AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC
For the period ended Dec 31, 2025. Filed Feb 25, 2026.
View on SEC.govAbout this filing
A company's yearly report to the SEC, with audited financial statements. It is the fullest account a company gives of its business, its finances and the risks it sees.
FY2025 · Filed Feb 25, 2026
What changed in Risk Factors?
Read the current filingPrevious report: 10-K
Period ended 2024-12-31; filed 2025-02-25.
0001042046-25-000011
Item 1A. Risk FactorsCurrent report: 10-K
Period ended 2025-12-31; filed 2026-02-25.
0001042046-26-000010
Item 1A. Risk FactorsThe baseline is this issuer’s latest earlier reporting period of the same form that was filed before the current report. A previous 10-Q is a different quarter, not a year-over-year comparison. Amendments are excluded.
Compared 84 previous paragraphs and 86 current paragraphs.
56 unchanged; 27 reworded; 3 added; 0 removed; 1 previous and 0 current paragraphs rearranged.
Tables are not compared: 0 previous and 0 current tables excluded. Dates, whitespace, punctuation and numbering changes are ignored; changes to financial figures remain significant.
A changed paragraph is not evidence that risk increased or decreased. An unchanged paragraph does not establish that risk stayed the same.
Added paragraphs (3)
Current report
AFG may be exposed to significant risks due to its use or its business partners’ use of AI.
Current report
AFG uses, and may increasingly rely on, AI technologies in its business operations and may utilize AI in connection with its products and services. AI systems may not perform as intended, may produce flawed, inaccurate, biased, incomplete or otherwise unreliable outputs or analytics, or may be implemented or monitored ineffectively. These issues could cause AFG to write business it would not have otherwise written, misprice policies, assume unintended risks, overpay claims or otherwise experience operational disruptions or financial losses. AFG may incur operational, technological, security, reputational, legal and regulatory risks related to its use of AI. Among other causes, these risks may arise from the misuse or inadvertent disclosure of personal data or sensitive or confidential information; AI-related ethical considerations; vulnerabilities that increase exposure to cyber incidents; failures or limitations in oversight, governance or controls relating to AI systems; or potential intellectual property, contractual or other legal issues associated with AI use. AFG’s business partners, independent agents or other third parties may also develop or utilize AI in their own operations. If such systems fail, malfunction or are improperly designed or monitored, AFG’s operations could be disrupted or there could be direct or indirect adverse impacts to the Company, including to its relationships and reputation.
Current report
Any of these risks or other, unanticipated AI-related risks could materially adversely affect AFG’s business, financial condition or results of operation.
Reworded paragraphs (27)
Previous wording
Catastrophes can be caused by unpredictable natural events such as hurricanes, windstorms, severe storms, tornadoes, floods, hailstorms, earthquakes, explosions and fire, and by other events, such as war, terrorist attacks and civil unrest, as well as pandemics and other similar outbreaks in many parts of the world. These events may have a material adverse effect on AFG’s workforce and business operations as well as the workforce and operations of AFG’s customers and independent agents.
Current wording
Catastrophes can be caused by unpredictable natural events such as hurricanes, windstorms, severe storms, tornadoes, floods, hailstorms, earthquakes, explosions and fire, and by other events, such as war, terrorist attacks and civil unrest, as well as pandemics and other similar outbreaks in many parts of the world. These events may have a material adverse effect on AFG’s workforce and business operations as well as the workforce and operations of AFG’s customers, business partners and independent agents.
Previous wording
The extent of gross losses for AFG’s insurance operations from a catastrophe event is a function of both the total amount of insured exposure in the area affected by the event and the severity of the event. In addition, certain catastrophes could result in both property and non-property claims from the same event. AFG purchases catastrophe reinsurance to mitigate the impact of catastrophe losses. Reinsurance is subject to the adequacy and counterparty reinsurance risks described below under “The inability to obtain reinsurance or to collect on ceded reinsurance could adversely affect AFG’s results of operations.” A severe catastrophe or a series of catastrophes could result in losses exceeding AFG’s reinsurance protection and may have a material adverse impact on its results of operations or financial condition.
Current wording
The extent of gross losses for AFG’s insurance operations from a catastrophe event is a function of both the total amount of insured exposure in the area affected by the event and the severity of the event. In addition, certain catastrophes could result in both property and non-property claims from the same event. AFG purchases traditional catastrophe reinsurance and has issued a fully collateralized catastrophe bond to mitigate the impact of catastrophe losses. Traditional reinsurance is subject to the adequacy and counterparty reinsurance risks described below under “The inability to obtain reinsurance or to collect on ceded reinsurance could adversely affect AFG’s results of operations.” A severe catastrophe or a series of catastrophes could result in losses exceeding AFG’s reinsurance protection and may have a material adverse impact on its results of operations or financial condition.
Previous wording
Changing weather patterns, whether as a result of global climate change caused by human activities or otherwise, have added to the unpredictability, frequency and severity of weather-related catastrophes and other losses, such as wildfires or flooding, incurred by the industry in recent years. For example, in September 2024, Hurricane Helene caused significant damage in non-coastal areas, where such impacts may not have historically been expected. Changing weather patterns also make it more difficult for AFG to predict and model catastrophic events, reducing AFG’s ability to accurately price its exposure to such events and mitigate its risks. In addition, claims for catastrophic events, or an unusual frequency of smaller losses in a particular period, such as from lower severity convective storms, could expose AFG to large losses, cause substantial volatility in its results of operations and could have a material adverse effect on its ability to write new business if AFG is not able to adequately assess and reserve for the increased frequency and severity of catastrophes resulting from these environmental factors. In addition, any increase in the frequency or severity of catastrophic events may result in losses exceeding AFG’s reinsurance protection or may result in substantial volatility in or materially impact AFG’s results of operations or financial condition.
