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SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP INC

For the period ended Jun 30, 2024. Filed Jul 26, 2024.

View on SEC.gov

About this filing

A company's report for each of its first three quarters. The financial statements are not audited. It shows how the business has moved since the last annual report, and what management says changed.

Jun 30, 2024 · Filed Jul 26, 2024

SIGI$99.44-2.3%Stored close · as of Nov 6, 2026

What changed in Management’s Discussion and Analysis?

Read the current filing

The baseline is this issuer’s latest earlier reporting period of the same form that was filed before the current report. A previous 10-Q is a different quarter, not a year-over-year comparison. Amendments are excluded.

Compared 166 previous paragraphs and 185 current paragraphs.

88 unchanged; 57 reworded; 39 added; 21 removed; 0 previous and 1 current paragraphs rearranged.

Tables are not compared: 35 previous and 36 current tables excluded. Dates, whitespace, punctuation and numbering changes are ignored; changes to financial figures remain significant.

A changed paragraph is not evidence that risk increased or decreased. An unchanged paragraph does not establish that risk stayed the same.

Added paragraphs (39)

Current report

•Financial Highlights of Results for the second quarters ended June 30, 2024 (“Second Quarter 2024”) and June 30, 2023 (“Second Quarter 2023”); and the six-month periods ended June 30, 2024 ("Six Months 2024") and June 30, 2023 ("Six Months 2023");

Current report

Our Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 operating and non-GAAP operating ROEs in both current-year periods were below our 12% target. The decrease in our non-GAAP operating ROE in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods was driven by a reduction in after-tax underwriting income. We recorded an after-tax underwriting loss of $137.2 million in Second Quarter 2024 compared to a loss of $1.2 million in Second Quarter 2023, resulting in a reduction to non-GAAP operating ROE of 19.7 points. In Six Months 2024, we recorded an after-tax underwriting loss of $122.2 million, compared to after-tax underwriting income of $29.7 million in Six Months 2023, resulting in a reduction to non-GAAP operating ROE of 11.3 points.

Current report

The underwriting income decrease in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods was primarily attributable to unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development, and to a lesser extent, an increase in current year loss costs. We believe that current market conditions and environmental factors, most notably social inflation, are impacting us and the industry more than they have historically. As a commercial-lines focused underwriter with a higher mix of casualty business, we recognize this social inflationary environment has increased loss severities. In response to these external trends and the data we observed in our in-depth quarterly reserve review process, we recorded $176.0 million of unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development in Second Quarter 2024 and $211.0 million in Six Months 2024, compared to favorable prior year casualty reserve development of $3.5 million in Second Quarter 2023 and $16.5 million in Six Months 2023.

Current report

The unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development in Second Quarter 2024 impacted our Standard Commercial Lines segment, with $166.0 million recorded in our general liability line of business and $10.0 million in our commercial automobile line of business. Six Months 2024 development was further impacted by $15.0 million of favorable development in our workers compensation line of business. The $166.0 million primarily relates to accident years 2020 through 2023, similar to the unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development we recorded last quarter. Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development we recorded at the end of 2023 was primarily associated with accident years 2020 and prior. As older years continue to mature, we gain greater confidence in our estimates, and further development on accident years 2019 and prior has been modest. This increases our confidence in the adjustments we are now making to accident years 2020 and subsequent, which puts us in a stronger overall reserve position. For additional qualitative discussion on prior year casualty reserve development, refer to the insurance segment sections below.

Current report

Although our Six Months 2024 financial results were challenging, our capital position and the quality of our underwriting portfolio remain strong. Given the consistency in our underwriting appetite and risk profile over time, our corrective actions are primarily focused on achieving higher price levels, with a continued emphasis on prudent underwriting. Our pricing discipline, strong relationships with our distribution partners, and sophisticated analytical tools have enabled us to effectively balance our pricing and retention objectives over the long term, which we seek to continue achieving going forward.

Current report

We will continue to balance growth and profitability, with a goal to consistently achieve a 95% combined ratio across our three insurance segments by:

Current report

◦Achieving E&S Lines renewal pure price increases in both our casualty and property lines of business that reflect forward loss trend expectations. Our E&S Lines renewal pure price increase was 6.4% in Second Quarter 2024, up from 5.2% in the first quarter of 2024; and

Current report

The loss and loss expense ratio increased 17.1 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 10.7 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily due to the following:

Current report

Net catastrophe losses were lower in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, but remain higher than our historical average. Severe convective storms across our footprint drove our catastrophe losses in the quarter.

Current report

The underwriting expense ratio decreased 1.1 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 1.4 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily due to a decrease in profit-based compensation to our employees and distribution partners, coupled with premium growth outpacing the growth in underwriting expenses.

