RADIAN GROUP INC

Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. Our consolidated operating results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025 and 2024, primarily reflect the financial results and performance of our Mortgage Insurance business.

As further described in Note 3 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, in the quarter ended September 30, 2025, Radian Group’s board of directors approved a plan to divest our Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses. As a result, we have reclassified the results related to these businesses to discontinued operations for all periods presented in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and no longer present results within an All Other category. Certain corporate expenses that were previously allocated to these businesses, as well as other general corporate expenses and income (losses) from assets held by Radian Group, were not reclassified to discontinued operations, and therefore have been reallocated to the Mortgage Insurance segment.

All amounts included in this “Results of Operations–-Consolidated” section relate to continuing operations unless otherwise noted.

In addition to the results of our reportable segment, pretax income (loss) from continuing operations is also affected by those factors described in “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Key Factors Affecting Our Results” in our 2024 Form 10-K.

The following table summarizes our consolidated results of operations for the periods indicated.

(1)

See “Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below.

Revenues

Net Premiums Earned. The following tables provide additional information about the components of our net premiums earned for the periods indicated, including the effects of our reinsurance programs.

(1)

Includes the impact of related profit commissions.

(2)

Represents profit commissions under our QSR Program, excluding the impact of Single Premium Policy cancellations.

(3)

Calculated by dividing annualized direct premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations, by average primary IIF.

(4)

Calculated by dividing annualized direct premiums earned, by average primary IIF.

(5)

Calculated by dividing annualized net premiums earned by average primary IIF. The calculation for all periods presented incorporates the impact of profit commission adjustments related to our reinsurance programs.

(6)

The average of beginning and ending balances of primary IIF, for each period presented.

The level of mortgage prepayments affects the revenue ultimately produced by our mortgage insurance business and is influenced by the mix of business we write. See “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage Insurance—IIF and Related Drivers” in our 2024 Form 10-K for more information.

The following table provides information related to the impact of our reinsurance transactions on premiums earned. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance programs.

(1)

Includes the impact of changes in the profit commission retained by the Company due to changes in loss reserves.

(2)

Does not include the benefit from ceding commissions from the reinsurance agreements in our QSR Program, which is primarily included in other operating expenses in our condensed consolidated statements of operations. See Note 8 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Net Investment Income. The following table provides information related to our investments for the periods indicated.

(1)

For each period presented, reflects the average of the beginning and ending amortized cost of our total investments for each month of the quarter.

(2)

Calculated by dividing annualized net investment income by average investments balance.

Net investment income decreased for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, as compared to the same periods in 2024, primarily driven by declines in average investment balances and lower investment yields. The decline in average balances was primarily driven by the redemption of our $450 million senior notes in September 2024. See Note 7 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for comparative detail about the components of our net investment income.

Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments. See Note 7 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for comparative detail about net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments by investment category.

Expenses

Provision for Losses. The following table details the financial impact of the significant components of our provision for losses for the periods indicated.

(1)

Related to defaulted loans with the most recent default notice dated in the period indicated. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior period, but then subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current period, the default would be considered a current period default.

(2)

Related to defaulted loans with a default notice dated in a period earlier than the period indicated, which have been continuously in default since that time.

(3)

Provision for losses as a percentage of net premiums earned.

(4)

Calculated by dividing provision for losses for new defaults, net of reinsurance, by new primary defaults for each period.

The increase in the provision for losses for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, as compared to the same periods in 2024, is primarily driven by a reduction in favorable development on prior period defaults, which impacted our mortgage insurance reserves.

As shown in the table below, current period new primary defaults were relatively flat for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to the same periods in 2024. Our gross Default to Claim Rate assumption for new primary defaults was 7.5% and 8.0% at September 30, 2025 and 2024, respectively, as we continue to closely monitor the trends in Cures and claims paid for our default inventory, while also weighing the risks and uncertainties associated with the current economic environment.

Our provision for losses during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, and the same periods in 2024, was positively impacted by favorable reserve development on prior period defaults, primarily as a result of more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated. These Cures have been due primarily to favorable outcomes resulting from positive trends in home price appreciation, which has also contributed to a higher rate of claims that result in no ultimate loss and that are withdrawn by servicers as a result. These favorable observed trends have resulted in reductions in our Default to Claim Rate and other reserve adjustments for prior year default notices, including our Claim Severity assumptions in 2024.

See Note 11 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements herein for additional information, as well as Notes 1 and 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2024 Form 10-K, and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” herein and in our 2024 Form 10-K.

Our primary default rate as a percentage of total insured loans was 2.4% at both September 30, 2025, and December 31, 2024. The following table shows a rollforward of our primary loans in default.

(1)

Includes submitted claims that resolved without a claim payment.

(2)

Net of any previous Rescissions and Claim Denials that were reinstated during the period. Such reinstated Rescissions and Claim Denials may ultimately result in a paid claim.

The following table shows additional information about our primary loans in default as of the dates indicated.

(1)

Loans in the stage of default in which a foreclosure sale has been scheduled or held.

We develop our Default to Claim Rate estimates based primarily on models that use a variety of loan characteristics to determine the likelihood that a default will reach claim status. Our aggregate weighted average net Default to Claim Rate assumption for our primary loans used in estimating our reserve for losses, which is net of estimated Claim Denials and Rescissions, was 24% and 23% as of September 30, 2025, and December 31, 2024, respectively. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2024 Form 10-K for additional details about our Default to Claim Rate assumptions.

Although expected claims are included in our reserve for losses, the timing of claims paid is subject to fluctuation from quarter to quarter based on the rate that defaults cure and other factors (as described in “Item 1. Business—Mortgage Insurance—Defaults and Claims” in our 2024 Form 10-K) that make the timing of paid claims difficult to predict.

The following table shows net claims paid by product and the average claim paid by product for the periods indicated.

