SERA PROGNOSTICS, INC.
For the period ended Jun 30, 2026. Filed Aug 12, 2026.
View on SEC.govAbout this filing
A company's report for each of its first three quarters. The financial statements are not audited. It shows how the business has moved since the last annual report, and what management says changed.
Jun 30, 2026 · Filed Aug 12, 2026
What changed in Risk Factors?
Read the current filingPrevious report: 10-Q
Period ended 2026-03-31; filed 2026-05-06.
0001534969-26-000025
Item 1A. Risk FactorsCurrent report: 10-Q
Period ended 2026-06-30; filed 2026-08-12.
0001193125-26-346862
Item 1A. Risk FactorsThe baseline is this issuer’s latest earlier reporting period of the same form that was filed before the current report. A previous 10-Q is a different quarter, not a year-over-year comparison. Amendments are excluded.
Compared 399 previous paragraphs and 399 current paragraphs.
390 unchanged; 9 reworded; 0 added; 0 removed; 0 previous and 0 current paragraphs rearranged.
Tables are not compared: 0 previous and 0 current tables excluded. Dates, whitespace, punctuation and numbering changes are ignored; changes to financial figures remain significant.
A changed paragraph is not evidence that risk increased or decreased. An unchanged paragraph does not establish that risk stayed the same.
Reworded paragraphs (9)
Previous wording
Our inability to maintain effective disclosure controls and procedures could adversely affect our results of operations, liquidity and financial positions, as well as our stock price and investor confidence in us.
Current wording
Our inability to maintain effective disclosure controls and procedures could adversely affect our results of operations, liquidity and financial position, as well as our stock price and investor confidence in us.
Previous wording
We have incurred net losses each year since our inception in 2008. To date, we have financed our operations primarily through private placements of our equity and debt securities, bank loans, the sale and issuance of Class A common stock in our IPO, and the sale and issuance of Class A common stock and pre-funded warrants in the February 2025 Offering. Our net loss for the three months ended March 31, 2026 and 2025 was $8.4 million and $8.2 million, respectively. As of March 31, 2026, we had an accumulated deficit of $320.1 million. Our losses may continue to increase in the future as we continue to devote a substantial portion of our resources to efforts to increase the adoption of, and reimbursement for, the PreTRM test, make improvements to this product, and research, develop and commercialize new products and services.
Current wording
We have incurred net losses each year since our inception in 2008. To date, we have financed our operations primarily through private placements of our equity and debt securities, bank loans, the sale and issuance of Class A common stock in our IPO, and the sale and issuance of Class A common stock and pre-funded warrants in the February 2025 Offering. Our net loss for the six months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025 was $17.5 million and $16.2 million, respectively. As of June 30, 2026, we had an accumulated deficit of $329.3 million. Our losses may continue to increase in the future as we continue to devote a substantial portion of our resources to efforts to increase the adoption of, and reimbursement for, the PreTRM test, make improvements to this product, and research, develop and commercialize new products and services.
Previous wording
We currently receive substantially all of our revenues from the sales of the PreTRM test and expect to continue to receive revenue from sales of the PreTRM test and our other pipeline products and services in the future. It is possible that we will not generate sufficient revenue from the sales of any of our products and services to cover our costs, including research and development expenses related to furthering our product pipeline, and achieve or sustain profitability. A significant element of our business strategy is to increase and maintain our in-network coverage with third-party payers. However, third-party payers, such as commercial insurers and government health care programs, may decide not to reimburse for the PreTRM test or other tests we may develop, may not reimburse for uses of the PreTRM test or our other tests for the pregnant patient population, or may set the amounts of such reimbursements at prices that do not allow us to cover our expenses. Many third-party payers currently either have negative coverage determinations or otherwise do not reimburse for low-risk patient preterm birth screening tests. State Medicaid programs currently do not reimburse for our tests; third-party payers are increasingly requiring that prior authorization be obtained prior to conducting testing as a condition to reimbursing for it, which may reduce and/or delay the reimbursement amounts.
Current wording
We currently receive substantially all of our revenues from the sales of the PreTRM test and expect to continue to receive substantially all of our revenue from sales of the PreTRM test and our other pipeline products and services in the future. It is possible that we will not generate sufficient revenue from the sales of any of our products and services to cover our costs, including research and development expenses related to furthering our product pipeline, and achieve or sustain profitability. A significant element of our business strategy is to increase and maintain our in-network coverage with third-party payers. However, third-party payers, such as commercial insurers and government health care programs, may decide not to reimburse for the PreTRM test or other tests we may develop, may not reimburse for uses of the PreTRM test or our other tests for the pregnant patient population, or may set the amounts of such reimbursements at prices that do not allow us to cover our expenses. Many third-party payers currently either have negative coverage determinations or otherwise do not reimburse for low-risk patient preterm birth screening tests. State Medicaid programs currently do not reimburse for our tests; third-party payers are increasingly requiring that prior authorization be obtained prior to conducting testing as a condition to reimbursing for it, which may reduce and/or delay the reimbursement amounts.
