Early during the first quarter of 2024, the FDA conducted another pre-approval inspection of our DS facility. This resulted in the issuance of one deficiency as identified on the FDA’s Form 483. Since then, we have fully responded with data addressing the inspectional observation. However, our efforts continue to be subject to inspection and approval by the FDA and other factors outside of our control, and there remains a risk that the required FDA approvals of our product and facilities could be delayed or not obtained. The facility of our contract manufacturer is subject to similar inspectional obligations. International regulatory approvals would be required for sales ofRe-Tain®* outside of the United States, and there is a risk that these approvals would be or become too costly to pursue or be delayed or not obtained.
Current wording
Regulatory requirements forRe-Tain**®:*The commercial introduction of this product in the United States requires us to obtain FDA approval. Completing the development through to approval of the NADA by the FDA involves risk. While four of the five required Technical Sections have been approved, the regulatory development process timeline has been extensive (approximately 17 years from when the product rights were returned to us by a former partner in 2007) and has involved multiple commercial production strategies and multiple submissions of the Chemistry, Manufacturing and Controls (CMC) Technical Section. We received an Incomplete Letter from the FDA regarding this CMC Technical Section during the third quarter of 2022 that clarified the required path to product approval. During May of 2024, we received an Incomplete Letter from the FDA in response to our November of 2023 re-submission. To reduce the risk associated with this process, we are working with a qualified contract manufacturer (Norbrook) for alignment of the required validations and DP manufacture and have met with the FDA to clarify filing strategy and requirements. Early during the first quarter of 2024, the FDA conducted another pre-approval inspection of our DS facility. This resulted in the issuance of one deficiency as identified on the FDA’s Form 483. Since then, we have cleared the inspectional observation with the FDA. However, our efforts continue to be subject to inspection and approval by the FDA and other factors outside of our control, and there remains a risk that the required FDA approvals of our product and facilities could be delayed or not obtained. The facility of our contract manufacturer is subject to similar inspectional obligations and is currently working to resolve certain inspectional observations at their facility with the FDA. International regulatory approvals would be required for sales ofRe-Tain®* outside of the United States, and there is a risk that these approvals would be or become too costly to pursue or be delayed or not obtained.
Previous wording
Herd size: Prior to 1957, there were over 20,000,000 cows in the U.S. dairy herd. Prior to 1986, there were over 10,000,000 cows in the U.S. dairy herd. From 1998 through 2021, the size (annual average) of the U.S. dairy herd ranged from the low of 9,011,000 in 2004 to the high of 9,448,000 in 2021. This average declined to 9,402,000 during the year ended December 31, 2022 and then declined to 9,386,000 during the year ended December 31, 2023. This average declined slightly to 9,333,000 during the three-month period ended March 31, 2024. A significant decline in the herd size could negatively affect the size of our addressable market.
Current wording
Herd size: Prior to 1957, there were over 20,000,000 cows in the U.S. dairy herd. Prior to 1986, there were over 10,000,000 cows in the U.S. dairy herd. From 1998 through 2021, the size (annual average) of the U.S. dairy herd ranged from the low of 9,011,000 in 2004 to the high of 9,448,000 in 2021. This average declined to 9,402,000 during the year ended December 31, 2022 and then declined to 9,386,000 during the year ended December 31, 2023. This average declined slightly to 9,336,000 during the six-month period ended June 30, 2024. A significant decline in the herd size could negatively affect the size of our addressable market.
Previous wording
Milk cow price: The all-time high value (annual average) for a milk cow was $1,993 during 2015. Since then, this annual average value steadily declined to $1,205 during 2019 before increasing to $1,300 during 2020 and to $1,363 during 2021. This price for 2022 increased significantly to an average of $1,598, which is a 17% increase over 2021. The 2023 average price of $1,763 represents a 10% increase over prior year. This average price increased to $2,005 during the four-month period ended April 30, 2024. A significant decline in the milk cow price could negatively affect the size of our addressable market.