Current report

The loss and loss expense ratio increased 22.6 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 14.1 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily driven by the following:

Current report

Prior year casualty reserve development was unfavorable by $176.0 million, or 20.6 points, in Second Quarter 2024, compared to $7.5 million, or 1.0 point, of favorable development in Second Quarter 2023. Prior year casualty reserve development was unfavorable by $211.0 million, or 12.5 points, in Six Months 2024, compared to $17.5 million, or 1.2 points, of favorable development in Six Months 2023.

Current report

In addition, the loss and loss expense ratio was adversely impacted by an increase in current year casualty loss costs of 3.4 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 2.1 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily due to increased loss trend expectations and higher prior-year severity assumptions attributable to impacts from social inflation in the general liability line of business.

Current report

The underwriting expense ratio decreased 0.8 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 1.2 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily due to a decrease in profit-based compensation to our employees and distribution partners, coupled with premium growth outpacing the growth in underwriting expenses.

Current report

Partially offsetting the unfavorable combined ratio drivers mentioned above was a decrease in the underwriting expense ratio of 0.6 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 0.9 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, as discussed in the "Standard Commercial Lines Segment" section above.

Current report

The combined ratio decreased 1.4 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 3.4 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, and included the following:

Current report

In addition, the combined ratio was reduced by the following:

Current report

•Decreases in the underwriting expense ratio of 0.3 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 0.7 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, as discussed in the "Standard Commercial Lines Segment" section above.

Current report

Offsetting the favorable combined ratio drivers mentioned above, was unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024, primarily due to increased severities in accident year 2023. There was no prior year casualty reserve development in Second Quarter 2023 and Six Months 2023.

Current report

The combined ratio decreased 15.5 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 7.2 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily driven by lower net catastrophe losses as shown in the following table:

Current report

Net catastrophe losses in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 were lower compared to the same prior-year periods, but remain higher than our historical average.

Current report

In addition, the combined ratio was favorably impacted by a decrease in the underwriting expense ratio of 2.5 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 2.6 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, as discussed in the "Standard Commercial Lines Segment" section above.

Current report

NPW decreased 11% in Second Quarter 2024 and 3% in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily due to renewal pure price decreases and a reduction in direct new business.

Current report

Offsetting the unfavorable combined ratio drivers mentioned above was a decrease in the underwriting expense ratio of 0.8 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 1.0 point in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, as discussed in the "Standard Commercial Lines Segment" section above.

Current report

The loss and loss expense ratio decreased 5.7 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 7.1 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, driven by the following:

Current report

In addition, lower net catastrophe losses in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods lowered our loss and loss expense ratio, but net catastrophe losses remain higher than our historical average.

Current report

The loss and loss expense ratio decreased 4.6 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 0.4 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, and included the following:

Current report

Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, resulting in a lower blended current year loss cost in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024.

Current report

These decreases to the loss and loss expense ratio were offset by the following:

Current report

The decrease in the underwriting expense ratio of 1.5 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 1.4 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, was primarily due to premium growth outpacing the growth in underwriting expenses in both periods.

Current report

We successfully completed negotiations of our July 1, 2024 excess of loss treaties, which cover our Standard Commercial Lines, Standard Personal Lines, and E&S Lines.

Current report

We renewed the Casualty Excess of Loss Treaty ("Casualty Treaty") with substantially the same structure as the expiring treaty with a co-participation of 17.5% on the first $3 million in excess of $2 million layer, but with the benefit of additional reinstatements on several of the layers. The treaty year 2024 deposit premium increased, reflecting (i) higher projected subject earned premium due to growth in our book of business, including pure renewal rate increases; and (ii) higher anticipated losses in the excess layers, partially offset by (iii) the introduction of the first layer co-participation.

Current report

We renewed the Property Excess of Loss Treaty (“Property Treaty”) with substantially the same structure as the expiring treaty and an additional reinstatement on the second layer of the program. The treaty year deposit premium increased, reflecting higher projected subject earned premium due to growth in our book of business.

Current report

The following table summarizes the Property Treaty and Casualty Treaty arrangements covering our Insurance Subsidiaries:

Current report

After-tax net investment income earned increased 11% in Second Quarter 2024 and 14% in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily driven by higher interest rates, active portfolio management, and operating and investing cash flow deployment.

Current report

The federal income tax expense decrease in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods was primarily due to underwriting losses in both periods, partially offset by an increase in net investment income. Refer to "Insurance Operations" above for more information.

Current report

On May 14, 2024, Fitch reaffirmed our "A+" rating with a "stable" outlook. In taking this rating action, Fitch cited our (i) business profile as having favorable competitive positioning within our core standard lines businesses with strong independent agency relationships, (ii) continued profitable underwriting, (iii) strong capitalization, and (iv) very strong debt service.

