Fossil Group, Inc.
For the period ended Jan 3, 2026. Filed Mar 12, 2026.
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FY2026 · Filed Mar 12, 2026
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Item 1A. Risk Factors
In addition to the risks described elsewhere in this report, set forth below is a summary of the material risks related to an investment in our securities. These risks, some of which have occurred and/or are occurring and any of which could occur in the future, are not the only ones we face. Additional risks not presently known to us or that we currently deem immaterial may also have an adverse effect on us. If any of these risks actually occur, our business, results of operations, cash flows and financial condition could be materially and adversely impacted, which might cause the value of our securities to decline.
Strategic Risks
Our success depends upon our ability to anticipate and respond to changing fashion, functionality and product trends.
Our success depends upon our ability to anticipate and respond to changing fashion, functionality and product trends and consumer preferences in a timely manner. The purchasing decisions of consumers are highly subjective and can be influenced by many factors, such as brand image, marketing programs, functionality, and product features and design. Our success depends, in part, on our ability to anticipate, gauge and respond to these changing consumer preferences in a timely manner while preserving the authenticity and the quality of our brands. Although we attempt to stay abreast of emerging lifestyle and fashion trends affecting accessories, any failure by us to identify and respond to such trends could adversely affect consumer acceptance of our existing brand names and product lines, which in turn could result in inventory valuation reserves and adversely affect sales of our products. If we misjudge the market for our products, we may be faced with a significant amount of unsold finished goods inventory, which could adversely affect our results of operations. We have experienced decreasing net sales across certain of our product categories; in particular, net sales of watches have declined, reflecting the decline in the traditional watch market. If we are unable to adjust our product offerings and reverse the decrease in net sales, our results of operations and financial condition could be adversely affected.
Our success depends upon our ability to continue to develop innovative products.
Our success depends upon our ability to continue to develop innovative products in the respective markets in which we compete. The process of developing new products is complex and uncertain, and involves time, substantial costs and risks. Our inability or the inability of our partners, for technological or other reasons, some of which may be beyond our or our partners' control, to enhance, develop, manufacture, distribute and monetize products in a timely manner, or at all, in response to changing consumer preferences could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition or could result in our products not achieving market acceptance or becoming obsolete. If we are unable to successfully introduce new products, or if our competitors introduce new or superior products, customers may purchase increasing amounts of products from our competitors, which could adversely affect our sales and results of operations.
If we are unable to effectively execute our e-commerce business strategy and provide a reliable digital experience for our customers, our reputation and operating results may be harmed.
E-commerce is a significant portion of our net revenues and was particularly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, which drove an acceleration in the shift to online shopping. The success of our e-commerce business depends, in part, on third parties and factors over which we have limited control, including changing consumer preferences, both domestically and abroad, and promotional or other advertising initiatives employed by our wholesale customers or other third parties on their e-commerce sites. Any failure on our part, or on the part of our third-party digital partners, to provide attractive, reliable, secure and user-friendly e-commerce platforms could negatively impact our consumers’ shopping experience, resulting in reduced website traffic, diminished loyalty to our brands and lost sales.
The success of our business also depends on our ability to continue to develop and maintain a reliable digital experience for our customers. We strive to give our customers a seamless omni-channel experience both in stores and online across devices. Potential friction points in the consumer experience could negatively impact our ability to compete with other brands, which could adversely impact our business.
In addition, we must keep up to date with competitive technology trends, including the use of newapplications, enhancements and releases, and digital marketing tools. Failure to innovate and keep abreast of technology and improving the consumer experience could adversely affect digital sales and damage our brand and reputation.
Additionally, the success of our e-commerce business and the satisfaction of our consumers depend on their timely receipt of our products. The efficient flow of our products requires that our distribution facilities have adequate capacity to support the current level of e-commerce operations and any anticipated increased levels that may follow from the growth of our e-commerce business. If we encounter difficulties with our distribution facilities, or if any such facilities were to shut down or be limited in capacity for any reason, including as a result of fire, other natural disaster, labor disruption, cyberattack or pandemic (including as a consequence of public health directives, quarantine policies or social distancing measures resulting from a pandemic), we could face shortages of inventory, and we could experience disruption or delay, or incur significantly higher costs and longer lead times for distributing our products to our consumers which could result in customer dissatisfaction. Any of these issues could have an adverse effect on our business and harm our reputation.
We regularly develop new products and features, and new products introduced by us may not achieve consumer acceptance comparable to that of our existing product lines.
We regularly update our product offerings. As is typical with new products, market acceptance of new designs, features, and products is subject to uncertainty. In addition, we generally make decisions regarding product designs several months in advance of the time when consumer acceptance can be measured. If trends shift away from our products, if we are not able to develop and introduce new compelling products or if we misjudge the market for our product lines, we may be faced with significant amounts of unsold inventory or other conditions which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
The failure of new product designs or new product lines to gain market acceptance could also adversely affect our business and the image of our brands. Achieving market acceptance for new products may also require substantial marketing efforts and expenditures to generate consumer demand. These requirements could strain our management, financial and operational resources. If we do not continue to develop innovative products that provide better design and features than the products of our competitors and that are accepted by consumers, or if our future product lines misjudge consumer demands, we may lose consumer loyalty, which could result in a decline in our sales and market share.
Our ability to grow our sales is dependent upon the implementation of our business strategy, which we may not be able to achieve.
Our ability to grow our sales is dependent on the successful implementation of our business strategy. Beginning in 2026, this includes (i) driving profitable growth, (ii) optimizing our operating model, and (iii) building shareholder value. If we are not successful in the expansion or development of our product offerings, our new products are not profitable or do not generate sales comparable to those of our existing businesses, we are unable to successfully execute our business strategy or our restructuring and savings program does not achieve our desired results, our results of operations could be negatively impacted.
We also operate FOSSIL brand stores and other watch stores globally to further strengthen our brand image. As of January 3, 2026, we operated 199 stores worldwide. The costs associated with leasehold improvements to current stores and the costs associated with opening new stores and closing low performing stores, particularly those stores that have seen a significant reduction in traffic, could materially increase our costs of operation and result in impairment charges.
Rapidly changing, and in some cases diverging, sustainability-related regulatory requirements and political scrutiny of sustainability matters could result in additional costs or risks and adversely impact our reputation.
Many jurisdictions in which we and our suppliers operate have enacted or are considering enacting “sustainability” legislation and regulations. While certain jurisdictions in which we operate have challenged or rolled-back sustainability legislation and regulations, others have become more prescriptive. These developments have resulted in a fragmented and, at times, conflicting compliance environment. Such proposed and/or enacted regulations include new or expanded disclosure requirements regarding sustainability, recycling, emissions and other climate-related information, including disclosure of climate-related risks, and may also require third-party assurance (e.g., through independent auditors) to provide some level of attestation to the accuracy of such disclosures. Our ability to comply with any such new sustainability and/or climate laws and regulations may lead to increased costs and operational complexity and/or we may be required to divert costs and resources away from other business priorities in order to comply with any such requirements. In addition, it may become increasingly difficult to navigate differing political viewpoints around sustainability matters in the U.S., EU and many of the international locations in which we operate. Our failure or inability to comply with these regulations, to navigate heightened scrutiny of these matters in the current political landscape or tomeet the standards included in any sustainability report we publish or disclosures we make could negatively impact investor decisions, our reputation, employee retention and/or the willingness of our customers and suppliers to do business with us, as well as expose us to government enforcement action and/or private litigation.
The risks associated with climate change and other environmental impacts could negatively affect our business and operations.
Our business is susceptible to risks associated with climate change, including through disruption to our supply chain, potentially impacting the production and distribution of our products and availability and cost of raw materials. Increased frequency and intensity of severe weather events due to climate change could increase the risk of a significant disruption to our operations, including at our global offices and warehouses and transportation and manufacturing partners. While we are addressing climate-related issues impacting our business through our enterprise risk management framework, there can be no assurance that we will be successful in achieving our climate-related goals and targets, including reducing our emissions. These goals and targets are based on a number of assumptions and estimates, and their achievement is subject to risks and uncertainties, including the availability and cost of lower-carbon alternatives and other inputs, the actions of our suppliers and partners and evolving (and in some cases, diverging) regulatory requirements across jurisdictions in which we operate. In addition, concern over climate change may result in new or additional legal, legislative and regulatory requirements to reduce or mitigate the effects of climate change on the environment. Failure, or perceived failure, to implement our strategy or achieve our goals could expose us to heightened regulatory scrutiny and/or damage our reputation, causing our investors, consumers or employees to lose confidence in our Company and brands, and negatively impact our operations, including through increased operating costs.
Operational Risks
Our supply chain may be disrupted by changes in U.S. trade policy with China or as a result of a pandemic.
We rely on domestic and foreign suppliers to provide us with merchandise in a timely manner and at favorable prices. Among our foreign suppliers, China is the source of a substantial majority of our imports.
We experienced increased international transit times and increased shipping costs for a majority of our products, in association with and primarily as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Any similar future disruption in the flow of our imported merchandise from China or a material increase in the cost of those goods or transportation without any offsetting price increases may significantly decrease our profits.