Previous wording
The ability of governmental agencies to meet their mandates can be affected by a variety of factors, including government budget and funding levels, the ability to hire and retain key personnel, and statutory, regulatory, and policy changes. Government funding of the SEC and other government agencies on which our operations may rely, including those that fund research and development activities, is subject to the political process, which is inherently fluid and unpredictable. For example, over the last several years, the U.S. government has shut down several times, most recently in January 2026, resulting in certain regulatory agencies such as the FDA, CMS, and the SEC furloughing critical employees and suspending critical activities. Additionally, the Trump Administration has implemented a large-scale reduction of the federal government workforce as well as major organizational changes and consolidating throughout the executive branch since assuming office in January 2025. The impact of mass layoffs at governmental offices with which we interact is unclear at this time, and organizational changes remain fluid. If a prolonged government shutdown or slowdown occurs, or a significant reduction in force makes it difficult for offices with which we interact to respond timely, it could have a material adverse effect on our business. Further, future government shutdowns could impact our ability to access the public markets and obtain necessary capital in order to properly capitalize and continue our operations.
Current wording
The ability of governmental agencies to meet their mandates can be affected by a variety of factors, including government budget and funding levels, the ability to hire and retain key personnel, and statutory, regulatory, and policy changes. Government funding of the SEC and other government agencies on which our operations may rely, including those that fund research and development activities, is subject to the political process, which is inherently fluid and unpredictable. For example, over the last several years, the U.S. government has shut down several times, most recently in January 2026, resulting in certain regulatory agencies such as the FDA, CMS, and the SEC furloughing critical employees and suspending critical activities. Additionally, the Trump Administration has implemented a large-scale reduction of the federal government workforce as well as major organizational changes and consolidations throughout the executive branch since assuming office in January 2025. The impact of mass layoffs at governmental offices with which we interact is unclear at this time, and organizational changes remain fluid. If a prolonged government shutdown or slowdown occurs, or a significant reduction in force makes it difficult for offices with which we interact to respond timely, it could have a material adverse effect on our business. Further, future government shutdowns could impact our ability to access the public markets and obtain necessary capital in order to properly capitalize and continue our operations.
Previous wording
Under the Trump Administration and the 119 th Congress, there remains uncertainty around the future of the ACA and other health care legislation, and in particular the impact to reimbursement levels and the number of insured individuals. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, or OBBBA, approved by Congress and signed into law on July 4, 2025, included changes to existing laws that may have significant implications for health care providers. In particular, the OBBBA is projected to result in substantial reductions in federal spending on the Medicaid program over the next decade. Health care funding experts estimate that the cuts during that period will exceed $1 trillion. The OBBBA also made changes to the state insurance exchanges formed under Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, as amended by the ACA. The Congressional Budget Office estimates the OBBBA could result in millions of additional uninsured people by 2034. These and other changes may negatively affect the purchasing decisions of our customers.
Current wording
Under the Trump Administration and the current Congress, there remains uncertainty around the future of the ACA and other health care legislation, and in particular the impact to reimbursement levels and the number of insured individuals. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, or OBBBA, approved by Congress and signed into law on July 4, 2025, included changes to existing laws that may have significant implications for health care providers. In particular, the OBBBA is projected to result in substantial reductions in federal spending on the Medicaid program over the next decade. Health care funding experts estimate that the cuts during that period will exceed $1 trillion. The OBBBA also made changes to the state insurance exchanges formed under Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, as amended by the ACA. The Congressional Budget Office estimates the OBBBA could result in millions of additional uninsured people by 2034. These and other changes may negatively affect the purchasing decisions of our customers.
Previous wording
We are an emerging growth company, or EGC, as defined in the JOBS Act. For as long as we continue to be an EGC, we may take advantage of exemptions from various reporting requirements that are applicable to other public companies that are not EGCs, including not being required to comply with the auditor attestation requirements of Section 404 of SOX, reduced disclosure obligations regarding executive compensation in our periodic reports and proxy statements and exemptions from the requirements of holding nonbinding advisory votes on executive compensation and stockholder approval of any golden parachute payments not previously approved. We may remain an EGC until the earliest to occur of: (1) the last day of the fiscal year in which we have at least $1.235 billion in annual revenue; (2) the last day of the fiscal year in which we are deemed to be a “large accelerated filer,” as defined in Rule 12b-2 under the Exchange Act, which would occur if the market value of our common stock held by non-affiliates exceeded $700.0 million as of the last business day of the second fiscal quarter of such year; (3) the date on which we have issued more than $1.0 billion in non-convertible debt securities during the prior three-year period; and (4) December 31, 2026.