Current wording
Changing weather patterns, whether as a result of global climate change caused by human activities or otherwise, have added to the unpredictability, frequency and severity of weather-related catastrophes and other losses, such as wildfires, storms or flooding, incurred by the industry in recent years. Changing weather patterns also make it more difficult for AFG to predict and model catastrophic events, reducing AFG’s ability to accurately price its exposure to such events and mitigate its risks. In addition, claims for catastrophic events, or an unusual frequency of smaller losses in a particular period, such as from lower severity convective storms, could expose AFG to large losses, cause substantial volatility in its results of operations and could have a material adverse effect on its ability to renew business or write new business if AFG is not able to adequately assess and reserve for the increased frequency and severity of catastrophes resulting from these environmental factors. In addition, any increase in the frequency or severity of catastrophic events may result in losses exceeding AFG’s reinsurance protection or may result in substantial volatility in or materially impact AFG’s results of operations or financial condition.
Previous wording
Operational risk and losses can result from, among other things, fraud, errors, failure to document transactions properly, failure to obtain proper internal authorization, failure to comply with regulatory requirements, information technology failures or other internal or external events. AFG continues to enhance its operating procedures and internal controls to effectively support its business and its regulatory and reporting requirements. The NAIC and state legislatures have increased their focus on risks within an insurer’s holding company system that may pose enterprise risk to insurers. AFG must submit an Own Risk and Solvency Assessment Summary Report (“ORSA”) at least annually to its lead state insurance regulator. The ORSA is a confidential internal assessment of the material and relevant risks associated with an insurer’s current business plan and the sufficiency of capital resources to support those risks.
Current wording
Operational risk and losses can result from, among other things, fraud, errors, failure to document transactions properly, failure to obtain proper internal authorization, failure to comply with regulatory requirements, information technology failures or other internal or external events, whether experienced by AFG or its business partners. AFG continues to enhance its operating procedures and internal controls to effectively support its business and its regulatory and reporting requirements. The NAIC and state legislatures have increased their focus on risks within an insurer’s holding company system that may pose enterprise risk to insurers. AFG must submit an Own Risk and Solvency Assessment Summary Report (“ORSA”) at least annually to its lead state insurance regulator. The ORSA is a confidential internal assessment of the material and relevant risks associated with an insurer’s current business plan and the sufficiency of capital resources to support those risks.
Previous wording
AFG operates within an enterprise risk management (“ERM”) framework designed to assess and monitor risks. However, assurance that AFG can effectively identify, review and monitor all risks or that all its employees will operate within the ERM framework cannot be guaranteed. Assurances that AFG’s ERM framework will result in the Company accurately identifying all risks and accurately limiting its exposures based on its assessments also cannot be guaranteed. Any ineffectiveness in AFG’s control or procedures or failure to manage these risks may have an adverse effect on AFG’s results of operations and financial condition.
Current wording
AFG operates within an enterprise risk management (“ERM”) framework designed to assess and monitor risks. However, AFG cannot assure that it will effectively identify, review and monitor all risks, that all its employees will operate within the ERM framework or that its ERM framework will result in the Company accurately identifying all risks and accurately limiting its exposures based on its assessments. Any ineffectiveness in AFG’s controls or procedures or failure to manage these risks may have an adverse effect on AFG’s results of operations and financial condition.
Previous wording
AFG has substantial exposure to unexpected losses resulting from war, acts of terrorism, political unrest and geopolitical instability in many regions of the world. Private sector catastrophe reinsurance is limited and generally unavailable for terrorism losses caused by attacks with nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological weapons. On December 20, 2019, the President of the United States signed the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2019 (“TRIP"), extending the program through December 31, 2027. Although TRIP provides benefits in the event of certain acts of terrorism, those benefits are subject to a deductible and to other limitations, which could ultimately leave AFG subject to material adverse financial impacts. AFG cannot predict or eliminate its exposure to events of war, terrorism, political unrest or geopolitical uncertainty, and to the extent that losses from such events occur, AFG’s financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Current wording
AFG has substantial exposure to unexpected losses resulting from war, acts of terrorism, political unrest and geopolitical instability in many regions of the world. Private sector catastrophe reinsurance is limited and generally unavailable for terrorism losses caused by attacks with nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological weapons. In December 2019, the President of the United States signed the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2019 (“TRIP"), extending the program through December 31, 2027. Although TRIP provides benefits in the event of certain acts of terrorism, those benefits are subject to a deductible and to other limitations, which could ultimately leave AFG subject to material adverse financial impacts. AFG cannot predict or eliminate its exposure to events of war, terrorism, political unrest or geopolitical uncertainty, and to the extent that losses from such events occur, AFG’s financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Previous wording
AFG’s reliance on the independent agency market makes it vulnerable to a reduction in the amount of business written by agents. Many of AFG’s competitors also rely significantly on the independent agency market. Some of AFG’s competitors offer a wider variety of products or higher commissions. AFG also faces credit risk with respect to its independent agents, as they may not pay all the premiums owed to AFG and it may be difficult or impossible to recover such amounts. A reduction in the number of independent agencies marketing AFG’s products, the failure of agencies to successfully market AFG’s products, changes in the strategy or operations of agencies (including agency consolidation), the inability of AFG to collect amounts owed by agencies or the choice of agencies to reduce their writings of AFG products could adversely affect AFG’s revenues and profitability.