The ongoing U.S. tariffs or other actions against China and any responses by China, and a continued failure to implement a lasting agreement to more permanently lower tariff rates, could impair our ability to meet customer demand and could result in lost sales or an increase in our cost of merchandise. These trade policies may have a material adverse impact on our business and results of operations.
The loss of any of our license agreements for globally recognized fashion brand names may result in the loss of significant revenues and may adversely affect our business.
We have entered into multi-year, worldwide exclusive license agreements for the manufacture, distribution and sale of products bearing the brand names of certain globally recognized fashion brands. We sell products under certain licensed brands, including, but not limited to, ARMANI EXCHANGE, DIESEL, EMPORIO ARMANI, MICHAEL KORS, SKECHERS and TORY BURCH. Sales of our licensed products accounted for 47.3% of our consolidated net sales for fiscal year 2025, including MICHAEL KORS product sales, which accounted for 19.2% of our consolidated net sales, and ARMANI product sales, which accounted for 10.1% of our consolidated net sales.
Our main third-party fashion brand license agreements have various expiration dates between the years 2027 and 2029. In addition, many of these license agreements require us to make minimum royalty payments, spend minimum amounts on marketing, subject us to restrictive covenants or require us to comply with certain other obligations and may be terminated by the licensor if these or other conditions are not met or upon certain events. For example, our license agreement with MICHAEL KORS provides the licensor with a right to terminate some or all of the licensing rights if we fail to meet certain net sales thresholds for two consecutive years. If we are unable to achieve the minimum net sales thresholds, minimum marketing spend, restrictive covenants and/or other obligations of a license, we would need to seek a waiver for the non-compliance from the applicable licensor or amend the agreement to modify the thresholds, covenants or obligations or face the possibility that the licensor could terminate the license agreement before its expiration date. Though waivers may be obtained for non-compliance, we, or the licensor, may instead elect to modify or terminate the license agreement.
In addition, we may be unable to renew our existing license agreements beyond the current term or obtain new license agreements to replace any lost license agreements on similar economic terms or at all. The failure by us to maintain or renew one or more of our existing license agreements could result in a significant decrease in our sales and have a material adverse effect on our results of operations.
Our inability to effectively manage our retail store operations could adversely affect our results of operations.
During fiscal 2025, our global comparable retail store sales decreased 23.3%. During fiscal year 2026, we anticipate closing a number of stores globally that have expiring lease terms. The success of our retail business depends, in part, on our ability to close low performing stores and to renew existing leases for better performing stores on terms that meet our financial targets. Our ability to close low performing stores and to renew leases for better performing stores on favorable terms and to operate them on a profitable basis will depend on various factors, including our ability to:
negotiate acceptable lease renewal terms for existing locations, particularly for those existing locations that have experienced reductions in traffic, but that we would like to continue to operate;
hire and train qualified sales associates;
develop new merchandise and manage inventory effectively to meet the needs of new and existing stores on a timely basis; and
maintain favorable relationships with major developers and other landlords.
Our plans to manage our store base may not be successful and the opening of new stores in the future may not result in an increase in our net sales even though they increase our costs. Our inability to effectively manage our retail store base could have a material adverse effect on the amount of net sales we generate and on our financial condition and results of operations.
Certain key components in our products come from limited sources of supply, which exposes us to potential supply shortages that could disrupt the manufacture and sale of our products.
We and our contract manufacturers currently purchase a number of key components used to manufacture our products from limited sources of supply for which alternative sources may not be readily available. Any interruption or delay in the supply of any of these components could significantly harm our ability to meet scheduled product deliveries to our customers and cause us to lose sales. Interruptions or delays in supply may be caused by a number of factors that are outside of our and our contract manufacturers' control. In addition, the purchase of these components on a limited source basis subjects us to risks of price increases and potential quality assurance problems. An increase in the cost of components could make our products less competitive and result in lower gross margins. In the event that we can no longer obtain materials from these limited sources of supply, we might not be able to qualify or identify alternative suppliers in a timely fashion. Any extended interruption in the supply of any of the key components currently obtained from a limited source or delay in transitioning to a replacement supplier could disrupt our operations and significantly harm our business in any given period. If our supply of certain components is disrupted, our lead times are extended or the cost of our components increases, our business, operating results and financial condition could be materially affected.
Seasonality of our business may adversely affect our net sales, operating income and liquidity.
Our quarterly results of operations have fluctuated in the past and will continue to fluctuate as a result of a number of factors, including seasonal cycles, timing of new product introductions, timing of orders by our customers and mix of product sales demand. Our business is seasonal by nature. A significant portion of our net sales and operating income are generated during the third and fourth quarters of our fiscal year, which includes the "back to school" and holiday seasons. The amount of net sales and operating income generated during our fiscal fourth quarter depends upon the anticipated level of retail sales during the holiday season, as well as general economic conditions and other factors beyond our control. In addition, the amount of net sales and operating income generated during our fiscal first quarter depends in part upon the actual level of retail sales during the previous holiday season. The seasonality of our business may adversely affect our net sales, operating income and liquidity during the first and fourth quarters of our fiscal year.
The amount of traffic to our retail stores depends heavily on the success of the shopping malls and retail centers in which our stores are located.
There has been a decrease in traffic in many of the shopping malls and retail centers in which our stores are located, which was accelerated by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and has resulted in a decrease in traffic to our stores. The resulting decrease in customers for our retail stores has had an adverse effect on our results of operations. Additionally, several national department store anchors have closed or will be closing a number of their locations in shopping malls, which is likely to further decrease traffic and put increasing financial strain on the operators of those shopping mall locations. The loss of an anchor or other significant tenant in a shopping mall in which we have a store, continued declines in traffic to shopping malls or the closure of a significant number of shopping malls in which we have stores, may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations.
We have key facilities in the U.S. and overseas, the loss or shut down of any of which could harm our business.
Our administrative, information technology and distribution operations in the U.S. are conducted primarily from two separate facilities located in the Dallas, Texas area. Our operations internationally are conducted from various administrative, distribution and assembly facilities outside of the U.S., particularly in mainland China, Germany, Hong Kong SAR and India. The complete or temporary loss of use of all or part of these facilities could have a material adverse effect on our business.
Our warehouse and distribution facilities in the Dallas, Texas area are operated in a special purpose sub-zone established by the U.S. Department of Commerce Foreign Trade Zone Board. Although the sub-zone allows us certain tax advantages, the sub-zone is highly regulated by the U.S. Customs Service. This level of regulation may cause disruptions or delays in the distribution of our products out of these facilities. Under some circumstances, the U.S. Customs Service has the right to shut down the entire sub-zone and, therefore, our entire warehouse and distribution facilities. During the time that the sub-zone is shut down, we may be unable to adequately meet the supply requests of our customers and our Company-owned retail stores, which could have an adverse effect on our sales, relationships with our customers, and results of operations, especially if the shutdown were to occur during our third or fourth quarter.
Fluctuations in the price, availability and quality of raw materials could cause delays and increase costs.
Fluctuations in the price, availability and quality of the raw materials used in our products could have a material adverse effect on our cost of sales or ability to meet our customers' demand. The price and availability of such raw materials may fluctuate significantly, depending on many factors, including natural resources, increased freight costs, increased labor costs, especially in China, increased component costs and weather conditions. Inflation rates in the U.S. and certain international markets have been elevated in recent years. While we have increased the prices of a number of our products as a result and may implement other price increases in the future, we may not be able to pass on all, or a significant portion of, such higher raw materials prices to our customers or such price increases may not be accepted by our customers, which could impact our margins or result in lost revenues.
We rely on third-party assembly factories and manufacturers; and problems with, or loss of, assembly factories or manufacturing sources could harm our business and results of operations.
The majority of our watch and jewelry products are currently assembled or manufactured to our specifications by independent entities in China. All of our handbags, small leather goods, belts and soft accessories are produced by independent manufacturers. We have no long-term contracts with these independent assembly factories or manufacturers and compete with other companies for production facilities. All transactions between us and our independent assembly factories or manufacturers are conducted on the basis of purchase orders. We face the risk that these independent assembly factories or manufacturers may not produce and deliver our products on a timely basis, or at all. As a result, we cannot be certain that these assembly factories or manufacturers will continue to assemble or manufacture products for us or that we will not experience operational difficulties with our manufacturers, such as reductions in the availability of production capacity, errors in complying with product specifications, insufficient quality control, shortages of raw materials, failures to meet production deadlines, increases in manufacturing costs or pandemic-related delays. Our future success will depend upon our ability to maintain close relationships with our current assembly factories and manufacturers and to develop long-term relationships with other manufacturers that satisfy our requirements for price, quality and production flexibility. Our ability to establish new manufacturing relationships involves numerous uncertainties, including those relating to payment terms, costs of manufacturing, adequacy of manufacturing capacity, quality control and timeliness of delivery. Any failure by us to maintain long-term relationships with our current assembly factories and manufacturers or to develop relationships with other manufacturers could have a material adverse effect on our ability to manufacture and distribute our products.
