Evolent Health, Inc.
For the period ended Sep 30, 2025. Filed Nov 7, 2025.
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A company's report for each of its first three quarters. The financial statements are not audited. It shows how the business has moved since the last annual report, and what management says changed.
Sep 30, 2025 · Filed Nov 7, 2025
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Item 1A. Risk Factors
Our significant business risks are described in Part I, Item 1A. “Risk Factors” to our 2024 Form 10-K. Except as set forth below, there have been no material changes to our risk factors from those disclosed in our 2024 Form 10-K. You should carefully consider the risks described below, as well as the risks described in our 2024 Form 10-K. The risks and uncertainties we describe are not the only ones facing us. Additional risks and uncertainties not presently known to us or that we currently deem immaterial may also impair our business or operations. Any adverse effect on our business, financial condition or operating results could result in a decline in the value of our securities and the loss of all or part of your investment.
Risks Relating to Indebtedness
We may need to obtain additional financing which may not be available or, if it is available, may result in a reduction in the ownership of our stockholders.
We may need to raise additional funds in order to:
finance unanticipated working capital requirements;
develop or enhance our technological infrastructure and our existing solutions;
fund strategic relationships, including joint ventures and co-investments, including the exercise by our joint venture partners of any put features;
fund additional implementation engagements;
acquire complementary businesses, technologies, products or services; or
refinance and/or payoff existing debt.
Additional financing may not be available on terms favorable to us, or at all. If adequate funds are unavailable or are unavailable on acceptable terms, our ability to fund our expansion strategy, take advantage of unanticipated opportunities, develop or enhance technology or services or otherwise respond to competitive pressures could be significantly limited. If we raise additional funds by issuing equity or convertible debt securities, the ownership of our then-existing stockholders may be reduced, and holders of these securities may have rights, preferences or privileges senior to those of our then-existing stockholders. In addition, any indebtedness we incur and restrictive covenants contained in the agreements related thereto could:
make it difficult for us to satisfy our obligations, including interest payments on any debt obligations;
limit our ability to obtain additional financing to operate our business;
require us to dedicate a substantial portion of our cash flow to payments on our debt, reducing our ability to use our cash flow to fund capital expenditures and working capital and other general operational requirements;
limit our flexibility to plan for and react to changes in our business and the health care industry;
place us at a competitive disadvantage relative to our competitors;
limit our ability to pursue acquisitions; and
increase our vulnerability to general adverse economic and industry conditions, including changes in interest rates or a downturn in our business or the economy.
The occurrence of any one of these events could cause a significant decrease in our liquidity and impair our ability to pay amounts due on any indebtedness and could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
The conditional conversion feature of the 2029 Notes and 2031 Notes, if triggered, may adversely affect our financial condition and operating results.
In the event the conditional conversion feature of the 2029 Notes or 2031 Notes is triggered, holders of such notes will be entitled to convert such notes during specified periods at their option. If one or more holders elect to convert their notes, unless we elect to satisfy our conversion obligation by delivering solely shares of our Class A common stock (other than paying cash in lieu of delivering any fractional share), we would be required to settle a portion or all of our conversion obligation through the payment of cash, which could adversely affect our liquidity. In addition, even if holders do not elect to convert their notes, we could be required under applicable accounting rules to reclassify all or a portion of the outstanding principal of the 2029 Notes or 2031 Notes, as applicable, as a current rather than long-term liability, which would result in a material reduction of our net working capital.
We may not have the ability to raise the funds necessary to settle conversions of our notes in cash, to repurchase our notes for cash upon a fundamental change or to pay the redemption price for any notes we redeem, and our future debt may contain limitations on our ability to pay cash upon conversion or repurchase of the notes.
Holders of our notes have the right to require us to repurchase all or a portion of their notes upon the occurrence of a fundamental change (as defined in the indentures governing the notes) at a fundamental change repurchase price equal to 100% of the principal amount of the notes to be repurchased, plus accrued and unpaid interest, if any. In addition, upon conversion of the notes, unless we elect to satisfy our conversion obligation by delivering solely shares of our Class A common stock (other than paying cash in lieu of delivering any fractional shares), we would be required to settle a portion or all of our conversion obligation through the payment of cash. However, we may not have enough available cash or be able to obtain financing at the time we are required to make repurchases of notes surrendered therefore or notes that are being redeemed or converted.
In addition, our ability to repurchase the notes or to pay cash upon redemptions or conversions of the notes may be limited by law, by regulatory authority, or by other agreements governing our future indebtedness. Our failure to repurchase notes at a time when the repurchase is required by the applicable indenture or to pay any cash payable on future conversions of the notes as required by the applicable indenture would constitute a default under the applicable indenture. A default under either of the indentures or the occurrence of a fundamental change itself could also lead to a default under agreements governing our existing and future indebtedness. If the repayment of the related indebtedness were to be accelerated after any applicable notice or grace periods, we may not have sufficient funds to repay the indebtedness and repurchase the notes or make cash payments upon conversions thereof.
