ACHIEVE LIFE SCIENCES INC

Previous wording

If we fail to obtain additional financing when needed, we may be unable to complete the development, regulatory approval and commercialization of our product candidate.

Current wording

Substantial doubt exists as to our ability to continue as a going concern. Our ability to continue as a going concern is subject to material uncertainty and dependent on our success at raising additional capital sufficient to meet our obligations on a timely basis. If we fail to obtain additional financing when needed, we may be unable to complete the development, regulatory approval and commercialization of our product candidate.

Previous wording

We have expended and continue to expend substantial funds in connection with our product development activities and clinical trials and regulatory approvals. In addition, we expect to incur significant expenses and increasing operating losses for at least the next several years as we continue our clinical development of, seek regulatory approval for, and commercialize, cytisinicline and add personnel necessary to operate as a commercial-stage public company. We expect that our operating losses will fluctuate significantly from quarter to quarter and year to year due to timing of clinical development programs, efforts to achieve regulatory approval and preparation for commercialization.

Current wording

In addition, we expect to incur significant expenses and increasing operating losses for at least the next several years as we continue our clinical development of, seek regulatory approval for, and commercialize, cytisinicline and add personnel necessary to operate as a commercial-stage public company. We expect that our operating losses will fluctuate significantly from quarter to quarter and year to year due to timing of clinical development programs, efforts to achieve regulatory approval and preparation for commercialization.

Previous wording

Funds generated from our operations will be insufficient to enable us to bring our product currently under development to commercialization. We will continue to require substantial additional capital to continue our clinical development activities and expand our regulatory, manufacturing and commercialization activities. Accordingly, we will need to raise substantial additional capital to continue to fund our operations from the sale of our securities, debt, partnering arrangements, non-dilutive fundraising or other financing transactions in order to finance the remaining development and commercialization of our product candidate. The current financing environment in the United States, particularly for biotechnology companies like us, is challenging and we can provide no assurances as to when this will improve. Our business may be impacted by macroeconomic conditions, including inflation, interest rates and market conditions as well as political events, war, terrorism, business interruptions and other geopolitical events and uncertainties beyond our control. These factors may make it challenging to raise additional capital on favorable terms, if at all. A severe or prolonged economic downturn could result in a variety of risks to our business, including in our ability to raise additional capital when needed on acceptable terms, if at all. A weak or declining economy also could strain our suppliers, possibly resulting in supply disruption. In addition, current macroeconomic conditions have caused turmoil in the banking sector. Further, the maturity date of our Convertible Term Loan could accelerate in certain circumstances related to the timing of our submission and the FDA's acceptance of a New Drug Application, or NDA. For these reasons, among others, we cannot be certain that additional financing will be available when and as needed or, if available, that it will be available on acceptable terms. If financing is available, it may be on terms that adversely affect the interests of our existing stockholders. If adequate financing is not available, we may need to continue to reduce or eliminate our expenditures for research and development of cytisinicline, and may be required to suspend development of cytisinicline. Our actual capital requirements will depend on numerous factors, including:

Current wording

Our current resources are insufficient to fund our planned operations for the next 12 months. We will continue to require substantial additional capital to continue our clinical development activities and expand our regulatory, manufacturing and commercialization activities. Accordingly, we will need to raise substantial additional capital from the sale of our securities, debt, partnering arrangements, non-dilutive fundraising or other financing transactions in order to continue to fund our operations and finance the remaining development and commercialization of our product candidate. The current financing environment in the United States, particularly for biotechnology companies like us, is challenging and we can provide no assurances as to when this will improve. Our business may be impacted by macroeconomic conditions, including inflation, interest rates and market conditions as well as political events, war, terrorism, business interruptions and other geopolitical events and uncertainties beyond our control. These factors may make it challenging to raise additional capital on favorable terms, if at all. A severe or prolonged economic downturn could result in a variety of risks to our business, including in our ability to raise additional capital when needed on acceptable terms, if at all. A weak or declining economy also could strain our suppliers, possibly resulting in supply disruption. In addition, current macroeconomic conditions have caused turmoil in the banking sector. For these reasons, among others, we cannot be certain that additional financing will be available when and as needed or, if available, that it will be available on acceptable terms. If financing is available, it may be on terms that adversely affect the interests of our existing stockholders. If adequate financing is not available, we may need to reduce or eliminate our expenditures for research and development of cytisinicline, and may be required to suspend development of cytisinicline. Our actual capital requirements will depend on numerous factors, including:

Previous wording

As of June 30, 2024, the principal amounts due under our debt instruments (including the New Debt Agreement, as further described under the section entitled “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Results of Operations and Liquidity and Capital Resources”) totaled $17.6 million.