Current wording
AFG’s reliance on the independent agency market makes it vulnerable to a reduction in the amount of business written by agents. Many of AFG’s competitors also rely significantly on the independent agency market. Some of AFG’s competitors offer a wider variety of products or higher commissions. AFG also faces credit risk with respect to its independent agents, as they may not pay all the premiums owed to AFG and it may be difficult or impossible to recover such amounts. A reduction in the number of independent agencies marketing AFG’s products, the failure of agencies to successfully market AFG’s products, disruption to relationships with agencies, changes in the strategy or operations of agencies (including through agency consolidation or the financing of agencies by private equity or other capital providers), the inability of AFG to collect amounts owed by agencies or the choice of agencies to reduce their writings of AFG products could adversely affect AFG’s revenues and profitability.
Previous wording
Liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (“LAE”) do not represent an exact calculation of liability but instead represent management estimates of what the ultimate settlement and administration of claims will cost, supported by actuarial expertise and projection techniques, at a given accounting date. The process of estimating unpaid losses and LAE reserves involves a high degree of judgment and is subject to numerous internal and external factors. Variability is introduced by changes in claims handling procedures, the impact of general and wage inflation (including impacts on medical costs and property and transportation vehicle parts and values) on loss cost trends, increasing litigation and erosion of causation and coverage defenses for insurance claims, legislative actions, evolving mass tort issues and varying judgments and viewpoints of the individuals involved in the estimation process, among others. The impact of many of these items on ultimate costs for unpaid losses and LAE is difficult to estimate. Unpaid losses and LAE reserve estimation difficulties also differ significantly by product line due to differences in claim complexity, the volume of claims, the potential severity of individual claims, the determination of an occurrence date for a claim and lags in the time between damage, loss or injury and when a claim is actually reported to the insurer. In addition, the historic development of AFG’s liability for unpaid losses and LAE may not necessarily reflect future trends in the development of these amounts. To the extent that reserves are inadequate and are strengthened, AFG’s profitability would be adversely affected because the amount of any such increase would be treated as a charge to earnings in the period in which the deficiency is recognized.
Current wording
Liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (“LAE”) do not represent an exact calculation of liability but instead represent management estimates of what the ultimate settlement and administration of claims will cost, supported by actuarial expertise and projection techniques, at a given accounting date. The process of estimating unpaid losses and LAE reserves involves a high degree of judgment and is subject to numerous internal and external factors. Variability is introduced by numerous factors, such as changes in claims handling procedures, the impact of general and wage inflation (including impacts on medical costs and property and transportation vehicle parts and values) on loss cost trends, increasing litigation and erosion of causation and coverage defenses for insurance claims, legislative actions, evolving mass tort issues and varying judgments and viewpoints of the individuals involved in the estimation process, among others. The impact of many of these items on ultimate costs for unpaid losses and LAE is inherently uncertain and difficult to estimate. Unpaid losses and LAE reserve estimation difficulties also differ significantly by product line due to differences in claim complexity, the volume of claims, the potential severity of individual claims, the determination of an occurrence date for a claim and lags in the time between damage, loss or injury and when a claim is actually reported to the insurer. In addition, the historic development of AFG’s liability for unpaid losses and LAE may not necessarily reflect future trends in the development of these amounts. To the extent that reserves are inadequate and are strengthened, AFG’s profitability would be adversely affected because the amount of any such increase would be treated as a charge to earnings in the period in which the deficiency is recognized.
Previous wording
AFG uses various modeling techniques and data analytics to analyze and estimate exposures, loss trends and other risks associated with its assets and liabilities. AFG uses the modeled outputs and related analyses to assist in decision-making in areas such as underwriting, claims, reserving, reinsurance and catastrophe risk. The modeled outputs and related analyses are subject to various assumptions, uncertainties, model errors and the inherent limitations of any statistical analysis, including the use of historical internal and industry data. In addition, the modeled outputs and related analyses may from time to time contain inaccuracies, perhaps in material respects, including as a result of inaccurate inputs or applications thereof. Consequently, actual results may differ materially from AFG’s modeled results. AFG may also utilize AI to assist with modeled outputs and related analyses, the results of which may be unintentionally deficient, inaccurate or misleading. If, based upon these models or other factors, AFG underestimates the frequency and/or severity of loss events or overestimates the risks it is exposed to, new business growth and retention of AFG’s existing business may be adversely affected which could have an adverse effect on AFG’s results of operations and financial condition.
Current wording
AFG uses various modeling techniques and data analytics to analyze and estimate exposures, loss trends and other risks associated with its assets and liabilities. AFG uses the modeled outputs and related analyses to assist in decision-making in areas such as underwriting, claims, reserving, reinsurance and catastrophe risk. The modeled outputs and related analyses are subject to various assumptions, uncertainties, model errors and the inherent limitations of any statistical analysis, including the use of historical internal and industry data. In addition, the modeled outputs and related analyses may from time to time contain inaccuracies, perhaps in material respects, including as a result of inaccurate inputs or applications thereof. Consequently, actual results may differ materially from AFG’s modeled results. AFG may also utilize artificial intelligence or machine learning technologies (“AI”) to assist with modeled outputs and related analyses, the results of which may be unintentionally deficient, arbitrary, inaccurate or misleading. If, based upon these models or other factors, AFG underestimates the frequency and/or severity of loss events or overestimates the risks it is exposed to, new business growth and retention of AFG’s existing business may be adversely affected which could have an adverse effect on AFG’s results of operations and financial condition.