We do not maintain long-term contracts with our customers and are unable to control their purchasing decisions.
We do not maintain long-term purchasing contracts with our customers and therefore have no contractual leverage over their purchasing decisions. A decision by a major department store or other significant customer to decrease the amount of merchandise purchased from us or to cease carrying our products could have a material adverse effect on our net sales and operating strategy.
We face intense competition in the specialty retail and e-commerce industries and the size and resources of some of our competitors are substantially greater than ours, which may allow them to compete more effectively.
We face intense competition in the specialty retail and e-commerce industry where we compete primarily with specialty retailers, department stores and e-commerce businesses that engage in the retail sale of watches and accessories. We believe that the principal basis upon which we compete is the quality and design of merchandise and the quality of customer service. We also believe that price is an important factor in our customers' decision-making processes. Many of our competitors are, and many of our potential competitors may be, larger and have greater financial, marketing and other resources than we have and therefore may be able to adapt to changes in customer requirements more quickly, devote greater resources to the marketing and sale of their products and generate greater national brand recognition than we can, especially in the developing area of omni-channel retailing. Omni-channel retailing may include retail stores, e-commerce sites, mobile channels and other direct-to-consumer points of contact that enhance the consumer’s ability to interact with a retailer in the research, purchase, returning and serving of products. The intense competition and greater size and resources of some of our competitors could have a material adverse effect on the amount of net sales we generate and on our results of operations.
We face competition from traditional accessory competitors as well as technology companies in the watch category.
There is intense competition in each of the businesses in which we compete. In all of our businesses, we compete with numerous manufacturers, importers and distributors who may have significantly greater financial, distribution, advertising and marketing resources than us. Our competitors include distributors that import watches and accessories from abroad, U.S. companies that have established foreign manufacturing relationships and companies that produce accessories domestically. In addition, we face strong competition in the watch category from technology companies that offer alternatives to our traditional watches, such as Apple, Garmin, Google and Samsung. Many of these technology competitors have significantly greater financial, distribution, advertising and marketing resources than us. Our results of operations and market position may be adversely affected by our competitors and their competitive pressures in the watch and fashion accessory industries.
Any material disruption of our information systems could disrupt our business and reduce our sales.
We are increasingly dependent on information systems to operate our websites, process transactions, store customer information, manage inventory, monitor sales and purchase, sell and ship goods on a timely basis. We utilize SAP ERP in our U.S. operations and throughout most of our European operations to support our human resources, sales and distribution, inventory planning, retail merchandising and operational and financial reporting systems of our business, and Navision in our Asian operations to support many of the same functions on a local country level. We also use tools provided by Salesforce, Inc. in our CRM initiatives. We have implemented a new global point of sale system for our retail stores. We may experience operational problems with our information systems as a result of system failures, viruses, ransomware, cyber attack, computer "hackers" or other causes. These risks may be heightened as a result of our workforce that works remotely. In addition, as artificial intelligence (“AI”) technologies, including generative AI models, develop rapidly, threat actors are using these technologies to create new sophisticated attack methods that are increasingly automated, targeted and coordinated and more difficult to defend against. Any material disruption or slowdown of our systems could cause information, including data related to customer orders, to be lost, unavailable or delayed, which could result in delays in the delivery of merchandise to our stores and customers or lost sales, which could reduce demand for our merchandise and cause our sales to decline. Moreover, the failure to maintain, or a disruption in, financial and management control systems could have a material adverse effect on our ability to respond to trends in our target markets, market our products and meet our customers' requirements.
In addition, we have e-commerce and other websites in the U.S. and internationally. In addition to changing consumer preferences and buying trends relating to Internet usage, we are vulnerable to certain additional risks and uncertainties associated with the Internet, including changes in required technology interfaces, website downtime and other technical failures, security breaches, and consumer privacy concerns. Our failure to successfully respond to these risks and uncertainties could reduce e-commerce sales, increase costs and damage the reputation of our brands.
Factors affecting international commerce and our international operations may seriously harm our financial condition.
During fiscal 2025, we generated 67.4% of our net sales from outside of the U.S. Our international operations are directly related to, and dependent on, the volume of international trade and foreign market conditions. International commerce and our international operations are subject to many risks, some of which are discussed in more detail, including:
recessions in foreign economies;
political instability or uncertainty, including as a result of elections, economic instability, geopolitical events and tensions, wars and military conflicts;
the adoption and expansion of trade restrictions or the occurrence of trade wars;
limitations on repatriation of earnings;
difficulties in protecting our intellectual property or enforcing our intellectual property rights under the laws of other countries;
longer receivables collection periods and greater difficulty in collecting accounts receivable;
difficulties in managing foreign operations;
social, political and economic instability;
restrictions on travel to and from international locations;
political tensions between the U.S. and foreign countries;
compliance with, changes in or adoption of current, new or expanded regulatory requirements;
our ability to finance foreign operations;
tariffs and other trade barriers;
U.S. government licensing requirements for exports; and
the impact of a pandemic.
The occurrence or consequences of any of these risks may restrict our ability to operate in the affected regions and decrease the profitability of our international operations, which may seriously harm our financial condition.
Because we depend on foreign manufacturing, we are vulnerable to changes in economic and social conditions in Asia, particularly in China, and disruptions in international travel and shipping.
Because a substantial portion of our watches and jewelry and certain of our handbags, sunglasses and other products are assembled or manufactured in China, our success will depend to a significant extent upon future economic and social conditions existing in China. If these factories in China are disrupted for any reason, we would need to arrange for the manufacture and shipment of products by alternative sources. While we have initiatives in place to diversify certain of our manufacturing outside of China, because the establishment of new manufacturing relationships involves numerous uncertainties, including those relating to payment terms, costs of manufacturing, adequacy of manufacturing capacity, quality control and timeliness of delivery, we are unable to predict whether such new relationships would be on terms that we regard as satisfactory. Any significant disruption in our relationships with our manufacturing sources located in China would have a material adverse effect on our ability to manufacture and distribute our products. In addition, restrictions on travel to and from this and other regions, such as the travel restrictions that occurred with COVID-19, and any delays or cancellations of customer orders or the manufacture or shipment of our products, including on account of a pandemic or other health crises, could have a material adverse effect on our ability to meet customer deadlines and timely distribute our products in order to match consumer expectations.
Risks associated with foreign government regulations and U.S. trade policy may affect our foreign operations and sourcing.
Our businesses are subject to risks generally associated with doing business abroad, such as foreign governmental regulation in the countries in which our manufacturing sources are located, primarily China. While we have not experienced any material issues with foreign governmental regulations that would impact our arrangements with our foreign manufacturing sources, we believe that this issue is of particular concern with regard to China due to the less mature nature of the Chinese market economy, the historical involvement of the Chinese government in the industry and recent trade tensions between China and the United States. If regulations or other factors were to render the conduct of business in a particular country undesirable or impracticable, or if our current foreign manufacturing sources were for any other reason to cease doing business with us, such a development could have a material adverse effect on our product sales and on our supply, manufacturing and distribution channels.
Our business is also subject to risks associated with U.S. and foreign legislation and regulations relating to imports, including quotas, duties, tariffs or taxes, and other charges or restrictions on imports, which could adversely affect our operations and our ability to import products at current or increased levels. Substantially all of our import operations are subject to customs duties imposed by the governments where our production facilities are located on imported products, including raw materials. We cannot predict whether additional U.S. and foreign customs quotas, duties (including antidumping or countervailing duties), tariffs, taxes or other charges or restrictions, requirements as to whether raw materials must be purchased, additional workplace regulations or other restrictions on our imports will be imposed upon the importation of our products in the future or adversely modified, or what effect such actions would have on our costs of operations. For example, our products imported for distribution in the United States are subject to U.S. customs duties, and in the ordinary course of our business, we may from time to time be subject to claims by U.S. Customs and Border Protection for duties and other charges. Factors that may influence the modification or imposition of these restrictions may include determinations by the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative that a country has denied adequate intellectual property rights or fair and equitable market access to U.S. firms, trade disputes between the United States and another country that leads to withdrawal of “most favored nation” status for that country and economic and political changes within a country that are viewed unfavorably by the U.S. government, resulting in trade policy changes towards that country. Future quotas, duties, or tariffs may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. Future trade agreements could also provide our competitors with an advantage over us, or increase our costs, either of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
The loss of key senior management personnel or our failure to attract and retain qualified personnel could negatively affect our business.
We depend on our senior management and other key personnel. We do not have "key person" life insurance policies for any of our personnel. Competition for qualified personnel in the fashion industry is intense. Our ability to attract and retain employees is influenced by our ability to offer competitive compensation and benefits, employee morale, our reputation, our financial performance, recruitment by other employers, perceived internal opportunities and macro unemployment rates. We appointed a new Chief Executive Officer in September 2024 and added a number of new members on our executive team in 2025. The loss of any of our executive officers or other key employees could harm our business.
