Worthington Steel Inc

The steel processing industry is fragmented and highly competitive. Given the broad base of products and services offered, specific competitors vary based on the target industry, product type, service type, size of program and geography. Competition is primarily on the basis of price, product quality and the ability to meet delivery requirements. Our processed steel products are priced competitively, primarily based on market factors, including, among other things, market pricing, the cost and availability of raw materials, transportation and shipping costs, and overall economic conditions in the U.S. and abroad.

General Economic and Market Conditions

We sell our products and services to a diverse customer base and a broad range of end markets. The breakdown of net sales by end market for the three months and six months ended November 30, 2024, and November 30, 2023 is illustrated below:

The automotive industry is one of the largest consumers of flat-rolled steel in North America, and thus the largest end market for us and our unconsolidated joint venture, Serviacero Worthington. North American vehicle production, including Ford, General Motors and Stellantis North America (the “Detroit Three Automakers”), is a leading indicator of automotive demand. North American vehicle production was slightly down in the second quarter of fiscal 2025 compared to the second quarter in fiscal 2024, while the Detroit Three Automakers vehicle production was slightly up in the second quarter of fiscal 2025 compared to the second quarter in fiscal 2024.

Our remaining net sales are to other markets such as agricultural, appliance, construction, container, energy, heavy truck, HVAC, industrial electric motor, generator, and transformer. Given the many different products that make up our net sales and the wide variety of end markets we serve, it is very difficult to isolate the key market indicators that drive this portion of our business. However, we believe that the trend in U.S. gross domestic product growth (“U.S. GDP”) is a reasonable macroeconomic indicator for analyzing the demand of our end markets other than the automotive industry. U.S. GDP has shown moderate growth, while the U.S Federal Reserve has recently taken action to lower the benchmark interest rate.

Our shipments to the automotive market were down 2% compared to the prior year quarter. Detroit Three Automakers represented 32.4% and 31.0% of our consolidated and combined net sales during the second quarter of fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2024, respectively. The decrease in automotive volume was primarily due to deeper-than-expected production cuts at one of the Detroit Three Automakers as it attempted to right size its inventory levels, with those production cuts increasing as the second quarter of fiscal 2025 progressed. On a year-over-year basis, for the second quarter, we experienced a volume decrease of more than 30% with that customer, mirroring the customer’s estimated decrease in unit production.

During the first and second quarters of fiscal 2025, inflation growth levels have largely moderated compared to the levels experienced over the past two fiscal years. The U.S. Federal Reserve lowered benchmark interest rates during fiscal 2025 in response to decreasing inflation levels. As a result, borrowing costs have generally decreased, and we have benefited from lower rates on our Credit Facility.

We use the following information to monitor our costs and demand in our major end markets:

(1)

Fiscal 2024 figures are based on revised actuals

(2)

CRU Hot-Rolled Coil (“HRC”) Index: period average

(3)

S&P Global

(4)

LME Zinc; period average

(5)

NYMEX Henry Hub Natural Gas; period average

(6)

Energy Information Administration; period average

The following table summarizes the concentration percentage of consolidated or combined net sales for the periods presented:

While our automotive business is largely driven by the production schedules of the Detroit Three Automakers, our customer base is much broader and includes other domestic manufacturers and many of their suppliers.

Sales for most of our products are generally strongest in our fiscal fourth quarter when our facilities operate at seasonal peaks. Historically, sales have been weaker in our fiscal third quarter, primarily due to reduced seasonal activity in the building and construction industry, as well as customer plant shutdowns due to holidays, particularly in the automotive industry. We do not believe backlog is a significant indicator of our business.

Impact of Raw Material Prices

Our principal raw material is flat-rolled steel, including electrical steel, which we purchase in coils from primary steel producers. The steel industry as a whole has been cyclical, and at times availability and pricing can be volatile due to a number of factors beyond our control. This volatility can significantly affect our steel costs. In an environment of increasing prices for steel and other raw materials, competitive conditions may impact how much of the price increases we can pass on to our customers. To the extent we are able to pass on to our customers future price increases in raw materials, this could positively affect our financial results resulting in inventory holding gains. To the extent we are unable to pass on to our customers future price increases in raw materials, our financial results could be adversely affected. Also, if steel prices decrease, in general, competitive conditions may impact how quickly we must reduce our prices to our customers, and we could be forced to use higher-priced raw materials already in our inventory to complete orders for which the selling prices have decreased, which results in inventory holding losses. Declining steel prices could also require us to write-down the value of our inventories to reflect current market pricing. Further, the number of suppliers has decreased in recent years due to industry consolidation and the financial difficulties of certain suppliers, and consolidation may continue. Accordingly, if delivery from a major steel supplier is disrupted, it may be more difficult to obtain an alternative supply than in the past or the alternative supply may only be available at a premium.

The market price of our products is closely related to the price of HRC. The price of benchmark HRC is primarily affected by the demand for steel and the cost of raw materials. Over fiscal 2024, Steel prices declined in the first, second and fourth quarters more than offset the increase in prices in the third quarter, which resulted in the fiscal 2024 average price being lower as compared to fiscal 2023. Steel prices declined during the first quarter of fiscal 2025, but largely stabilized during the second quarter of fiscal 2025. The price declines over the first and second quarters of fiscal 2025 compared to the end of fiscal 2024 resulted in estimated inventory holding losses of $13.4 million. We expect minimal inventory holding impact in the third quarter of fiscal 2025.

To manage our exposure to market risk, we attempt to negotiate the best prices for steel and to competitively price products and services to reflect the fluctuations in market prices. Derivative financial instruments have been used to manage a portion of our exposure to fluctuations in the cost of steel. These contracts covered periods commensurate with known or expected exposures throughout the periods presented. The derivative financial instruments were executed with highly rated financial institutions.

The following table presents the average quarterly market price per ton of hot-rolled steel during fiscal 2025 (first and second quarter), fiscal 2024, and fiscal 2023:

(1)

CRU Hot-Rolled Index: period average

No matter how efficient, our operations, which use steel as a raw material, create some amount of scrap. The expected price of scrap compared to the price of the steel raw material is factored into pricing. Generally, as the price of steel increases, the price of scrap increases by a similar amount. When increases in scrap prices do not keep pace with the increases in the price of the steel raw material, it can have a negative impact on our margins.

Foreign Exchange Rate Risk

Although the substantial majority of our business activity takes place in the U.S., we derive a portion of our revenues and earnings from operations in foreign countries. Our foreign currency exposure primarily consists of the Canadian dollar, Mexican peso, Chinese yuan, Indian rupee, and Euro through our operations in Canada, Mexico, China, India, and Germany, respectively. We have exposure to exchange rate fluctuations, both due to translation and transaction exposures. Translation exposures arise from measuring income statements of foreign subsidiaries with functional currencies other than the U.S. dollar. Transaction exposures involve impacts from 1) input costs that are denominated in currencies other than the local reporting currency and 2) revaluation of working capital balances denominated in currencies other than the functional currency. We have experienced foreign exchange impacts in the past due to the weakening of certain foreign currencies versus the US dollar, which have negatively impacted net earnings and cash flows. In response to the devaluation of foreign currencies (including those deemed highly inflationary), any lags or inability (due to government restrictions) to implement price increases or the negative impacts of such actions may lead to a decline in our net earnings and cash flows.