PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INC
For the period ended Mar 31, 2025. Filed Apr 30, 2025.
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Mar 31, 2025 · Filed Apr 30, 2025
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Executive Overview of 2025 and Future Outlook
We are a public utility holding company that, acting through our wholly owned subsidiaries, is a predominantly regulated electric and gas utility and a nuclear generation business. Our business plan focuses on achieving growth by allocating capital primarily toward regulated investments in an effort to continue to improve the sustainability and predictability of our business and realizing the value of the consistent and reliable carbon free generation from our nuclear units. We are focused on investing to meet growing energy demand, modernize our energy infrastructure, improve reliability and resilience, increase EE and deliver clean energy to meet customer expectations and be well aligned with public policy objectives. With these investments and higher working capital recovery approved in the distribution rate case, our regulated rate base increased from approximately $30 billion as of December 31, 2023 to approximately $34 billion as of December 31, 2024. In addition, the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (IRA) established a production tax credit (PTC) for existing nuclear facilities from 2024 through 2032. The PTC is designed to provide downside price protection for our nuclear generation fleet as the tax credit value is directly linked to a nuclear facility’s gross receipts.
For the years 2025-2029, our regulated capital investment program is estimated to be in a range of $21 billion to $24 billion. We expect these capital investments to result in a compound annual growth rate in our regulated rate base in a range of 6% to 7.5% from year-end 2024 to year-end 2029. The regulated capital investments represent the majority of PSEG’s total capital investment program of $22.5 billion to $26 billion. The low end of the range includes an extension of our Gas System Modernization Program (GSMP) and Clean Energy Future (CEF)-EE program at their current average annual investment levels plus inflation, as these programs are expected to continue beyond their currently approved timeframes. The upper end of our capital investment range includes potential incremental investments to address continued demand growth and other investments to meet infrastructure needs and support New Jersey's clean energy goals.
PSE&G
At PSE&G, our focus is on investing capital in T&D infrastructure and clean energy programs to meet growing demand, enhance the reliability and resiliency of our T&D system, meet customer expectations and support public policy objectives.
In October 2024, the BPU approved our CEF-EE II filing authorizing approximately $2.9 billion for energy efficiency projects committed between January 1, 2025 through June 30, 2027, and completed over an expected six-year period. The Order approved a program investment budget of approximately $1.9 billion, net of administrative expenses, and approximately $1 billion to continue our customer on-bill repayment program. This EE filing is a significant increase from our prior filings, driven by an increase in the savings targets required under the BPU Energy Efficiency Framework and higher costs to achieve those targeted savings.
In 2023, the BPU approved a two-year extension of our current GSMP II program to replace at least 400 miles of cast iron and unprotected steel mains and services in our gas system. The GSMP II program extension provides for main replacement through December 2025 plus trailing services replacement and paving costs into 2026 and totals approximately $900 million of investment. Of the $900 million, $750 million is recovered through three periodic rate updates with the balance recovered through a future distribution base rate case. In addition, in January 2025 we re-started discussions regarding the GSMP III program which was initially filed in March 2023. PSE&G intends to begin the new program in 2026.
Pursuant to our GSMP II and Energy Strong II programs, PSE&G filed a distribution base rate case as required by the BPU. In October 2024, the BPU issued an Order approving the settlement of that case with new rates effective October 15, 2024. The Order provides for a $17.8 billion rate base, a 9.6% return on equity for PSE&G’s distribution business and a 55% equity component of its capitalization structure. In addition, the Order approved mechanisms associated with the recovery of future storm costs as well as the recovery of annual pension and OPEB expenses beginning January 1, 2025.