We must also attract, develop, motivate and retain a sufficient number of qualified retail and distribution center personnel. Historically, competition for talent has been intense and the turnover rate in the retail industry is generally high. There can be no assurance that we will be able to attract or retain a sufficient number of qualified employees in future periods to execute on our business objectives. Additionally, our ability to meet our labor needs while also controlling costs is subject to external factors such as unemployment levels, prevailing wage rates, minimum wage legislation and overtime regulations. If we are unable to attract, develop, motivate and retain talented employees with the necessary skills and experience, or if changes to our organizational structure, operating results, or business model adversely affect morale, hiring and/or retention, we may not achieve our objectives and our results of operations could be adversely impacted.
Risks Related to our Indebtedness
We are highly leveraged. Our substantial indebtedness and the corresponding cash debt service obligations could adversely affect our competitiveness, our liquidity, our operations, and our ability to obtain additional financing.
As of January 3, 2026, we had $205.1 million of outstanding indebtedness, not including $18.5 million of debt issuance costs and $8.8 million of original issuance discount.
On November 8, 2021, we sold $150 million aggregate principal amount of our 7.00% Senior Notes due 2026 (the “Prior Notes”). On August 13, 2025, we entered into a Transaction Support Agreement (the “Transaction Support Agreement”) with certain holders of the Prior Notes (the “Consenting Noteholders”) representing ownership of approximately 59% of the aggregate principal of the Prior Notes.
On August 13, 2025, we entered into a Credit Agreement (as amended from time to time, the “Credit Agreement”), with the lenders from time to time party thereto (the “Lenders”), ACF FINCO I LP, as administrative agent on behalf of the Lenders, and the other loan parties from time to time party thereto. Pursuant to the Credit Agreement, the Lenders have provided financing commitments to the Company under a senior secured asset-based revolving credit facility (the “New Revolving Credit Facility”) in an aggregate principal amount of $150 million.
On November 13, 2025, we consummated an offer to exchange (the “Exchange Offer”) with respect to the Prior Notes and our concurrent rights offering (the “Rights Offering”) pursuant to a restructuring plan under Part 26A of the UK Companies Act 2006 (as amended) (the “Restructuring Plan” and together with the Exchange Offer and the Rights Offering, collectively, the “Transactions”). In connection with the consummation of the Transactions:
Noteholders that participated in the Rights Offering and Exchange Offer (the “New Money Participants”) (i) provided an aggregate of $32.5 million of incremental, new money financing in exchange for (x) $32.5 million aggregate principal amount of 9.50% First-Out First Lien Secured Senior Notes due 2029 (the “First-Out Notes”) and (y) 954,070 shares of common stock, par value $0.01 (“Common Stock”), (ii) exchanged $120.2 million aggregate principal amount of Prior Notes on a dollar-for-dollar basis for $120.2 million aggregate principal amount of First-Out Notes, and (iii) received $0.9 million aggregate principal amount of First-Out Notes as a consent premium pursuant to the terms of the Transactions (the “Consent Premium”).
Noteholders that did not participate in the Rights Offering (the “Non-New Money Participants”) (i) received $29.8 million aggregate principal amount of 7.50% Second-Out Second Lien Secured Senior Notes due 2029 (the “Second-Out Notes”; the Second-Out Notes, together with the First-Out Notes, collectively, the “Notes”) on a dollar-for-dollar basis for $29.8 million aggregate principal amount of Prior Notes held by such Non-New Money Participants, and (ii) received $53,858 aggregate principal amount of Second-Out Notes as a Consent Premium. Only Non-New Money Participants that tendered their Notes in the Exchange Offer and consented to the Restructuring Plan received the Consent Premium.
All $150 million aggregate principal amount of Prior Notes outstanding were cancelled.
We paid $16.1 million of interest during fiscal 2025.
Our high level of indebtedness and corresponding high cash debt service obligations could have important consequences, including the following:
we may not be able to incur additional debt;
we may not be able to sell equity;
we may not be able to sell assets;
we are more highly leveraged than some of our competitors, which may limit our flexibility in planning for, or reacting to, changes in our business and future business opportunities;
they may make us more vulnerable to a downturn in our business or general adverse economic, regulatory and industry conditions, including rising tariffs;
they may increase our cost of borrowing;
they may limit our ability to reinvest in our business;
they may limit our ability to refinance our indebtedness;
there would be a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition if we were unable to service our indebtedness or obtain additional financing as needed;
they may make it more difficult for us to satisfy our obligations with respect to our indebtedness, and any failure to comply with the obligations under any of our debt instruments, including restrictive covenants, could result in an event of default under the agreements governing such indebtedness;
they may require us to dedicate a substantial portion of our cash flow from operations to payments on our indebtedness, thereby reducing funds available for working capital, capital expenditures, acquisitions, business development and other purposes; and
they may compromise our ability to capitalize on business opportunities and to react to competitive pressures, as compared to our competitors.
Our ability to meet our debt service obligations is dependent upon our ability to maintain and improve our operating performance, which is subject to general economic and competitive conditions and to financial, legislative, regulatory, business and other factors, many of which are beyond our control.
If we are unable to meet our debt service obligations, we could be forced to sell assets, restructure or refinance our debt or raise additional capital through sales of equity or debt. We may be unable to take any of these actions on satisfactory terms or in a timely manner or at all, due to many factors, including our high level of indebtedness. Any of these actions may not be sufficient to allow us to service our debt obligations or may have an adverse impact on our business. Our existing debt agreements limit our ability to take certain of these actions.
Our debt agreements subject us to certain covenants and other provisions that may restrict our ability to operate our business and to pursue our business strategies.
The indentures governing the Notes (the “Notes Indentures”) and the Credit Agreement governing the New Revolving Credit Facility subject us to certain covenants, which may restrict our ability to operate our business and to pursue our business strategies. These covenants restrict our ability to, among other things:
make certain investments;
incur certain liens;
enter into transactions with affiliates;
merge or consolidate;
enter into agreements that restrict the ability of restricted subsidiaries to make dividends or other payments to the Company or other subsidiaries;
pay, purchase, repurchase, redeem, defease, acquire, retire, cancel or terminate certain indebtedness; and
transfer or sell assets.
These restrictions on our ability to operate our business could seriously harm our business and our ability to grow in accordance with our growth strategy.
limited in how we conduct our business;
limited in our ability to take advantage of mergers and acquisitions and other corporate opportunities;
unable to raise additional debt or equity financing;
unable to refinance our debt;
unable to sell underperforming assets; and
The Credit Agreement also requires that Availability (as defined in the New Revolving Credit Facility) may at no time be less than the greater of 10% of the Line Cap (as defined in the New Revolving Credit Facility) and $12.5 million. In order to maintain compliance with this financial covenant, we may be limited in how we conduct our business, and may not be able to compete effectively.
In addition, a material portion of our assets, including our accounts receivable, inventory and intellectual property, are pledged to secure our obligations under our debt agreements. These assets cannot be used as collateral for any other financings unless we amend, refinance or terminate our existing debt agreements. As a result, it may be difficult for us to raise additional debt financing.
Our failure to comply with the covenants and other provisions contained in our debt agreements, including as a result of events beyond our control, could result in events of default under our debt agreements, which could lead to bankruptcy or liquidation.
If we fail to comply with a covenant or other provision in one of our debt agreements, an event of default may occur under that agreement, and may result in a cross-default under our other debt agreements. We may not be able to maintain Availability (as defined in the New Revolving Credit Facility) at the level required under the Credit Agreement. In addition, the occurrence of certain specified change of control events would cause events of default under the Credit Agreement and the Notes
In some cases, events beyond our control may cause an event of default to occur.
If an event of default occurs and is not cured, we could be forced to seek a waiver from our lenders or noteholders, as applicable, or to attempt to negotiate an amendment to the applicable debt agreement. Our lenders might not be willing to provide a waiver or amendment, or might require fees or modifications to the terms of our debt agreements that might have an adverse impact on us. In lieu of seeking a waiver or amendment, or if we are unable to obtain a waiver or amendment on terms acceptable to us, we might attempt to refinance our indebtedness. There is no assurance that we would be able to refinance our indebtedness on commercially reasonable terms, or at all.
If an event of default is continuing and we are not able to successfully obtain a waiver or amendment or refinance our indebtedness, our lenders or noteholders could accelerate the maturity of our indebtedness. In such event, we may not be able to repay or refinance our indebtedness.
A material portion of our assets are pledged to secure our obligations under our debt agreements. If an event of default is continuing under any of our debt agreements, the lenders or noteholders under that debt agreement could seek to enforce their liens against our assets. In such event, we could be forced to file bankruptcy or enter other insolvency proceedings to attempt to prevent the foreclosure. There is no assurance that insolvency proceedings would prevent a foreclosure. In addition, we operate in multiple jurisdictions outside of the United States, and in some jurisdictions, insolvency proceedings are not similar to proceedings under the U.S. Bankruptcy Code. If an event of default occurs and is continuing, we may be forced to cease operations, and our assets could be liquidated to pay our lenders and other creditors.
