STRATUS PROPERTIES INC
For the period ended Dec 31, 2024. Filed Mar 28, 2025.
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FY2024 · Filed Mar 28, 2025
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Item 1A. Risk Factors
This report contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the United States (U.S.) federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements are all statements other than statements of historical fact, such as plans, projections or expectations. For additional information, refer to “Cautionary Statement” in MD&A.
We undertake no obligation to update our forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made, notwithstanding any changes in our assumptions, business plans, actual experience, or other changes. We caution readers that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and our actual results may differ materially from those anticipated, expected, projected or assumed in the forward-looking statements. Important factors that can cause our actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements are discussed below. Investors should carefully consider the risks described below in addition to the other information set forth in this annual report on Form 10-K. The risk factors described herein are not all of the risks we may face. Other risks not presently known to us or that we currently believe are immaterial may materially and adversely affect our business if they occur, and the trading price of our securities could decline, and you may lose part or all of your investment. Moreover, new risks emerge from time to time. Further, our business may also be affected by general risks that apply to all companies operating in the U.S., which we have not included below.
Risks Relating to our Business and Industry
We cannot assure you that our current business strategy will be successful.
We cannot assure you that our current business strategy will be successful. For a description of our current business strategy, refer to “Business Strategy” in MD&A. Our long-term success will depend on our ability to profitably execute our development plans over time. Austin, our primary market, has experienced significant growth in demand for residential projects during 2020 and 2021 and peaking in 2022 related in part to COVID-19 pandemic-influenced in-migration. However, more recently, prices and demand for residential real estate in the Austin area have generally declined from that peak. We also have faced challenging market conditions in recent years, including as a result of high inflation and interest rates. Furthermore, our development plans for our undeveloped land and land under development may change over time, including as a result of changes in real estate market conditions, economic conditions, the cost and availability of capital and changes in laws, such as changes resulting from Texas Senate Bill 2038 (the ETJ Law) enacted in 2023, discussed further below.
We may not be able to obtain the capital necessary to implement our business strategy on acceptable terms or at all. Our development plans for future projects require significant additional debt and equity capital. We have increasingly raised equity capital from third parties through joint venture structures, which, as discussed below, have their own risks. Even if we are able to obtain the necessary capital, our business strategy may not produce sufficient revenues, profits and cash flows. In addition, our ability to generate revenue in our leasing operations depends on our ability to successfully develop new projects and our ability to obtain attractive rental and occupancy rates on existing and new projects.
Results of the past sales of our properties are not indicative of results of future sales, and we may determine to hold or refinance our properties or continue to develop them, as applicable, rather than position them for sale. For example, in 2024, we paused exploring the sales of West Killeen Market, Lantana Place – Retail and Kingwood Place, deciding to retain these cash-flowing properties at this time and refinance certain of these properties. The timing of any property sales or refinancings and proceeds from such sales or refinancings are difficult to predict and depend on market conditions and other factors. Due to the nature of our development-focused business, we do not expect to generate sufficient recurring cash flow to cover our general and administrative expenses each period.
Inflation, higher borrowing costs, tightened bank credit, more limited availability of equity capital, increased construction costs, higher labor costs, labor shortages and supply chain constraints have had an adverse impact on us and may continue to do so.
Our industry has been experiencing inflation, higher borrowing costs, tightened bank credit, more limited availability of equity capital, increased construction costs, higher labor costs, labor shortages, and supply chain constraints. Inflation increased rapidly during 2021 through June 2022. Since June 2022, the rate of inflation generally has declined; however, it began increasing in the later part of 2024 and has generally remained higher than the Federal Reserve’s target rate of inflation of two percent. The Federal Reserve raised the federal funds target rate multiple times from March 2022 through July 2023, by 525 basis points on a cumulative basis. Between September 2024 and December 2024, the Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds target rate by 100 basis points on a cumulative basis. Elevated inflation and interest rates have increased our costs, adversely impacted the projected profitability of our new projects, delayed the start of or completion of projects, adversely impacted our ability to raise equity capital on attractive terms and in our desired time frame and adversely impacted our ability to sell some properties at attractive prices in our desired time frame; and elevated inflation and interest rates may continue or worsen. Further, additional changes in U.S. trade policies, including the imposition of or increase in tariffs as have recently been imposed or threatened by the current Presidential administration, and retaliatory responses from other countries, could increase our costs or limit the availability of materials used in our development projects. For example, the administration has announced that it is considering tariffs on lumber imports, which could have a material adverse effect on the availability of lumber and on our construction costs, at least in the short term.
