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Invesco DB Oil Fund

For the period ended Jun 30, 2024. Filed Aug 7, 2024.

View on SEC.gov

About this filing

A company's report for each of its first three quarters. The financial statements are not audited. It shows how the business has moved since the last annual report, and what management says changed.

Jun 30, 2024 · Filed Aug 7, 2024

DBO$24.00+0.7%Stored close · as of Nov 6, 2026

What changed in Management’s Discussion and Analysis?

Read the current filing

Previous report: 10-Q

Period ended 2024-03-31; filed 2024-05-08.

0000950170-24-054959

Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Current report: 10-Q

Period ended 2024-06-30; filed 2024-08-07.

0000950170-24-092105

Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The baseline is this issuer’s latest earlier reporting period of the same form that was filed before the current report. A previous 10-Q is a different quarter, not a year-over-year comparison. Amendments are excluded.

Compared 91 previous paragraphs and 101 current paragraphs.

72 unchanged; 14 reworded; 14 added; 4 removed; 1 previous and 1 current paragraphs rearranged.

Tables are not compared: 1 previous and 1 current tables excluded. Dates, whitespace, punctuation and numbering changes are ignored; changes to financial figures remain significant.

A changed paragraph is not evidence that risk increased or decreased. An unchanged paragraph does not establish that risk stayed the same.

Added paragraphs (14)

Current report

Returns for the Three and Six Months Ended June 30, 2024 and 2023

Current report

For the three months ended June 30, 2024, the NYSE Arca market value of each Share increased from $15.54 per Share to $15.87 per Share. The Share price low and high for the three months ended June 30, 2024 and related change from the Share price on March 31, 2024 was as follows: Shares traded at a low of $14.50 per Share (-6.66%) on June 4, 2024 and a high of $16.12 per Share (+3.73%) on April 15, 2024. The total return for the Fund on a market value basis was +2.12%.

Current report

Crude oil experienced a small loss in the second quarter of 2024. While some of that loss was driven by broader risk off sentiment due to the repeated delays of Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, other drivers included fading geopolitical risk premium, US crude inventory builds due to unplanned refinery outages and unattractive refining margins, and OPEC announcing plans to gradually bring back barrels later this year. While OPEC also announced an extension of some cuts, this was largely expected and had a minimal impact on prices.

Current report

For the three months ended June 30, 2023, the NYSE Arca market value of each Share decreased from $14.58 per Share to $14.13 per Share. The Share price low and high for the three months ended June 30, 2023 and related change from the Share price on March 31, 2023 was as follows: Shares traded at a low of $13.32 per Share (-8.64%) on May 3, 2023 and a high of $15.64 per Share (+7.27%) on April 12, 2023. The total return for the Fund on a market value basis was -3.09%.

Current report

In the second quarter of 2023, crude oil prices were pressured by the slower than expected recovery in China and recession concerns driven by US Federal Reserve policy, banking sector stress, and political controversy surrounding the US debt ceiling, fueling a broader risk-off sentiment. Russian oil supplies also continued to flow despite the ban on imports in some countries which contributed to increased oil supply. Further, higher interest rates led to higher storage costs, which resulted in a great deal of both financial and physical destocking.

Current report

Net income (loss) for the three months ended June 30, 2024 was $4.0 million, primarily resulting from $3.2 million of income, net realized gain (loss) of $1.8 million, net change in unrealized gain (loss) of $(0.6) million and net operating expenses of $0.4 million.

Current report

FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30, 2024 COMPARED TO THE SIX MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30, 2023

Current report

Crude oil prices ended the first two quarters of 2023 in negative territory. While prices oscillated during the first quarter on crude inventory builds, Federal Reserve rate hike concerns, the Russian “production cut”, mandated US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) releases, and some optimistic signs out of China, losses were extended in the second quarter. Headwinds from the disappointing recovery in China and recession concerns driven by US Federal Reserve policy, banking sector stress, and political controversy surrounding the US debt ceiling continued to blow hard, while Russian oil supplies continued to make their way onto the market adding to oil inventories. Front month crude oil prices were down over 8% year to date.

Current report

11.15% increase in the level of the Index and to a 14.15% increase in the level of the DBIQ-OY CL TR™. The total return for the Fund on a NAV value basis was +13.61%.

Current report

Net income (loss) for the six months ended June 30, 2024 was $30.8 million, primarily resulting from $6.5 million of income, net realized gain (loss) of $1.7 million, net change in unrealized gain (loss) of $23.5 million and net operating expenses of $0.9 million.