Current wording
Milk cow price: The all-time high value (annual average) for a milk cow was $1,993 during 2015. Since then, this annual average value steadily declined to $1,205 during 2019 before increasing to $1,300 during 2020 and to $1,363 during 2021. This price for 2022 increased significantly to an average of $1,598, which is a 17% increase over 2021. The 2023 average price of $1,763 represents a 10% increase over prior year. This average price increased to $2,005 as of January and April of 2024. A significant decline in the milk cow price could negatively affect the size of our addressable market.
Previous wording
Milk price: The dairy market, similar to many others, has been unstable for several reasons including as a result of the pandemic. The price paid to producers for milk has been very volatile. This market volatility, and the resulting impact on our primary end users, could negatively impact our ability to maintain and grow sales at a profitable level. The Class III milk price (an industry benchmark that reflects the value of product used to make cheese) is an important indicator because it defines our customers’ revenue level. This annual average milk price level (measured in dollars per hundred pounds of milk) reached its highest point (since these prices were first reported in 1980) during 2014 at $22.34 (peaking at $24.60 in September 2014), which price level has never been repeated. During the year ended December 31, 2020, this average milk price was equal to $18.16, but it was extremely volatile during the year due largely to disruption in demand related to the COVID-19 pandemic. The one-month fluctuation of 73% from a low of $12.14 in May 2020 to $21.04 in June 2020 set an all-time record for variability. The average price for 2021 decreased by 6% to $17.08. This price average increased by 29% to $21.96 during the year ended December 31, 2022. The average price decreased by 22% to $17.02 during the year ended December 31, 2023. The average price declined to $15.77 during the four-month period ended April 30, 2024. The annual fluctuations in this milk price level are demonstrated in the following table:
Current wording
Milk price: The dairy market, similar to many others, has been unstable for several reasons including as a result of the pandemic. The price paid to producers for milk has been very volatile. This market volatility, and the resulting impact on our primary end users, could negatively impact our ability to maintain and grow sales at a profitable level. The Class III milk price (an industry benchmark that reflects the value of product used to make cheese) is an important indicator because it defines our customers’ revenue level. This annual average milk price level (measured in dollars per hundred pounds of milk) reached its highest point (since these prices were first reported in 1980) during 2014 at $22.34 (peaking at $24.60 in September of 2014), which price level has never been repeated. During the year ended December 31, 2020, this average milk price was equal to $18.16, but it was extremely volatile during the year due largely to disruption in demand related to the COVID-19 pandemic. The one-month fluctuation of 73% from a low of $12.14 in May of 2020 to $21.04 in June of 2020 set an all-time record for variability. The average price for 2021 decreased by 6% to $17.08. This price average increased by 29% to $21.96 during the year ended December 31, 2022. The average price decreased by 22% to $17.02 during the year ended December 31, 2023. The average price increased to $17.33 during the seven-month period ended July 31, 2024. The annual fluctuations in this milk price level are demonstrated in the following table:
Previous wording
Feed Costs: The actual level of milk prices may be less important than its level relative to feed costs. One measure of this relationship is known as the milk-to-feed price ratio, which represents the amount of feed that one pound of milk can buy. An increase in feed costs also has a negative impact on the beef industry and therefore could have a resulting negative impact on our business and results of operations. This ratio varies farm-to-farm based on individual operating parameters. Since this ratio reached 3.24 in 2005, it has not exceeded 3.00. This ratio averaged 1.74 for 2021, amounting to a significant decline of 25% from the 2020 average of 2.32. This average has not been lower since 2012. During 2022, this ratio improved by 10% to 1.91. This ratio dropped to 1.69 during the year ended December 31, 2023. This ratio increased to 2.09 during the three-month period ended March 31, 2024. The following table demonstrates the annual volatility and the low values of this ratio recently:
Current wording
Feed Costs: The actual level of milk prices may be less important than its level relative to feed costs. One measure of this relationship is known as the milk-to-feed price ratio, which represents the amount of feed that one pound of milk can buy. An increase in feed costs also has a negative impact on the beef industry and therefore could have a resulting negative impact on our business and results of operations. This ratio varies farm-to-farm based on individual operating parameters. Since this ratio reached 3.24 in 2005, it has not exceeded 3.00. This ratio averaged 1.74 for 2021, amounting to a significant decline of 25% from the 2020 average of 2.32. This average has not been lower since 2012. During 2022, this ratio improved by 10% to 1.91. This ratio dropped to 1.68 during the year ended December 31, 2023. This ratio increased to 2.17 during the six-month period ended June 30, 2024. The following table demonstrates the annual volatility and the low values of this ratio recently:
Previous wording
*Dependence on key personnel:*We are a small company with approximately 80 employees (including 6 part-time employees). As such, we rely on certain key employees to support multiple operational functions, with limited redundancy in capacity. The loss of any of these key employees could adversely affect our operations until a qualified replacement is hired and trained, which could be even more challenging in the present difficult labor market. Our competitive position will be highly influenced by our ability to attract, retain and motivate key scientific, manufacturing, managerial and sales and marketing personnel. We will require increased staffing levels to operate our expandedFirst Defense® production capacity and to operate ourRe-Tain® production facility. The cost of attracting and retaining the needed additional personnel in this current job market and inflationary environment could adversely affect our margins and profitability.