On completed projects, we have experienced increased borrowing costs on our variable rate debt due to higher interest rates and increased operating costs due to inflation. As of December 31, 2024, all of our consolidated debt was variable rate debt. For all such debt, the average interest rate increased for 2024 compared to 2023, but began to stabilize toward the end of 2024. Interest costs remain elevated and may rise in the future if prevailing market interest rates rise again. We typically do not hedge against changes in interest rates, except that we entered into an interest rate cap agreements for our Kingwood Place and Jones Crossing loans refinanced in November 2024 and March 2025, respectively, as required by the lender. Refer to Note 6 for additional information. Future increases in interest rates would further increase our interest costs and the costs of refinancing existing debt or incurring new debt, which would adversely affect our profits and cash flow. Our operating expenses impacted by inflation include contracted services for our properties such as janitorial and engineering services, utilities, repairs and maintenance and insurance. In addition, inflation may continue to cause the value of our properties to rise, which has resulted in higher property taxes and could lead to future increases. Our general and administrative expenses include compensation costs, professional fees and technology services, all of which may continue to increase due to inflation.
Inflation and higher interest rates may also adversely impact a potential buyer’s ability to obtain financing on favorable terms, decreasing demand for the purchase of our properties and lowering their market value. High inflation could have a negative impact on our tenants’ ability to pay rent or absorb rent increases. In addition, rising costs and delays in delivery of materials may increase the risk of default by contractors and subcontractors on ongoing construction projects. Also, as discussed elsewhere in this report, higher costs and project delays have required us to make operating loans and a capital contribution to some of our joint ventures and we expect to make additional operating loans and capital contributions during the next 12 months.
If we are unable to offset rising costs by value engineering or raising rents and sales prices, our profitability and cash flows would be adversely impacted, and we may be required to recognize additional impairment charges in the future. Further, these factors have caused and may continue to cause a decline in demand for our real estate, which could harm our revenues, profits and cash flow.
A decline in general economic conditions, particularly in the Austin, Texas area, could harm our business.
Our business may be adversely affected by periods of economic uncertainty, economic weakness or recession, declining employment levels, declining consumer confidence and spending, declining access to capital, geopolitical instability, or the public’s perception that any of these events or conditions may occur, be present or worsen. Our business is especially sensitive to economic conditions in the Austin, Texas area, where the majority of our properties are located. As discussed elsewhere in this report, our business has been adversely impacted since 2022 through early 2025 by inflation and elevated interest rates and other adverse economic conditions.
These types of adverse economic conditions can result in a general decline in real estate acquisition, disposition, development and leasing activity, a general decline in the value of real estate and in rents and increases in tenant defaults. As a result of a decline in economic conditions, the demand for and value of our real estate may be reduced, our development projects may be further delayed, and we could realize losses, diminished profitability or additional asset impairments.
We are vulnerable to concentration risks because our operations are primarily located in the Austin, Texas area and are focused on pure residential and residential-centric mixed-use real estate.
Our real estate operations are primarily located in the Austin, Texas area. While our real estate operations have expanded to include select markets in Texas outside of the Austin area, the geographic concentration of the majority of our operations and of the properties we may have under development at any given time means that our business is more vulnerable to negative changes in local economic, regulatory, weather and other conditions than the businesses of larger, more geographically diversified companies. The performance of the Austin area’s economy and our other select markets in Texas greatly affects our revenue and the values of our properties. We cannot assure you that these markets will grow or that underlying real estate fundamentals will be favorable in these markets.
As a result of our focus on pure residential and residential-centric mixed-use projects, we may be exposed to greater risks than if our investment focus was based on more diversified types of properties. Weakening in the Austin residential market generally makes it more difficult for us to sell our residential properties at attractive prices or to rent our properties at attractive rents. Weakening in the Austin residential market may also adversely impact the demand for our retail projects, as may any other trends that cause consumers not to shop at retail locations. Refer to “Overview of Financial Results for 2024 – Real Estate Market Conditions” in MD&A for more information.
We may not be able to raise additional capital for future projects on acceptable terms, if at all.
Our industry is capital-intensive and requires significant up-front expenditures to secure land and pursue development and construction. We have relied on proceeds from property sales and debt financing and cash flow from operations as our primary sources of funding. We have also relied on third-party project-level equity financing of our subsidiaries, which we expect to continue to seek in the future. Our ability to raise additional capital in the future will depend on conditions in the equity and debt markets, general economic and real estate conditions and our financial condition, performance and prospects, among other factors, many of which are not within our control. We may not be able to raise additional capital on acceptable terms if at all. Any inability to raise additional capital on acceptable terms when needed for existing or future projects could delay or terminate future projects, hinder our ability to complete projects, and prevent us from refinancing debt obligations, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Part of our business strategy depends on maintaining strong relationships with key tenants and our inability to do so could adversely affect our business.
We have formed strategic relationships with key tenants as part of our overall strategy for particular retail and mixed-use development projects and may enter into other similar arrangements in the future. Our inability to form and retain strategic relationships with key tenants could adversely affect our business. If we are unable to renew a lease we have with a key tenant at one of our properties, or to re-lease the space to another key tenant of similar or better quality, we could experience material adverse consequences with respect to such property, such as a higher vacancy rate, less favorable leasing terms, reduced cash flow and reduced property values. Similarly, if one or more of our key tenants becomes insolvent or enters into bankruptcy proceedings, our business could be materially adversely impacted.