Current report

On June 26, 2024, Moody's reaffirmed our "A2" rating and changed our rating outlook to "stable" from "positive." In taking this rating action, Moody's cited our (i) strong regional franchise focused on low-to-medium hazard and small-to-midsize commercial accounts, (ii) strong independent agency relationships, (iii) long record of underwriting profitability, and (iv) conservative investment portfolio. In addition, Moody's cited our narrower market presence relative to national peers, contributing to the rating outlook change.
Removed paragraphs (21)

Previous report

•Financial Highlights of Results for the first quarters ended March 31, 2024 (“First Quarter 2024”) and March 31, 2023 (“First Quarter 2023”);

Previous report

In First Quarter 2024, we generated an ROE of 11.5%, compared to 15.1% in First Quarter 2023. Our non-GAAP operating ROE of 11.7% was below our First Quarter 2023 non-GAAP operating ROE of 14.6% and slightly below our target of 12%. The non-GAAP operating ROE decrease in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023 was driven by a $15.9 million, or 3.0-point, reduction in after-tax underwriting income, primarily attributable to unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development, partially offset by an improved expense ratio and lower net catastrophe losses in First Quarter 2024. Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development was $35.0 million in First Quarter 2024, compared to favorable prior year casualty reserve development of $13.0 million in First Quarter 2023. During First Quarter 2024, we recorded unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development of $50.0 million in our general liability line of business, primarily in accident years 2020 through 2023, resulting from elevated and uncertain loss trends driven primarily by social inflation. Despite planning for higher expected loss trends, claim emergence in First Quarter 2024 exceeded our expectations. Partially offsetting the $50.0 million unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development was $15.0 million of favorable prior year casualty reserve development in our workers compensation line of business. For additional qualitative discussion on prior year casualty reserve development, refer to the insurance segment sections below.

Previous report

We entered 2024 with a strong capital position and solid operational results, well-positioned to navigate the ongoing challenges of elevated economic and social inflation and financial market volatility. We continue to focus on delivering on our strategy for disciplined and profitable growth within our insurance operation segments by:

Previous report

◦Achieving E&S Lines renewal pure price increases that reflect our current profitability and forward loss trend expectations; and

Previous report

The loss and loss expense ratio increased 4.1 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily due to the following:

Previous report

Net catastrophe losses were lower in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, despite experiencing slightly more Property Claim Services named events in First Quarter 2024 that impacted our footprint. Net catastrophe losses in both periods primarily impacted our commercial property and homeowners lines of businesses, resulting from winter storms and wind and thunderstorm events.

Previous report

The underwriting expense ratio decreased 1.7 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily due to premium growth outpacing the growth in underwriting expenses.

Previous report

The increase in NPE in First Quarter 2024 compared to the First Quarter 2023 resulted from the same impacts to NPW described above.

Previous report

The loss and loss expense ratio increased 5.5 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily driven by the following:

Previous report

The underwriting expense ratio decreased 1.6 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily due to premium growth outpacing the growth in underwriting expenses in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023.

Previous report

The combined ratio decreased 5.5 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily driven by the following:

Previous report

In addition, the combined ratio benefited from a 1.1-point decrease in the underwriting expense ratio in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily due to premium growth outpacing the growth in underwriting expenses.

Previous report

The combined ratio increased 1.5 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily driven by the following:

Previous report

The combined ratio was also impacted by a decrease in the underwriting expense ratio of 2.7 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily due to premium growth outpacing the growth in underwriting expenses.

Previous report

NPW increased 6% in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily due to higher direct new business, strong retention, and exposure growth on renewal policies.

Previous report

In addition, the combined ratio benefited from a decrease in the underwriting expense ratio of 1.2 points in First Quarter 2024, compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily due to premium growth outpacing the growth in underwriting expenses.

Previous report

The loss and loss expense ratio decreased 8.2 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, driven by the following:

Previous report

The decrease in net catastrophe losses in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, was primarily due to two large wind and thunderstorm events in First Quarter 2023 that primarily impacted our homeowners line of business.

Previous report

The loss and loss expense ratio increased 3.9 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily driven by the following:

Previous report

The 1.3-point decrease in the underwriting expense ratio in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, was primarily due to premium growth outpacing the growth in underwriting expenses.

Previous report

After-tax net investment income earned increased 17% in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily driven by active portfolio management and the reinvestment of cash flows in a higher interest rate environment, which provided the opportunity to increase the embedded pre-tax book yield by 60 basis points over the course of 2023. During First Quarter 2024, our pre-tax book yield improved an additional six basis points, bringing our pre-tax book yield to 4.8% as of March 31, 2024.
Reworded paragraphs (57)

Previous wording

The terms "Company," "we," "us," and "our" refer to Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the "Parent"), and its subsidiaries, except as expressly indicated or the context otherwise requires. Certain statements in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, including information incorporated by reference, are “forward-looking statements” defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (“PSLRA”). The PSLRA provides a forward-looking statement safe harbor under the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These statements discuss our intentions, beliefs, projections, estimations, or forecasts of future events and financial performance. They involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause our or our industry's actual results, activity levels, or performance to materially differ from those in or implied by the forward-looking statements. In some cases, forward-looking statements include the words “may,” “will,” “could,” “would,” “should,” “expect,” “plan,” “anticipate,” “target,” “project,” “intend,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “potential,” “pro forma,” “seek,” “likely,” “continue,” or comparable terms. Our forward-looking statements are only predictions; we cannot guarantee or assure that such expectations will prove correct. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements for any reason except as may be required by law.

