PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC
For the period ended Mar 31, 2024. Filed Apr 30, 2024.
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Mar 31, 2024 · Filed Apr 30, 2024
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Item 1A. Risk Factors
In addition to the information set forth in this Form 10-Q, you should carefully consider the risk factors discussed in Part I, Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023, along with our other periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which could materially affect our business, financial condition, or future results. The following disclosure further updates the risk factors included in our 2023 Annual Report on Form 10-K and the risk factors included in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended March 31, 2024:
Adverse conditions affecting one or more significant automotive manufacturers or suppliers will affect us. Our success depends on the overall success of the automotive industry generally and in particular, on the success of the brands of vehicles that each of our dealerships sell. In 2023, revenue generated at our BMW/MINI, Audi/Volkswagen/Porsche/Bentley, Toyota/Lexus, and Mercedes-Benz/Sprinter/smart dealerships represented 26%, 22%, 13%, and 9%, respectively, or 70% in aggregate, of our total automotive dealership revenues. In addition, our retail commercial truck operations rely principally on Freightliner and Western Star trucks (both Daimler brands).
Significant adverse geo-political events, weather-related events, supply chain issues, or other events that interrupt vehicle or parts supply to our dealerships would likely have a significant and adverse impact on the industry as a whole, including us, particularly if the events impact any of the manufacturers whose franchises generate a significant percentage of our revenue. In the first quarter of 2024, vehicle shipments of certain brands were delayed as a sub-component was determined to be violative of certain legal requirements relating to its place of origin. In March 2024, a cargo ship crashed into the Francis Scott Key Bridge in the Port of Baltimore resulting in closure of that port, which was the largest U.S. port by volume for deliveries of automotive vehicles and components. In April 2024, a Freightliner truck supplier experienced a fire at its facility. These events affected the timing of new vehicles deliveries to our dealerships and similar events may materially and adversely affect us.
Other events such as a pandemic and the war in Ukraine may impact the supply of vehicles or parts to the markets in which we operate, and our business could be materially adversely affected. The supply chain required to manufacture and supply parts for the vehicles we sell is highly complex and integrated. Any failure of that supply chain could materially and adversely affect us. Our new vehicle days' supply is 40 as of March 31, 2024, compared to 39 as of December 31, 2023. While we expect to continue to have normal levels of used vehicles for sale (our used vehicle days' supply is 36 as of March 31, 2024, compared to 48 as of December 31, 2023), the lower supply of new vehicles has contributed to higher vehicle gross profit on new vehicles sold, which contributed to our higher overall profitability in recent years. While we expect increased new vehicle availability, continued production disruptions and supply shortages could result in suppressed new and used vehicle sales volumes which would impact the availability and affordability of new and used vehicles and may adversely affect us. As the supply of new vehicles has improved, we have experienced, and may continue to experience, reduced new and used vehicle gross profit together with higher sales volumes.
Additional risks relating to PTS. PTS' business has additional risks to those in the retail business, including:
Regulatory Requirements and Vehicle Mandates. Increasing efforts to control emissions of carbon dioxide and certain other gases, referred to as greenhouse gases (“GHGs”), are likely to have an effect on PTS' (and PTG's) business and results of operations. In particular, President Biden and Congressional leaders, as well as California, New Jersey, and other states, have expressed support for policies limiting GHG emissions from vehicles through new regulations that require moving to zero-emission formats and/or the implementation of more stringent emissions controls. For example, original equipment manufacturers may be required to install additional engine components, additional aerodynamic features, or low-rolling resistance tires to comply with fuel economy regulations, which may result in higher costs associated with more complex components and a shorter useful tread life for tires, increasing operating costs for customers, suppliers, and PTS. Additionally, the Advanced Clean Trucks rule, as adopted by the California Air Resources Board ("CARB") and several other states, will require that certain truck manufacturers sell zero-emission trucks as an increasing percentage of their annual sales in these states from 2024 to 2035 (and likely beyond). Furthermore, the Advanced Clean Fleet rule, issued by CARB in April 2023, and which may be adopted in other jurisdictions, will require certain larger fleets, including PTS', to purchase zero-emission trucks to comprise an increasing percentage of their fleets from 2025 to 2042. On December 28, 2023, CARB announced that it would defer enforcement of the rule, which was scheduled to become effective on January 1, 2024, while its request for a waiver from the EPA to authorize the rule is pending.