In addition, an event of default under the Credit Agreement would permit the lenders to terminate all commitments to extend further credit under the Credit Agreement, even if the lenders have not exercised other remedies against us. The termination of the commitments under the Credit Agreement could result in a disruption to our business, and could leave us with insufficient liquidity to meet our obligations, including working capital, debt service and capital expenditures.
Despite our current indebtedness levels, we may still be able to incur substantially more debt, which could further exacerbate the risks associated with our substantial leverage.
Despite our current indebtedness levels, we may still be able to incur substantial additional indebtedness in the future. Although the Credit Agreement and the Notes Indentures contain restrictions on the incurrence of additional indebtedness, these restrictions are subject to a number of qualifications and exceptions, and the indebtedness that may be incurred in compliance with these restrictions could be substantial. If we incur additional debt above the levels that are currently in effect, the risks associated with our leverage, including those described above, would increase. In addition, as of January 3, 2026 we had $66.9 million of availability to incur additional indebtedness under the New Revolving Credit Facility. Further, the restrictions in the Notes Indentures and the Credit Agreement will not prevent us from incurring obligations, such as trade payables, that do not constitute indebtedness as defined in such debt instruments.
The maximum amount that we are permitted to borrow under the New Revolving Credit Facility is limited, is subject to seasonal fluctuations, and is subject to the discretion of the lenders, which may adversely affect our liquidity, results of operations and financial position.
The New Revolving Credit Facility provides that the lenders thereunder may extend revolving loans in an aggregate principal amount not to exceed $150 million at any time outstanding, subject to the borrowing base availability limitations. As of January 3, 2026, we had $16.0 million outstanding under the New Revolving Credit Facility and available borrowing capacity of $66.9 million.
The maximum amount that we are permitted to borrow at any time under the New Revolving Credit Facility is limited by a borrowing base that is recalculated monthly or, in some circumstances, more frequently. The borrowing base is a function of, among other things, our eligible accounts receivable, inventory and certain intellectual property. As a result, our access to credit under the New Revolving Credit Facility fluctuates depending on the value of the borrowing base eligible assets as of any measurement date. Because our business is seasonal and generates higher net sales and accounts receivable in the third and fourth quarters, our borrowing base is also seasonal and is typically lower during our second and third quarters, which can adversely affect our liquidity during these quarters.
The New Revolving Credit Facility provides the administrative agent with considerable discretion to impose reserves and to determine that certain assets are not eligible for inclusion in our borrowing base, which could materially reduce the maximum amount that we are able to borrow at any one time under the New Revolving Credit Facility. There can be no assurance that the administrative agent will not impose additional reserves or exclude other assets from our borrowing base. If they do so, such actions could materially reduce our availability under the New Revolving Credit Facility, which could materially and adversely impact our liquidity and our ability to operate our business.
We may not be able to generate sufficient cash flows to meet our debt service obligations and may be forced to take other actions to satisfy our obligations under our indebtedness, which may not be successful.
Our ability to meet our debt service obligations, is dependent upon our ability to maintain and improve our operating performance, which is subject to general economic and competitive conditions and to financial, business and other factors, many of which are beyond our control. Although we believe we have sufficient sources of liquidity to meet our anticipated requirements for debt service through the next twelve months, if our operating results do not meet our expectations or if we experience adverse financial, business and other factors that we do not currently anticipate, we could fail to meet our debt service requirements.
If we are unable to meet our debt service requirements, we could be forced to sell assets, restructure or refinance our debt or raise additional capital through sales of equity or debt. We may be unable to take any of these actions on satisfactory terms or in a timely manner or at all, due to many factors, including our high level of indebtedness. Any of these actions may not be sufficient to allow us to service our debt obligations. Our existing debt agreements limit our ability to take certain of these actions, and in some cases impose limitations on the use of proceeds that we might receive from such actions. Our failure to generate sufficient operating cash flow to pay our debt service obligations could cause events of defaults under our debt agreements, which could lead to the termination of the commitments under the New Revolving Credit Facility, the acceleration of the indebtedness under our debt agreements, and the institution by our lenders and noteholders of foreclosure or other enforcement proceedings against their collateral. If that were to occur, we could be forced into bankruptcy, liquidation or other insolvency proceedings.
We may be required to repay the New Revolving Credit Facility prior to its stated maturity date if the springing maturity feature is triggered or to establish reserves if certain material indebtedness is outstanding.
The New Revolving Credit Facility has a stated maturity date of August 13, 2030, but includes a springing maturity feature (the “Springing Maturity Feature”) that will cause the stated maturity date to spring ahead to the date that is 91 days prior to the maturity date of material indebtedness (defined as $15.0 million or more of indebtedness) if such material indebtedness remains outstanding on such 91st day.
The maturity date of the First-Out Notes is January 1, 2029. If more than $15.0 million of First-Out Notes and other indebtedness (other than under the Credit Agreement) is outstanding on October 2, 2028, the maturity date of the New Revolving Credit Facility will be October 2, 2028. The maturity date of the Second-Out Notes is June 30, 2029. If more than $15.0 million of Second-Out Notes and other indebtedness (other than under the Credit Agreement) is outstanding on March 31, 2029, the maturity date of the New Revolving Credit Facility will be March 31, 2029.
The Credit Agreement also provides that if on the 91st day prior to the scheduled maturity date there is any indebtedness in excess of $5.0 million, the administrative agent under the Credit Agreement may establish a reserve in an amount equal to the aggregate principal amount of indebtedness coming due.
If the Springing Maturity Feature is triggered, we will be required to pay all amounts outstanding under the New Revolving Credit Facility sooner than they would otherwise be due. If the reserves requirement described above is imposed by the administrative agent under the Credit Agreement, we will lose access to credit in the amount necessary to repay such maturing indebtedness. We may not have sufficient funds available to pay such indebtedness or continue to operate our business at that time, and we may not be able to raise additional funds on a timely basis, on terms we find acceptable, or at all.
We may be required to repay the New Revolving Credit Facility and repurchase the Notes upon a change of control.
Upon the occurrence of specific kinds of change of control events, we will be required to offer to repurchase all outstanding Notes at a purchase price equal to their principal amount, together with accrued and unpaid interest, if any, to the repurchase date plus, for the First-Out Notes, a premium of 7.50% of the principal amount. Additionally, under the terms of the New Revolving Credit Facility, a change of control may constitute an event of default that permits the Lenders to accelerate the maturity of borrowings and terminate their commitments to lend. We may not be able to repurchase the Notes and repay the New Revolving Credit Facility upon a change of control because we may not have sufficient financial resources available. We may require additional financing from third parties to fund any such purchases and repayment, and we may be unable to obtain financing on satisfactory terms or at all. In order to avoid triggering the change of control obligations under the Notes Indentures and the Credit Agreement, we may not be able to consummate certain transactions that would otherwise be beneficial to us.
We could face a downgrade in our debt ratings which could restrict our access to, and negatively impact the terms of, current or future financings or trade credit.
Our ability to obtain financings and trade credit and the terms of any financings or trade credit is, in part, dependent on the credit ratings assigned to our debt by independent credit rating agencies. We cannot provide assurance that any of our current ratings will remain in effect for any given period of time or that a rating will not be lowered or withdrawn entirely by a rating agency if, in its judgment, circumstances so warrant. A ratings downgrade could adversely impact our ability to access financings or trade credit and increase our borrowing costs.
Our indebtedness exposes us to interest rate risk.
Our earnings are exposed to interest rate risk associated with borrowings under the New Revolving Credit Facility. The terms of the Credit Agreement provide for interest on New Revolving Credit Facility borrowings at a floating rate that is tied to SOFR. SOFR tends to fluctuate based on multiple factors, including general short-term interest rates, rates set by the U.S. Federal Reserve, and other central banks and general economic conditions. We have not hedged our interest rate exposure with respect to our floating rate debt. During fiscal 2025, our average interest rate on borrowings under the New Revolving Credit Facility was 8%. If interest rates increase, so will our interest costs, which may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.
The Second-Out Notes and First-Out Notes bear interest at a fixed rate of 7.50% and 9.50% per annum, respectively. If interest rates decrease, the interest rate on the Notes would not change, and we would not be able to obtain the benefit of reduced interest rates unless we refinanced the Notes. This could put us at a competitive disadvantage to other companies that have only floating rate debt. If we were to refinance the First-Out Notes, we would have to pay a premium of 7.50% of the principal amount. We may not be able to refinance the Notes on commercially reasonable terms, or at all.
We may seek to hedge our interest rate risk by attempting to enter into swaps and other financial instruments. There can be no assurance that would be able to obtain such instruments on favorable terms or at all. If we do enter into any swaps or other financial instruments, there can be no assurance that such instruments would result in a decrease in our interest rate risk or the amount of our debt service obligations.
The restrictive covenants in the Credit Agreement and the Notes Indentures are subject to a number of important qualifications, exceptions and limitations, and to amendment.