Previous wording
AFG may utilize artificial intelligence and machine learning (“AI”) in its business or incorporate AI into its products and services. The AI used by AFG may not operate properly or as expected, which could cause AFG to write policies it may not have otherwise written, misprice policies, assume greater risks, or overpay customer claims, among other potential negative impacts on its business and operations. AFG’s existing competitors, new entrants, technology companies or other third parties may leverage AI to the benefit of their business or operations or may incorporate AI into their products and services more quickly or successfully than AFG, which could make AFG less competitive and negatively impact its results of operations. In addition, if the content, analyses, output or recommendations produced by or with the assistance of AI are unintentionally, or are alleged to be, deficient, inaccurate or misleading, AFG’s business, financial condition and results of operation may be adversely impacted.
Current wording
AFG’s existing competitors, new market entrants, technology companies or other third parties may adopt or integrate AI into their business, products and services more rapidly or effectively than AFG, which could make the Company less competitive and negatively impact its results of operations.
Previous wording
General economic, financial market and political conditions and conditions in the markets in which AFG operates could have a material adverse effect on its results of operations and financial condition. Limited availability of credit, deteriorations of the domestic or global equity, debt, mortgage and real estate markets; declines in consumer confidence and consumer spending; increases in prices or in the rate of inflation; periods of high unemployment; persistently low or rapidly increasing interest rates; disruptive actions or policies by the U.S. or foreign governments; disruptive geopolitical events and other events outside of AFG’s control, such as a major epidemic or another pandemic, could contribute to increased volatility and diminished expectations for the economy and the financial markets, including the value of AFG’s investment portfolio and the market for its stock.
Current wording
General economic, financial market and political conditions and conditions in the markets in which AFG operates could have a material adverse effect on its results of operations and financial condition. Limited availability of credit, deteriorations of the domestic or global equity, debt, mortgage and real estate markets; declines in consumer confidence and consumer spending; increases in prices or in the rate of inflation; periods of high unemployment, labor supply shortages or low labor force participation; lower business investment; persistently low, rapidly increasing or volatile interest rates; disruptive actions or policies by the U.S. or foreign governments; disruptive geopolitical events and other events outside of AFG’s control, such as a major epidemic or another pandemic, could contribute to increased volatility and diminished expectations for the economy and the financial markets, including the value of AFG’s investment portfolio and the market for its stock.
Previous wording
AFG has invested, and intends to continue to invest in, alternative investments, such as limited partnerships and subordinate tranches of collateralized loan obligations for which changes in value are reported in net earnings. These and other similar investments may have different, more significant risk characteristics than investments in fixed maturity securities, may be more volatile and may be illiquid due to restrictions on sales, transfers and redemption terms, all of which could negatively affect AFG’s investment income and overall portfolio liquidity.
Current wording
AFG has invested, and intends to continue to invest in, alternative investments, such as limited partnerships and subordinate tranches of collateralized loan obligations, for which changes in value are reported in net earnings. These and other similar investments may have different, more significant risk characteristics than investments in fixed maturity securities, lack quoted prices, may be subject to changing tax laws and regulatory oversight, may be more volatile and may be illiquid due to restrictions on sales, transfers and redemption terms, all of which could negatively affect AFG’s investment income and overall portfolio liquidity.
Previous wording
AFG’s future capital requirements depend on many factors, including rating agency and regulatory requirements, the performance of the investment portfolio, the ability to write new business successfully and the ability to establish premium rates and loss reserves at levels sufficient to cover losses. Financial markets in the U.S. and elsewhere can experience extreme volatility, which exerts downward pressure on stock prices and limits access to the equity and debt markets for certain issuers, including AFG. While AFG can borrow up to $450 million under its revolving credit facility, AFG’s access to funds through its credit facility is dependent on the ability of its banks to meet their funding commitments. There were no borrowings outstanding under the credit facility or any other parent company short-term borrowing arrangements during
Current wording
AFG’s future capital requirements depend on many factors, including rating agency and regulatory requirements, the performance of the investment portfolio, the ability to write new business successfully and the ability to establish premium rates and loss reserves at levels sufficient to cover losses. Financial markets in the U.S. and elsewhere can experience extreme volatility, which exerts downward pressure on stock prices and limits access to the equity and debt markets for certain issuers, including AFG. While AFG can borrow up to $450 million under its revolving credit facility, AFG’s access to funds through its credit facility is dependent on the ability of its banks to meet their funding commitments. There were no borrowings outstanding under the credit facility or any other parent company short-term borrowing arrangements during 2025. If AFG cannot obtain adequate capital or sources of credit on favorable terms, or at all, its business, operating results and financial condition could be adversely affected.