Current wording

The terms "Company," "we," "us," and "our" refer to Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the "Parent"), and its subsidiaries, except as expressly indicated or the context otherwise requires. Certain statements in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, including information incorporated by reference, are “forward-looking statements” defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 ("PSLRA"). The PSLRA provides a forward-looking statement safe harbor under the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These statements discuss our intentions, beliefs, projections, estimations, or forecasts of future events and financial performance. They involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause our or our industry's actual results, activity levels, or performance to materially differ from those in or implied by the forward-looking statements. In some cases, forward-looking statements include the words "may," "will," "could," "would," "should," "expect," "plan," "anticipate," "attribute," "confident," "strong," "target," "project," "intend," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "potential," "pro forma," "seek," "likely," "continue," or comparable terms. Our forward-looking statements are only predictions; we cannot guarantee or assure that such expectations will prove correct. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements for any reason except as may be required by law.

Previous wording

We discuss the factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from our projects, forecasts, or estimates in forward-looking statements in Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” in Part II. “Other Information” of this Form 10-Q. These risk factors may not be exhaustive. We operate in a constantly changing business environment, and new risk factors may emerge at any time. We can neither predict these new risk factors nor assess their impact, if any, on our businesses or the extent to which any factor or combination of factors may cause actual results to differ materially from any forward-looking statements. Given these risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, the forward-looking events we discuss in this report might not occur.

Current wording

We discuss the factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from our projections, forecasts, or estimates in forward-looking statements in Item 1A. "Risk Factors." in Part II. "Other Information" of this Form 10-Q. These risk factors may not be exhaustive. We operate in a constantly changing business environment, and new risk factors may emerge at any time. We can neither predict these new risk factors nor assess their impact, if any, on our businesses or the extent to which any factor or combination of factors may cause actual results to differ materially from any forward-looking statements. Given these risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, the forward-looking events we discuss in this report might not occur.

Previous wording

Financial Highlights of Results for First Quarter 2024 and First Quarter 20231

Current wording

Financial Highlights of Results for Second Quarter and Six Months 2024 and Second Quarter and Six Months 20231

Previous wording

2 Non-GAAP operating income, non-GAAP operating income per diluted common share, and non-GAAP operating ROE are measures comparable to net income available to common stockholders, net income available to common stockholders per diluted common share, and ROE, respectively, but exclude after-tax net realized and unrealized gains and losses on investments included in net income. Adjusted book value per common share is a measure comparable to book value per common share, but excludes total after-tax unrealized gains and losses on investments included in accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income. These non-GAAP measures are important financial measures used by us, analysts, and investors because the timing of realized and unrealized investment gains and losses on securities in any given period is largely discretionary. In addition, net realized and unrealized investment gains and losses on investments could distort the analysis of trends.

Current wording

2 Non-GAAP operating income (loss), non-GAAP operating income (loss) per diluted common share, and non-GAAP operating ROE are measures comparable to net income (loss) available to common stockholders, net income (loss) available to common stockholders per diluted common share, and ROE, respectively, but exclude after-tax net realized and unrealized gains and losses on investments included in net income (loss). Adjusted book value per common share is a measure comparable to book value per common share, but excludes total after-tax unrealized gains and losses on investments included in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss). These non-GAAP measures are important financial measures used by us, analysts, and investors because the timing of realized and unrealized investment gains and losses on securities in any given period is largely discretionary. In addition, net realized and unrealized investment gains and losses on investments could distort the analysis of trends.

Previous wording

◦Achieving overall Standard Commercial Lines renewal pure price increases that reflect our current profitability and forward loss trend expectations;

Current wording

◦Achieving overall Standard Commercial Lines renewal pure price increases that reflect forward loss trend expectations. Our overall Standard Commercial Lines renewal pure price increase was 7.9% in Second Quarter 2024, up from 7.6% last quarter. In addition, our general liability renewal pure price increase was 7.6% in Second Quarter 2024, up from 6.5% last quarter, and 5.7% in the fourth quarter of 2023. We expect that our general liability pricing will further increase in the second half of 2024;

Previous wording

◦Expanding our geographic footprint. In April 2024, we added West Virginia and Maine to our footprint, now covering 32 states. Subject to regulatory approvals, we expect to add Nevada, Washington, and Oregon later this year, and Kansas, Montana, and Wyoming in 2025. Over time, we plan to expand our Standard Commercial Lines footprint into most of the contiguous U.S.