The restrictive covenants in the Credit Agreement and the Notes Indentures are subject to a number of important qualifications, exceptions and limitations. We may be able to engage in some of the restricted activities in limited amounts, or in certain circumstances, in unlimited amounts, notwithstanding the restrictive covenants. The restrictive covenants in the Credit Agreement can be amended or waived with the consent of the lenders under the Credit Agreement, and the restrictive covenants in the Notes Indenture can be amended or waived with the consent of the holders of the Notes issued under that Notes Indenture. Such lenders and noteholders may have interests that are opposed to the interests of our equity holders, the holders of our other debt obligations, and other stakeholders. There can be no assurance that the restrictive covenants in the Credit Agreement and the Notes Indentures will limit our activities.
We may be unable to repay or refinance the New Revolving Credit Facility or the Notes at maturity.
At the applicable maturity date of each series of the Notes, the entire outstanding principal amount of each series of the Notes, together with accrued and unpaid interest, will become due and payable. In addition, at the maturity date of the New Revolving Credit Facility, which may be accelerated in certain circumstances pursuant to the Springing Maturity Feature, the entire outstanding principal amount of the New Revolving Credit Facility, together with accrued and unpaid interest, will become due and payable.
We may not have the funds to fulfill these obligations when due, and therefore may be forced to attempt to refinance or restructure them. We may not be able to refinance or restructure our indebtedness on commercially reasonable terms, or at all. Any refinancing of our debt could be at higher interest rates and may require us to comply with more onerous covenants.
Financial Risks
We have a recent history of net losses and negative cash flow and may not achieve consistent profitability or positive cash flow in the future.
We have incurred substantial losses and negative cash flow in recent fiscal years. During fiscal 2025 and 2024, we generated a net loss attributable to Fossil Group, Inc. of $78.3 million and $102.7 million, respectively. We used $57.9 million and $59.5 million of cash in operating activities in fiscal 2025 and 2023, respectively while cash provided by operating activities was $46.7 million in fiscal 2024. We will need to generate and sustain increased net sales levels in future periods and reduce expenses in order to become profitable and generate consistent positive cash flow, and even if we do, we may not be able to maintain or increase our level of profitability and cash flow. If we cannot become profitable or generate positive cash flow, our business, results of operations and financial condition could be materially and adversely affected.
A significant portion of our cash, cash equivalents and investments are held by our foreign subsidiaries, which could negatively affect future liquidity needs.
As of January 3, 2026, $84.7 million, or approximately 88% of our cash and cash equivalents were held by our foreign subsidiaries. Of this amount, $14.3 million, or approximately 17% is held by foreign subsidiaries located in jurisdictions that require foreign government approval before a cash repatriation can occur. While we intend to use some of the cash held outside the U.S. to fund our international operations, when we encounter a significant need for liquidity in the U.S. or other location that we cannot fulfill through other internal or external sources, our liquidity requirements could necessitate transfers of existing cash balances between our subsidiaries or to the U.S. If we are unable to transfer existing cash balances in such a situation, our business, results of operations and financial condition could be materially and adversely affected.
Changes in the mix of product sales demand could negatively impact our gross profit margins.
Our gross profit margins are impacted by our sales mix as follows:
Sales channel mix: Sales from our direct retail and e-commerce channels typically provide gross margins in excess of our historical consolidated gross profit margins, while sales from our distributor, mass market and off-price channels typically provide gross margins below our historical consolidated gross profit margins.
Product mix: Watch and jewelry sales typically provide gross margins in excess of historical consolidated gross profit margins, while leather goods and private label products typically provide gross margins below our historical consolidated gross profit margins.
Geographic mix: International sales typically produce gross margins in excess of our historical consolidated gross profit margins, while domestic sales typically provide gross margins below our historical consolidated gross profit margins.
If future sales from our higher gross margin businesses do not increase at a faster rate than our lower gross margin businesses, our gross profit margins may grow at a slower pace, cease to grow, or decrease relative to our historical consolidated gross profit margin.
The global implementation of Pillar Two may adversely affect our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flow.
Under The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development ("OECD") Inclusive Framework, 140 countries agreed to enact a two-pillar solution ("Pillar Two") to reform the international tax rules to address the challenges arising from the globalization and digitalization of the economy. The Pillar Two Global Anti-Base Erosion ("GloBE") Rules provide a coordinated system to ensure that multinational enterprises with revenues above EUR 750 million pay a minimum effective tax rate of 15% tax on the income arising in each of the jurisdictions in which they operate. These enterprises will be liable to pay a top-up tax for the difference between their GloBE effective tax rate per jurisdiction and the 15% minimum rate. It is the ultimate parent entity of the multinational enterprise that is primarily liable for the GLoBE top-up tax in its jurisdiction’s territory. Therefore, some countries may engage in domestic tax policy reforms in anticipation of the GloBE rules becoming effective and enact their own domestic minimum tax rates to avoid “tax leakage”. Notwithstanding any new local minimum tax regime which may be designed to reduce or eliminate the GloBE top-up tax, additional top-up tax under GLoBE may still be due. This will depend on the local effective tax rate calculation according to the specific rules set out in the Pillar Two implementation guidance. Certain provisions of Pillar Two were effective for tax years beginning in January 2024 with other provisions effective for subsequent tax years. The technical aspects of the calculation are still being developed. While the Company does not expect any material impact for fiscal year 2026, any increase in corporate tax rates or rules regarding the calculation of taxable income for the top-up tax could adversely affect our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flow for future tax years.
We have recorded impairment charges in the past and may record impairment charges in the future.
We are required, at least annually, or as facts and circumstances warrant, to test trade names to determine if impairment has occurred. We are also required to test property plant and equipment and other long lived assets for impairment as facts and circumstances warrant. Impairment may result from any number of factors, including adverse changes in assumptions used for valuation purposes, such as actual or projected net sales, growth rates, profitability or discount rates, or other variables. If the testing indicates that impairment has occurred, we are required to record a non-cash impairment charge. Should the value of trade names, property plant and equipment and other long lived assets become impaired, it could have an adverse effect on our results of operations.
Increased competition from online only retailers and a highly promotional retail environment may increase pressure on our margins.
The continued increase in e-commerce competitors for retail sales and slowing mall traffic has resulted in significant pricing pressure and a highly promotional retail environment, which was heightened by the impact of COVID-19. These factors may cause us to be more promotional with our sales prices to retailers and consumers, which could cause our gross margin to decline if we are unable to appropriately manage inventory levels and/or otherwise offset any price reductions with comparable reductions in our costs. If we have to reduce our sales prices for competitive purposes and we fail to sufficiently reduce our product costs or operating expenses, our profitability will decline. This could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
Our license agreements may require minimum royalty commitments regardless of the level of product sales under these agreements.
Under our license agreements, we have experienced, and could again in the future experience, instances where our minimum royalty commitments exceeded the royalties payable based upon our sales of the licensed products. Payments of minimum royalties in excess of the royalties based on our sales of the licensed products reduce our margins and could adversely affect our results of operations.
Foreign currency fluctuations could adversely impact our financial condition.
We generally purchase our products in U.S. dollars. However, we source a significant amount of our products overseas and, as such, the cost of these products may be affected by changes in the value of the currencies of these countries, including the Australian dollar, British pound, Canadian dollar, Chinese yuan, Danish krone, euro, Hong Kong dollar, Indian rupee, Japanese yen, South Korean won, Malaysian ringgit, Mexican peso, Norwegian kroner, Singapore dollar, Swedish krona and Swiss franc. Due to our dependence on manufacturing operations in China, changes in the value of the Chinese yuan may have a material impact on our supply channels and manufacturing costs, including component and assembly costs.
In addition, changes in currency exchange rates may also affect the prices at which we sell products in foreign markets. For fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023, 67.4%, 65.1% and 63.6% of our consolidated net sales were generated outside of the U.S. In general, our overall financial results are affected positively by a weaker U.S. dollar and are affected negatively by a stronger U.S. dollar as compared to the foreign currencies in which we conduct our business. For example, due to a weaker U.S. dollar in fiscal 2025, the translation of foreign-based net sales into U.S. dollars increased our reported net sales by approximately $4.8 million compared to fiscal 2024. If the value of the U.S. dollar remains at its current levels or strengthens against foreign currencies, particularly against the euro, Chinese yuan, Indian rupee, Canadian dollar, South Korean won, British pound and Japanese yen, our financial condition and results of operations could be materially and adversely impacted. As a result, foreign currency fluctuations may have a material adverse impact on our financial condition and results of operations.
Legal, Compliance and Reputational risks
A data security or privacy breach could damage our reputation, harm our customer relationships, expose us to litigation or government actions, and result in a material adverse effect to our business, financial condition and results of operations.
