Worthington Steel Inc
For the period ended Nov 30, 2023. Filed Jan 16, 2024.
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A company's report for each of its first three quarters. The financial statements are not audited. It shows how the business has moved since the last annual report, and what management says changed.
Nov 30, 2023 · Filed Jan 16, 2024
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Trends and Factors Impacting our Performance
The steel processing industry is fragmented and highly competitive. Given the broad base of products and services offered, specific competitors vary based on the target industry, product type, service type, size of program and geography. Competition is primarily on the basis of price, product quality and the ability to meet delivery requirements. Our processed steel products are priced competitively, primarily based on market factors, including, among other things, market pricing, the cost and availability of raw materials, transportation and shipping costs, and overall economic conditions in the U.S. and abroad.
General Economic and Market Conditions
We sell our products and services to a diverse customer base and a broad range of end markets. The breakdown of net sales by end market for the three months and six months ended November 30, 2023 and November 30, 2022 is illustrated below:
| Three months ended · Six months ended | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30, | November 30, | |||
| 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | |
| Automotive | 52% | 52% | 53% | 48% |
| Construction | 13% | 10% | 12% | 14% |
| Agriculture | 4% | 6% | 4% | 7% |
| Heavy Trucks | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| Machine & Equipment | 8% | 11% | 8% | 10% |
| Other | 19% | 16% | 18% | 16% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
The automotive industry is one of the largest consumers of flat-rolled steel in North America, and thus the largest end market for us and our unconsolidated joint venture, Serviacero Worthington. North American vehicle production, primarily by Ford, General Motors and Stellantis North America (the “Detroit Three automakers”), is a leading indicator of automotive demand. While North American vehicle production was up in the second quarter of fiscal 2024, Detroit Three automakers vehicle production was down primarily due to the UAW strike, which began in mid-September and was not completely settled until early November.
Our remaining net sales are to other markets such as agricultural, appliance, construction, container, energy, heavy-truck, HVAC, and industrial electric motor, generator, and transformer. Given the many different products that make up our net sales and the wide variety of end markets we service, it is very difficult to isolate the key market indicators that drive this portion of our business. However, we believe that the trend in U.S. gross domestic product growth is a reasonable macroeconomic indicator for analyzing the demand of our end markets. A combination of rising interest rates and general economic uncertainty has affected demand in these end markets.
Inflation and government deficits and debt remain at high levels. Although inflationary pressures abated somewhat during the second quarter of fiscal 2024, as compared to the levels experienced throughout fiscal 2022 and fiscal 2023, they continue to negatively impact our business in the form of higher input and conversion costs as well as higher overall SG&A expense. The U.S. Federal Reserve has pushed interest rates to the highest level in more than 15 years in an attempt to slow growth and reduce inflation. High interest rates has had and could continue to have a negative impact on the economy and various end markets that we serve, as well as overall domestic steel demand.
We use the following information to monitor our costs and demand in our major end markets:
| Three Months Ended · Six Months Ended | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30, · November 30, | |||||||||||
| 2023 | 2022 (1) | Inc/ (Dec) | 2023 | 2022 (1) | Inc/ (Dec) | ||||||
| U.S. GDP (% growth year-over-year) | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |||||
| Hot-Rolled Steel ($ per ton) (2) | $747 | $742 | $5 | $813 | $860 | $(47) | |||||
| Detroit Three Auto Build (000's vehicles) (3) | 1,558 | 1,742 | (184) | 3,328 | 3,471 | (143) | |||||
| No. America Auto Build (000's vehicles) (3) | 3,914 | 3,737 | 177 | 7,890 | 7,375 | 515 | |||||
| Zinc ($ per pound) (4) | $1.14 | $1.36 | $(0.22) | $1.11 | $1.46 | $(0.35) | |||||
| Natural Gas ($ per mcf) (5) | $2.96 | $6.77 | $(3.81) | $2.77 | $7.32 | $(4.55) | |||||
| On-Highway Diesel Fuel Prices ($ per gallon) (6) | $4.44 | $5.15 | $(0.71) | $4.23 | $5.29 | $(1.06) | |||||
(1)
2022 figures are based on revised actuals
(2)
CRU Hot-Rolled Index: period average
(3)
IHS Global (S&P)
(4)
LME Zinc; period average
(5)
NYMEX Henry Hub Natural Gas; period average
(6)
Energy Information Administration; period average
Sales to one automotive customer represented 14.9% and 16.6% of our combined net sales during the second quarter of fiscal 2024 and 2023, respectively. While our automotive business is largely driven by the production schedules of the Detroit Three automakers, our customer base is much broader and includes other domestic manufacturers and many of their suppliers.