Loss of key personnel could negatively affect our business.
We depend on the experience and knowledge of our executive officers and other key personnel who guide our strategic direction and execute our business strategy, have extensive market knowledge and relationships, and exercise substantial influence over our operations. Among the reasons that these individuals are important to our success is that each has a regional industry reputation that attracts business and investment opportunities and assists us in negotiations with lenders, existing and potential tenants, community stakeholders and industry personnel. The loss of any of our executive officers or other key personnel could negatively affect our business.
We could be impacted by our investments through joint ventures, which involve risks not present in investments in which we are the sole owner.
We have continued our use of third-party equity financing of our subsidiaries’ development projects. We expect to continue to fund development projects through the use of such joint ventures. Joint ventures involve risks not present with our wholly-owned properties, including but not limited to, the possibility the other joint venture partners may possess the ability to take or force action contrary to our interests or withhold consent contrary to our requests, have business goals which are or become inconsistent with ours, or default on their financial obligations to the joint venture, which may require us to fulfill the joint venture’s financial obligations as a legal or practical matter. We and our joint venture partners may each have the right to initiate a buy-sell arrangement, which could cause us to sell our interest, or acquire a joint venture partner’s interest, at a time when we otherwise would not have entered into such a transaction. In addition, a sale or transfer by us to a third party of our interests in the joint venture may be subject to consent rights or rights of first refusal in favor of our partners which would restrict our ability to dispose of our interest in the joint venture. Each joint venture agreement is individually negotiated, and our ability to operate, finance, or dispose of a joint venture project in our sole discretion is limited to varying degrees depending on the terms of the applicable joint venture agreement. Refer to Note 2 for further discussion of our investments in joint ventures.
Adverse weather conditions, public safety issues, geopolitical instability, and other potentially catastrophic events in our Texas markets could adversely affect our business.
Adverse weather conditions, including natural disasters, public safety issues, geopolitical instability, and other potentially catastrophic events in our Texas markets may adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. Adverse weather conditions may be amplified by or increase in frequency due to the effects of climate change. These events may delay development and sale activities, interrupt our leasing operations, reduce demand for our properties, damage roads providing access to our assets or damage our property, resulting in substantial repair or replacement costs to the extent not covered by insurance. Any of these factors could cause shortages and price increases in labor or raw materials, reduce property values, or cause a loss of revenue, each of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Failure to succeed in new markets may limit our growth.
We have acquired in the past, and we could acquire in the future, properties that are outside of the Austin, Texas area, which is our primary market. Our historical experience in existing markets does not ensure that we will be able to operate successfully in new markets. Entering into new markets exposes us to a variety of risks, including difficulty evaluating local market conditions and local economies, developing new business relationships in the area, competing with other companies that already have an established presence in the area, hiring and retaining personnel, evaluating quality tenants in the area, and a lack of familiarity with local governmental and permitting procedures. Furthermore, expansion into new markets may divert management’s time and other resources away from our current primary market. As a result, we may not be successful in expanding into new markets, which could adversely impact our results of operations and limit our growth.
Our insurance coverage on our properties may be inadequate to cover any losses we may incur and our insurance costs may increase.
We maintain insurance on our properties, including business interruption, property, liability, fire and extended coverage. However, there are certain types of losses, generally of a catastrophic nature, such as floods or acts of war or terrorism that may be uninsurable or not economical to insure. Further, insurance companies often increase premiums, require higher deductibles, reduce limits, restrict coverage, and refuse to insure certain types of risks, which may result in increased costs or adversely affect our business. We may be unable to renew our current insurance coverage in adequate amounts or at reasonable premiums. We use our discretion when determining amounts, coverage limits and deductibles for insurance based on retaining an acceptable level of risk at a reasonable cost. This may result in insurance coverage that, in the event of a substantial loss, would not be sufficient to pay the full current market value or current replacement cost of our lost investment. In addition, we may become liable for injuries and accidents at our properties that are underinsured. A significant uninsured loss or increase in insurance costs could materially and adversely affect our business, liquidity, financial condition and results of operations.
Our business may be adversely affected by information technology disruptions and cybersecurity breaches of our systems or the systems of our contractors.
Many of our business processes and records depend on information systems to conduct day-to-day operations and lower costs, and therefore, we are vulnerable to the increasing threat of information system disruptions and cybersecurity incidents. We also utilize the services of a number of independent contractors, such as general construction contractors, engineers, architects, leasing agents, property managers, technology service providers and attorneys, whose businesses are also vulnerable to the increasing threat of cybersecurity incidents and other information system disruptions. These risks include, but are not limited to, installation of malicious software, phishing, ransomware, credential attacks, unauthorized access to data and other cybersecurity incidents, including those that use artificial intelligence and quantum computing, that could lead to disruptions in information systems, unauthorized release of confidential or otherwise protected information, employee theft or misuse of confidential or otherwise protected information and the corruption of data. Increased use of remote work and virtual platforms may increase our risk of cybersecurity incidents. Our information systems and those of our contractors are also vulnerable to damage or interruption from fire, floods, power loss, telecommunications failures, computer viruses, break-ins and similar events. A significant theft, loss, loss of access to, or fraudulent use of employee, tenant or other company data could adversely impact our reputation and could result in a loss of business, as well as remedial and other expenses, fines and litigation. There can be no assurance that our security efforts and measures and those of our independent contractors will be effective.