Previous wording
Businesses in the United States and in other countries have increasingly become the targets of “cyber-attacks,” “ransomware,” “phishing,” “hacking” or similar illegal or unauthorized intrusions into computer systems and networks. Such events are often highly publicized, can result in significant disruptions to information technology systems and the theft of significant amounts of information as well as funds from online financial accounts, and can cause negative publicity and extensive damage to the reputation of the targeted business, in addition to leading to significant expenses associated with investigation, remediation and customer protection measures. The sophistication of cybersecurity threats, including through the use of AI, continues to increase and proliferate. Like others in the insurance industry, AFG experiences cyber-attacks and other attempts to gain unauthorized access to its systems on a regular basis and anticipates continuing to be subject to such attempts. AFG’s administrative and technical controls as well as other preventative actions used to reduce the risk of cyber incidents and protect AFG’s information may be insufficient to detect or prevent future unauthorized access, other physical and electronic break-ins, cyber-attacks or other security breaches to AFG’s computer systems or those of third parties with whom AFG does business. Third parties with which AFG conducts business have also experienced, and may experience in the future, similar illegal or unauthorized intrusions into their computer systems and networks, which could adversely affect AFG’s ability to conduct business, its results of operations and reputation, in addition to exposing it to legal liability or regulatory action.
Current wording
Businesses in the United States and in other countries have increasingly become the targets of “cyber-attacks,” “ransomware,” “phishing,” “hacking,” “social engineering” or similar illegal or unauthorized intrusions into computer systems and networks. Such events are often highly publicized, can result in significant disruptions to information technology systems and the theft of significant amounts of information as well as funds from online financial accounts, and can cause negative publicity and extensive damage to the reputation of the targeted business, in addition to leading to significant expenses associated with investigation, remediation, customer protection measures and potential litigation. The sophistication of cybersecurity threats, including through the use of AI, continues to increase and proliferate, increasing and intensifying the potential risks. Like others in the insurance industry, AFG experiences cyber-attacks and other attempts to gain unauthorized access to its systems on a regular basis and anticipates continuing to be subject to such attempts. AFG’s administrative and technical controls as well as other preventative actions used to reduce the risk of cyber incidents and protect AFG’s information may be insufficient to detect or prevent future unauthorized access, other physical and electronic break-ins, cyber-attacks or other security breaches to AFG’s computer systems or those of third parties with whom AFG does business. Third parties with which AFG conducts business have also experienced, and may experience in the future, similar illegal or unauthorized intrusions into their computer systems and networks, which could adversely affect AFG’s ability to conduct business, its results of operations and reputation, in addition to exposing it to legal liability or regulatory action.
Previous wording
AFG and its business partners collect and store sensitive data in the ordinary course of AFG’s and their business, including personal identification information of our and their employees and customers, vendors, investors and other third parties and may include health information. Laws and regulations in this area are evolving at an international, national and state level and are generally becoming more rigorous, including through the adoption of more stringent subject matter-specific laws, such as the California Consumer Privacy Act of 2018 (as amended by the California Privacy Rights Act of 2020), the New York Department of Financial Services’ Cybersecurity Regulation and Ohio’s insurance data security law, which regulate the collection and use of data and security and data breach obligations. The use of AI by AFG or its business partners may also result in potential breaches of existing or future laws or regulations related to privacy or data security. If any disruption or security breach results in a loss or damage to AFG’s data, or inappropriate disclosure of AFG’s confidential information or that of others, it could damage AFG’s reputation, affect its relationships with customers, clients, business partners and regulators, lead to claims against AFG, result in regulatory action and harm AFG’s business. In addition, AFG may be required to incur significant costs to mitigate the damage caused by any security breach or to protect against future damage.
Current wording
AFG and its business partners collect and store sensitive data in the ordinary course of AFG’s and their business, including personally identifiable information of our and their employees and customers, business partners, investors and other third parties and may include health information (collectively, “confidential information”). Laws and regulations in this area are evolving at an international, national and state level and are generally becoming more rigorous, including through the adoption of more stringent subject matter-specific laws, such as the California Consumer Privacy Act of 2018 (as amended by the California Privacy Rights Act of 2020), the New York Department of Financial Services’ Cybersecurity Regulation and Ohio’s insurance data security law, which regulate the collection and use of data and security and data breach obligations. The use of AI by AFG or its business partners may also result in potential breaches of existing or future laws or regulations related to privacy or data security. If any disruption or security breach suffered by AFG or its business partners results in a loss or damage to AFG’s data, or inappropriate disclosure of AFG’s confidential information or that of others — whether by AFG or its business partners — it could damage AFG’s reputation, affect its relationships with customers, clients, business partners and regulators, lead to claims against AFG, result in regulatory action and harm AFG’s business. In addition, AFG may be required to incur significant costs to mitigate the damage caused by any security breach or to protect against future damage.
Previous wording
Financial strength ratings are an important factor in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies and may have an effect on an insurance company’s sales. A downgrade out of the “A” category in AFG’s insurers’ claims-paying and financial strength ratings could significantly reduce AFG’s business volumes in certain lines of business, adversely impact AFG’s ability to access the capital markets and increase AFG’s borrowing costs.
Current wording
Financial strength ratings are an important factor in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies and may have an effect on an insurance company’s sales. A downgrade out of the “A” category in AFG’s insurance subsidiaries’ claims-paying and financial strength ratings could significantly reduce AFG’s business volumes in certain lines of business, adversely impact AFG’s ability to access the capital markets and increase AFG’s borrowing costs.
Previous wording
In addition to the financial strength ratings of AFG’s principal insurance company subsidiaries, various rating agencies also publish credit ratings for AFG. Credit ratings are indicators of a debt issuer’s ability to meet the terms of debt obligations in a timely manner, are part of AFG’s overall financial profile and affect AFG’s ability to access and the associated cost of certain types of capital. A downgrade in AFG’s credit ratings could have a material adverse effect on AFG’s financial condition and results of operations and cash flows in a number of ways, including adversely limiting access to capital markets, potentially increasing the cost of debt or increasing borrowing costs under AFG’s current revolving credit facility.