Current report

For the six months ended June 30, 2023, the NAV of each Share decreased from $15.18 per Share to $14.15 per Share. Falling commodity futures contract prices for Light Sweet Crude Oil during the six months ended June 30, 2023 contributed to an overall 8.58% decrease in the level of the Index and to a 6.31% decrease in the level of the DBIQ-OY CL TR™. The total return for the Fund on a NAV value basis was -6.79%.

Current report

Net income (loss) for the six months ended June 30, 2023 was $(18.5) million, primarily resulting from $6.2 million of income, net realized gain (loss) of $(3.4) million, net change in unrealized gain (loss) of $(20.2) million and net operating expenses of $1.0 million.
Removed paragraphs (4)

Previous report

NEITHER THE PAST PERFORMANCE OF THE FUND NOR THE PRIOR INDEX LEVELS AND CHANGES, POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE, SHOULD BE TAKEN AS AN INDICATION OF THE FUND’S FUTURE PERFORMANCE.

Previous report

NEITHER THE PAST PERFORMANCE OF THE FUND NOR THE PRIOR INDEX LEVELS AND CHANGES, POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE, SHOULD BE TAKEN AS AN INDICATION OF THE FUND’S FUTURE PERFORMANCE.

Previous report

Crude oil posted negative performance in the first quarter of 2023. Prices ping-ponged between gains and losses in January and February on crude inventory builds (due to seasonal refinery maintenance and strong production), Federal Reserve interest rate hike concerns, the five hundred thousand barrel per day (kb/d) Russian “production cut”, mandated US Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and optimistic signs out of China. However, broader financial sector fears pushed crude prices into negative territory in the first half of March.

Previous report

Net income (loss) for the three months ended March 31, 2024 was $26.8 million, primarily resulting from $3.3 million of income, net realized gain (loss) of $(0.1) million, net change in unrealized gain (loss) of $24.1 million and net operating expenses of $0.5 million.
Reworded paragraphs (14)

Previous wording

As of the date of this Report, each of ABN AMRO Clearing Chicago LLC, BMO Capital Markets Corp., BNP Paribas Securities Corp., BofA Securities, Inc., Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Citadel Securities LLC, Citigroup Global Markets Inc., Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., Goldman Sachs & Co., Goldman Sachs Execution & Clearing LP, Interactive Brokers LLC, Jane Street Capital LLC, Jefferies LLC, JP Morgan Securities Inc., Bank of America Securities, Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, Nomura Securities International Inc., RBC Capital Markets LLC, SG Americas Securities LLC, UBS Securities LLC, Virtu Americas LLC and Virtu Financial Capital Markets LLC has executed a Participant Agreement and are the only Authorized Participants.

Current wording

As of the date of this Report, each of ABN AMRO Clearing Chicago LLC, Bank of America Securities, BMO Capital Markets Corp., BNP Paribas Securities Corp., BofA Securities, Inc., Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Citadel Securities LLC, Citigroup Global Markets Inc., Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., Goldman Sachs & Co., Goldman Sachs Execution & Clearing LP, Interactive Brokers LLC, Jane Street Capital LLC, Jefferies LLC, JP Morgan Securities Inc., Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, Nomura Securities International Inc., RBC Capital Markets LLC, SG Americas Securities LLC, UBS Securities LLC, Virtu Americas LLC and Virtu Financial Capital Markets LLC has executed a Participant Agreement and are the only Authorized Participants.

Previous wording

Net cash flow provided by (used in) operating activities was $19.8 million and $12.3 million for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively. These amounts primarily include net income (loss), net purchases and sales of money market mutual funds and net purchases and sales of United States Treasury Obligations and affiliated investments. The Fund invests in United States Treasury Obligations, money market mutual funds and T-Bill ETFs (affiliated or otherwise), if any, for margin and/or cash management purposes. While the Fund's performance reflects the appreciation and depreciation of those holdings, the Fund's performance, whether positive or negative, is driven primarily by its strategy of trading futures contracts with the aim of seeking to track the Index.

Current wording

Net cash flow provided by (used in) operating activities was $40.6 million and $35.4 million for the six months ended June 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively. These amounts primarily include net income (loss), net purchases and sales of money market mutual funds and net purchases and sales of United States Treasury Obligations and affiliated investments. The Fund invests in United States Treasury Obligations, money market mutual funds and T-Bill ETFs (affiliated or otherwise), if any, for margin and/or cash management purposes. While the Fund's performance reflects the appreciation and depreciation of those holdings, the Fund's performance, whether positive or negative, is driven primarily by its strategy of trading futures contracts with the aim of seeking to track the Index.