PSEG Power
At PSEG Power, we seek to produce low-cost electricity by efficiently operating our nuclear generation assets, mitigate earnings volatility through the PTC mechanism and hedging, and support public policies that preserve these existing carbon-free base load nuclear generating plants. During the first three months of 2025, our nuclear units generated approximately 8.4 terawatt hours and operated at a capacity factor of 99.9%. Effective April 2025, PSEG Power revised the estimated useful lives for the Salem 1, Salem 2 and Hope Creek nuclear plants due to our expectation that a 20-year license extension will be approved for these facilities. Our hedging strategy continues to incorporate an estimated range of risk reduction impacts from the PTCs on our nuclear generation portfolio while retaining the ability to benefit when market pricing exceeds the phase out threshold. As of March 31, 2025, we expect that our hedged position for 2025 in conjunction with the PTC and market price variability will result in the realized value of our nuclear generation output being at, or above, the PTC phase out. Our strategy will continue to evolve given PTC guidance uncertainty, and potential incremental changes upon final U.S. Treasury guidance. In addition, we are exploring opportunities for the potential sale of power and/or emission credits from our nuclear facilities pursuant to long-term agreements.
Climate Strategy and Sustainability Efforts
For more than a century, our purpose has been to provide safe access to an around-the-clock supply of reliable, affordable energy. Today, our vision is to power a future where people use less energy, and it is cleaner, safer and delivered more reliably than ever. We have established a net zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2030 goal that includes direct GHG emissions
(Scope 1) and indirect GHG emissions from operations (Scope 2) across our business operations, assuming advances in technology, public policy and customer behavior, which goal supports New Jersey's clean energy and climate goals.
PSE&G has undertaken a number of initiatives that support the reduction of GHG emissions, including our implementation of New Jersey's EE program. PSE&G’s approved CEF-EE and EE II, CEF-Energy Cloud and CEF-EV programs and the proposed CEF-ES program are intended to support New Jersey’s Energy Master Plan (EMP) and Gubernatorial Executive Orders through programs designed to help customers use energy more efficiently, reduce GHG emissions, support the expansion of the EV infrastructure in New Jersey, install energy storage capacity to supplement solar generation and enhance grid resiliency, install smart meters and supporting infrastructure to allow for the integration of other clean energy technologies and to more efficiently respond to weather and other outage events.
We continue to assess physical risks of climate change and adapt our capital investment program to improve the reliability and resiliency of our system in an environment of increasing frequency and severity of weather events. PSE&G is committed to the safe and reliable delivery of natural gas to approximately 1.9 million customers throughout New Jersey and we are equally committed to reducing GHG emissions associated with such operations. The GSMP is designed to improve safety and reliability and significantly reduce natural gas leaks in our distribution system, which would reduce the release of methane, a potent GHG, into the air. Through GSMP II, from 2018 through 2024 we reduced reported methane emissions by over 30% system wide.
We also continue to focus on providing cleaner energy for our customers by working to preserve the economic viability of our nuclear units, which provide over 85% of the carbon-free energy in New Jersey. These efforts include reducing market risk by advocating for state and federal policies, such as the PTC established by the IRA, and capacity market reform and related generator interconnection policies at PJM Interconnection, L.L.C. (PJM) that recognize the value of our nuclear fleet’s carbon-free generation and its contribution to grid reliability, and potential long-term contracts that recognize the value of its consistent and reliable carbon-free energy.
Competitively Bid, FERC Regulated Transmission Projects
PSEG continues to evaluate additional investment opportunities in regulated transmission. In December 2023, PJM awarded us an approximately $424 million project to address increasing load and reliability issues in Maryland and northern Virginia as part of its 2022 Window 3 competitive solicitation. PJM has directed that the project be placed in service in 2027.
In April 2024, PSE&G submitted bids to the BPU for what the BPU has termed the Pre-Build Infrastructure (PBI) project, which is a combination of onshore and near-shore underwater infrastructure. It is unclear when the BPU may take action on this initiative, or parallel processes it has considered for transmission projects to support New Jersey’s offshore wind goal.
PSEG will continue to evaluate opportunities to participate in transmission solicitation processes and may decide to submit bids for these opportunities, some of which could be material investments.
PSEG LI
PSEG's current contract as operations service provider for LIPA's electric transmission and distribution system runs through December 31, 2025. At an April 30, 2025 LIPA board meeting, the LIPA board of trustees voted against the recommendation from LIPA management to award the operations services agreement to a different electric service provider. PSEG awaits further information from LIPA regarding next steps in this process, the outcome of which is uncertain.