Current wording
*Dependence on key personnel:*We are a small company with approximately 80 employees (including 5 part-time employees). As such, we rely on certain key employees to support multiple operational functions, with limited redundancy in capacity. The loss of any of these key employees could adversely affect our operations until a qualified replacement is hired and trained, which could be even more challenging in the present difficult labor market. Our competitive position will be highly influenced by our ability to attract, retain and motivate key scientific, manufacturing, managerial and sales and marketing personnel. We will require increased staffing levels to operate our expandedFirst Defense® production capacity and to operate ourRe-Tain® production facility. The cost of attracting and retaining the needed additional personnel in this current job market and inflationary environment could adversely affect our margins and profitability.
Previous wording
*Bovine diseases:*The potential for epidemics of bovine diseases such as Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI), Foot and Mouth Disease, Bovine Tuberculosis, Brucellosis and Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) presents a risk to us and our customers. Documented cases of BSE in the United States have led to an overall tightening of regulations pertaining to ingredients of animal origin, especially bovine. TheFirst Defense® product line is manufactured from bovine milk (colostrum), which is not considered a BSE risk material. Future regulatory action to increase protection of the human food supply could affect theFirst Defense® product line, although presently we do not anticipate that this will be the case.
Current wording
*Bovine diseases:*The potential for epidemics of bovine diseases such as Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI), Foot and Mouth Disease, Bovine Tuberculosis, Brucellosis and Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) presents a risk to us and our customers. Documented cases of BSE in the United States have led to an overall tightening of regulations pertaining to ingredients of animal origin, especially bovine. TheFirst Defense® product line is manufactured from concentrated bovine colostrum, which is not considered a BSE risk material. Future regulatory action to increase protection of the human food supply could affect theFirst Defense® product line, although presently we do not anticipate that this will be the case.
Previous wording
Stock market valuation and liquidity: Our common stock trades on The Nasdaq Capital Market (Nasdaq: ICCC). Our average daily trading volume (which was 7,845 shares per day during the 20-day period ended May 3, 2024) is lower, our bid/ask stock price spread can be larger and our share price can be more volatile than what other companies experience, which could result in investors facing difficulty selling their stock for proceeds that they may expect or desire. Our share price as of May 3, 2024 was $5.03. Most companies in the animal health sector have market capitalization values that greatly exceed our market capitalization of approximately $39 million as of May 3, 2024. Our product sales during the trailing twelve-month period ended March 31, 2024 were $21.3 million. This means that our market capitalization as of May 3, 2024 was equal to approximately 2 times our sales during the trailing twelve-month period ended March 31, 2024. Before gross margin from the sale of new products is achieved, our market capitalization may be heavily dependent on the perceived potential for growth from our product under development and may therefore be negatively affected by the related uncertainties and risks.