We depend on information technology systems, the Internet and cloud and computer networks for a substantial portion of our retail and e-commerce businesses, including credit card transaction authorization and processing. We also receive and store personal information about our customers and employees, the protection of which is critical to us. In the normal course of our business, we collect, retain, and transmit certain sensitive and confidential customer information, including credit card information, over public networks. Our customers have a high expectation that we will adequately protect their personal information. In addition, personal information is highly regulated at the international, federal and state level. While we and our third-party service providers have safeguards in place to defend our systems against intrusions and attacks and to protect our data, we cannot be certain that these measures are sufficient to counter all current and emerging technology threats. Furthermore, as AI technologies, including generative AI models, develop rapidly, threat actors are using these technologies to create new sophisticated attack methods that are increasingly automated, targeted and coordinated and more difficult to defend against. Despite the security measures we currently have in place, our facilities and systems and those of our third-party service providers have been, and will continue to be, vulnerable to theft of physical information, security breaches, hacking attempts, computer viruses and malware, ransomware, phishing, lost data and programming and/or human errors. To date, none of these risks, intrusions, attacks or human error have resulted in any material liability to us. While we carry insurance policies that would provide liability coverage for certain of these matters, if we experience a significant security incident, we could be subject to liability or other damages that exceed our insurance coverage, and we cannot be certain that such insurance policies will continue to be available to us on economically reasonable terms, or at all, or that any insurer will not deny coverage as to any future claim. Any electronic or physical security breach involving the misappropriation, loss, or other unauthorized disclosure of confidential or personally identifiable information, including penetration of our network security or those of our third party service providers, could disrupt our business, severely damage our reputation and our customer relationships, expose us to litigation and liability, subject us to governmental investigations, fines and enforcement actions, result in negative media coverage and distraction to management and result in a material adverse effect to our business, financial condition, and results of operations. In addition, as a result of security breaches at a number of prominent retailers and other companies, the media and public scrutiny of information security and privacy has become more intense and the regulatory environment related thereto has become more uncertain. As a result, we may incur significant costs in complying with new and existing state, federal, and foreign laws regarding protection of, and unauthorized disclosure of, personal information. A successful ransomware attack on our systems could make them inaccessible for a period of time pending the payment of a ransom to unlock the systems or our ability to otherwise restore our access to our systems.
We are subject to laws and regulations in the U.S. and the many countries in which we operate. Violations of laws and regulations, or changes to existing laws or regulations, could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations.
Our operations are subject to domestic and international laws and regulations in a number of areas, including, but not limited to, labor, advertising, consumer protection, real estate, product safety, e-commerce, promotions, intellectual property, tax, import and export, anti-corruption, anti-bribery, foreign exchange controls and cash repatriation, data privacy, anti-competition, environmental, health and safety. Compliance with these numerous laws and regulations is complicated, time consuming and expensive, and the laws and regulations may be inconsistent from jurisdiction to jurisdiction, further increasing the difficulty and cost to comply with them. New laws and regulations, or changes to existing laws and regulations, could individually or in the aggregate make our products more costly to produce, delay the introduction of new products in one or more regions, cause us to change or limit our business practices, or affect our financial condition and results of operations. We have implemented policies and procedures designed to ensure compliance with the numerous laws and regulations affecting our business, but there can be no assurance that our employees, contractors, or agents will not violate such laws, regulations or our policies related thereto. Any such violations could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or operating results.
Tariffs or other restrictions placed on imports from China and any retaliatory trade measures taken by China could materially harm our revenue and results of operations.
Beginning in July 2018, certain of our products have been subject to additional ad valorem duties imposed by the U.S. government on products of China under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 (“Section 301”) and IEEPA.
The Section 301 tariffs were imposed via four successive “Lists” and were first the result of an April 2018 determination by the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (“USTR”) that China’s acts, practices, and policies with respect to technology transfer, intellectual property, and innovation are unreasonable or discriminatory and burden or restrict U.S. commerce. Certain of our packaging and handbag products have been subject to an additional 25% ad valorem tariff since July 2018 (“List 1”). Certain of our handbag and wallet products were subject to an additional 10% ad valorem tariff beginning in September 2018, a rate that was then raised to 25% ad valorem from June 2019 to present (“List 3”). Finally, smartwatches, certain jewelry products, and several of our traditional watch products were subject to an additional 15% ad valorem tariff beginning in September 2019, a rate that was lowered to 7.5% ad valorem from February 2020 to present (“List 4A”).
The IEEPA tariffs on China were originally imposed in two executive actions beginning in February and April 2025, with varying rates over the course of 2025. On February 20, 2026, the Supreme Court of the United States held that all tariffs imposed based on IEEPA were unlawful, including the two IEEPA actions that resulted in higher rates on products of China. As a result, these higher IEEPA rates were terminated as of February 24, 2026. The process for obtaining refunds from IEEPA duties is currently unclear, but we are analyzing available options to preserve our refund rights and expect further guidance from U.S. Customs and Border Protection and lower courts that may allow us to recoup costs.
Meanwhile, new tariffs on products of China take the form of an action under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 (“Section 122”), which currently includes a 10% ad valorem rate as of February 24, 2026. This action is time-limited by statute, and the rates are currently planned to be in effect through July 24, 2026. The administration has announced that it may raise this rate to the maximum allowed under the statute, so in the near term, we may see an increase to 15% ad valorem under this action. Our products sourced from China are subject to these Section 122 tariffs, in addition to the Section 301 tariffs above. The administration has also announced that it intends to conduct additional investigations against most major trading partners under Section 301 and other tariff authorities that may lead to higher, more permanent rates.
We continue to monitor tariff developments that pose potential risks. In this fast-paced international trade environment, we also monitor developments for any negotiated resolutions to offset some of the tariff exposure.
We have joined litigation before the U.S. Court of International Trade challenging the legality of the Section 301 List 3 and List 4A tariffs and seeking refunds of duties paid on imports that were subject to those tariffs. That litigation is ongoing in the appeal stages.
If the tariffs continue or increase, we may be required to raise our prices, which may result in the loss of customers and harm our operating performance. Alternatively, we may seek to shift production outside of China or otherwise change our sourcing strategy for these products, potentially resulting in significant costs and disruption to our operations. Even if the U.S. further modifies tariffs under current or future actions, it is always possible that new products we introduce could be impacted by the changes, or that our business will be impacted by retaliatory trade measures taken by China or other countries in response to existing or future tariffs, causing us to raise prices or make changes to our operations, any of which could materially harm our revenue or operating results.
The loss of our intellectual property rights may harm our business.
Our trademarks, patents and other intellectual property rights are important to our success and competitive position. We are devoted to the establishment and protection of our trademarks, patents and other intellectual property rights in those countries where we believe it is important to our ability to sell our products. However, we cannot be certain that the actions we have taken will result in enforceable rights, will be adequate to protect our products in every country where we may want to sell our products, will be adequate to prevent imitation of our products by others or will be adequate to prevent others from seeking to prevent sales of our products as a violation of the trademarks, patents or other intellectual property rights of others. Additionally, we rely on the patent, trademark and other intellectual property laws of the U.S. and other countries to protect our proprietary rights. Even if we are successful in obtaining appropriate trademark, patent and other intellectual property rights, we may be unable to prevent third parties from using our intellectual property without our authorization, particularly in those countries where the laws do not protect our proprietary rights as fully as in the U.S. Because we sell our products internationally and are dependent on foreign manufacturing in China, we are significantly dependent on foreign countries to protect our intellectual property rights. The use of our intellectual property or similar intellectual property by others could reduce or eliminate any competitive advantage we have developed, causing us to lose sales or otherwise harm our business. Further, if it became necessary for us to resort to litigation to protect our intellectual property rights, any proceedings could be burdensome and costly and we may not prevail. The failure to obtain or maintain trademark, patent or other intellectual property rights could materially harm our business.
Our products may infringe the intellectual property rights of others, which may cause us to incur unexpected costs or prevent us from selling certain of our products.
We cannot be certain that our products do not and will not infringe upon the intellectual property rights of others. We have been, are and may in the future be subject to legal proceedings involving claims of alleged infringement of the intellectual property rights of third parties by us and our customers in connection with the marketing and sale of our products. Any such claims, whether or not meritorious, could result in costly litigation and divert the efforts of our personnel. Moreover, should we be found liable for infringement, we may be required to enter into agreements (if available on acceptable terms or at all) or to pay damages and cease making or selling certain products. Moreover, we may need to redesign or rename some of our products to avoid future infringement liability. Any of the foregoing could cause us to incur significant costs and prevent us from manufacturing or selling certain of our products.
If an independent manufacturer or license partner of ours fails to use acceptable labor practices or otherwise comply with laws or suffers reputation harm, our business could suffer.
While we have a code of conduct for our manufacturing partners, any violation of labor or other laws by one of our independent manufacturers, or by one of our license partners, or the divergence of an independent manufacturer’s or license partner’s labor practices from those generally accepted as ethical in the U.S. or other countries in which the violation or divergence occurred, could interrupt or otherwise disrupt the shipment of finished products to us or damage our reputation. In addition, certain of our license agreements are with named globally recognized fashion designers. Should one of these fashion designers, or any of our licensor companies, conduct themselves inappropriately or make controversial statements, the underlying brand, and consequently our business under that brand, could suffer. Any of these, in turn, could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. As a result, should one of our independent manufacturers or licensors be found in violation of state or international laws or receive negative publicity, we could suffer financial or other unforeseen consequences.