Current wording

◦Expanding our geographic footprint. In April 2024, we added West Virginia and Maine to our footprint, now covering 32 states. Subject to regulatory approvals, we expect to add Nevada, Washington, and Oregon later this year, with Kansas, Montana, and Wyoming to follow. Over time, we plan to expand our Standard Commercial Lines footprint to be near national.

Previous wording

◦Taking aggressive actions to improve the profitability of our Standard Personal Lines segment by:

Current wording

◦Taking actions to improve the profitability of our Standard Personal Lines segment by:

Previous wording

▪Prioritizing additional rate filings on a state-by-state basis and further refining our pricing factors. These filed rate increases began to take effect early in 2023, increasing in number and magnitude throughout the year, have continued into 2024, and are expected to continue throughout the year. We project our overall written renewal rate increase to be in excess of 20% for the full year.

Current wording

▪Prioritizing additional rate filings on a state-by-state basis and further refining our pricing factors. These filed rate increases began to take effect early in 2023, increasing in number and magnitude throughout 2023, have continued into 2024, and are expected to continue throughout the year. Our Standard Personal Lines renewal pure price increase was 20.7% in Second Quarter 2024, up from 14.3% in the first quarter of 2024, and 8.9% in the fourth quarter of 2023;

Previous wording

For 2024, we increased our expectation for the GAAP combined ratio reflecting unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development and current year loss cost increases in the first quarter, while maintaining other full-year expectations as follows:

Current wording

For 2024, we increased our expected GAAP combined ratio to 101.5%. The change reflects unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development, elevated catastrophe losses in the first half of the year, and increased current year loss costs. Full-year expectations are as follows:

Previous wording

•A GAAP combined ratio of 96.5%, up from prior guidance of 95.5%, including net catastrophe losses of 5.0 points. Our combined ratio estimate assumes no additional prior year casualty reserve development;

Current wording

•A GAAP combined ratio of 101.5%, up five points from our prior guidance of 96.5%. Our combined ratio estimate includes net catastrophe losses of 5.5 points, up from prior guidance of 5.0 points. Our combined ratio estimate assumes no additional prior year casualty reserve development;

Previous wording

•After-tax net investment income of $360 million that includes $32 million of after-tax net investment income from our alternative investments;

Current wording

•After-tax net investment income of $360 million that includes $32 million from alternative investments;

Previous wording

The NPW growth of 16% in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023 reflected (i) overall renewal pure price increases, and (ii) higher direct new business, as shown in the following table:

Current wording

The NPW growth of 13% in Second Quarter 2024 and 14% in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods reflected (i) overall renewal pure price increases, and (ii) higher direct new business, as shown in the following table:

Previous wording

Our NPW growth in First Quarter 2024 also benefited from stable retention and exposure growth on renewal policies.

Current wording

Our NPW growth in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 also benefited from stable retention and exposure growth on renewal policies.

Previous wording

Prior year casualty reserve development in First Quarter 2024 was an unfavorable $35.0 million, or 3.3 points, compared to $13.0 million, or 1.4 points, of favorable development in First Quarter 2023. This quarter's unfavorable development of $50.0 million in our general liability line of business was driven by increased severities in accident years 2020 through 2023, and was partially offset by favorable workers compensation development of $15.0 million. For additional qualitative discussion on prior year casualty reserve development, refer to the insurance segment sections below.

Current wording

The unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development of (i) $166.0 million in Second Quarter 2024 and $216.0 million in Six Months 2024 in our general liability line of business was driven by severities in accident years 2020 through 2023 that continued to show higher emergence than expected, and (ii) $10.0 million in Second Quarter 2024 in our commercial automobile line of business was driven by increased severities in accident year 2023. The unfavorable development in Six Months 2024 was partially offset by favorable workers compensation development of $15.0 million. For additional qualitative discussion on prior year casualty reserve development, refer to the insurance segment sections below.

Previous wording

In addition, the loss and loss expense ratio was impacted by an increase in current year casualty loss costs of 0.7 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily due to increased loss trend expectations in response to social inflationary impacts. Refer to the line of business sections below for qualitative discussion on the significant drivers of unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development and current year loss costs.

Current wording

In addition, the loss and loss expense ratio was adversely impacted by an increase in current year casualty loss costs of 2.1 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 1.3 points in Six Months 2024, compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily due to increased loss trend expectations and higher prior-year severity assumptions attributable to social inflationary impacts in our general liability line of business.

Previous wording

NPW growth of 15% in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023 reflected (i) renewal pure price increases, (ii) higher direct new business, and (iii) strong retention as shown in the table below. In addition, NPW growth benefited from strong exposure growth on renewal policies.

