Oportun Financial Corp
For the period ended Dec 31, 2023. Filed Mar 15, 2024.
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FY2023 · Filed Mar 15, 2024
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Historical Credit Performance
Our Annualized Net Charge-off Rate ranged between 7% and 9% from 2011 to 2019 and was 9.8% in 2020, a modest variance above this range during the COVID-19 pandemic. Due to credit tightening in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and government stimulus payments our Annualized Net Charge-Off Rate decreased to 6.8% in 2021. Our Annualized Net Charge-off Rate increased to 10.1% in 2022 primarily due to an increasing interest rate environment, inflation and the cessation of COVID-19 stimulus payments and a higher mix of first-time borrowers in 2021 and the first half of 2022. In response to this increase, we tightened our credit underwriting standards and focused lending towards existing and returning members to improve credit outcomes. The increase is primarily driven by a deterioration in our back book and deterioration of the vintages originated in the second half of 2022 prior to further tightening underwriting standards for returning members in December 2022. The back book continued to season and made-up 68% of charge-offs while only making up 41% of average receivables. In addition, the increase was partially caused by decreasing originations which caused receivables to decrease throughout 2023 as we continued to tighten credit standards throughout the second half of 2023. Consistent with our charge-off policy, we evaluate our loan portfolio and charge a loan off at the earlier of when the loan is determined to be uncollectible or when loans are 120 days contractually past due and charge-off a credit card account at the earlier of when the account is determined to be uncollectible or when it is 180 days contractually past due.
In addition to monitoring our loss and delinquency performance on an owned portfolio basis, we also monitor the performance of our loans by the period in which the loan was disbursed, generally years or quarters, which we refer to as a vintage. We calculate net lifetime loan loss rate by vintage as a percentage of original principal balance. Net lifetime loan loss rates equal the net lifetime loan losses for a given year through December 31, 2023, divided by the total origination loan volume for that year.
The below chart and table shows our net lifetime loan loss rate for each annual vintage of our personal loan product since we began lending in 2006, excluding loans originated from July 2017 to August 2020 under a loan program for borrowers who did not meet the qualifications for our core loan origination program. 100% of those loans were sold pursuant to a whole loan sale agreement. We were able to stabilize cumulative net loan losses after the financial crisis that started in 2008. We even achieved a net lifetime loan loss rate of 5.5% during the peak of the recession in 2009. The evolution of our credit models has allowed us to increase our average loan size and commensurately extend our average loan terms. Cumulative net lifetime loan losses for the 2015, 2016, 2017, and 2018 vintages increased partially due to the delay in tax refunds in 2017 and 2019, the impact of natural disasters such as Hurricane Harvey, and the longer duration of the loans. The 2018 and 2019 vintages are increasing due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The 2021 vintage is experiencing higher charge-offs than prior vintages primarily due to a higher percentage of loan disbursements to new members. We have tightened credit, reduced loan size and loan term, and began reducing loan volumes to new and returning members in the third quarter of 2022 and reduced significantly in the second half of 2022. We refer to the post-July 2022 underwriting vintages as our front book and we refer to the originations made prior to our significant credit-tightening in July 2022 as the back book. Net Lifetime Loan Loss Rates on vintages originated since significant July 2022 credit tightening are performing near comparable vintages originated in 2019 for the first 7 to 9 months on books but start to diverge due to underperformance of larger loans relative to 2019 and due to longer average term length. Macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, our borrowers are facing higher costs for food, fuel and rent are also putting pressure on our members. First Payment Defaults on newly-originated loans continue to come in at near pre-pandemic 2019 levels. We regard First Payment Defaults to be an early indicator of credit performance as the outstanding principal balance of loans that have their first payment past due are regarded as more likely to default and result in a charge-off. First Payment Defaults are calculated as the principal balance of any loan whose first payment becomes 30 days past due, divided by the aggregate principal balance of all loans originated during that same week. We employ collection strategies and tools to help customers make ongoing payments against their loans, with new efforts launched that: expanded the frequency and content of our digital and telephony communications; broadened eligibility for collection tools that help customers address payment difficulties; and eased customer access to those collection tools via new online and mobile app self-enrollment capability, supported by a new Collections strategy system that enables centralized, faster, and more-targeted application of strategies.
| Year of Origination | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | |
| Dollar weighted average original term for vintage in months | 9.3 | 9.9 | 10.2 | 11.7 | 12.3 | 14.5 | 16.4 | 19.1 | 22.3 | 24.2 | 26.3 | 29.0 | 30.0 | 32.0 | 33.3 | 37.8 |
| Net lifetime loan losses as of December 31, 2023 as a percentage of original principal balance | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.7%* | 15.4%* | 9.5%* |
| Outstanding principal balance as of December 31, 2023 as a percentage of original amount disbursed | —% | —% | —% | —% | —% | —% | —% | —% | —% | —% | —% | —% | 0.4% | 2.2% | 17.0% | 57.5% |
- Vintage is not yet fully mature from a loss perspective.
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