Current wording
In addition to the financial strength ratings of AFG’s principal insurance company subsidiaries, various rating agencies also publish credit ratings for AFG. Credit ratings are indicators of a debt issuer’s ability to meet the terms of debt obligations in a timely manner, are part of AFG’s overall financial profile and affect AFG’s ability to access and the associated cost of certain types of capital. A downgrade in AFG’s credit ratings could have a material adverse effect on AFG’s financial condition and results of operations and cash flows in a number of ways, including adversely limiting access to capital markets, potentially increasing the cost of debt or increasing borrowing costs under AFG’s current revolving credit facility, and subjecting AFG to more restrictive debt and revolving credit facility terms in the future.
Previous wording
AFG purchases reinsurance to limit the amount of risk it retains. Market conditions determine the availability and cost of the reinsurance protection AFG purchases, which affects the level of AFG’s business and profitability, as well as the level and types of risk AFG retains. If AFG is unable to obtain sufficient reinsurance at a cost AFG deems acceptable, AFG may opt to reduce the volume of its underwriting. AFG is also subject to credit risk with respect to its reinsurers, as AFG will remain liable to its insureds regardless of whether a reinsurer is able to meet its obligations under agreements covering the reinsurance ceded. As of December 31, 2024, AFG has $5.18 billion of recoverables from reinsurers on its balance sheet. The collectability of recoverables from reinsurers is subject to uncertainty arising from a number of factors, including a reinsurers’ financial capacity and willingness to make payments under the terms of a reinsurance treaty or contract and changes in market conditions.
Current wording
AFG purchases reinsurance to limit the amount of risk it retains. Market conditions determine the availability and cost of the reinsurance protection AFG purchases, which affects the level of AFG’s business and profitability, as well as the level and types of risk AFG retains. If AFG is unable to obtain sufficient reinsurance at a cost AFG deems acceptable, AFG may opt to reduce the volume of its underwriting. AFG is also subject to credit risk with respect to its reinsurers, as AFG will remain liable to its insureds regardless of whether a reinsurer is able to meet its obligations under agreements covering the reinsurance ceded. As of December 31, 2025, AFG has $5.53 billion of recoverables from reinsurers on its balance sheet. The collectability of recoverables from reinsurers is subject to uncertainty arising from a number of factors, including a reinsurers’ financial capacity and willingness to make payments under the terms of a reinsurance treaty or contract and changes in market conditions.
Previous wording
AFG is involved in routine legal proceedings incidental to its insurance operations and litigation related to asbestos and environmental claims from its historical operations. Litigation by nature is unpredictable, and the outcome of any case is uncertain and could result in liabilities that vary from the amounts AFG has currently recorded. Pervasive or significant changes in the judicial environment relating to matters such as trends in the size of jury awards, developments in the law relating to the liability of insurers or tort defendants, and rulings concerning the availability or amount of certain types of damages could cause AFG’s ultimate liabilities to change from current expectations. As industry practices and legal, judicial, social and other environmental conditions change, unexpected and unintended issues related to claims and coverage may emerge. These issues may adversely affect AFG’s business, including by extending coverage beyond contractual terms, underwriting intent or by increasing the number, size or types of claims as a result of, among other things, plaintiffs targeting property and casualty insurers in purported class action litigation relating to claims-handling and other practices; increased claims due to third party funding of litigation; and social inflation and legal system abuse influencing trends like more frequent claims, judgments that are unfavorable for insurers and an increase in “nuclear verdicts” leading to higher jury awards. Changes in federal or state tort litigation laws or other applicable law could have a similar effect. It is not possible to predict changes in the judicial and legislative environment, including in connection with asbestos and environmental claims. In addition, potential exposure to losses related to PFAS, whether through AFG’s insurance operations or its former railroad and manufacturing operations, are inherently difficult to forecast or estimate, as many factors could influence potential liability for any such losses. These factors may include developments in PFAS-related litigation, including the establishment or expansion of theories of causation and liability; new or enhanced rules, regulations and enforcement actions by the U.S. federal government and its agencies, including the Environmental Protection Agency, as well as state governments and agencies; and medical or research findings pertaining to actual or potential harm or illness to human health resulting from PFAS. New technology, including AI, could also create unforeseen exposures or coverage issues under policies written by AFG, as well as increase and aggravate claims fraud and cybercrime. AFG’s business, financial condition, results of operations and liquidity could also be adversely affected if judicial, legislative or other anticipated developments cause AFG’s ultimate liabilities to increase from current expectations.