Financial Results
The results for PSEG, PSE&G and PSEG Power & Other for the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024 are presented as follows:
| Three Months Ended | ||
|---|---|---|
| March 31, | ||
| 2025 · 2024 | ||
| Millions, except per share data | ||
| PSE&G | $546 | $488 |
| PSEG Power & Other (A) | 43 | 44 |
| PSEG Net Income | $589 | $532 |
| PSEG Net Income Per Share (Diluted) | $1.18 | $1.06 |
(A)
Other includes after-tax activities at the parent company, PSEG LI, and Energy Holdings as well as intercompany eliminations.
PSEG Power’s results above include the Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT) Fund activity and the impacts of non-trading commodity mark-to-market (MTM) activity, which consist of the financial impact from positions with future delivery dates.
The variances in our Net Income attributable to changes related to the NDT Fund and MTM are shown in the following table:
| Three Months Ended | ||
|---|---|---|
| March 31, | ||
| 2025 · 2024 | ||
| Millions, after tax | ||
| NDT Fund and Related Activity (A) (B) | $6 | $57 |
| Non-Trading MTM Gains (Losses) (C) | $(135) | $(186) |
(A)
NDT Fund activity includes gains and losses on NDT securities which are recorded in Net Gains (Losses) on Trust Investments. See Item 1. Note 6. Trust Investments for additional information. NDT Fund activity also includes interest and dividend income and other costs related to the NDT Fund recorded in Net Other Income (Deductions), interest accretion expense on PSEG Power’s nuclear Asset Retirement Obligation (ARO) recorded in Operation and Maintenance (O&M) Expense and the depreciation related to the ARO asset recorded in Depreciation and Amortization (D&A) Expense.
(B)
Net of tax expense of $6 million and $38 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.
(C)
Net of tax benefit of $53 million and $72 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.
Our Net Income for the three months ended March 31, 2025 variance versus the comparable period in 2024 was driven primarily by higher earnings due to continued investments in T&D clause programs and settlement of the distribution base rate case in October 2024 at PSE&G combined with changes related to MTM and NDT Fund activity, as discussed above.
Regulatory, Legislative and Other Developments
We closely monitor and engage with stakeholders on significant regulatory and legislative developments.
Transmission Rate Proceedings and Return on Equity (ROE)
Under current FERC rules, PSE&G continues to earn a 50 basis point adder to its base ROE for its membership in PJM as a transmission owner. In April 2021, FERC proposed eliminating this ROE adder for Regional Transmission Owner participation. FERC has not acted on the proposal. If the adder was eliminated, it would reduce PSE&G’s annual Net Income and annual cash inflows by approximately $40 million.
New Jersey Clean Energy Stakeholder Proceedings
In February 2023, the governor of New Jersey issued executive orders (EOs) that establish or accelerate previously established 2050 targets for clean-sourced energy, building decarbonization, and EV adoption goals, with new target dates of 2030 or 2035, as applicable. The EOs direct the BPU and other state agencies to collaborate with stakeholders to develop plans to reach the targets and the BPU has convened a stakeholder proceeding to develop a plan for gas distribution utilities to reach the target of 50% natural gas emissions reductions over 2006 levels by 2030. The BPU commenced proceedings to update the State’s EMP in 2024 that are continuing. We are unable to predict the outcomes of this proceeding, but it could have a material impact on our business, results of operations and cash flows.
Environmental Regulation
We are subject to liability under environmental laws for the costs and penalties of remediating contamination of property now or formerly owned by us and of property contaminated by hazardous substances that we generated. In particular, the historic operations of PSEG companies and the operations of numerous other companies along the Passaic and Hackensack Rivers are alleged by federal and state agencies to have discharged substantial contamination into the Passaic River/Newark Bay Complex in violation of various statutes. In addition, PSEG Power has retained ownership of certain liabilities excluded from the sale of its fossil generation portfolio, primarily related to obligations under New Jersey and Connecticut state laws to investigate and remediate the sites. We are also currently involved in a number of proceedings relating to sites where other hazardous substances may have been discharged and may be subject to additional proceedings in the future, and the costs and penalties of any such remediation efforts could be material.