We have experienced targeted and non-targeted cybersecurity incidents in the past and may experience them in the future. While these cybersecurity incidents did not result in any material loss to us as of March 21, 2025, there can be no assurance that we will not experience any such losses in the future. Further, as cybersecurity threats continue to evolve and become more sophisticated, we may be required to expend significant additional resources to continue to modify or enhance our protective measures or to investigate and remediate any vulnerabilities to cybersecurity threats. Refer to Item 1C. “Cybersecurity” for further information on our cybersecurity governance, risk management and strategy.
Any major public health crisis could adversely affect our business.
The U.S. and other countries have experienced, and may experience in the future, outbreaks of contagious diseases or other health crises that affect public health and public perception of health risk. For example, the COVID-19 pandemic and the public health response to it, had significant disruptive effects on global economic, market and social conditions and on our business. In the event of another public health crisis, we cannot predict the extent to which individuals and businesses may voluntarily restrict their activities, the extent to which governments may reinstitute restrictions, nor the extent to which such potential events may have an adverse impact on the economy or our business. Any future major public health crisis could have a material adverse impact on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Risks Relating to our Indebtedness
We have significant amounts of debt, may incur additional debt, and need significant amounts of cash to service our debt. If we are unable to generate sufficient cash to service our debt, or are unable to refinance our debt as it becomes due, our liquidity, financial condition and results of operations could be materially and adversely affected.
As of December 31, 2024, our outstanding debt totaled $194.9 million and our cash and cash equivalents totaled $20.2 million. As of March 21, 2025, principal payments due on outstanding debt during 2025 are expected to total $48.9 million. We estimate our interest payments during 2025 will total approximately $12.9 million, assuming interest rates in effect on our debt at December 31, 2024, no new debt agreements, and completed or scheduled principal payments as of March 21, 2025 on debt outstanding at December 31, 2024. Except for our Comerica Bank revolving credit facility, all of our loans are project-level loans. Our project loans are generally secured by all or substantially all of the assets of the project, and our Comerica Bank revolving credit facility is secured by substantially all of our assets other than those encumbered by separate project-level financing. Stratus, as the parent company, is typically required to guarantee the payment of the project loans, in some cases until certain development milestones and/or financial conditions are met, in some cases on a full recourse basis and in other cases on a more limited recourse basis. In addition, as described elsewhere in this report, as of December 31, 2024, all of our consolidated debt was variable rate debt, and interest due on such debt rises as interest rates rise. Refer to Note 6 for additional discussion.
Our level of indebtedness could have significant adverse consequences. For example, it could:
Increase our vulnerability to adverse changes in economic and industry conditions;
Require us to dedicate a substantial portion of our cash flow from operations and proceeds from asset sales to pay or provide for our indebtedness, thus reducing the availability of cash flows to fund working capital, development projects, capital expenditures, land acquisitions and other general corporate purposes;
Limit our flexibility to plan for, or react to, changes in our business and the markets in which we operate;
Force us to dispose of one or more of our properties, possibly on unfavorable terms;
Place us at a disadvantage to our competitors that have less debt;
Limit our ability to obtain future financing to fund our working capital, our development activities, capital expenditures, debt service requirements and other financing needs;
Limit our ability to obtain bonds, letters of credit or guarantees to governmental authorities and others to ensure completion of certain projects; and/or
Limit our ability to refinance our indebtedness or cause the refinancing terms to be less favorable than the terms of our original indebtedness.
Our ability to make scheduled debt service payments or to refinance our indebtedness depends on our future operating and financial performance, which is subject to economic, financial, competitive and other factors beyond our control. Our inability to extend, repay or refinance our debt when it becomes due, including upon a default or acceleration event, could allow our lenders to declare all amounts outstanding under the loans due and payable, seek to foreclose on the collateral securing the loans and/or seek to force us into involuntary bankruptcy proceedings. In addition, any difficulty in obtaining sufficient capital for planned development expenditures could also cause project delays, which could increase our costs, or could cause us to abandon projects already underway. There can be no assurance that we will generate cash flow from operations in an amount sufficient to enable us to service our debt, make necessary capital expenditures, or to fund our other liquidity needs.
Our current financing arrangements contain, and our future financing arrangements likely will contain, financial and restrictive covenants, and the failure to comply with such covenants could result in a default that accelerates the required payment of such debt.
