Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc.

Our business, financial condition, results of operations and future growth prospects are subject to various risks, including those described in Item 1A. “Risk Factors” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, filed with the SEC on March 24, 2025, which we encourage you to review. Other than as noted below, there have been no material changes from the risk factors disclosed in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K.

We will need to obtain FDA and other regulatory approvals for any IVDs that we may develop, or for any currently marketed products the FDA determines are IVDs instead of LDTs, in order to market those IVD tests.

If we decide to develop IVDs, we will need to obtain regulatory clearance or approval to market each IVD test. Additionally, while we believe our tests qualify as LDTs, if the FDA determines otherwise, our products will likely need to be withdrawn from the market until receiving pre-market authorization, such as 510(k) clearance or a Premarket Approval, before re-entering the market. This means that:

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The IVDs cannot be sold until the CMS or the FDA, and corresponding foreign regulatory authorities approve or authorize the IVDs for medical use;

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We will have to conduct expensive and time-consuming clinical trials of new diagnostic tests. The full cost of conducting and completing clinical trials necessary to obtain FDA clearance or approval of IVD tests or for gaining reimbursement from health insurance companies, health maintenance organizations, Medicare, and other third-party payers cannot be presently determined but could exceed our financial resources;

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Data obtained from preclinical and clinical studies is susceptible to varying interpretations that could delay, limit or prevent regulatory agency clearances or approvals. Delays or denials of the regulatory clearances or approvals may be encountered as a result of changes in regulatory agency policy, regulations, or laws;

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A diagnostic test that is cleared or approved for marketing may be subject to restrictions on use; and

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The FDA can withdraw approval of an FDA regulated product if problems arise.

Further, the recent presidential election and congressional seat turnover may result in increased regulatory and economic uncertainty, including the spending priorities of the new U.S. presidential administration and Congress and what challenges budget reductions will present for us and our industry generally. For example, on January 20, 2025, President Trump announced an executive order establishing the “Department of Government Efficiency” to reform federal government processes and reduce expenditures. Changes in federal policy by the executive branch and regulatory agencies may occur over time through the new presidential administration’s and/or Congress’s policy and personnel changes, which could lead to changes involving our industry. However, the nature and timing of such potential changes remain highly uncertain. At this time, it is unclear whether and how any future changes or uncertainty surrounding future changes will adversely affect our business, but material adverse effects are possible.

Our ability to commercialize our products is dependent on our ability to increase our tests reimbursed by Medicare, and the loss of, or a significant reduction in, reimbursement from Medicare or the CMS would have a material adverse impact on our business.

Our primary near-term strategic market is organ transplant. We received a positive coverage decision from MolDx for GraftAssureCore (Kidney) in August of 2023, and it became commercially available for ordering in January 2024.

In December 2024, we confirmed Medicare reimbursement for also monitoring certain high-risk patients, that is, those with newly developed donor-specific antibodies. However, we may not be able to maintain or increase our tests reimbursed by Medicare for a variety of reasons, including changes in reimbursement practices, general policy shifts, or reductions in reimbursement amounts. We cannot predict whether Medicare reimbursements will continue at the same payment amount or with the same breadth of coverage in the future, if at all.

For diagnostics tests, Medicare or CMS reimbursement approval is critical. CMS relies on a network of Medicare Administrative Contractors (“MACs”) to make a LCD approving a test for reimbursement. The MolDx Program was developed by Palmetto GBA (the previous MAC for California) to identify and establish coverage and reimbursement for molecular diagnostics tests. The program has developed guidelines for the level of evidence of efficacy required to be obtained through clinical trials. Palmetto, which contracted with CMS to administer the MolDx, issues LCDs that affect coverage, coding, and billing of many molecular tests and the current MAC for California, Noridian Healthcare Solutions, LLC, has adopted the coverage policies from Palmetto. MACs also serve as the primary operational contact between the Medicare Fee-For-Service program, for paying Medicare claims, and approximately 1.5 million health care providers enrolled in the program. Delays in obtaining MAC approval, or any changes made related to any favorable LCDs, could have a material adverse impact on our business.

The MolDx Program was developed by Palmetto GBA (the previous MAC for California) to identify and establish coverage and reimbursement for molecular diagnostics tests. The program has developed guidelines for the level of evidence of efficacy required to be obtained through clinical trials. Palmetto, which contracted with CMS to administer the MolDx, issues LCDs that affect coverage, coding, and billing of many molecular tests and the current MAC for California, Noridian Healthcare Solutions, LLC, has adopted the coverage policies from Palmetto. MACs also serve as the primary operational contact between the Medicare Fee-For-Service program, for paying Medicare claims, and approximately 1.5 million health care providers enrolled in the program. Delays in obtaining MAC approval, or any changes made related to any favorable LCDs, could have a material adverse impact on our business.

On July 17, 2025, several MolDx MACs published a new “MolDX: Molecular Testing for Solid Organ Allograft Rejection” draft LCD (L38671), that, if adopted, would revise the existing foundational LCD, “MolDX: Molecular Testing for Solid Organ Allograft Rejection” (L38568 and L38629). In the draft LCD, surveillance use is explicitly contemplated and MolDx proposes capping the number of surveillance tests for kidney in year-one at four and subsequent years at two per year, and year-one tests for heart and lung would be capped at 12 tests per year. The comment period will run from July 17, 2025 through August 31, 2025 and an open meeting will be held August 25, 2025.

If future reimbursement price levels are less than the current price, our revenues and our ability to achieve profitability could be impaired, and the market price of our common stock could decline. We may also not be able to maintain or increase the portion of our tests reimbursed by Medicare for a variety of other reasons, including changes in reimbursement practices and general policy shifts.

We cannot predict whether Noridian or any future MAC will continue to provide reimbursement for GraftAssureCore (Kidney) at the same payment amount or with the same breadth of coverage in the future, if at all. Additional changes in the MAC processing Medicare claims for GraftAssureCore (Kidney) could impact the coverage or payment amount for our tests and our ability to obtain Medicare coverage for any products we may launch in the future.

Any decision by CMS or its local contractors to reduce or deny coverage for our tests would have a significant adverse effect on our revenue and results of operations and ability to operate and raise capital. Any such decision could also cause affected clinicians treating Medicare-covered patients to reduce or discontinue the use of our tests.