Current wording

As of September 30, 2024, the principal amounts due under our debt instruments (including the New Debt Agreement, as further described under the section entitled “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Results of Operations and Liquidity and Capital Resources”) totaled $10.0 million.

Previous wording

Our single product candidate, cytisinicline, has been in-licensed from a third party, Sopharma. We are required to continue to contract with Sopharma, to continue our development of, and potential commercialization of, cytisinicline pursuant to a supply agreement with Sopharma. Sopharma currently manufactures all of its cytisinicline API in its facilities in Bulgaria. The conflict in Ukraine, including the possibility of expanded regional or global conflict and related economic sanctions, may have negative impacts on Sopharma’s business, which could cause them to reduce or terminate investments in the cytisinicline program. If the supply agreement with

Current wording

Sopharma currently manufactures all of its cytisinicline API in its facilities in Bulgaria. The conflict in Ukraine, including the possibility of expanded regional or global conflict and related economic sanctions, may have negative impacts on Sopharma’s business, which could cause them to reduce or terminate investments in the cytisinicline program. If the supply agreement with Sopharma is terminated or if Sopharma is otherwise unable to meet its obligations under the supply agreement, we will need to secure alternative supply and manufacturing capabilities for cytisinicline and/or cytisinicline API, which we may not be able to do on commercially viable terms or at all and would likely delay development, regulatory approval and commercialization.

Previous wording

The therapeutic component of our product candidate, cytisinicline, is derived from the seeds of trees and shrubs from the Faboideae subfamily of plant species, which grow in the mountains of Southern Europe and other limited locations around the world. We have and will continue to pursue alternative sources for cytisinicline, including synthetic routes, however, all of the cytisinicline sourced to date for our product candidate has been from natural sources and there is no guarantee that any potential synthetic route developed will be commercially viable. We currently secure cytisinicline exclusively from Sopharma, a Bulgarian third-party supplier. Our current supply agreement with Sopharma expires on July 28, 2037, unless extended by mutual agreement of us and Sopharma. There can be no assurances that trees and shrubs from the Faboideae subfamily of plant species will continue to grow in sufficient quantities around the world to meet our forecasts or commercial supply requirements or that the countries from which we can secure them will continue to allow the exportation of cytisinicline. Additionally, economic or political instability or disruptions, such as the conflict in Ukraine, could negatively affect our supply chain or increase our costs. If these types of events or disruptions continue to occur, they could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. In the event we are no longer able to obtain cytisinicline from Sopharma, or in sufficient quantities, we may not be able to produce our proposed products and our business will be adversely affected.

Current wording

The therapeutic component of our product candidate, cytisinicline, is derived from the seeds of trees and shrubs from the Faboideae subfamily of plant species, which grow in the mountains of Southern Europe and other limited locations around the world. We have and will continue to pursue alternative sources for cytisinicline, including synthetic routes, however, all of the cytisinicline sourced to date for our product candidate has been from natural sources and there is no guarantee that any potential synthetic route developed will be commercially viable. We currently secure cytisinicline exclusively from Sopharma. There can be no assurances that trees and shrubs from the Faboideae subfamily of plant species will continue to grow in sufficient quantities around the world to meet our forecasts or commercial supply requirements or that the countries from which we can secure them will continue to allow the exportation of cytisinicline.