(1)

Net of reinsurance recoveries.

(2)

Includes payments to commute mortgage insurance coverage on certain performing and non-performing loans.

(3)

Calculated excluding the impact of: (i) LAE; (ii) commutations and settlements; and (iii) claims resolved without payment, including claims subsequently withdrawn by the servicer.

(4)

Before reinsurance recoveries.

For additional information about our reserve for losses, see “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Critical Accounting Estimates” in our 2024 Form 10-K.

Other Operating Expenses. Other operating expenses were relatively flat for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, as compared to the same periods in 2024, as favorable impacts from lower non-personnel expenses as a result of expense reduction initiatives and higher ceding commissions from QSR agreements were offset by increases in performance-based variable and share-based incentive compensation expenses.

The following table shows additional information about our other operating expenses for the periods indicated.

Share-based incentive compensation expense increased for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, as compared to the same periods in 2024, primarily due to increases in the projected payouts associated with performance-based RSUs. See Note 17 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2024 Form 10-K for additional information about our share-based compensation programs.

Other general operating expenses decreased in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025 as compared to the same periods in 2024, primarily as a result of continued expense saving actions. Other general operating expenses also included the following expenses: (i) $9 million of acquisition-related expenses for the pending acquisition of Inigo in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, and (ii) $10 million of impairments of internal-use software in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024.

Interest Expense. The decrease in interest expense for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, as compared to the same periods in 2024, is primarily due to a decline in senior notes outstanding due to the redemption in March 2024 of $525 million of senior notes. The nine months ended September 30, 2024, also included a $4 million loss on extinguishment of debt related to the redemption of these senior notes. See Note 12 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional detail about our interest expense.

Income Tax Provision

Our provision for income taxes for interim periods is established based on our estimated annual effective tax rate for a given year and reflects the impact of discrete tax effects in the period in which they occur.

Our effective tax rate for continuing operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, was 23.1% and 22.2%, respectively, as compared to 22.3% and 21.8% for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024, respectively. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025 and 2024, the effects of non-deductible executive compensation expense and state income taxes were the primary drivers of the difference in our effective tax rate compared to the federal statutory rate.

Income (Loss) from Discontinued Operations, Net of Tax

Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax, includes the results of our Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses, which have been reclassified to discontinued operations for all periods presented. The loss from discontinued operations in each of the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, included $7 million of estimated costs related to the expected future sale of these businesses. See Note 3 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Financial Statements for additional details.

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

In addition to traditional GAAP financial measures, we have presented “adjusted pretax operating income (loss),” “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share” and “adjusted net operating return on equity,” which are non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, among our key performance indicators to evaluate our fundamental financial performance. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way our business performance is evaluated by both management and by our board of directors. These measures have been established in order to increase transparency for the purposes of evaluating our operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers. Although adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are non-GAAP financial measures, for the reasons discussed above we believe these measures aid in understanding the underlying performance of our operations.

Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are not measures of overall profitability, and therefore should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income (loss) from continuing operations, diluted net income (loss) per share or return on equity. Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity, as discussed and reconciled below to the most comparable respective GAAP measures, may not be comparable to similarly named measures reported by other companies.

Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (Radian’s chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of our businesses. For detailed information regarding items excluded from adjusted pretax operating income (loss) and the reasons for their treatment, both in our 2024 Form 10-K, see Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Results of Operations—Consolidated—Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.”

Beginning with the first quarter of 2025, when calculating adjusted diluted net operating income per share and adjusted net operating return on equity, the Company no longer adjusts for the difference between the Company’s statutory and effective tax rates to calculate those non-GAAP financial measures using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%. The impact of this incremental adjustment for the difference between the Company’s statutory and effective tax rates has been immaterial in recent periods because the number and magnitude of non-recurring fluctuations in the Company’s effective tax rate have declined in recent years. As such, the Company believes that this incremental adjustment for the difference between the two rates is no longer meaningful to users of our financial statements. We have reflected this change in our calculations of adjusted diluted net operating income per share and adjusted net operating return on equity for all periods presented herein. As it relates to the impact of reconciling income (expense) items included in these non-GAAP financial measures, the Company continues to reflect these items on a gross basis and calculates the income tax provision (benefit) on these items using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%.

Effective in the third quarter of 2025, the results of our Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses are included in income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax, for all periods presented herein. The calculation of adjusted pretax operating income, as detailed below, excludes income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax, for all periods presented herein. As a result, the calculations of adjusted diluted net operating income per share and adjusted net operating return on equity also exclude income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax, for all periods presented herein.

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP pretax income (loss) from continuing operations excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments and (ii) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, if any, such as gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business, acquisition-related income (expenses) and gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt, among others.

The following table provides a reconciliation of pretax income from continuing operations to our non-GAAP financial measure of adjusted pretax operating income.

(1)

For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, primarily relates to acquisition-related expenses. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024, primarily relates to impairment of internal-use software.

Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the Company’s effective tax rate, by the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. As discussed above, for purposes of this non-GAAP financial measure, the income tax provision (benefit) on the reconciling income (expense) items is calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate. The following table provides a reconciliation of diluted net income (loss) from continuing operations per share to our non-GAAP financial measure of adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share.

(1)

Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%.

Adjusted net operating return on equity is calculated by dividing annualized adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the Company’s effective tax rate, by average stockholders’ equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented. As discussed above, for purposes of this non-GAAP financial measure, the income tax provision (benefit) on the reconciling income (expense) items is calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate. The following table provides a reconciliation of return on equity from continuing operations to our non-GAAP financial measure of adjusted net operating return on equity.

(1)

Calculated by dividing annualized net income by average stockholders’ equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented.

(2)

Annualized, as a percentage of average stockholders’ equity.

(3)

Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%.