Current wording
AFG is involved in routine legal proceedings incidental to its insurance operations and litigation related to asbestos and environmental claims from its historical operations. Litigation by nature is unpredictable, and the outcome of any case is uncertain and could result in liabilities that vary from the amounts AFG has currently recorded. Pervasive or significant changes in the judicial environment relating to matters such as trends in the size of jury awards, developments in the law relating to the liability of insurers or tort defendants, and rulings concerning the availability or amount of certain types of damages could cause AFG’s ultimate liabilities to change from current expectations. As industry practices and legal, judicial, legislative, social and other environmental conditions change, unexpected and unintended exposures related to claims and coverage may emerge. These exposures may adversely affect AFG’s business, including by extending coverage beyond contractual terms or underwriting intent, extending or eliminating statutes of limitation, or by increasing the number, size or types of claims as a result of, among other things, plaintiffs targeting property and casualty insurers in purported class action litigation relating to claims-handling and other practices; increased claims or exposures due to third party funding of litigation; and social inflation and legal system abuse influencing trends like more frequent claims, judgments that are unfavorable for insurers and an increase in “nuclear verdicts” leading to higher judgments and settlements. Changes in the federal or state tort environments or laws could have a similar effect. It is not possible to predict changes in the judicial and legislative environment, including in connection with asbestos and environmental claims. In addition, potential exposure to losses related to emerging exposures such as PFAS, whether through AFG’s insurance operations or its former railroad and manufacturing operations, are inherently difficult to forecast or estimate, as many factors could influence potential liability for any such losses. These factors may include developments in PFAS-related litigation, including the establishment or expansion of theories of causation and liability; new or enhanced rules, regulations and enforcement actions by the U.S. federal government and its agencies, including the Environmental Protection Agency, as well as state governments and agencies; and medical or research findings pertaining to actual or potential harm or illness to human health resulting from PFAS. New technology, including AI, could also create unforeseen exposures or coverage issues under policies written by AFG, as well as increase and aggravate claims fraud and cybercrime. AFG’s business, financial condition, results of operations and liquidity could also be adversely affected if judicial, legislative or other developments cause AFG’s ultimate liabilities to increase from current expectations.
Previous wording
The Company may be subject to increasing regulation imposing mandatory disclosure of sustainability and climate-related data. For example, in October 2023, California adopted climate-related bills that require companies doing business in California that meet certain revenue thresholds to publicly disclose certain greenhouse gas emissions data and climate-related financial risk reports. Compliance with such requirements will require significant effort and resources. AFG is subject to complex and changing laws, regulation and public policy debates relating to climate change which are difficult to predict and quantify and may have an adverse impact on its business. Changes in regulations relating to climate change may result in an increase in the cost of doing business or a decrease in premiums in certain lines of business.
Current wording
The Company may be subject to increasing regulation imposing mandatory disclosure of sustainability and climate-related data in the United States and foreign jurisdictions. Compliance with such requirements may require significant effort and resources. AFG is subject to complex and changing laws, regulation and public policy debates relating to climate change that are difficult to predict and quantify and may have an adverse impact on its business. Changes in regulations relating to climate change may result in an increase in the cost of doing business or a decrease in premiums in certain lines of business.
Previous wording
As a participant in the federal crop insurance program, AFG could also be impacted by regulatory and legislative changes affecting that program. For example, the reinsurance levels that the federal government provides to authorized carriers could be reduced by future legislation. AFG will continue to monitor new and changing federal regulations and the potential impact, if any, on its insurance company subsidiaries.
Current wording
As a participant in the federal crop insurance program, AFG could also be impacted by regulatory, executive and legislative actions or changes that directly or indirectly affect that program. For example, the reinsurance levels that the federal government provides to authorized carriers could be reduced by future legislation. AFG will continue to monitor new and changing federal regulations and the potential impact, if any, on its insurance company subsidiaries.
Previous wording
Both state and federal regulators in the U.S., as well as regulators in foreign jurisdictions, including the EU (whether under its regulatory framework proposed in April 2021 or otherwise), have enacted and will continue to evaluate and assess potential laws and regulations to limit and restrict companies’ use of AI, and enact new and expanding bases of liability for businesses utilizing AI. Such laws and regulations may limit or prevent AFG’s development and use of AI applications, or may eliminate or restrict the confidentiality of our proprietary technology, which could adversely affect AFG’s business, operations and financial results, including by reducing the utility of AFG’s products, increasing AFG’s costs and exposing AFG to litigation or other liabilities.
Current wording
Both state and federal regulators in the U.S., as well as regulators in the EU and other foreign jurisdictions, have enacted and will continue to evaluate and assess potential laws and regulations relating to companies’ use of AI, and enact new and expanding bases of liability for businesses utilizing AI. Such laws and regulations may limit or prevent AFG’s development and use of AI applications, create potential legal and compliance issues or eliminate or restrict the confidentiality of AFG’s proprietary technology, which could adversely affect the Company, including by reducing the utility of AFG’s products, increasing its costs and exposing the Company to litigation or other liabilities.
Previous wording
Statutory capital requirements set by the NAIC and the various state insurance regulatory bodies establish regulations that provide minimum capitalization requirements based on risk-based capital (“RBC”) ratios for insurance companies. Statutory surplus and RBC ratios may change in a given year based on a number of factors, including statutory earnings/losses, reserve changes, excess capital held to support growth, equity market and interest rate changes, the value of investment securities and changes to the RBC formulas. Increases in the amount of capital or reserves that AFG’s larger insurance subsidiaries are required to hold could reduce the amount of future dividends such subsidiaries are able to distribute to the holding company or require capital contributions. Any reduction in the RBC ratios of AFG’s insurance subsidiaries could also adversely affect their financial strength ratings as determined by rating agencies.