Previous wording

The FDA has advised us that long-term exposure data to assess for safety beyond 12 weeks will be needed to adequately assess safety risks given that the FDA views smoking cessation drugs as products for chronic, repeated, and intermittent use as patients may relapse and require subsequent courses of treatment over a lifetime. In the first quarter of 2024, we reached agreement with the FDA that a single, open-label study, which we refer to as ORCA-OL, evaluating the long-term safety effects of cytisinicline will be sufficient to complete the requirement and enable an NDA submission. In May 2024, we initiated the ORCA-OL trial. However, regardless of these discussions and the results of the ORCA-OL open label study, the FDA may determine that:

Current wording

The FDA has advised us that long-term exposure data to assess for safety beyond 12 weeks will be needed to adequately assess safety risks given that the FDA views smoking cessation drugs as products for chronic, repeated, and intermittent use as patients may relapse and require subsequent courses of treatment over a lifetime. In the first quarter of 2024, we reached agreement with the FDA that a single, open-label study, which we refer to as ORCA-OL, evaluating the long-term safety effects of cytisinicline will be sufficient to complete the requirement and enable an NDA submission. We initiated the ORCA-OL trial in May 2024 and in October 2024 we announced the completion of enrollment of 479 subjects. However, regardless of these discussions and the results of the ORCA-OL open label study, the FDA may determine that:

Previous wording

In recent years, extreme weather events and changing weather patterns such as storms, flooding, drought, and temperature changes appear to have become more common. The production of cytisinicline from the Faboideae subfamily of plant species depends on the availability of natural resources, including sufficient rainfall. Our exclusive supplier of cytisinicline, Sopharma, could be adversely affected if it experiences a shortage of fresh water due to droughts or if it experiences other adverse weather conditions in the locations where cytisinicline is sourced. The long-term effects of climate change on general economic conditions and the pharmaceutical industry in particular are unclear and may heighten or intensify existing risk of natural disasters. As a result of such events, we could experience cytisinicline shortages from Sopharma, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.

Current wording

In recent years, extreme weather events and changing weather patterns such as storms, flooding, drought, and temperature changes appear to have become more common. The production of cytisinicline from the Faboideae subfamily of plant species depends on the availability of natural resources, including sufficient rainfall. Sopharma, our supplier of cytisinicline, could be adversely affected if it experiences a shortage of fresh water due to droughts or if it experiences other adverse weather conditions in the locations where cytisinicline is sourced. The long-term effects of climate change on general economic conditions and the pharmaceutical industry in particular are unclear and may heighten or intensify existing risk of natural disasters. As a result of such events, we could experience cytisinicline shortages, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.

Previous wording

Manufacturers and manufacturers’ facilities are required to continuously comply with FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authority requirements, including ensuring that quality control and manufacturing procedures conform to current cGMP regulations and corresponding foreign regulatory manufacturing requirements. As such, we, Sopharma and other contract manufacturers, if any, will be subject to continual review and inspections to assess compliance with cGMP and adherence to commitments made in any NDA or marketing authorization application. If Sopharma or our other contract manufacturers fail to maintain cGMP compliance or fail inspections with the FDA and other regulators, then our business could severely be harmed.

Current wording

Manufacturers and manufacturers’ facilities are required to continuously comply with FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authority requirements, including ensuring that quality control and manufacturing procedures conform to current cGMP regulations and corresponding foreign regulatory manufacturing requirements. As such, we, Sopharma and other contract manufacturers, if any, will be subject to continual review and inspections to assess compliance with cGMP and adherence to commitments made in any NDA or marketing authorization application. Sopharma currently does not have FDA approval of its facilities in Bulgaria. If Sopharma or our other contract manufacturers fail to maintain cGMP compliance or fail inspections with the FDA and other regulators, then our business could severely be harmed.

Previous wording

We will need to expand and effectively manage our managerial, operational, financial, development and other resources in order to successfully pursue our development and commercialization efforts for our existing and future product candidates. We expect to need additional scientific, technical, operational, financial and other personnel. Our success depends on our continued ability to attract, retain and motivate highly qualified personnel, such as management, clinical and preclinical personnel, including our executive chairman Richard Stewart and our executive officers John Bencich, Cindy Jacobs, Anthony Clarke, Jaime Xinos and Craig Donnelly. In addition, although we have entered into employment agreements with each of Mr. Stewart, Mr. Bencich, Dr. Jacobs, Dr. Clarke, Ms. Xinos and Mr. Donnelly, such agreements permit those executives to terminate their employment with us at any time, subject to providing us with advance written notice.

