EDISON INTERNATIONAL
For the period ended Dec 31, 2024. Filed Feb 27, 2025.
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FY2024 · Filed Feb 27, 2025
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Nuclear Decommissioning – Asset Retirement Obligation
Key Assumptions and Approach Used. San Onofre Units 1, 2, and 3 decommissioning cost estimates are updated in each NDCTP and when there are material changes to the timing or amount of estimated future cash flows. Palo Verde decommissioning cost estimates are updated by the operating agent, Arizona Public Services, every three years and when there are material changes to the timing or amount of estimated future cash flows. SCE estimates that it will spend approximately $7.6 billion, undiscounted through 2098, to decommission its nuclear facilities.
The current ARO estimates for San Onofre and Palo Verde are based on:
Decommissioning Costs. The estimated costs for labor, material, equipment and other, and low-level radioactive waste costs are included in each of the NRC decommissioning stages: license termination, site restoration and spent fuel storage. The liability to decommission SCE's nuclear power facilities is based on a 2024 decommissioning study, filed as part of the 2024 NDCTP, for San Onofre Unit 1, 2, and 3 and a 2023 decommissioning study for Palo Verde.
Escalation Rates. Annual escalation rates are used to convert the decommissioning cost estimates in base year dollars to decommissioning cost estimates in future-year dollars. Escalation rates are primarily used for labor, material, equipment, and low-level radioactive waste burial costs. SCE's current estimates are based upon SCE's decommissioning cost methodology used for ratemaking purposes. Average escalation rates range from 2.1% to 7.5% (depending on the cost element) annually.
Timing. Initial decommissioning activities at San Onofre Unit 1 started in 1999 and at Units 2 and 3 in 2013. Cost estimates for San Onofre Units are currently based on completion of decommissioning activities by 2056. Cost estimates for Palo Verde are based on an assumption that decommissioning will commence promptly after the current NRC operating licenses expire. The Palo Verde 1, 2, and 3 operating licenses currently expire in 2045, 2046, and 2047, respectively.
Spent Fuel Dry Storage Costs. Cost estimates, including the impact of escalations, are based on an assumption that the U.S. Department of Energy will begin to take spent fuel from the nuclear industry in 2034 and will remove the last spent fuel from the San Onofre and Palo Verde sites by 2054 and 2097, respectively.
Changes in Decommissioning Technology, Regulation and Economics. The current cost studies assume the use of current technologies under current regulations and at current cost levels.
See "Liquidity and Capital Resources—SCE—Decommissioning of San Onofre" for further discussion of the plans for decommissioning of San Onofre.
Effect if Different Assumptions Used. The ARO for decommissioning SCE's nuclear facilities was $2.1 billion as of December 31, 2024, based on the most recent decommissioning studies performed and the subsequent cost estimate updates. Changes in the estimated costs, execution strategy or timing of decommissioning, or in the assumptions and judgments by management underlying these estimates, could cause material revisions to the estimated total cost to decommission these facilities which could have a material effect on the recorded liability.
The following table illustrates the increase to the ARO liability if the cost escalation rate was adjusted while leaving all other assumptions constant:
| (in millions) | Increase to ARO atDecember 31, 2024 |
|---|---|
| Uniform increase in escalation rate of 1 percentage point | $579 |
The increase in the ARO liability driven by an increase in the escalation rate would result in a decrease in the regulatory liability for recoveries in excess of ARO liabilities. As of December 31, 2024, the regulatory liability for recoveries in excess of ARO liabilities was $1.7 billion.
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