Current wording
Stock market valuation and liquidity: Our common stock trades on The Nasdaq Capital Market (Nasdaq: ICCC). Our average daily trading volume (which was 8,669 shares per day during the 20-day period ended August 2, 2024) is lower, our bid/ask stock price spread can be larger and our share price can be more volatile than what other companies experience, which could result in investors facing difficulty selling their stock for proceeds that they may expect or desire. Our share price as of August 2, 2024 was $3.82. Most companies in the animal health sector have market capitalization values that greatly exceed our market capitalization of approximately $30 million as of August 2, 2024. Our product sales during the trailing twelve-month period ended June 30, 2024 were $23.2 million. This means that our market capitalization as of August 2, 2024 was equal to approximately 1.29 times our sales during the trailing twelve-month period ended June 30, 2024. Before gross margin from the sale of new products is achieved, our market capitalization may be heavily dependent on the perceived potential for growth from our product under development and may therefore be negatively affected by the related uncertainties and risks.
Previous wording
*Access to raw materials and contract manufacturing services:*Our objective is to maintain more than one source of supply for the components used to manufacture and test our products that we obtain from third parties. However, we are experiencing difficulty in efficiently acquiring essential supplies. We have significantly increased the number of farms from which we purchase colostrum for theFirst Defense®product line. A significant reduction in farm capacity could make it difficult for us to produce enough inventory to meet customer demand. The specific antibodies that we purify from colostrum for theFirst Defense® product line are not readily available from other sources. We are and will be dependent on our manufacturing facilities and operations in Portland for the production of theFirst Defense®product line andRe-Tain®. We will be dependent on one manufacturer for the supply of syringes forRe-Tain®. We are currently dependent on a contract with Norbrook for the DP formulation and aseptic filling for supply of our Nisin DP through 2024. Any facility used to perform these services will be subject to FDA inspection and approval, the outcome and timing of which are not within our control. We anticipate that this FDA approval process would take at least two years. The potential alternative options for these services are narrowed considerably because our product cannot be formulated or filled in a facility that also processes traditional antibiotics (i.e., beta lactams). Any significant damage to or other disruption in the services at any of these third-party facilities or our own facilities (including due to lack of financing, regulatory issues or non-compliance) would adversely affect the production of inventory and result in significant added expenses and potential loss of future sales. We face the risk of potential supply interruption and adverse effects on the market launch of**Re-Tain®**if we do not effectively manage the end of the DP supply provided from our contract manufacturer for orders scheduled for delivery through the end of 2024 (with product expiries that could be approximately between September of 2025 and March of 2026) to align with the new supply from a new contract manufacturing agreement or our own formulation and aseptic filling facility.
Current wording
*Access to raw materials and contract manufacturing services:*Our objective is to maintain more than one source of supply for the components used to manufacture and test our products that we obtain from third parties. However, we are experiencing difficulty in efficiently acquiring essential supplies. We have significantly increased the number of farms from which we purchase colostrum for theFirst Defense® product line. A significant reduction in farm capacity could make it difficult for us to produce enough inventory to meet customer demand. The specific antibodies that we purify from colostrum for theFirst Defense® product line are not readily available from other sources. We are and will be dependent on our manufacturing facilities and operations in Portland for the production of theFirst Defense®product line andRe-Tain®. We will be dependent on one manufacturer for the supply of syringes forRe-Tain®. We are currently dependent on a contract with Norbrook for the DP formulation and aseptic filling for supply of our Nisin DP through 2024. Any facility used to perform these services will be subject to FDA inspection and approval, the outcome and timing of which are not within our control. We anticipate that this FDA approval process would take at least two years. The potential alternative options for these services are narrowed considerably because our product cannot be formulated or filled in a facility that also processes traditional antibiotics (i.e., beta lactams). Any significant damage to or other disruption in the services at any of these third-party facilities or our own facilities (including due to lack of financing, regulatory issues or non-compliance) would adversely affect the production of inventory and result in significant added expenses and potential loss of future sales. We anticipate a supply interruption and adverse effects on our controlled launch of**Re-Tain®**beginning during the first quarter of 2026 (subject to confirmation of final product shelf-life disposition by the FDA). These goods represent the initial DP production from our contract manufacturer. The extent of the interruption will be subject to the supply timeline from a new contract manufacturing agreement or from our own formulation and aseptic filling facility for DP.
Rearranged previous paragraphs (1)
Previous report — wording carried elsewhere
Lower than anticipated treatment cure rates could be experienced because the product is administered to cows that are infected with pathogens outside of our label claims.