Previous wording

During the three months ended March 31, 2024, $13.6 million was paid to purchase United States Treasury Obligations and $14.0 million was received from sales and maturing United States Treasury Obligations. During the three months ended March 31, 2023, $101.8 million was paid to purchase United States Treasury Obligations and $138.0 million was received from sales and maturing United States Treasury Obligations. $82.8 million was received from sales of affiliated investments and $85.3 million was paid to purchase affiliated investments during the three months ended March 31, 2024. $129.6 million was received from sales of affiliated investments and $143.2 million was paid to purchase affiliated investments during the three months ended March 31, 2023.

Current wording

During the six months ended June 30, 2024, $66.2 million was paid to purchase United States Treasury Obligations and $83.0 million was received from sales and maturing United States Treasury Obligations. During the six months ended June 30, 2023, $183.8 million was paid to purchase United States Treasury Obligations and $241.0 million was received from sales and maturing United States Treasury Obligations. $157.5 million was received from sales of affiliated investments and $162.8 million was paid to purchase affiliated investments during the six months ended June 30, 2024. $270.1 million was received from sales of affiliated investments and $275.8 million was paid to purchase affiliated investments during the six months ended June 30, 2023.

Previous wording

The Fund’s net cash flow provided by (used in) financing activities was $(19.8) million and $(12.3) million during the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively. This included $20.0 million and $14.1 million from Shares purchased by Authorized Participants and $39.6 million and $26.4 million from Shares redeemed by Authorized Participants during the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively. During the three months ended March 31, 2024, distributions paid to Shareholders were $0.2 million. No distributions were paid to the shareholder during the three months ended March 31, 2023.

Current wording

The Fund’s net cash flow provided by (used in) financing activities was $(40.6) million and $(35.4) million during the six months ended June 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively. This included $29.4 million and $36.8 million from Shares purchased by Authorized Participants and $69.8 million and $72.2 million from Shares redeemed by Authorized Participants during the six months ended June 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively. During the six months ended June 30, 2024, distributions paid to Shareholders were $0.2 million. No distributions were paid to Shareholders during the six months ended June 30, 2023.

Previous wording

COMPARISON OF MARKET, NAV AND DBIQ OPT YIELD CRUDE OIL INDEX ERTMFOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED MARCH 31, 2024 AND 2023

Current wording

COMPARISON OF MARKET, NAV AND DBIQ OPT YIELD CRUDE OIL INDEX ERTMFOR THE THREE AND SIX MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30, 2024 AND 2023

Previous wording

This Report covers the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023. Past performance of the Fund is not necessarily indicative of future performance.

Current wording

This Report covers the three and six months ended June 30, 2024 and 2023. Past performance of the Fund is not necessarily indicative of future performance.

Previous wording

The section “Summary of the DBIQ-OY CL TR™ and Underlying Index Commodity Returns for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 and 2023” below provides an overview of the changes in the closing levels of the DBIQ-OY CL TR™ by disclosing the change in market value of the underlying component Index Commodity through a “surrogate” (and analogous) index that also reflects 3-month United States Treasury Obligations returns. Please note also that the Fund’s objective is to track the Index (not the DBIQ-OY CL TR™), and the Fund does not attempt to outperform or underperform the Index. The Index employs the optimum yield roll method with the objective of mitigating the negative effects of contango, the condition in which distant delivery prices for futures exceed spot prices, and maximizing the positive effects of backwardation, a condition opposite of contango.

Current wording

The section “Summary of the DBIQ-OY CL TR™ and Underlying Index Commodity Returns for the Three and Six Months Ended June 30, 2024 and 2023” below provides an overview of the changes in the closing levels of the DBIQ-OY CL TR™ by disclosing the change in market value of the underlying component Index Commodity through a “surrogate” (and analogous) index that also reflects 3-month United States Treasury Obligations returns. Please note also that the Fund’s objective is to track the Index (not the DBIQ-OY CL TR™), and the Fund does not attempt to outperform or underperform the Index. The Index employs the optimum yield roll method with the objective of mitigating the negative effects of contango, the condition in which distant delivery prices for futures exceed spot prices, and maximizing the positive effects of backwardation, a condition opposite of contango.

Previous wording

For the three months ended March 31, 2024, the NAV of each Share increased from $13.96 per Share to $15.57 per Share. Rising commodity futures contract prices for Light Sweet Crude Oil during the three months ended March 31, 2024 contributed to an overall 10.37% increase in the level of the Index and to a 11.84% increase in the level of the DBIQ-OY CL TR™. The total return for the Fund on a NAV value basis was +11.53%.

Current wording

For the three months ended June 30, 2024, the NAV of each Share increased from $15.57 per Share to $15.86 per Share. Rising commodity futures contract prices for Light Sweet Crude Oil during the three months ended June 30, 2024 contributed to an overall 0.71% increase in the level of the Index and to a 2.06% increase in the level of the DBIQ-OY CL TR™. The total return for the Fund on a NAV value basis was +1.86%.