Current wording

We will need to expand and effectively manage our managerial, operational, financial, development and other resources in order to successfully pursue our development and commercialization efforts for our existing and future product candidates. We expect to need additional scientific, technical, operational, financial and other personnel. Our success depends on our continued ability to attract, retain and motivate highly qualified personnel, such as management, clinical and preclinical personnel, including our executive chairman Thomas B. King, and our executive officers Richard Stewart, Cindy Jacobs, Jaime Xinos and Jerry Wan. In addition, although we have entered into employment agreements with each of Mr. King, Mr. Stewart, Dr. Jacobs, Ms. Xinos and Mr. Wan, such agreements permit those executives to terminate their employment with us at any time, subject to providing us with advance written notice.

Previous wording

We may need to expand our organization, which may require us to divert a disproportionate amount of our attention away from our day-to-day activities and devote a substantial amount of time to managing these growth activities. We may not be able to effectively manage the expansion of our operations, which may result in weaknesses in its infrastructure, operational mistakes, loss of business opportunities, loss of employees, and reduced productivity among remaining employees. Expanded growth could require significant capital expenditures and may divert financial resources from other projects, such as the development of additional product candidates. If we are unable to effectively manage our growth, our expenses may increase more than expected, our ability to generate and/or grow revenue could be reduced and we may not be able to implement our business strategy. Our future financial performance and our ability to commercialize product candidates and compete effectively will depend, in part, on our ability to effectively manage any future growth.

Current wording

We will need to expand our organization as we prepare for potential commercialization of cytisinicline, which may require us to divert a disproportionate amount of our attention away from our day-to-day activities and devote a substantial amount of time to managing these growth activities. We do not currently have a commercial infrastructure, and we may not be able to successfully develop a commercial infrastructure to support the commercialization of cytisinicline on the timeline needed, or at all. Commercialization requires significantly greater financial and organizational resources, which may not be available to us. We may not be able to effectively manage the expansion of our operations, which may result in weaknesses in its infrastructure, operational mistakes, loss of business opportunities, loss of employees, and reduced productivity among remaining employees. Expanded growth and commercialization requires significant capital expenditures and may divert financial resources from other projects, such as the development of additional product candidates. If we are unable to effectively manage our growth or commercialize plans, our expenses may increase more than expected, our ability to generate and/or grow revenue could be reduced and we may not be able to implement our business strategy. Our future financial performance and our ability to commercialize product candidates and compete effectively will depend, in part, on our ability to effectively manage any future growth and commercialization.

Previous wording

We rely on third-party contract manufacturing organizations, or CMOs, to package the cytisinicline used in our clinical trials. If any of these CMO’s fail to timely deliver the supplies needed, then our clinical studies could be delayed materially. Third-party manufacturers may fail to perform under their contractual obligations or may fail to deliver the required commercial product on a timely basis and at commercially reasonable prices. If we are required to identify and qualify an alternate manufacturer, we may be forced to delay or suspend our clinical trials. We expect to continue to depend on third-party contract manufacturers for the foreseeable future.

Current wording

We currently rely on Sopharma to package the cytisinicline used in our clinical trials. If Sopharma fails to timely deliver the supplies needed, then our clinical studies could be delayed materially. Sopharma may fail to perform under their contractual obligations or may fail to deliver the required commercial product on a timely basis and at commercially reasonable prices. If we are required to identify and qualify an alternate manufacturer, we may be forced to delay or suspend our clinical trials.

Previous wording

We and our third-party manufacturers may also be impacted by new legislation and regulations relating to the manufacture of medical products. For example, legislation has been introduced in Congress to limit certain U.S. biotechnology companies from using equipment or services produced or provided by select Chinese biotechnology companies, including those affiliated with the manufacture of our API, Wuxi STA, and others in Congress have advocated for the use of existing executive branch authorities to limit those Chinese service providers’ ability to engage in business in the U.S. We cannot predict what actions may ultimately be taken with respect to trade relations between the United States and China or other countries, what products and services may be subject to such actions or what actions may be taken by the other countries in retaliation.