Current wording

NPW growth of 11% in Second Quarter 2024 and 13% in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods reflected (i) renewal pure price increases, (ii) higher direct new business, and (iii) strong retention as shown in the table below. In addition, NPW growth benefited from strong exposure growth on renewal policies.

Previous wording

Prior year casualty reserve development in First Quarter 2024 was unfavorable by $35.0 million, or 4.2 points, compared to $10.0 million, or 1.4 points, of favorable development in First Quarter 2023. Despite increasing our overall expected loss trend in recent years, paid loss severities emerged more significantly than expected in First Quarter 2024. As a result, we recorded $50.0 million unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development in our general liability line of business, primarily driven by increased severities in accident years 2020 through 2023. This unfavorable development was partially offset by favorable workers compensation development of $15.0 million.

Current wording

Despite increasing our expected loss trend in recent years, loss severities continued to show higher emergence than expected in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 in the general liability line of business. In response to these unfavorable trends, we recorded unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development in our general liability line of business of $166.0 million in Second Quarter 2024 and $216.0 million in Six Months 2024, primarily driven by increased severities in accident years 2020 through 2023. In addition, we recorded $10.0 million of unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development in our commercial automobile line of business in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024, primarily driven by increased severities in accident year 2023. The unfavorable development in Six Months 2024 was partially offset by $15.0 million of favorable workers compensation development.

Previous wording

NPW grew 13% in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, benefiting from exposure growth on renewal policies, strong retention, renewal pure price increases, and higher direct new business.

Current wording

NPW grew 9% in Second Quarter 2024 and 11% in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, benefiting from renewal pure price increases, exposure growth on renewal policies, strong retention, and higher direct new business.

Previous wording

The combined ratio increased 21.9 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily driven by unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development as follows:

Current wording

The combined ratio increased 72.1 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 47.3 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily driven by unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development as follows:

Previous wording

This line of business has experienced a long-term historical trend of meaningful severity increases, which have been partially offset by decreases in claim frequencies. The trend of lower frequencies has continued, while prior year severities have developed adversely, previously impacting the pre-pandemic period but now extending into the more recent accident years. We attribute the increased severities to elevated social inflation, which we see as an industry dynamic characterized by higher propensity for attorney representation and litigation, longer settlement times, and higher settlement values. Certain jurisdictions with expanded liability theories and higher damage awards pose heightened challenges. We are closely monitoring these jurisdictions and the broader trends across our business.

Current wording

This line of business has experienced a long-term historical trend of meaningful severity increases, which have been partially offset by decreases in claim frequencies. Prior-year severities have developed adversely, previously impacting the pre-pandemic period but now extending into the more recent accident years. We attribute the increased severities to elevated social inflation, which we see as an industry dynamic characterized by higher propensity for attorney representation and litigation, longer settlement times, and higher settlement values. Certain jurisdictions with expanded liability theories and higher damage awards pose heightened challenges. We are closely monitoring these jurisdictions and the broader trends across our business.

Previous wording

The unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development in First Quarter 2024 was primarily due to these social inflationary impacts. In response to social inflationary impacts, we have been embedding higher severity assumptions in our initial loss ratio estimates in recent years, which more recently are materializing in actual paid results. Despite planning for higher expected loss trends, claim emergence on paid losses in First Quarter 2024 exceeded our expectations and drove the unfavorable prior year development of $50.0 million, primarily in accident years 2020 through 2023. There was no prior year casualty reserve development in First Quarter 2023.

Current wording

The unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 was primarily due to the impact of social inflation, which resulted in higher severity assumptions embedded in our initial loss ratio estimates in recent years. Despite planning for higher expected loss trends, claim emergence in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 continued to exceed our expectations. In response to these continued unfavorable trends, we recorded unfavorable prior year development of $166.0 million in Second Quarter 2024 and $216.0 million in Six Months 2024, primarily in accident years 2020 through 2023. There was no prior year casualty reserve development in Second Quarter 2023 and Six Months 2023.

Previous wording

Additionally, the combined ratio was impacted by an increase in current year casualty loss costs of 4.5 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily driven by an increase to our loss trend expectations in response to increases in social inflationary impacts.

Current wording

Additionally, the combined ratio was adversely impacted by an increase in current year casualty loss costs of 13.6 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 9.0 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily driven by an increase to our loss trend expectations and higher prior-year severity assumptions attributable to increases in social inflationary impacts.

Previous wording

We believe that social inflation and elevated loss trends are an industry dynamic, and may lead to an acceleration of rate increases in this line of business. During First Quarter 2024, our renewal pure price increase in this line of business was 6.5%, up from 5.7% last quarter, and 5.4% for full-year 2023. We expect increases in our general liability pricing to accelerate in the coming months.

Current wording

We believe that social inflation and elevated loss trends are an industry dynamic, and may lead to an acceleration of rate increases in this line of business for the industry and us. Our renewal pure price increase in this line of business was 7.6% in Second Quarter 2024, up from 6.5% last quarter, and 5.7% for the fourth quarter of 2023. We expect increases in our general liability pricing to accelerate in the coming months.

