RADIAN GROUP INC

We are a mortgage and real estate company with one reportable business segment—Mortgage Insurance.

Our Mortgage Insurance segment aggregates, manages and distributes U.S. mortgage credit risk for the benefit of mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors, principally through private mortgage insurance on residential first-lien mortgage loans, and also offers other credit risk management solutions, including contract underwriting, to our customers.

Our other immaterial businesses are reported collectively as All Other and include our Mortgage Conduit, Title, Real Estate Services and Real Estate Technology businesses, which provide our existing and new customers with an array of products and services across the residential real estate and mortgage finance industries.

Current Operating Environment

As a mortgage and real estate company, our business results are subject to seasonal fluctuations impacting mortgage and real estate markets as well as macroeconomic conditions and specific events that impact the housing, housing finance and residential real estate markets and the credit performance of our mortgage insurance portfolio. Among others, these factors may include home prices and housing supply, inflationary pressures, interest rate changes, unemployment levels, the volume of mortgage originations and the availability of credit, national and regional economic conditions, legislative and regulatory developments and other events, including macroeconomic stresses and uncertainties resulting from global conflicts and other political and geopolitical events.

Consistent with the trends observed in recent periods, the economic and market conditions impacting our results for the first six months of 2024 remained generally favorable. Interest rates remain elevated, which has benefited our Persistency Rates and net investment income yields, however, this has also contributed to reduced refinance volumes and NIW in our Mortgage Insurance business and lower transaction volumes for certain of our other businesses. Private mortgage insurance industry volumes are impacted by total mortgage origination volumes and the mix between mortgage originations that are for home purchases versus refinancings of existing mortgages. Although it is difficult to project future volumes, recent industry

Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

forecasts project a total mortgage origination market for 2024 of approximately $1.7 trillion, which would represent an increase of approximately 12% compared to 2023, but a reduction compared to projections at the beginning of 2024. This decrease in projections for 2024 primarily relates to the change in expectations for the timing for future interest rate decreases. Future interest rate decreases in 2024 are now expected to be less and to occur later, if at all, which would similarly delay any expected decline in mortgage interest rates, and as a result, reduce the overall size of the mortgage market. In light of updated projections, we now estimate that the private mortgage insurance market will be approximately $300 billion in 2024, which is the lower end of our expectations at the beginning of the year. In “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our 2023 Form 10-K, see “A decrease in the volume of mortgage originations could result in fewer opportunities for us to write new mortgage insurance business and conduct our homegenius businesses” for more information.

While these recent developments in macroeconomic conditions are expected to negatively impact the overall volume of mortgage transactions taking place, the higher interest rate environment is expected to continue to benefit our financial performance through higher Persistency Rates, which is expected to increase our IIF despite lower NIW, as well as through the recognition of higher net investment income. Further, the housing supply continues to be constrained, which we believe will continue to support home values and the high level of home price appreciation currently embedded in our insured portfolio of mortgages. We expect this will continue to benefit our IIF as a result of the increased level of embedded equity borrowers have in their homes, which has positively impacted our default and cure trends. See “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Overview—Current Operating Environment” in our 2023 Form 10-K for additional discussion of the primary factors affecting the current operating environment for our businesses.

Despite risks and uncertainties, we believe that mortgage industry fundamentals remain strong, including as a result of the improvements to the mortgage and real estate ecosystem since the great financial crisis in 2008, such as more stringent underwriting and product standards, higher-quality borrowers with strong credit profiles and strengthened mortgage loan servicing and government support to help borrowers stay in their homes.

Legislative and Regulatory Developments

We are subject to comprehensive regulation by both federal and state regulatory authorities. For a description of significant state and federal regulations and other requirements of the GSEs that are applicable to our businesses, as well as legislative and regulatory developments affecting the housing finance industry, see “Item 1. Business—Regulation” in our 2023 Form 10-K.

Recent Developments

On July 31, 2024, Radian Mortgage Capital closed its inaugural private label prime jumbo securitization transaction. The securitization involved the private offering and issuance of $348.9 million of unregistered mortgage pass-through certificates (the “Certificates”) collateralized by residential mortgage loans. At closing, Radian Mortgage Capital retained an interest in certain of the Certificates, and Radian Mortgage Capital and its affiliates (excluding its mortgage insurance affiliates) may hold an interest in the Certificates from time to time. Subject to market and other conditions, Radian Mortgage Capital expects to continue to distribute loans it acquires through private label securitizations on a regular programmatic basis in the future.

On July 30, 2024, Radian Group notified holders of its outstanding 4.500% Senior Notes due 2024 (the “Notes”) that all of the outstanding Notes would be redeemed on September 27, 2024 (the “Redemption Date”), prior to the October 1, 2024 scheduled maturity date. The redemption price will be 100% of the principal amount of the Notes and will be payable together with accrued and unpaid interest on the Notes up to, but excluding, the Redemption Date.