The terms of the agreements governing our indebtedness include restrictive covenants, including covenants that require that certain financial ratios be maintained. The debt arrangements that we and our subsidiaries have contain significant limitations that may restrict our ability and the ability of our subsidiaries to, among other things:
borrow additional money or provide guarantees;
pay dividends, repurchase equity or make other distributions to equity holders;
make loans, advances or other investments or create liens on assets;
sell assets, enter into sale-leaseback transactions or enter into transactions with affiliates; or
permit a change of management or control, sell all or substantially all of our assets, or engage in mergers, consolidations or other business combinations. Refer to “Capital Resources and Liquidity” in MD&A and Note 6 for additional discussion of restrictive covenants in our debt agreements.
Failure to comply with any of the restrictive covenants in our loan documents could result in a default that may, if not cured or waived, accelerate the payment under our debt obligations which would likely have a material adverse effect on our liquidity, financial condition and results of operations. We may not be able to obtain waivers or modifications of covenants from our lenders and lenders may require fees or higher interest rates to grant any such requests. Certain of our debt arrangements have cross-default or cross-acceleration provisions, which could have a wider impact on liquidity than might otherwise arise from a default or acceleration of a single debt instrument. We cannot assure you that we could adequately address any such defaults, cross-defaults or acceleration of our debt payment obligations in a sufficient or timely manner, or at all. Our ability to comply with our covenants will depend upon our future economic performance. These covenants may adversely affect our ability to finance our future operations, satisfy our capital needs or engage in other business activities that may be desirable or advantageous to us.
In order to maintain compliance with the covenants in our debt agreements and carry out our business plan, we may need to use cash to pay down the principal balance of the loan, contribute additional equity or make an operating loan to a joint venture or raise additional debt or equity capital, including project-level financing of our subsidiaries. Such additional funding may not be available on acceptable terms, if at all, when needed. If new debt is added to our current debt levels, the risks described above could intensify.
Risks Relating to Real Estate Operations
Our business, results of operations, cash flows and financial condition are greatly affected by the performance of the real estate industry.
The U.S. real estate industry is highly cyclical and is affected by global, national and local economic conditions, general employment and income levels, availability of financing, inflation, interest rates, and consumer confidence and spending. As discussed above, our industry has been adversely impacted since 2022 by elevated inflation and interest rates, and elevated inflation and interest rates may continue in 2025 and beyond. Other factors that may impact real estate businesses include over-building, changes in traffic patterns, changes in demographic trends, changes in tenant and buyer preferences and changes in government requirements, including tax law changes and changes in zoning or land use laws. These factors are outside of our control and may have a material adverse effect on our business, profits and the timing and amounts of our cash flows.
There can be no assurance that the properties in our development portfolio will be completed in accordance with the anticipated timing or cost.
We currently have several projects at various stages of development. The development of the projects in our portfolio is subject to numerous risks, many of which are outside of our control, including:
inability to obtain, or delays in obtaining, entitlements, permits and development approvals;
inability to obtain financing on acceptable terms, or delays in obtaining such financing;
increases in labor costs, labor shortages, increases in the costs of building materials, other cost increases or overruns;
inability to engage reliable contractors or default by any of the contractors that we engage to construct our projects;
site accidents; and
failure to secure tenants or buyers of our properties in the anticipated time frame, on acceptable terms, or at all.
We can provide no assurances that we will complete any of the projects in our development portfolio on the anticipated schedule or within the budget, or that, once completed, these properties will achieve the results that we expect. During 2023 and 2024, and first-quarter 2025, we made operating loans and a capital contribution to certain of our joint ventures. Refer to Note 2 for further discussion. We anticipate making future operating loans to one of our joint ventures totaling up to $1.7 million over the next 12 months. We also anticipate making an additional capital contribution of $125 thousand to one of our joint ventures over the next 12 months. Under our construction loans, advances are typically made in accordance with established budget allocations, and if the lender deems that the undisbursed proceeds of the loan are insufficient to meet the costs of completing the project, the lender may decline to make additional advances until the borrower deposits with the lender sufficient additional funds to cover the deficiency. If the development of our projects is not completed in accordance with our anticipated timing or cost, or the properties fail to achieve the financial results we expect, it could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows and ability to repay our debt, including project-related debt.
Holden Hills Phase 1 involves the development of a large number of residential lots, which exposes us to risks specific to that business.
Holden Hills Phase 1 involves the development of a large number of residential lots. Our ability to successfully monetize our investment in developed lots will depend on the availability and cost of financing for purchasers of the lots, for residential construction and for homebuyers, which may be adversely impacted by rising or sustained high interest and mortgage rates. We must dedicate a significant amount of time and capital to construct project infrastructure and amenities over a long period of time before the project may generate revenue. Any delays in the development of the community and sale of properties exposes us to the risk that the market assumptions on which we based our development plans may deteriorate and adversely affect or eliminate potential cash flow and profits.
