EAGLE BANCORP INC

Previous wording

The Company uses regression analysis of historical internal and peer data provided by a third-party service provider (as Company loss data alone is insufficient) to determine suitable loss drivers to utilize when modeling lifetime PD and LGD. This analysis also determines how expected PD will react to forecasted levels of the loss drivers. During 2024, management enhanced the cash flow model to incorporate additional macroeconomic variables. The four economic variables selected, national unemployment (original variable used), Commercial Real Estate ("CRE") Price Index, House Price Index and Gross Domestic Product ("GDP"), are incorporated by utilizing a Loss Driver Analysis approach that factors in historical losses, including during the Great Recession, of regional peer banks and the Bank. The updated model incorporates a weighting of three economic scenarios; baseline, upside and downside. The scenarios cover the four economic forecast variables, with each segment of the portfolio linked to two of these variables, depending on the segment. The loss driver analysis is spread over a reasonable and supportable period of 18 months and reverts back to a historical loss rate over twelve months on a straight-line basis over the loan's remaining maturity. Management leverages economic projections from reputable and independent third parties to inform its loss driver forecasts over the forecast period.

Current wording

The Company uses regression analysis of historical internal and peer data provided by a third-party service provider (as Company loss data alone is insufficient) to determine suitable loss drivers to utilize when modeling lifetime PD and LGD. This analysis also determines how expected PD will react to forecasted levels of the loss drivers. During 2024, management enhanced the cash flow model to incorporate additional macroeconomic variables. The four economic variables selected, national unemployment (original variable used), Commercial Real Estate ("CRE") Price Index, House Price Index and Gross Domestic Product ("GDP"), are incorporated by utilizing a Loss Driver Analysis approach that factors in historical losses, including during the Great Recession, of regional peer banks and the Bank. The model incorporates a weighting of three economic scenarios; baseline, upside and downside. The scenarios cover the four economic forecast variables, with each segment of the portfolio linked to two of these variables, depending on the segment. The loss driver analysis is spread over a reasonable and supportable period

Previous wording

The ACL also includes an amount for inherent risks not reflected in the historical analyses. Relevant factors reflected in the qualitative component of the reserve include, but are not limited to, concentrations of credit risk, appraisal risk from volatility in the market, changes in underwriting standards, experience and depth of lending staff and trends in delinquencies.

Current wording

The ACL also includes an amount for inherent risks not reflected in the historical analyses. Relevant factors reflected in the qualitative component of the reserve include, but are not limited to, concentrations of credit risk, appraisal risk from volatility in the market, changes in underwriting standards, experience and depth of lending and credit staff and trends in delinquencies. Additionally, the ACL includes a qualitative reserve for CRE office loans (the "office overlay"), which reflects management’s assessment of continued uncertainty in that sector as well as potential lag effects from interest-rate sensitivity, valuation declines, and refinancing risk. Management continues to monitor trends, including occupancy, capitalization rates, and market liquidity, across key metropolitan areas and may adjust qualitative reserves further as these factors evolve.