Previous wording

NPW grew 19% in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, benefiting from renewal pure price increases, higher direct new business, and strong retention. This higher new business and strong retention contributed to an 8% growth of in-force vehicle counts as of March 31, 2024 compared to March 31, 2023.

Current wording

NPW grew 16% in Second Quarter 2024 and 17% in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, benefiting from renewal pure price increases, higher direct new business, and strong retention. This higher new business and strong retention contributed to an 8% growth of in-force vehicle counts as of June 30, 2024 compared to June 30, 2023.

Previous wording

First Quarter 2024 experienced lower non-catastrophe property loss and loss expenses than First Quarter 2023, primarily due to lower claim frequencies.

Current wording

Non-catastrophe property loss and loss expenses in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 were lower compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily due to lower claim frequencies.

Previous wording

The combined ratio decrease in First Quarter 2024 also reflected a decrease in current year casualty loss costs of 1.3 points, primarily driven by the earned impact of higher renewal pure price increases highlighted above.

Current wording

•Decreases in current year casualty loss costs of 1.3 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 1.2 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily driven by the earned impact of higher renewal pure price increases in both periods as highlighted above; and

Previous wording

NPW grew 15% in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, benefiting from renewal pure price increases, strong retention, exposure growth on renewal policies, and higher direct new business.

Current wording

NPW grew 17% in Second Quarter 2024 and 16% in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, benefiting from renewal pure price increases, strong retention, exposure growth on renewal policies, and higher direct new business.

Previous wording

We experienced higher non-catastrophe property loss and loss expense ratios in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023. This change continues to reflect the variability from period to period that is normally associated with the commercial property line of business. We continue to manage our long-term profitability through (i) price increases, and (ii) targeted underwriting actions, including an ongoing focus on appropriate policy terms and conditions and achieving accurate insurance to value ratios.

Current wording

Offsetting the favorable combined ratio drivers mentioned above, was higher non-catastrophe property loss and loss expense ratios in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods. This change continues to reflect the variability from period to period that is normally associated with the commercial property line of business. We continue to manage our long-term profitability through (i) price increases, and (ii) targeted underwriting actions, including an ongoing focus on appropriate policy terms and conditions and achieving accurate insurance-to-value ratios.

Previous wording

The combined ratio decreased 3.4 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily driven by favorable prior year casualty reserve development as follows:

Current wording

The combined ratio increased 9.5 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 2.7 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily driven by reductions in favorable prior year casualty reserve development as follows:

Previous wording

The favorable prior year casualty reserve development in First Quarter 2024 was primarily due to lower loss severities in accident years 2021 and prior. The favorable prior year casualty reserve development in First Quarter 2023 was primarily due to improved loss severities in accident years 2020 and prior.

Current wording

The favorable prior year casualty reserve development in Six Months 2024 was primarily due to lower loss severities in accident years 2021 and prior. The favorable prior year casualty reserve development in Second Quarter 2023 and Six Months 2023 was primarily due to improved loss severities in accident years 2020 and prior.

Previous wording

Offsetting the combined ratio decreases mentioned above, the First Quarter 2024 combined ratio was adversely impacted by an increase in current year casualty loss costs of 3.5 points, primarily driven by the negative rate environment that has been impacting this line for several years.

Current wording

In addition, the combined ratio was adversely impacted by an increase in current year casualty loss costs of 2.8 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 3.1 points in Six Months 2024, primarily driven by the negative rate environment that has been impacting this line for several years.

Previous wording

NPW increased 17% in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, due to renewal pure price increases, exposure growth on renewal policies, and higher average policy sizes from our mass affluent market strategy, partially offset by reductions in direct new business and retention. New policy counts were down 37% in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023 These reductions were anticipated given the level of rate increases we are implementing as part of our overall profit improvement plan.

Current wording

NPW increased 6% in Second Quarter 2024 and 11% in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, due to renewal pure price increases, exposure growth on renewal policies, and higher average policy sizes from our mass affluent market strategy, partially offset by reductions in direct new business and retention. New policy counts were down 48% in Second Quarter 2024 and 43% in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods. These reductions were anticipated given the level of rate increases we are implementing as part of our overall profit improvement plan.

Previous wording

We are taking aggressive actions to improve the profitability of this business by continuing to prioritize additional rate filings on a state-by-state basis to mitigate inflationary impacts, and refining our pricing factors. These filed rate increases began to take effect early in 2023, increasing in number and magnitude throughout the year, have continued into 2024, and are expected to continue throughout the year. Our 14.3% renewal pure price increase achieved in First Quarter 2024 met our expectations, and keeps us on track to achieve an increase in excess of 20% for the full year. In addition, we are seeking to improve profitability within our homeowners' line of business by introducing new policy terms and conditions, including (i) coverage for older roofs based on a schedule of factors rather than replacement cost, and (ii) implementing mandatory wind/hail deductibles in states exposed to severe convective storms, where allowed by law.