Litigation challenging the ETJ Law may make valuation of Holden Hills Phases 1 and 2 more difficult and execution of our development plans more complex and costly.
The ETJ Law became effective September 1, 2023. We have completed the statutory process to remove all of our relevant land subject to development, including primarily Holden Hills Phases 1 and 2, from the extraterritorial jurisdiction (ETJ) of the City of Austin, as permitted under the ETJ Law. We have also made filings with Travis County to grandfather Holden Hills Phases 1 and 2 under most laws in effect in Travis County at the time of the filings. A number of cities in Texas have brought lawsuits challenging the ETJ Law.
If the ETJ Law is upheld, our projects formerly subject to both the jurisdiction of Travis County and the City of Austin, primarily Holden Hills Phases 1 and 2, will no longer be subject to the City of Austin regulations applicable in the ETJ. Accordingly, if the ETJ Law is upheld, we expect that the removal of our properties from the ETJ of the City of Austin will streamline the development permitting process, allow greater flexibility in the design of projects, potentially decrease certain development costs, and potentially permit meaningful increases in development density. We believe that the litigation challenging the ETJ Law makes valuation of Holden Hills Phases 1 and 2 more difficult.
In light of the ETJ Law, our development plans for portions of Holden Hills Phases 1 and 2 are being adjusted. We are proceeding with certain revised development plans for portions of Holden Hills Phases 1 and 2 and are incurring costs in alignment with the revised plans, subject to the risk that the ETJ law will be invalidated. We may not be able to realize any benefits from the ETJ Law in a time frame and a manner consistent with our plans.
Risks associated with our ownership of substantial amounts of undeveloped land or land under development could adversely affect our business and financial results.
We own a substantial amount of undeveloped land and land under development. If demand for undeveloped real estate, or retail, residential or multi-family properties deteriorates, we may not be able to develop or complete development of our land profitably, may not be able to fully recover the costs of some of the land we own, may choose to forfeit deposits on land controlled through options or purchase contracts, and may choose to sell land for prices lower than our costs, which may cause losses or additional impairment charges. Changes in real estate market conditions, economic conditions, the cost and availability of capital and changes in laws, among other things, may cause us to change our development plans for our undeveloped land and land under development.
It may be difficult for us to sell our real estate at times and prices advantageous to us.
Real estate is a relatively illiquid asset and we may not be able to sell our real estate at times and prices we find desirable. The value of our real estate and our ability to sell our real estate at attractive prices may be materially adversely affected by a decline in the value of real estate in our markets. The valuation of our real estate assets or real estate investments is inherently subjective and based on individual characteristics of each asset. Factors such as market supply and demand, availability of attractive financing for potential buyers, changes in laws and regulations, and political and economic conditions, among others, subject our ability to sell our real estate, and our real estate valuations, to uncertainty. Our valuations are made on the basis of assumptions and/or appraisals that may not be accurate, and which may cause us to reevaluate our assets which could result in write-downs. The relatively illiquid nature of real estate assets may limit our ability to make rapid adjustments in the size and content of our portfolio of assets in response to changes in economic or other conditions, may constrain our ability to pay our debts, and may lead to losses or additional impairment charges. Refer to “Critical Accounting Estimates” in MD&A for more information.
Our competitors include local developers who are committed primarily to particular markets and also regional and national developers who acquire and develop properties throughout the U.S. Many of our competitors are larger and financially stronger than we are, have more resources than we do, and have greater economies of scale and lower cost structures. If we fail to compete effectively, our business and profitability will be adversely affected.
Our operations are subject to an intensive regulatory approval process and opposition from environmental and special interest groups, either or both of which could cause delays and increase the costs of our development efforts or preclude such developments entirely.
Real estate projects must generally comply with local land development regulations and may need to comply with state and federal regulations. Before we can develop a property, we must obtain a variety of approvals from local and state governments with respect to such matters as zoning and other land use entitlements and issues, and subdivision, site planning and environmental issues under applicable regulations. Obtaining all of the necessary permits and entitlements to develop a parcel of land is often difficult and costly, and may take several years or more to complete. Furthermore, these laws and regulations are subject to change. In some situations, we may be unable to obtain the necessary permits and/or entitlements to proceed with a real estate development or may be required to alter our plans for the development. In addition, the zoning that ultimately is approved could include density provisions that would limit the number of homes and other structures that could be built within the boundaries of a particular area. Any of these may limit, delay or increase the costs of acquisition of land and development of our properties.
Because government agencies and special interest groups from time to time express concerns about certain of our development plans, and in the future may express similar concerns, our ability to develop these properties and realize future income from our properties could be delayed, reduced, prevented or made more expensive. In addition, any failure to comply with these laws or regulations could result in capital or operating expenditures or significant financial penalties or restrictions on our operations that could adversely affect present and future operations or our ability to sell our properties, and thereby, our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Further, the contractors and/or subcontractors we rely on to perform the construction of our properties are also subject to a significant number of local, state and federal laws and regulations, including laws involving matters that are not within our control. If they fail to comply with all applicable laws, we can suffer reputational damage, and may be exposed to potential liability.