Changes in the accounting treatment for convertible debt securities that may be settled in cash, such as the 2029 Notes and the 2031 Notes, could have a material effect on our reported financial results.
In August 2020, the Financial Accounting Standards Board published an Accounting Standards Update (“ASU 2020-06”), which amends the accounting standards for convertible debt instruments that may be settled entirely or partially in cash upon conversion. ASU 2020-06 eliminates requirements to separately account for liability and equity components of such convertible debt instruments and eliminates the ability to use the treasury stock method for calculating diluted earnings per share for convertible instruments whose principal amount may be settled using shares. Instead, ASU 2020-06 requires (i) the entire amount of the security to be presented as a liability on the balance sheet and (ii) application of the “if-converted” method for calculating diluted earnings per share. Under the “if-converted” method, diluted earnings per share will generally be calculated assuming that the 2025 Notes and the 2029 Notes were converted solely into shares of Class A common stock at the beginning of the reporting period, unless the result would be anti-dilutive, which could adversely affect our diluted earnings per share. However, if the principal amount of the convertible debt security being converted is required to be paid in cash and only the excess is permitted to be settled in shares, the if-converted method will produce a similar result as the “treasury stock” method prior to the adoption of ASU 2020-06 for such convertible debt security. Because we will be permitted to settle conversions of the notes in cash, shares of common stock, or a combination thereof, the “if-converted” method for calculating diluted earnings per share is expected to be required with respect to the 2029 Notes and 2031 Notes. Further amendments to these accounting standards may require us to reflect the notes in a manner that adversely affects our reported diluted earnings per share.
We are exposed to interest rate risk under the Credit Agreements, which could cause the Company’s debt service obligations to increase significantly.
We are exposed to market risk from changes in interest rates. Interest under all Credit Facilities under our Credit Agreements is based on the Secured Overnight Funding Rate (“SOFR”), a floating rate, subject to a minimum rate. The Federal Reserve has raised, and may in the future further raise, interest rates to combat the effects of recent high inflation. Any further increase in the SOFR will increase the Company’s debt service obligations, which could have a negative impact on the Company’s cash flow, financial position or operating results, including cash available for servicing the Company’s indebtedness, or result in increased borrowing costs in the future.
We have significant debt and other obligations, which could adversely affect our financial health and our ability to obtain financing in the future, and to react to changes in our business.
We have $1,085.0 million of principal amount of indebtedness outstanding as of September 30, 2025. This significant amount of debt and other cash needs could have important consequences to us, including:
requiring a substantial portion of our cash flow from operations to make payments on this debt, thereby limiting the cash we have available to fund future growth opportunities, such as capital expenditures and acquisitions;
restrictive covenants in our debt arrangements s, which could limit our operations and borrowing;
increasing our vulnerability to general adverse economic and industry conditions and limiting our flexibility in planning for, or reacting to, changes in our business and industry, due to the need to use our cash to service our outstanding debt ;
placing us at a competitive disadvantage relative to our competitors that are not as highly leveraged and that may therefore be more able to invest in their business or use their available cash to pursue other opportunities, including acquisitions; and
Servicing our debt requires a significant amount of cash, and we may not have sufficient cash flow from our business to service our debt and make necessary capital expenditures.
Our ability to make scheduled payments of the principal of, to pay interest or to refinance our indebtedness depends on our future performance, which is subject to economic, financial, competitive and other factors beyond our control. Our business may not generate cash flow from operations in the future sufficient to service our debt and make necessary capital expenditures. If we are unable to generate such cash flow, we may be required to adopt one or more alternatives, such as selling assets, restructuring debt or obtaining additional equity capital on terms that may be onerous or highly dilutive to our stockholders. Our ability to refinance our indebtedness will depend on the capital markets and our financial condition at such time. We may not be able to engage in any of these activities or engage in these activities on desirable terms, which could result in a default on our obligations and have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.
Restrictive covenants in our Credit Agreements may interfere with our ability to access our revolving credit facilities, or to obtain new financing or to engage in other business activities.
Our Credit Agreements impose significant operating and financial restrictions on us. These restrictions limit our ability and/or the ability of certain of our subsidiaries to, among other things:
incur or guarantee additional debt;
incur certain liens;
merge or consolidate;
transfer or sell assets;
make certain investments;
pay dividends and make other distributions on, or redeem or repurchase, capital stock; and
enter into transactions with affiliates.