Current wording

We and our third-party manufacturers may also be impacted by new legislation and regulations relating to the manufacture of medical products. For example, legislation has been introduced and passed in Congress to limit certain U.S. biotechnology companies from using equipment or services produced or provided by select Chinese biotechnology companies, including those affiliated with the manufacture of our API, Wuxi STA, and others in Congress have advocated for the use of existing executive branch authorities to limit those Chinese service providers’ ability to engage in business in the U.S. We cannot predict what actions may ultimately be taken with respect to trade relations between the United States and China or other countries, what products and services may be subject to such actions or what actions may be taken by the other countries in retaliation.

Previous wording

general market or macroeconomic conditions and geopolitical conditions, including the current global economic recession, increasing inflation and interest rates, and the increasingly volatile global economic conditions resulting from global conflicts;

Current wording

general market or macroeconomic conditions and geopolitical conditions, including the current global economic recession, inflation and interest rates, and the increasingly volatile global economic conditions resulting from global conflicts;

Previous wording

In July 2024, we entered into the New Debt Agreement with the Lenders for term loans of up to $20.0 million. Subject to certain terms and conditions, the Lenders may convert all or any part of the outstanding New Convertible Term Loan and accrued and unpaid interest at any time prior to maturity into shares of our common stock at a conversion price equal to (i) for the first tranche of $10.0 million, $7.00 per share, subject to customary anti-dilution adjustments and (ii) for the second and third tranches of $5.0 million each, the greater of (x) $4.854 per share, subject to customary anti-dilution adjustments, and (y) the lower of (a) 150% of the average of the closing sale price of our common stock during the 10 trading days preceding the effective date of such tranche and (b) 150% of the closing sale price of our common stock on the trading day immediately preceding the effective date of such tranche. Additionally, all outstanding amounts under the Convertible Term Loan, including accrued and unpaid interest, will mandatorily convert into shares of our common stock, at the conversion price, on such date, if any, when the closing price per share of our common stock has been (i) for the first tranche, equal to or greater than $24.00 for 30 consecutive trading days prior to such date and (ii) for the second and third tranches, three times the applicable conversion price for such tranche, in each case, for the 30 consecutive trading days prior to such date. We are aware that there can be no assurance that the Term Loans will be available to us for borrowing nor whether the Lender will be willing to work with us on any modifications to the current New Convertible Term Loan or the New Debt Agreement.

Current wording

In July 2024, we entered into the New Debt Agreement with the Lenders for term loans of up to $20.0 million. Subject to certain terms and conditions, the Lenders may convert all or any part of the outstanding New Convertible Term Loan and accrued and unpaid interest at any time prior to maturity into shares of our common stock at a conversion price equal to (i) for the first tranche of $10.0 million, $7.00 per share, subject to customary anti-dilution adjustments and (ii) for the second and third tranches of $5.0 million each, the greater of (x) $4.854 per share, subject to customary anti-dilution adjustments, and (y) the lower of (a) 150% of the average of the closing sale price of our common stock during the 10 trading days preceding the effective date of such tranche and (b) 150% of the closing sale price of our common stock on the trading day immediately preceding the effective date of such tranche. Additionally, all outstanding amounts under the New Convertible Term Loan, including accrued and unpaid interest, will mandatorily convert into shares of our common stock, at the conversion price, on such date, if any, when the closing price per share of our common stock has been (i) for the first tranche, equal to or greater than $24.00 for 30 consecutive trading days prior to such date and (ii) for the second and third tranches, three times the applicable conversion price for such tranche, in each case, for the 30 consecutive trading days prior to such date. We are aware that there can be no assurance that the New Convertible Term Loan will be available to us for borrowing nor whether the Lender will be willing to work with us on any modifications to the current New Convertible Term Loan or the New Debt Agreement.