Current wording
Statutory capital requirements set by the NAIC and the various state insurance regulatory bodies establish regulations that provide minimum capitalization requirements based on risk-based capital (“RBC”) ratios for insurance companies. Statutory surplus and RBC ratios may change in a given year based on a number of factors, including statutory earnings/losses, reserve changes, excess capital held to support growth, equity market and interest rate changes, the value of investment securities and changes to the RBC formulas. Increases in the amount of capital or reserves that AFG’s larger insurance subsidiaries are required to hold could reduce the amount of future dividends such subsidiaries are able to distribute to the holding company or require capital contributions. Any reduction in the RBC ratios of AFG’s insurance subsidiaries could also adversely affect their financial strength ratings as determined by rating agencies. A downgrade or change in the measurement of the insurance subsidiaries’ financial strength ratings could adversely impact their business and limit their ability to make dividends or other distributions to AFG, which could materially adversely affect AFG’s financial condition and results of operations.
Previous wording
Changes in domestic or foreign tax laws or interpretations of such laws could increase AFG’s corporate taxes and reduce earnings. For example, on August 16, 2022, the U.S. government enacted the Inflation Reduction Act (“IRA”) which, among other changes, created a new corporate alternative minimum tax (“CAMT”) based on adjusted financial statement income and imposed a 1% excise tax on corporate stock repurchases. Many of the key individual tax provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act are set to expire on December 31, 2025. Legislation to extend or modify the provisions is expected to be addressed by the U.S. Congress in 2025 and such legislation could include provisions that impact the taxation of corporations on their domestic and foreign income. Any changes in federal income tax laws could adversely affect the federal income taxation of AFG’s ongoing operations and have a material adverse impact on its financial condition and results of operations.
Current wording
Changes in domestic or foreign tax laws or interpretations of such laws could increase AFG’s corporate taxes and reduce earnings. For example, on August 16, 2022, the U.S. government enacted the Inflation Reduction Act (“IRA”) which, among other changes, created a new corporate alternative minimum tax (“CAMT”) based on adjusted financial statement income. Any changes in federal income tax laws could adversely affect the federal income taxation of AFG’s ongoing operations and have a material adverse impact on its financial condition and results of operations.
Previous wording
As a U.S.-based SEC registrant, AFG prepares its financial statements in accordance with GAAP, as promulgated by the Financial Accounting Standards Board, subject to the accounting-related rules and interpretations of the SEC. New accounting rules or changes in accounting standards, particularly those that specifically apply to insurance company operations, may impact AFG’s reported financial results and could cause increased volatility in reported earnings, resulting in other adverse impacts on AFG’s ratings and cost of capital, and decrease the understandability of AFG’s financial results as well as the comparability of AFG’s reported results with other insurers.
Current wording
As a U.S.-based SEC registrant, AFG prepares its financial statements in accordance with GAAP, as promulgated by the Financial Accounting Standards Board, subject to the accounting-related rules and interpretations of the SEC. New accounting rules or changes in accounting standards, particularly those that specifically apply to insurance company operations, may impact AFG’s reported financial results and could cause increased volatility in reported earnings, result in other adverse impacts on AFG’s ratings and cost of capital, and decrease the understandability of AFG’s financial results as well as the comparability of AFG’s reported results with other insurers.
Previous wording
The expertise and experience of AFG’s employees is a critical component of the Company’s success. The continuation of such success depends, in large part, on AFG’s ability to attract and retain key individuals. There can be intense competition for qualified candidates in the activities that AFG conducts and in the markets that it serves, both within the insurance industry and from businesses outside the industry. This is particularly acute in certain specialized positions and areas of expertise, such as underwriting, data and analytics and AI-related and technology fields. Competition for employees may increase AFG’s expenses and may result in the company not being able to hire key employees or retain them. If AFG is unable to hire qualified candidates or retain its key personnel, AFG may be unable to execute its business strategies and may suffer material adverse consequences to its business, operations and financial condition.
Current wording
The expertise and experience of AFG’s employees is a critical component of the Company’s success. The continuation of such success depends, in large part, on AFG’s ability to attract and retain key individuals. There can be intense competition for qualified candidates in the activities that AFG conducts and in the markets that it serves, both within the insurance industry and from businesses outside the industry. This is particularly acute in certain specialized positions and areas of expertise, such as underwriting, claims, data and analytics and AI and technology-related fields. Competition for employees may increase AFG’s expenses and may result in the company not being able to hire or retain key employees. If AFG is unable to hire qualified candidates or retain its key personnel, AFG may be unable to execute its business strategies and may suffer material adverse consequences to its business, operations and financial condition.
Previous wording
The price of AFG Common Stock, which is listed on the NYSE, constantly changes. AFG’s Common Stock price could materially fluctuate or decrease in response to a number of events or factors discussed in this section in addition to other events or factors, including quarterly variations in AFG’s operating results; operating and stock price performance of comparable companies; and negative publicity relating to AFG or its competitors. In addition, broad market and industry fluctuations may materially and adversely affect the trading price or volume of AFG Common Stock, regardless of AFG’s actual operating performance.
Current wording
The price of AFG Common Stock, which is listed on the NYSE, constantly changes. AFG’s Common Stock price could materially fluctuate or decrease in response to a number of events or factors discussed in this section in addition to other events or factors, including quarterly variations in AFG’s operating results; operating and stock price performance of comparable companies; and negative publicity relating to AFG or its competitors. In addition, broad market and industry fluctuations may materially and adversely affect the trading price or volume of AFG Common Stock, regardless of AFG’s business, operating performance or financial condition.
Rearranged previous paragraphs (1)
Previous report — wording carried elsewhere
If AFG cannot obtain adequate capital or sources of credit on favorable terms, or at all, its business, operating results and financial condition could be adversely affected.