Our operations are subject to environmental regulations, which can change at any time and could increase our costs. Further, changing governmental and societal expectations on environmental, social and governance matters may increase our costs.
Real estate development is subject to state and federal environmental regulations and to possible interruption or termination because of environmental considerations, including but not limited to, air and water quality, and protection of endangered species and their habitats. In addition, in those cases where an endangered or threatened species is involved and agency rulemaking and litigation are ongoing, the outcome of such rulemaking and litigation can be unpredictable, and at any time can result in unplanned or unforeseeable restrictions on or even the prohibition of development in identified environmentally sensitive areas. Certain of our developments include habitats of endangered species. We have obtained the necessary permits from the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service to allow the development of our properties. However, future endangered species listings or habitat designations could impact development of our properties.
Under various federal, state and local laws and regulations relating to the environment, as a current or former owner or operator of real property, we may be liable for costs and damages resulting from the presence or discharge of hazardous or toxic substances, waste or petroleum products at, on, in, under or migrating through such properties, whether generated from our property or other property, including costs to investigate and clean up such contamination and liability for harm to natural resources. The costs of removal or remediation, and the impact on the development potential and development timeline could be substantial. These laws often impose liability whether or not the owner or operator knew of, or was responsible for, the presence of any hazardous or toxic substances. Environmental laws also may impose restrictions on the manner in which a property may be used or businesses may be operated, and these restrictions may require substantial expenditures. Environmental laws provide for sanctions in the event of noncompliance and may be enforced by governmental agencies or, in certain circumstances, by private parties. Certain environmental laws and common law principles could be used to impose liability for release of and exposure to hazardous substances, including asbestos and other airborne contaminants. In addition, third parties may seek recovery from owners or operators of real properties for personal injury or property damage associated with exposure to released hazardous substances. The cost of defending against claims of liability, of compliance with environmental regulatory requirements, of remediating any contaminated property, or of paying personal injury claims could materially adversely affect our business, assets or results of operations.
From time to time, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and similar federal, state or local agencies review land developers’ compliance with environmental laws and may levy fines and penalties for failure to strictly comply with applicable environmental laws or impose additional requirements for future compliance as a result of past failures. Any such actions taken with respect to us may increase our costs and result in project delays. We are making, and will continue to make, expenditures with respect to our real estate development for the protection of the environment. New environmental regulations or changes in existing regulations or their enforcement may be enacted and such new regulations or changes may require significant expenditures by us. Any stricter standards in environmental legislation and regulations could have a material adverse effect on our operating costs.
Environmental, social and governance matters have been a focus of society and governments in recent years, are controversial and opinions and reactions continue to evolve. Responding to these changes may continue to increase our costs of assessing and reporting on such matters. If we are unable or are perceived to be unable to appropriately address such matters, our reputation and our business could be adversely impacted. Further, regulatory and societal responses intended to reduce potential climate change impacts may increase our costs to develop, operate and maintain our properties, including but not limited to, costs of building materials, energy and utility costs and insurance costs.
Risks Relating to Leasing Operations
We may be unable to achieve and sustain satisfactory occupancy and rental rates at our retail and mixed-use projects.
Our leasing operations include the lease of retail space to tenants in a variety of businesses at retail and mixed-use properties that we developed. Retail projects that have not yet stabilized may fail to meet our original expectations for a number of reasons, including changes in market and economic conditions, competition, and construction or leasing delays. Our ability to achieve and sustain acceptable occupancy and rental rates may be adversely affected by oversupply, decrease in demand and declines in market rental rates. We face competition in attracting tenants to choose our retail and mixed-use projects over those of other developers and owners of similar properties. If our competitors offer space at rental rates below our current rates or the market rates, we may lose current or potential tenants to other properties in our markets and we may need to reduce rental rates below our current rates in order to retain tenants upon expiration of their leases. Increased competition for tenants may require us to make improvements to properties beyond those that we would otherwise have planned to make.
Once entered into, our retail leases typically range from five to ten years or longer. We may be unable to renew existing leases as they come due at the same or higher rental rates or at all. Adverse market or economic conditions that negatively impact our tenants’ businesses could adversely impact their ability to meet their obligations under the leases or to renew the leases. The loss or failure to renew a key tenant may make it more difficult to lease or renew leases on the remainder of the affected properties. Our retail tenants face continual competition in attracting customers, often including from online competitors. There has generally been a decline over time in the brick-and-mortar retail industry due to increases in on-line shopping, which generally has had an adverse impact on retail development projects. If we are unable to lease our retail properties, collect rent payments from tenants or release space on comparable or more favorable terms, such failure could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and ability to service our debt obligations.
We may be unable to achieve and sustain satisfactory occupancy and rental rates at our multi-family properties.