Previous wording

As of June 30, 2024, there were 1,928,439 shares of our common stock subject to outstanding options and 1,115,750 subject to outstanding restricted stock units, almost all of which have been registered under the Securities Act on Form S-8. The shares so registered can be freely sold in the public market after being issued to the option holder upon exercise, except to the extent they are held by an affiliate of ours, in which case such shares will become eligible for sale in the public market as permitted by Rule 144 under the Securities Act. Furthermore, as of June 30, 2024, there were approximately 18,032,322 shares of our common stock subject to outstanding warrants to purchase common stock, with a weighted average exercise price of $5.06 per share, and 142,857 shares of our common stock subject to outstanding pre-funded warrants, with an exercise price of $0.001 per share. To the extent any of these warrants are exercised, the shares underlying these warrants may be immediately sold in the public market. In February 2024, we announced the sale and issuance of warrants to purchase up to 13,086,151 shares of common stock (or pre-funded warrants), with an exercise price of $4.906 per share (or $4.905 per pre-funded warrant), in a concurrent private placement with the sale of 13,086,151 shares of common stock sold in a registered direct offering. We registered the shares underlying these warrants (or pre-funded warrants) for resale on Form S-3, which was declared effective on May 6, 2024. If these shares are issued upon exercise of the warrants (or pre-funded warrants), they may be immediately sold in the public market.

Current wording

As of September 30, 2024, there were 1,928,414 shares of our common stock subject to outstanding options and 1,115,750 subject to outstanding restricted stock units, almost all of which have been registered under the Securities Act on Form S-8. The shares so registered can be freely sold in the public market after being issued to the option holder upon exercise, except to the extent they are held by an affiliate of ours, in which case such shares will become eligible for sale in the public market as permitted by Rule 144 under the Securities Act. Furthermore, as of September 30, 2024, there were approximately 18,032,322 shares of our common stock subject to outstanding warrants to purchase common stock, with a weighted average exercise price of $5.06 per share, and 142,857 shares of our common stock subject to outstanding pre-funded warrants, with an exercise price of $0.001 per share. To the extent any of these warrants are exercised, the shares underlying these warrants may be immediately sold in the public market. In February 2024, we announced the sale and issuance of warrants to purchase up to 13,086,151 shares of common stock (or pre-funded warrants), with an exercise price of $4.906 per share (or $4.905 per pre-funded warrant), in a concurrent private placement with the sale of 13,086,151 shares of common stock sold in a registered direct offering. We registered the shares underlying these warrants (or pre-funded warrants) for resale on Form S-3, which was declared effective on May 6, 2024. If these shares are issued upon exercise of the warrants (or pre-funded warrants), they may be immediately sold in the public market.

Previous wording

The sale of additional shares of our common stock, the conversion of the Convertible Term Loan into shares of our common stock, the exercise of any of our outstanding warrants, the exercise of any of our outstanding options, or the settlement of our restricted stock units would have a dilutive impact on our existing stockholders and could cause the market price of our common stock to decline significantly. Sales of our common stock, the conversion of the Convertible Term Loan, the exercise of any of our outstanding warrants, the exercise of any of our outstanding options, the settlement of our restricted stock units or the perception that such events will occur, could also encourage short sales by third parties, which could contribute to the further decline of the price of our common stock. Additionally, the sale of a substantial number of shares of our common stock, the conversion of the Convertible Term Loan, the exercise of any of our outstanding warrants, the exercise of any of our outstanding options, the settlement of our restricted stock units or the perception that such events will occur, could make it more difficult for us to sell equity or equity-related securities in the future at a time and at a price that we might otherwise wish.

Current wording

The sale of additional shares of our common stock, the conversion of the New Convertible Term Loan into shares of our common stock, the exercise of any of our outstanding warrants, the exercise of any of our outstanding options, or the settlement of our restricted stock units would have a dilutive impact on our existing stockholders and could cause the market price of our common stock to decline significantly. Sales of our common stock, the conversion of the New Convertible Term Loan, the exercise of any of our outstanding warrants, the exercise of any of our outstanding options, the settlement of our restricted stock units or the perception that such events will occur, could also encourage short sales by third parties, which could contribute to the further decline of the price of our common stock. Additionally, the sale of a substantial number of shares of our common stock, the conversion of the New Convertible Term Loan, the exercise of any of our outstanding warrants, the exercise of any of our outstanding options, the settlement of our restricted stock units or the perception that such events will occur, could make it more difficult for us to sell equity or equity-related securities in the future at a time and at a price that we might otherwise wish.