Sales for most of our products are generally strongest in our fiscal fourth quarter when our facilities operate at seasonal peaks. Historically, sales have been weaker in our fiscal third quarter, primarily due to reduced seasonal activity in the building and construction industry, as well as customer plant shutdowns due to holidays, particularly in the automotive industry. We do not believe backlog is a significant indicator of our business.
Impact of Raw Material Prices
Our principal raw material is flat-rolled steel, including electrical steel, which we purchase in coils from integrated steel mills and mini-mills. The steel industry as a whole has been cyclical, and at times availability and pricing can be volatile due to a number of factors beyond our control. This volatility can significantly affect our steel costs. In an environment of increasing prices for steel and other raw materials, competitive conditions may impact how much of the price increases we can pass on to our customers. To the extent we are unable to pass on to our customers future price increases in raw materials, our financial results could be adversely affected. Also, if steel prices decrease, in general, competitive conditions may impact how quickly we must reduce our prices to our customers, and we could be forced to use higher-priced raw materials to complete orders for which the selling prices have decreased. Declining steel prices could also require us to write-down the value of our inventories to reflect current market pricing. Further, the number of suppliers has decreased in recent years due to industry consolidation and the financial difficulties of certain suppliers, and consolidation may continue. Accordingly, if delivery from a major steel supplier is disrupted, it may be more difficult to obtain an alternative supply than in the past.
The market price of our products is closely related to the price of Hot Rolled Coil (HRC). The price of benchmark HRC is primarily affected by the demand for steel and the cost of raw materials. Steel prices declined throughout most of fiscal 2023 before increasing significantly in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023 on production cuts at major steel mills and the replenishment of inventories in major end markets, then decreased again in the first and second quarters of fiscal 2024. The decline in steel prices in fiscal 2024 resulted in estimated inventory holding losses of $19.3 million during the six months ended November 30, 2023.
To manage our exposure to market risk, we attempt to negotiate the best prices for steel and to competitively price products and services to reflect the fluctuations in market prices. Derivative financial instruments have been used to manage a portion of our exposure to fluctuations in the cost of certain steel. These contracts covered periods commensurate with known or expected exposures throughout the periods presented. The derivative financial instruments were executed with highly rated financial institutions.
The following table presents the average quarterly market price per ton of hot-rolled steel during fiscal 2024 (first and second quarter), fiscal 2023, and fiscal 2022:
| Fiscal Year | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (Dollars per ton) (1) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
| 1st Quarter | $879 | $978 | $1,762 |
| 2nd Quarter | $747 | $742 | $1,888 |
| 3rd Quarter | N/A | $720 | $1,421 |
| 4th Quarter | N/A | $1,116 | $1,280 |
| Annual Avg. | $813 | $889 | $1,588 |
(1)
CRU Hot-Rolled Index, period average
No matter how efficient, our operations, which use steel as a raw material, create some amount of scrap. The expected price of scrap compared to the price of the steel raw material is factored into pricing. Generally, as the price of steel increases, the price of scrap increases by a similar amount. When increases in scrap prices do not keep pace with the increases in the price of the steel raw material, it can have a negative impact on our margins.
The text of this filing, as the company filed it with the SEC, without its images or exhibits. This is not investment advice.