Our leasing operations also include the lease of residences in multi-family projects that we developed. Multi-family projects that have not yet stabilized may fail to meet our original expectations for a number of reasons, including changes in market and economic conditions, competition, and construction or leasing delays. Our ability to achieve and sustain acceptable occupancy and rental rates may be adversely affected by oversupply, decrease in demand and declines in market rental rates. We also face competition in attracting tenants to our multi-family projects, including from other multi-family properties as well as from condominiums and single-family homes available for rent or purchase.
Once entered into, our multi-family leases are typically for a term of 12 months. As these leases typically permit the residents to leave at the end of the lease term without penalty, our rental revenues are impacted by declines in market rents more quickly than if our leases were for longer terms. Further, we may be unable to renew existing leases as they come due. Adverse economic conditions that negatively impact our tenants’ employment could adversely impact our tenants’ ability to pay rent and/or cause tenants and potential tenants to prefer housing alternatives with lower rents. In addition, economic developments that favor home ownership over renting, such as low or declining interest rates, favorable or improving mortgage terms or a strong or strengthening job market, could also have an adverse impact on the profitability of our multi-family properties. If we are unable to lease our multi-family properties, collect rent payments from tenants or release space on comparable or more favorable terms, such failure could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and ability to service our debt obligations.
Costs in our leasing operations, many of which are fixed, may continue to increase.
Whether or not the properties in our leasing operations are occupied, we continue to incur expenses such as maintenance costs, insurance costs and property taxes. We have experienced and may continue to experience increases in our operating expenses in our leasing operations, including due to inflation.
Risks Relating to Ownership of Shares of Our Common Stock
Our common stock is thinly traded; therefore, our stock price may fluctuate more than the stock market as a whole and it may be difficult to sell large numbers of our shares at prevailing trading prices.
As a result of the thin trading market for shares of our common stock, our stock price may fluctuate significantly more than the stock market as a whole or the stock prices of similar companies. Without a larger public float, shares of our common stock will be less liquid than the shares of common stock of companies with broader public ownership, and as a result, it may be difficult for investors to sell the number of shares they desire at an acceptable price. Trading of a relatively small volume of shares of our common stock may have a greater effect on the trading price than would be the case if our public float were larger.
Our charter documents and Delaware law contain anti-takeover provisions and our by-laws contain an exclusive forum provision.
Anti-takeover provisions in our charter documents and Delaware law may make an acquisition of us more difficult. These provisions may discourage potential takeover attempts, discourage bids for our common stock at a premium over market price or adversely affect the market price of, and the voting and other rights of the holders of, our common stock. These provisions could also discourage proxy contests and make it more difficult for stockholders to elect directors other than the candidates nominated by the Board. Refer to Exhibit 4.1 for further discussion of anti-takeover provisions and an exclusive forum provision in our charter documents and Delaware law.
We may not pay dividends on our common stock or repurchase shares of our common stock in the future.
Holders of our common stock are entitled to receive dividends only when and if they are declared by our Board. Further, our Comerica Bank debt agreements prohibit us from paying a dividend on our common stock without the bank’s prior written consent. Although we declared special cash dividends on our common stock in March 2017 and September 2022 after receiving written consents from Comerica Bank, we may decide not to or be unable to pay cash dividends in the future. Comerica Bank’s consents to the payment of dividends in March 2017 and September 2022 are not indicative of the bank’s willingness to consent to the payment of future dividends.
Additionally, our Comerica Bank debt agreements contain a restrictive covenant limiting common stock repurchases to $1.0 million in the aggregate during the term of the agreements. Any repurchases of our common stock in excess of $1.0 million would require a waiver from Comerica Bank. During third-quarter 2022 and fourth quarter 2023, we received written consents from Comerica Bank in order to implement our $10.0 million share repurchase program and subsequent $5.0 million share repurchase program, respectively. Comerica Bank’s consents to share repurchase programs in the past are not indicative of the bank’s willingness to consent to any future share repurchase programs. Our $10.0 million program was completed in October 2023 and in November 2023 our Board approved a new $5.0 million program. As of March 21, 2025, $3.0 million remained available for the repurchase of shares under the $5.0 million program. The timing, price and number of shares that may be repurchased under the program will be based on market conditions, applicable securities laws and other factors considered by management and the Capital Committee of the Board. Share repurchases under the program may be made from time to time through solicited or unsolicited transactions in the open market, in privately negotiated transactions or by other means in accordance with securities laws. Our share repurchase program does not obligate us to repurchase any specific amount of shares, does not have an expiration date, and may be suspended, modified or discontinued at any time without prior notice, which may decrease the trading price of our common stock.
Any future declaration of dividends or decision to repurchase our common stock is at the discretion of our Board, subject to restrictions under our Comerica Bank debt agreements, and will depend on our financial results, cash requirements, projected compliance with covenants in our debt agreements, outlook and other factors deemed relevant by our Board.
The text of this filing, as the company filed it with the SEC, without its images or exhibits. This is not investment advice.