Current wording
We are an emerging growth company, or EGC, as defined in the JOBS Act. For as long as we continue to be an EGC, we may take advantage of exemptions from various reporting requirements that are applicable to other public companies that are not EGCs, including not being required to comply with the auditor attestation requirements of Section 404 of SOX, reduced disclosure obligations regarding executive compensation in our periodic reports and proxy statements and exemptions from the requirements of holding nonbinding advisory votes on executive compensation and stockholder approval of any golden parachute payments not previously approved. We may remain an EGC until the earliest of: (1) the last day of the fiscal year in which we have at least $1.235 billion in annual revenue; (2) the last day of the fiscal year in which we are deemed to be a “large accelerated filer,” as defined in Rule 12b-2 under the Exchange Act, which would occur if the market value of our common stock held by non-affiliates exceeded $700.0 million as of the last business day of the second fiscal quarter of such year; (3) the date on which we have issued more than $1.0 billion in non-convertible debt securities during the prior three-year period; and (4) December 31, 2026.
Previous wording
We have registered on Form S-8 all shares of common stock that are issuable under our existing equity compensation plan, including the 2011 Employee, Director and Consultant Equity Incentive Plan, as amended, or the 2011 Plan, which expired in 2021, the 2021 Equity Incentive Plan, or the 2021 Plan, and the 2021 Employee Stock Purchase Plan, or the 2021 ESPP, as well as the shares of common stock underlying option awards outstanding under the 2011 Plan. Additionally, the number of shares of our Class A common stock reserved for issuance under our 2021 Equity Plan automatically increases on January 1 of each year, beginning on January 1, 2022, by 4% of the total number of shares of our capital stock outstanding on December 31 of the preceding calendar year, or a lesser number of shares determined by our board of directors or compensation committee. Furthermore, the number of shares of our Class A common stock reserved for issuance under our 2021 ESPP automatically increases on January 1 of each year, beginning on January 1, 2022, by 1% of the total number of shares of our capital stock outstanding on December 31 of the preceding calendar year, or a lesser number of shares determined by our board of directors or compensation committee. Unless our board of directors elects not to increase the number of shares available for future grant each year, our stockholders may experience additional dilution. As a consequence, these shares can be freely sold in the public market upon issuance, subject to volume limitations applicable to affiliates.
Current wording
We have registered on Form S-8 all shares of common stock that are issuable under our existing equity compensation plan, including the 2011 Employee, Director and Consultant Equity Incentive Plan, as amended, or the 2011 Plan, which expired in 2021, the 2021 Equity Incentive Plan, or the 2021 Plan, and the 2021 Employee Stock Purchase Plan, or the 2021 ESPP, as well as the shares of common stock underlying option awards outstanding under the 2011 Plan. Additionally, the number of shares of our Class A common stock reserved for issuance under the 2021 Plan automatically increases on January 1 of each year, beginning on January 1, 2022, by 4% of the total number of shares of our capital stock outstanding on December 31 of the preceding calendar year, or a lesser number of shares determined by our board of directors or compensation committee. Furthermore, the number of shares of our Class A common stock reserved for issuance under the 2021 ESPP automatically increases on January 1 of each year, beginning on January 1, 2022, by 1% of the total number of shares of our capital stock outstanding on December 31 of the preceding calendar year, or a lesser number of shares determined by our board of directors or compensation committee. Unless our board of directors elects not to increase the number of shares available for future grant each year, our stockholders may experience additional dilution. As a consequence, these shares can be freely sold in the public market upon issuance, subject to volume limitations applicable to affiliates.
Previous wording
Our inability to maintain effective disclosure controls and procedures could adversely affect our results of operations, liquidity and financial positions, as well as our stock price and investor confidence in us.
Current wording
Our inability to maintain effective disclosure controls and procedures could adversely affect our results of operations, liquidity and financial position, as well as our stock price and investor confidence in us.
Previous wording
We are required to disclose changes made in our internal controls and procedures on a quarterly basis and our management are required to assess the effectiveness of these controls annually. However, as long as we are an EGC and a smaller reporting company with revenues under $100 million, our independent registered public accounting firm is not required to attest to the effectiveness of our internal controls over financial reporting pursuant to Section 404 of SOX. We could be an EGC until December 31, 2026, and a smaller reporting company with revenues under $100 million beyond December 31, 2026. An independent assessment of the effectiveness of our internal controls over financial reporting could detect problems that our management’s assessment might not. Undetected material weaknesses in our internal controls over financial reporting could lead to restatements of our financial statements and require us to incur the expense of remediation.
Current wording
We are required to disclose changes made in our internal controls and procedures on a quarterly basis and our management is required to assess the effectiveness of these controls annually. However, as long as we are an EGC and a smaller reporting company with revenues under $100 million, our independent registered public accounting firm is not required to attest to the effectiveness of our internal controls over financial reporting pursuant to Section 404 of SOX. We could be an EGC until December 31, 2026, and a smaller reporting company with revenues under $100 million beyond December 31, 2026. An independent assessment of the effectiveness of our internal controls over financial reporting could detect problems that our management’s assessment might not. Undetected material weaknesses in our internal controls over financial reporting could lead to restatements of our financial statements and require us to incur the expense of remediation.