Risks Relating to our Common Stock
Stockholders may, from time to time, engage in proxy solicitations or advance stockholder proposals, or otherwise attempt to effect changes and assert influence on our board of directors and management. For example, in February 2024, an activist stockholder nominated four directors for election at our 2024 annual meeting of stockholders. We reached an agreement in March 2024 with the activist stockholder, which resulted in the activist stockholder and the Company each nominating one candidate to the Board at our 2024 annual meeting. Activist campaigns that contest or conflict with our strategic direction or seek changes in the composition of our Board could have an adverse effect on our operating results and financial condition. A proxy contest would require us to incur significant legal and advisory fees, proxy solicitation expenses and administrative and associated costs and require significant time and attention by our Board and management, diverting their attention from the pursuit of our business strategy. Any perceived uncertainties as to our future direction and control, our ability to execute on our strategy, or changes to the composition of our Board or senior management team arising from a proxy contest could lead to the perception of a change in the direction of our business or instability which may result in the loss of potential business opportunities, make it more difficult to pursue our strategic initiatives, or limit our ability to attract and retain qualified personnel, any of which could adversely affect our business and operating results. If individuals are ultimately elected to our
Board with a specific goal, it may adversely affect our ability to effectively implement our business strategy and create additional value for our stockholders. We may choose to initiate, or may become subject to, litigation as a result of a proxy contest or matters arising from the proxy contest, which would serve as a further distraction to our Board and management and would require us to incur significant additional costs. In addition, actions such as those described above could cause significant fluctuations in our stock price based upon temporary or speculative market perceptions or other factors that do not necessarily reflect the underlying fundamentals and prospects of our business.
We may continue to incur rapid and substantial increases or decreases in our stock price in the foreseeable future that may not coincide in timing with the disclosure of news or developments by or affecting us. Accordingly, the market price of our common stock may fluctuate dramatically, and may decline rapidly, regardless of any developments in our business.
Overall, there are various factors, many of which are beyond our control, that could negatively affect the market price of our common stock or result in fluctuations in the price or trading volume of our common stock, including:
the impact of any future pandemic;
actual or anticipated variations in our annual or quarterly results of operations, including our earnings estimates and whether we meet market expectations with regard to our earnings and liquidity;
our decision not to, or our current inability to, pay dividends or other distributions;
publication of research reports by analysts or others about us or the specialty retail industry, which may be unfavorable, inaccurate, inconsistent or not disseminated on a regular basis;
changes in market valuations of similar companies;
market reaction to any additional equity, debt or other securities that we may issue in the future, and which may or may not dilute the holdings of our existing stockholders;
additions or departures of key personnel;
actions by activist and institutional or significant stockholders;
short interest in our stock and the market response to such short interest;
a dramatic increase in the number of individual holders of our stock and their participation in social media platforms targeted at speculative investing;
speculation in the press or investment community about our company or industry;
financial results reported or comments or releases by certain of our significant public licensing partners pertaining to the watch category;
strategic actions by us or our competitors, such as acquisitions or other investments;
legislative, administrative, regulatory or other actions affecting our business, our industry, including positions taken by the Internal Revenue Service ("IRS”);
investigations, proceedings, or litigation that involve or affect us;
general market and economic conditions;
a downgrade in our debt ratings; and
the other risks identified herein.
Our organizational documents contain anti-takeover provisions that could discourage a proposal for a takeover.
Our certificate of incorporation and bylaws, as well as the General Corporation Law of the State of Delaware, contain provisions that may have the effect of discouraging a proposal for a takeover. These include a provision in our certificate of incorporation authorizing the issuance of "blank check" preferred stock and provisions in our bylaws establishing advance notice procedures with respect to certain stockholder proposals. Our bylaws may be amended by a vote of 80% of the Board, subject to repeal by a vote of 80% of the stockholders. In addition, Delaware law limits the ability of a Delaware corporation to engage in certain business combinations with interested stockholders.
Failure to meet our financial guidance or achieve other forward-looking statements we have provided to the public could result in a decline in our stock price.
From time to time, we provide public guidance on our expected financial results or disclose other forward-looking information for future periods. We manage our business to maximize our growth and profitability and not to achieve financial or operating targets for any particular reporting period. Although we believe that public guidance may provide investors with a better understanding of our expectations for the future and is useful to our existing and potential stockholders, such guidance is subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Any such guidance or other forward-looking statements are predictions based on our then-existing expectations and projections about future events that we believe are reasonable. Actual events or results may differ materially from our expectations, and as such, our actual results may not be in line with guidance we have provided. We are under no duty to update any of our forward-looking statements to conform to actual results or to changes in our expectations, except as required by federal securities laws. If our financial results for a particular period do not meet our guidance or the expectations of investors, or if we reduce our guidance for future periods, the market price of our common stock may decline and stockholders could be adversely affected. Investors who rely on these predictions when making investment decisions with respect to our securities do so at their own risk. In addition, our stock price may also decline if we fail to meet securities research analysts' projections. Similarly, if one or more of the analysts who covers us downgrades our stock or publishes inaccurate or unfavorable research about our business, our stock price could decline.
General Risk Factors
Any deterioration in the global economic environment, and any resulting declines in consumer confidence and spending, could have an adverse effect on our operating results and financial condition.
Uncertainty in global markets, slowing economic growth, high levels of unemployment, a pandemic, inflation, rising interest rates and eroding consumer confidence can negatively impact the level of consumer spending for discretionary items. This can affect our business as it is dependent on consumer demand for our products. Global economic conditions remain uncertain, and the possibility remains that domestic or global economies, or certain industry sectors of those economies that are key to our sales, may slow or deteriorate, which could result in a corresponding decrease in demand for our products and negatively impact our results of operations and financial condition.
The effects of economic cycles, terrorism, acts of war and retail industry conditions may adversely affect our business.
Our business is subject to economic cycles and retail industry conditions. Purchases of discretionary fashion accessories, such as our watches, jewelry, handbags, sunglasses and other products, tend to decline during recessionary periods when disposable income is low and consumers are hesitant to use available credit. In addition, acts of terrorism, acts of war and military action both in the U.S. and abroad can have a significant effect on economic conditions and may negatively affect our ability to procure our products from manufacturers for sale to our customers. Any significant declines in general economic conditions, public safety concerns or uncertainties regarding future economic prospects that affect consumer spending habits could have a material adverse effect on consumer purchases of our products.
A pandemic has had in the past, and may have in the future, a material adverse impact on our business, operations, liquidity, financial condition and results of operations.
The COVID-19 pandemic caused global uncertainty and disruption in the geographic regions in which we run our business and where our suppliers, third-party manufacturers, retail stores, wholesale customers and consumers are located, particularly in China.
Future public health epidemics or outbreaks could also adversely impact our business. The extent to which a new public health epidemic or outbreak impacts our operations will depend on future developments, including the duration of the outbreak, the severity of the outbreak and the actions to contain the outbreak or treat its impact, among others. Depending on the severity of a future outbreak, we may experience significant disruptions to our business operations. In addition, the spread and impact of an outbreak could adversely impact demand for our products, our ability to operate our stores and warehouse facilities, or our supply chain, all of which could adversely affect our future sales, operating results and overall financial performance. In addition, to the extent an outbreak adversely affects our business and financial results, it may also have the effect of heightening many of the other risks described in the risk factors included herein, or may affect our operating and financial results in a manner that is not presently known to us.
There are inherent limitations in all control systems, and misstatements due to error or fraud may occur and not be detected.
We are subject to the ongoing internal control provisions of Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. These provisions provide for the identification of material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting, which is a process to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting for external purposes in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. Our management, including our Chief Executive Officer ("CEO") and Chief Financial Officer ("CFO"), does not expect that our internal controls and disclosure controls will prevent all errors and all fraud. A control system, no matter how well conceived and operated, can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurance that the objectives of the control system are met. In addition, the design of a control system must reflect the fact that there are resource constraints and the benefit of controls must be relative to their costs. Because of the inherent limitations in all control systems, no evaluation of controls can provide absolute assurance that all control issues and instances of fraud, if any, in our Company have been detected. These inherent limitations include the realities that judgments in decision-making can be faulty and that breakdowns can occur because of simple errors or mistakes. Further, controls can be circumvented by individual acts, by collusion of two or more persons, or by management override of the controls. The design of any system of controls is also based in part upon certain assumptions about the likelihood of future events, and there can be no assurance that any design will succeed in achieving its stated goals under all potential future conditions. Over time, a control may be inadequate because of changes in conditions, such as growth of the Company or increased transaction volume, or the degree of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate. Because of inherent limitations in a cost-effective control system, misstatements due to error or fraud may occur and not be detected.
In addition, discovery and disclosure of a material weakness, by definition, could have a material adverse impact on our financial statements. Such an occurrence could discourage certain customers or suppliers from doing business with us, result in higher borrowing costs and affect how our stock trades. This could in turn negatively affect our ability to access public debt or equity markets for capital.
The text of this filing, as the company filed it with the SEC, without its images or exhibits. This is not investment advice.