On March 29, 2024, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency ("EPA") announced its Phase 3 Rule regarding GHG emissions standards for heavy duty vehicles which, along with EPA’s other rules, requires market shifts to zero-emission technologies in certain segments of the heavy-duty vehicle sector and new, more stringent GHG emissions standards for heavy-duty engines and vehicles beginning as soon as model year 2027. The EPA initiated the first phase of the Clean Trucks Plan by issuing a final rule on December 20, 2022, which focuses on reducing emissions that form smog and soot and will apply to heavy-duty engines and vehicles beginning in model year 2027 through 2032. The Phase 3 Rule requires significant reductions in truck emissions through 2032 which may require the development of a significant volume of zero emission vehicles ("ZEV"). The current level of ZEV commercial vehicle sales is below 1%. In addition, foreign, federal, state, provincial, and local lawmakers also are considering a variety of other climate change proposals, including prohibiting the use of certain substances with high “global warming potential.” These and any other future requirements could result in higher prices for vehicles, diesel engines, materials, and fuel, as well as higher maintenance costs and uncertainty as to reliability and range of the new engines. Any of these factors could increase operating costs in the transportation industry, which would directly affect PTS' and PTG's customers and could reduce demand for vehicles. The new technology and legal requirements may also affect the resale values of these vehicles when PTS or PTG attempts to sell them in the future.
Regulatory Issues. We are subject to a wide variety of regulatory activities and oversight, including:
Vehicle requirements. Federal and state governments and regulators in both our domestic and international markets have increasingly placed restrictions and limitations on the vehicles sold in the market in an effort to combat perceived negative environmental effects. For example, in the U.S., automotive manufacturers are subject to federally mandated corporate average fuel economy standards, which will increase substantially through 2026. Moreover, on March 20, 2024, the EPA issued new emissions limits for light-duty and medium-duty model year 2027 through 2023 vehicles which are significantly more restrictive than existing requirements which are designed to incent an increased adoption of electric vehicles. For example, GHG emission in light-duty vehicles are required to decrease 49% for model year 2032 as compared to model year 2026. Moreover, the EPA is requiring electric batteries and related components to have at least an 8-year, 80,000-mile warranty.
Representatives of the U.K. government have proposed a ban on the sale of gasoline engines and gasoline hybrid engines in new cars and new vans that would take effect in 2035 while also providing government incentives on certain electric vehicles to entice consumers to transition from internal combustion vehicles to electric vehicles. The European Parliament recently approved a law requiring most automakers to reduce the emissions of new cars sold by 55% in 2030 and achieve a zero carbon-emission standard by 2035, effectively banning the sale of new gasoline and diesel cars and vans by 2035. Similar legislation in various states across the United States would ban the sale of new vehicles with gasoline-only engines in cars as early as 2035. The California legislation requires 35% of all new vehicles sold to meet a zero emissions standard by 2026 (with certain allowances for hybrid gas/electric vehicles), which percentage requirement increases until 2035, after which 100% of new vehicles sold must comply. Significant increases in fuel economy requirements, the new battery warranty standards, and new restrictions on emissions on vehicles and fuels could adversely affect prices, availability, and demand for the vehicles that we sell, which could materially adversely affect us.
Commercial trucks are subject to similar regulatory risks related to emissions standards and other regulatory requirements discussed above. The EPA has also recently issued revised standards to reduce GHG emissions from heavy-duty vehicles beginning in model year 2027 which is also discussed above. PTG sells new and used heavy- and medium-duty commercial trucks, parts and service, and offers collision repair services. PTS, with its broad product offering including full-service truck leasing, contract maintenance, and truck rental, along with logistics services, is one of the largest purchasers of commercial trucks in North America. Should future regulations or consumer sentiment hinder our or PTS' ability to maintain, acquire, sell, or operate trucks, we may be adversely affected.
The text of this filing, as the company filed it with the SEC, without its images or exhibits. This is not investment advice.