RADIAN GROUP INC
For the period ended Dec 31, 2025. Filed Feb 20, 2026.
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FY2025 · Filed Feb 20, 2026
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Overview
As a leading U.S. private mortgage insurer, Radian provides solutions that expand access to affordable, responsible and sustainable homeownership and helps borrowers achieve their dream of owning a home. As of December 31, 2025, we had one reportable business segment, Mortgage Insurance.
Our Mortgage Insurance segment aggregates, manages and distributes U.S. mortgage credit risk for the benefit of mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors, principally through private mortgage insurance on residential first-lien mortgage loans.
In addition to our Mortgage Insurance segment, we previously reported in an All Other category activities consisting of: (i) income (losses) from assets held by Radian Group, our holding company; (ii) general corporate operating expenses not attributable or allocated to our reportable segment; and (iii) the results from certain other immaterial activities and operating segments, including our Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses. As further described in Notes 1 and 3 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, in September 2025, following a comprehensive strategic review, Radian Group’s board of directors approved a plan to divest our Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses. As a result, we have reclassified the results related to these businesses to discontinued operations for all periods presented in our consolidated statements of operations.
Also in the third quarter of 2025, following the comprehensive strategic review, we announced that we had entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Inigo, a Lloyd’s specialty insurer, as part of the Company’s planned strategic transformation to a global multi-line specialty insurer. See Note 1 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on this acquisition, which closed on February 2, 2026. We will begin to include Inigo’s results in our consolidated financial statements beginning in the first quarter of 2026.
Consistent with the trends observed in recent periods, the economic and market conditions impacting our results for the year ended 2025 remained generally favorable. These trends include: (i) a strong credit environment and housing market; (ii) higher Persistency in our Mortgage Insurance business due to low levels of mortgage refinancings, resulting from the interest rates of mortgages in our insured portfolio generally remaining below prevailing interest rates; and (iii) strong mortgage insurance fundamentals, including stringent underwriting and product standards, higher-quality borrowers with strong credit profiles and strengthened servicing standards and government support to help borrowers stay in their homes. We are monitoring trends in different credit asset classes, including recent reports of stress in certain asset classes, however the loans in our portfolio and loans in the broader conventional mortgage segment continue to perform well. We continue to experience strong cure activity and low claims levels. See also “Key Factors Affecting Our Results,” below for additional discussion of the primary factors affecting the operating environment for our Mortgage Insurance business. Despite risks and uncertainties, including those set forth in “Item 1A. Risk Factors,” our outlook on the Mortgage Insurance business remains positive.
The following charts provide a perspective on mortgage origination volumes and private mortgage insurance penetration in recent periods.
Mortgage origination market (1)
| Origination Market (In billions) | Q12023 | Q22023 | Q32023 | Q42023 | Q12024 | Q22024 | Q32024 | Q42024 | Q12025 | Q22025 | Q32025 | Q42025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ■ | Refinance | $49 | $63 | $57 | $50 | $61 | $66 | $91 | $139 | $102 | $137 | $154 | $235 |
| ■ | Purchase | 259 | 358 | 346 | 298 | 286 | 361 | 366 | 323 | 276 | 374 | 380 | 341 |
| Total | $308 | $421 | $403 | $348 | $347 | $427 | $457 | $462 | $378 | $511 | $534 | $576 |
Private mortgage insurance penetration of mortgage origination market (1)
| Market Penetration (%) | Q12023 | Q22023 | Q32023 | Q42023 | Q12024 | Q22024 | Q32024 | Q42024 | Q12025 | Q22025 | Q32025 | Q42025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ● | Purchase | 24.4% | 22.4% | 22.3% | 19.4% | 19.8% | 21.7% | 21.8% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 20.8% | 20.9% |
| ● | Overall | 21.0% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 15.2% |
| ● | Refinance | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.9% |
(1)
Based on actual dollars generated in the credit enhanced market as reported by HUD and publicly reported industry information. Mortgage originations are based upon the average of originations reported by the Mortgage Bankers Association, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae in their most recent published industry reports.
Although it is difficult to project future volumes, recent industry projections indicate that total mortgage originations are expected to reach approximately $2.3 trillion in 2026, representing an increase of 15% compared to 2025.
Based on estimates of private mortgage insurance penetration, the private mortgage insurance market is projected to be moderately larger in 2026 relative to the estimated $300 billion market size in 2025. Homebuyer demand and a potential modest decline in interest rates would support a growing purchase market in 2026, which is expected to benefit mortgage insurers due to the higher propensity for purchased loans to require private mortgage insurance compared to refinanced loans. Additionally, an anticipated decrease in interest rates would be expected to result in increased refinance originations in 2026.
As we enter 2026, rate softening is occurring in several insurance and reinsurance lines in which our Specialty Insurance business participates, which is primarily attributable to excess capacity after a benign loss year in 2025. In the area of reinsurance, this can impact both premiums written for reinsurance coverage we write as well as the cost of coverage for reinsurance and retrocession coverage we obtain.
See Note 5 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about our business. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results” and “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio Metrics” below for additional discussion on specific key drivers that affect our performance.
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