For further information regarding the matters described above, as well as other matters that may impact our financial condition and results of operations, see Item 1. Note 8. Commitments and Contingent Liabilities.
Nuclear
In April 2021, PSEG Power’s Salem 1, Salem 2 and Hope Creek nuclear plants were awarded zero emission certificates (ZECs) for the three-year eligibility period starting June 2022 at the same approximate $10 per megawatt hour (MWh) received during the prior ZEC period through May 2025. Pursuant to a process established by the BPU, ZECs are purchased from selected nuclear plants and recovered through a non-bypassable distribution charge in the amount of $0.004 per kilowatt-hour used (which is equivalent to approximately $10 per MWh generated in payments to selected nuclear plants (ZEC payment)). As previously noted, in August 2022, the IRA was signed into law expanding incentives promoting carbon-free generation. The enacted legislation established a PTC for electricity generated using existing nuclear energy, which began January 2024 and continues through 2032 and impacted PSEG Power's decision not to apply for the next ZEC three-year eligibility period starting June 2025. The expected PTC rate is up to $15/MWh subject to adjustment based upon a facility’s gross receipts. The PTC rate and the gross receipts threshold are subject to annual inflation adjustments. ZEC revenue recorded is reduced by the estimated PTCs generated from PSEG Power’s Salem 1, Salem 2, and Hope Creek nuclear plants. The PTC amounts recorded to date are subject to change based on several factors, including but not limited to, adjustments to estimated market prices and generation and the issuance of authoritative guidance by Treasury/the Internal Revenue Service, including clarification of the definition of “gross receipts” used to determine the phase out. Any adjustments to amounts previously recorded could be material. We continue to analyze the impact of the IRA on our nuclear units, and will analyze any future guidance from the U.S. Treasury to assess any impact of PTCs on expected ZEC payments and/or any future ZEC application periods.
Demand, Supply and Energy Costs
An increasing demand for power and a lack of sufficient new generation resources in PJM and in New Jersey, has raised resource adequacy concerns and will result in higher electricity costs for our customers this year. Prices from the July 2024 PJM annual capacity market auction, which were approximately 10 times higher than prices from the 2023 auction and which will be reflected in customer bills, have provoked concern from state regulators and legislators and could create regulatory uncertainty. In April 2025, citing the anticipated rate impacts from the PJM capacity auction results, the BPU directed the state’s EDCs, including PSE&G, to file petitions in the near future, providing proposals to mitigate bill impacts to customers. PSE&G is preparing its required filing.
Interest Rate Matters
PSEG’s long-term financing plan is designed to replace maturities and support funding its capital program. Given our financing needs, the prevailing interest rate environment will be a key factor in determining interest expense on variable-rate debt and long-term rates on future financing plans. In order to increase the predictability of interest expense, we may use interest rate hedges to help limit our exposure to fluctuating interest rates. In addition, from time to time, we may enter into interest rate hedges to fix a portion of our interest rate exposure for anticipated long-term financing plans at PSEG and PSEG Power. PSE&G’s interest rate risk is moderated due to annual transmission rate filings and distribution recoveries through base rate filings and clause-based investment programs.
Executive Orders
There have been a number of federal executive orders over the recent months, including but not limited to orders addressing power generation in the energy industry and orders imposing widespread and substantial tariffs on imports. Although certain of these tariffs have been temporarily stayed, the situation is fluid and subject to rapid change. We are continuing to monitor the federal executive orders, certain of which will require the enactment of regulations to implement, and whether tariffs and any resulting retaliatory trade measures taken against the U.S., could disrupt or impact our supply chain, business, cash flow, results of operations and or financial condition.
Tax Legislation
The enactment, amendment or repeal of federal or state tax legislation and/or the clarification of previously enacted tax laws could have a material impact on our effective tax rate and cash tax position.
In April 2023, the U.S. Treasury issued Revenue Procedure 2023-15 that provides a safe harbor method of accounting to determine the annual repair tax deduction for gas T&D property. The impact, if any, that this may have on PSEG and PSE&G’s financial statements has not yet been determined.