Previous wording

For the three months ended March 31, 2023, the NAV of each Share decreased from $15.18 per Share to $14.59 per Share. Falling commodity futures contract prices for Light Sweet Crude Oil during the three months ended March 31, 2023 contributed to an overall 4.80% decrease in the level of the Index and to a 3.69% decrease in the level of the DBIQ-OY CL TR™. The total return for the Fund on a NAV value basis was -3.89%.

Current wording

For the three months ended June 30, 2023, the NAV of each Share decreased from $14.59 per Share to $14.15 per Share. Falling commodity futures contract prices for Light Sweet Crude Oil during the three months ended June 30, 2023 contributed to an overall 3.97% decrease in the level of the Index and to a 2.73% decrease in the level of the DBIQ-OY CL TR™. The total return for the Fund on a NAV value basis was -3.02%.

Previous wording

Net income (loss) for the three months ended March 31, 2023 was $(11.1) million, primarily resulting from $3.1 million of income, net realized gain (loss) of $$(1.0) million, net change in unrealized gain (loss) of $(12.7) million and net operating expenses of $0.5 million.

Current wording

Net income (loss) for the three months ended June 30, 2023 was $(7.3) million, primarily resulting from $3.1 million of income, net realized gain (loss) of $(2.4) million, net change in unrealized gain (loss) of $(7.5) million and net operating expenses of $0.5 million.

Previous wording

For the three months ended March 31, 2024, the NYSE Arca market value of each Share increased from $13.92 per Share to $15.54 per Share. The Share price low and high for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and related change from the Share price on December 31, 2023 was as follows: Shares traded at a low of $13.81 per Share (0.79%) on January 2, 2024 and a high of $15.54 per Share (+11.64%) on March 28, 2024. The total return for the Fund on a market value basis was +11.64%.

Current wording

For the six months ended June 30, 2024, the NYSE Arca market value of each Share increased from $13.92 per Share to $15.87 per Share. The Share price low and high for the six months ended June 30, 2024 and related change from the Share price on December 31, 2023 was as follows: Shares traded at a low of $13.81 per Share (-0.79%) on January 2, 2024 and a high of $16.12 per Share (+15.81%) on April 15, 2024. The total return for the Fund on a market value basis was +14.01%.

Previous wording

Crude oil prices gained in the first quarter of 2024 as escalating tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine raised supply disruption risk. In addition to geopolitics, an improving macro backdrop amid a resilient US economy and expected Federal Reserve easing also supported broader risk assets like energy. Furthermore, the extended OPEC+ production cuts also helped to tighten global balances, providing a sturdy floor for prices.

Current wording

Crude oil performed positively in the first half of 2024. Prices gained as escalating tensions in the Middle East and Russia/Ukraine raised supply concerns, ending the first half of the year up around 15%. In addition to geopolitics, an improving macro backdrop amid a resilient US economy, and expected Federal Reserve easing also supported broader risk assets like energy. However, this tailwind eased in the second quarter as the Federal Reserve stuck to its higher for longer rhetoric amid persistent inflation, weighing down the entire energy complex. Other factors like fading geopolitical risk premium, US inventory builds and OPEC’s production plans also played a role.

Previous wording

For the three months ended March 31, 2023, the NYSE Arca market value of each Share decreased from $15.21 per Share to $14.58 per Share. The Share price low and high for the three months ended March 31, 2023 and related change from the Share price on December 31, 2022 was as follows: Shares traded at a low of $13.10 per Share (-13.88%) on March 17, 2023 and a high of $15.60 per Share ( +2.56%) on January 23, 2023. The total return for the Fund on a market value basis was -4.14%.

Current wording

For the six months ended June 30, 2023, the NYSE Arca market value of each Share decreased from $15.21 per Share to $14.13 per Share. The Share price low and high for the six months ended June 30, 2023 and related change from the Share price on December 31, 2022 was as follows: Shares traded at a low of $13.10 per Share (-13.88%) on March 17, 2023 and a high of $15.64 per Share (+2.83%) on April 12, 2023. The total return for the Fund on a market value basis was -6.79%.
Rearranged current paragraphs (1)

Current report — wording carried from elsewhere

For the six months ended June 30, 2024, the NAV of each Share increased from $13.96 per Share to $15.86 per Share. Rising commodity futures contract prices for Light Sweet Crude Oil during the six months ended June 30, 2024 contributed to an overall
Rearranged previous paragraphs (1)

Previous report — wording carried elsewhere

Returns for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 and 2023