Current wording

We are taking aggressive actions to improve the profitability of this business by continuing to prioritize additional rate filings on a state-by-state basis to mitigate inflationary impacts, and refining our pricing factors. These filed rate increases began to take effect early in 2023, increasing in number and magnitude throughout 2023, have continued into 2024, and are expected to continue throughout the year. We achieved a 20.7% renewal pure price increase in Second Quarter 2024, a direct outcome of these actions. In addition, we are seeking to further improve profitability within our homeowners' line of business by introducing new policy terms and conditions, including (i) coverage for older roofs based on a schedule of factors rather than replacement cost, and (ii) implementing mandatory wind/hail deductibles in states exposed to severe convective storms, where allowed by law.

Previous wording

We experienced $5.0 million of favorable prior year casualty reserve development on our homeowners line of business in First Quarter 2024, primarily due to lower loss severities in accident years 2021 and prior. This favorable development was offset by $5.0 million of unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development on our personal automobile line of business in First Quarter 2024, primarily driven by increased loss severities in accident years 2021 through 2023. The unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development in First Quarter 2023 was primarily due to increased loss severities in accident year 2022 on our personal automobile line of business.

Current wording

In Six Months 2024, we experienced (i) favorable prior year casualty reserve development on our homeowners line of business of $5.0 million, primarily due to lower loss severities in accident years 2021 and prior, offset by (ii) $5.0 million of unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development on our personal automobile line of business, primarily driven by increased loss severities in accident years 2021 through 2023. The unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development in Second Quarter 2023 and Six Months 2023 was primarily due to increased loss severities in accident year 2022 on our personal automobile line of business.

Previous wording

In addition, the loss and loss expense ratio was adversely impacted by an increase in current year casualty loss costs of 1.8 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily due to an expected increase in claim frequencies in the current year.

Current wording

The loss and loss expense ratio was also adversely impacted by a 1.0-point increase in current year casualty loss costs in Six Months 2024 compared to Six Months 2023, primarily due to an expected increase in automobile claim frequencies in the current year.

Previous wording

The underwriting expense ratio decreased 2.7 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily due to premium growth outpacing the growth in underwriting expenses.

Current wording

The underwriting expense ratio decreased 2.7 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 2.6 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily due to a decrease in profit-based compensation to our employees and distribution partners, coupled with premium growth outpacing the growth in underwriting expenses in both periods.

Previous wording

NPW grew 24% in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, reflecting renewal pure price increases and higher direct new business as shown in the table below. In addition, NPW growth in First Quarter 2024 benefited from both property and casualty exposure growth on renewal policies, driven by increased property values, as well as higher rate per exposure.

Current wording

NPW grew 39% in Second Quarter 2024 and 31% in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, reflecting renewal pure price increases and higher direct new business as shown in the table below. In addition, NPW growth in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 benefited from both property and casualty exposure growth on renewal policies, driven by higher rate per exposure and higher new business production. In addition, our property lines exposure growth on renewal policies was reflective of increased property values.

Previous wording

While the frequency of wind and thunderstorm events remained largely consistent, the severity of these events was lower in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, resulting in a decrease in net catastrophe losses.

Current wording

While the frequency of wind and thunderstorm events remained largely consistent, the severity of these events was lower in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, resulting in a decrease in net catastrophe losses in both periods.

Previous wording

In addition, the loss and loss expense ratio was favorably impacted by a decrease in current year casualty loss costs of 2.3 points in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily due to the mix of business between our property and casualty lines of business. Our E&S property line of business, which has a lower loss ratio compared to our E&S casualty line of business, represented a larger portion of this segment in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, resulting in a lower blended current year loss cost in First Quarter 2024.

Current wording

In addition, the loss and loss expense ratio was favorably impacted by a decrease in current year casualty loss costs of 3.1 points in Second Quarter 2024 and 2.7 points in Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily due to the mix of business between our property and casualty lines of business. Our E&S property line of business, which has a lower loss ratio compared to our E&S casualty line of business, represented a larger portion of this segment in Second Quarter 2024 and Six

Previous wording

We experienced higher non-catastrophe property loss and loss expenses in First Quarter 2024 compared to First Quarter 2023, primarily due to several large fires, reflecting the continued variability from period to period that is normally associated with our E&S property line of business.

Current wording

•Higher non-catastrophe property loss and loss expenses in Second Quarter 2024 and Six Months 2024 compared to the same prior-year periods, primarily due to several large fires, reflecting the continued variability from period to period that is normally associated with our E&S property line of business; and

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Current report — wording carried from elsewhere

Refer to the line of business sections below for qualitative discussion on the significant drivers of unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development and current year loss costs.