In addition, pursuant to our Credit Agreements, we are required to comply with certain financial covenants consisting of a minimum liquidity test, and a total secured leverage test. As a result of these restrictions, we will be limited as to how we conduct our business, and we may be unable to raise additional debt or equity financing to compete effectively or to take advantage of new business opportunities. The terms of any future indebtedness we may incur could include more restrictive covenants. We cannot assure you that the Company will be able to maintain compliance with these covenants in the future and, if it fails to do so, that it will be able to obtain waivers from the lenders and/or amend the covenants. The Company’s failure to comply with the restrictive covenants described above as well as the terms of any future indebtedness could result in an event of default, which, if not cured or waived, could result in it being required to repay these borrowings before their due date and the lenders would be entitled to foreclose on collateral. If the Company is forced to refinance these borrowings on less favorable terms or cannot refinance these borrowings, our results of operations and financial condition could be adversely affected. In addition, we may be unable to access future borrowings under our revolving facility if we are unable to satisfy the applicable conditions precedent.
Risks Relating to Our Business and Strategy
Our revenues and the growth of our business rely, in part, on the growth and success of our partners and certain revenues from our engagements, which are difficult to predict and are subject to factors outside of our control, including governmental funding reductions and other policy changes.
We enter into agreements with our partners under which a significant portion of our fees are variable, including fees which are dependent upon the number of members that are covered by partners’ health care plans each month, expansion of partners and the services that we provide, as well as performance-based metrics. The number of members covered by a partner’s health care plan is often impacted by factors outside of our control, such as the actions of our partner or third parties. In addition, ongoing payment of fees by our partners could be negatively impacted by the general financial condition of partners. Accordingly, revenue under these agreements is unpredictable. If the number of members covered by one or more of our partners’ plans were to be reduced by a material amount, or if member enrollment numbers in new plans are lower than expected, such decrease would lead to a decrease in our expected revenue, which could harm our business, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, growth forecasts of our partners are subject to significant uncertainty and are based on assumptions and estimates that may prove to be inaccurate. Even if the markets in which partners compete meet the size estimates and growth forecasted, their health plan membership could fail to grow at similar rates, if at all. In addition, a portion of the revenue under certain of our service contracts is tied to the partners’ continued participation in specified payer programs over which we have no control. If a partner ceases to participate or is disqualified from participation in any such program, this would lead to a decrease in our expected revenue under the relevant contract. For example, as Medicare Advantage plans make changes to manage their profitability, membership declines in Medicare Advantage plans have followed. Membership in Medicare, Medicaid and the Exchange has also declined recently, and is expected to continue declining into 2026. A significant number of Medicare Advantage prescription drug plan geographies or local markets across the country were terminated for 2025, including many local markets that were our customers in 2024, which could have an adverse impact on our financial results and profitability in 2025 and beyond.
In addition, broader policy shifts as a result of the new administration could impact our partners’ businesses. For example, Medicaid policy may shift to block grants or other structures that may result in lower overall Medicaid membership. It is also possible that state or federal regulations may eliminate utilization management, which would negatively impact our revenue and increase our medical costs. The OBBBA also makes significant changes to the Medicaid, Medicare and ACA Health Exchanges. Changes include new requirements states must meet to maintain federal support for the Medicaid programs, as well as stricter criteria beneficiaries must meet to qualify for and maintain enrollment in federal healthcare programs. The effect of these changes could result in reductions in members covered by partners’ health care plans. The Company continues to evaluate the expected impact of the OBBBA on its business and financial statements, but changes resulting from the OBBBA could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition or cash flows.
In addition, the transition to value-based care may be challenging for our partners. For example, fully-capitated or other provider risk arrangements have had a history of financial challenges for providers. Our partners may also have difficulty in value-based care if premium pricing is under pressure or if they incur selection bias in the health plans under which they assume risk and in so doing the premium, capitation amount or other risk-sharing arrangement they undertake may not adequately reflect the health status of the membership. Our partners may choose not to continue to capitalize affiliated health plans or subsidize losses to their reimbursement rates. Furthermore, revenue under our partner contracts may differ from our projections because of the termination of the contract for cause or at specified life cycle events, or because of fee reductions that are occasionally agreed to after the contract is initially signed.
Our partners derive a substantial portion of their revenue from third-party private and federal and state governmental payers, including Medicaid programs. Revenue under certain of our agreements could be negatively impacted as a result of governmental funding reductions impacting government-sponsored programs, changes in reimbursement rates, and premium pricing reductions, as well as the inability of partners to control and, if necessary, reduce health care costs, all of which are out of our control. We are unable to predict the impact on the Company’s operations of future regulations or legislation affecting Medicaid programs, or the healthcare industry in general. For example, our partners generally received less Medicaid-based revenue following the Biden administration’s termination of the COVID-19 public health emergency and the subsequent state Medicaid redeterminations. Because certain partners’ revenues are highly reliant on third-party payer reimbursement funding rates and mechanisms, overall reductions of rates from such payers could adversely impact the liquidity of our partners, resulting in their inability to make payments to us on agreed payment terms. See “Risk Factors—Risks Relating to Our Industry and Market—The health care regulatory and political framework is uncertain and evolving” in our 2024 Form 10-K for additional information.
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