PNC FINANCIAL SERVICES GROUP, INC.
For the period ended Jul 16, 2025. Filed Jul 16, 2025.
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A notice of a major event between regular reports, such as results, a deal or a change of executives. It is often the first formal record of the news.
Jul 16, 2025 · Filed Jul 16, 2025
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Contents
EX-99.1 · Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information
We make statements in this news release and related conference call, and we may from time to time make other statements, regarding our outlook for financial performance, such as earnings, revenues, expenses, tax rates, capital and liquidity levels and ratios, asset levels, asset quality, financial position, and other matters regarding or affecting us and our future business and operations, including our sustainability strategy, that are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words such as “believe,” “plan,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “see,” “look,” “intend,” “outlook,” “project,” “forecast,” “estimate,” “goal,” “will,” “should” and other similar words and expressions.
Forward-looking statements are necessarily subject to numerous assumptions, risks and uncertainties, which change over time. Future events or circumstances may change our outlook and may also affect the nature of the assumptions, risks and uncertainties to which our forward-looking statements are subject. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date made. We do not assume any duty and do not undertake any obligation to update forward-looking statements. Actual results or future events could differ, possibly materially, from those anticipated in forward-looking statements, as well as from historical performance. As a result, we caution against placing undue reliance on any forward-looking statements.
Our forward-looking statements are subject to the following principal risks and uncertainties.
Our businesses, financial results and balance sheet values are affected by business and economic conditions, including:
–Changes in interest rates and valuations in debt, equity and other financial markets,
–Disruptions in the U.S. and global financial markets,
–Actions by the Federal Reserve Board, U.S. Treasury and other government agencies, including those that impact money supply, market interest rates and inflation,
–Changes in customer behavior due to changing business and economic conditions or legislative or regulatory initiatives,
–Changes in customers’, suppliers’ and other counterparties’ performance and creditworthiness,
–Impacts of sanctions, tariffs and other trade policies of the U.S. and its global trading partners,
–Impacts of changes in federal, state and local governmental policy, including on the regulatory landscape, capital markets, taxes, infrastructure spending and social programs,
–Our ability to attract, recruit and retain skilled employees, and
–Commodity price volatility.
Our forward-looking financial statements are subject to the risk that economic and financial market conditions will be substantially different than those we are currently expecting and do not take into account potential legal and regulatory contingencies. These statements are based on our views that:
–The economic fundamentals remain solid in mid-2025. The labor market has eased but job growth continues, and job and income gains have supported consumer spending growth in the first half of 2025. However, downside risks have materially increased with recent substantial changes to U.S. tariffs and corresponding policy changes by U.S. trading partners.
–PNC’s baseline forecast remains for continued expansion, but slower economic growth in 2025 than in 2024. Tariffs and the uncertainty surrounding them will weigh on consumer spending and business investment. High interest rates remain a drag on the economy, consumer spending growth will slow to a pace more consistent with household income growth, and government’s contribution to economic growth will be smaller.
–The baseline forecast is for real GDP growth of around 1.5% in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with the unemployment rate increasing to around 4.5% over the next year. However, the recent turbulence in trade policy indicates that growth may be significantly weaker than in this forecast and the unemployment rate higher. The higher tariffs are, the longer they remain in place, and the more uncertainty around them, the weaker growth will be and the higher the unemployment rate. The longer trade disputes persist, the greater the likelihood of near-term recession.
–The baseline forecast is for one federal funds rate cut of 25 basis points this year, at the last Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of 2025, with additional rate cuts of 25 basis points at each of the first two FOMC meetings of 2026. This would put the federal funds rate in a range of 3.50% to 3.75% by the spring of next year. High inflation could mean less monetary easing than in the forecast, but if the economy enters recession the Federal Reserve could cut the federal funds rate more aggressively this year.
PNC Reports Second Quarter 2025 Net Income of $1.6 Billion, $3.85 Diluted EPS – Page 19
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