The IRA enacted a new 15% corporate alternative minimum tax (CAMT), which is based on adjusted financial statement income, a PTC for existing nuclear generation facilities, discussed above, and allows energy tax credits to be transferable. Many aspects of the IRA, including the CAMT and PTC, remain unclear and are in need of further guidance; therefore, we continue to analyze the impact the IRA will have on PSEG’s and PSE&G’s results of operations, financial condition and cash flows, which could be material.
Future Outlook
Our future success will be influenced by our ability to continue to maintain strong operational and financial performance, address regulatory and legislative developments that impact our business and respond to the issues and challenges described below. In order to do this, we will seek to:
obtain approval of and execute on our utility capital investment program to modernize our infrastructure, improve the reliability and resilience of the service we provide to our customers, and align our sustainability and climate goals with New Jersey’s energy policy,
obtain a fair return for our T&D investments through our transmission formula rate, existing rate incentives, distribution infrastructure and clean energy investment programs and periodic distribution base rate case proceedings,
focus on controlling costs while maintaining safety, reliability and customer satisfaction and complying with applicable standards and requirements,
manage the risks and opportunities in federal and state policies related to energy,
advocate for appropriate regulatory guidance on the PTC to ensure long-term support for New Jersey’s largest carbon-free generation resource, and adapt our hedging program accordingly, and realize the value of our consistent and reliable, carbon-free nuclear output,
engage constructively with our multiple stakeholders, including regulators, government officials, customers, employees, investors, suppliers and the communities in which we do business or are seeking to do business, and
deliver on our human capital management strategy to attract, develop and retain a high-performing diverse workforce.
In addition to the risks described elsewhere in this Form 10-Q for 2025 and beyond, the key issues and challenges we expect our business to confront include:
regulatory and political uncertainty, both with regard to transmission planning and rates policy, the role of distribution utilities and decarbonization impacts, future energy policy, tax regulations, design of energy and capacity markets, and environmental regulation, as well as with respect to the outcome of any legal, regulatory or other proceedings,
performance of the financial markets, including the impact on our pension funding requirements and interest rates on our future financing plans,
continuing to manage costs and maintain affordable customer rates in an inflationary environment, which could impact customer collections and future regulatory proceedings,
the increasing frequency, sophistication and magnitude of cybersecurity attacks against us and our respective vendors and business partners who may have our sensitive information and/or access to our environment, and the increasing frequency and magnitude of physical attacks on electric and gas infrastructure,
future changes in federal and state tax laws or any other associated tax guidance, and
the impact of changes in energy demand, natural gas and electricity prices, PJM’s challenge to ensure resource adequacy to meet demand growth, and expanded efforts to decarbonize several sectors of the economy.
We continually assess a broad range of strategic options to maximize long-term shareholder value and address the interests of our multiple stakeholders. We consider a wide variety of factors when determining how and when to efficiently deploy capital, including the performance and prospects of our businesses; returns and the sustainability and predictability of future earnings streams; the views of investors, regulators, public policy initiatives, rating agencies, customers and employees; our existing indebtedness and restrictions it imposes; and tax considerations, among other things. Strategic options available to us include:
investments in PSE&G, including T&D facilities to enhance reliability, resiliency and modernize the system to meet the growing needs and increasingly higher expectations of customers, and clean energy investments, particularly our EE programs,
continued operation of our nuclear generation facilities that are expected to be supported by the PTC through 2032 and can enable certain investments to increase the capacity of the units as well as potential license extensions, nuclear capacity uprates, transition from an 18-month to 24-month refueling cycle at our Hope Creek facility and energy and/or emission credit sales with potential customers seeking consistent and reliable carbon-free power,
investments in competitive, regulated transmission investments through PJM processes and BPU solicitations that provide revenue predictability and reasonable risk-adjusted returns, and
acquisitions, dispositions, development and other transactions involving our common stock, assets or businesses that could provide value to customers and shareholders.
There can be no assurance, however, that we will successfully develop and execute any of the strategic options noted above, or any additional options we may consider in the future. The execution of any such strategic plan may not have the expected benefits or may have unexpected adverse consequences.
The text of this filing, as the company filed it with the SEC, without its images or exhibits. This is not investment advice.