PNC FINANCIAL SERVICES GROUP, INC.
For the period ended Dec 31, 2025. Filed Feb 20, 2026.
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FY2025 · Filed Feb 20, 2026
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Economic Value of Equity Sensitivity Analysis
The following table includes EVE sensitivity results as of December 31, 2025 and 2024:
Table 34: Economic Value of Equity Sensitivity Analysis
| December 31, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Economic Value of Equity Sensitivity Simulation | ||
| 200 basis point instantaneous increase | (1.7)% | (6.5)% |
| 200 basis point instantaneous decrease | (3.7)% | 0.1% |
EVE measures the present value of all projected future cash flows associated with a point-in-time balance sheet and does not include projected new volume. EVE sensitivity to interest rate changes is a complementary metric to NII sensitivity analysis and represents an estimation of long-term interest rate risk. PNC calculates its EVE sensitivity by measuring the changes in the economic value of assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet instruments in response to an instantaneous +/-200 bps parallel shift in interest rates. Similar to the NII sensitivity analysis, we incorporate dynamic deposit repricing and loan prepayment assumptions. Directionally, higher deposit beta assumptions result in increasing liability sensitivity whereas lower deposit betas increase asset sensitivity. Conceptually similar, higher loan prepayment assumptions cause an increase in asset sensitivity and lower prepayments result in an increase in liability sensitivity. These behavioral modeling assumptions are largely consistent between the EVE and NII sensitivity analyses, and also share the same starting balance sheet position as of December 31, 2025. Deposit attrition is also a significant contributor to EVE
sensitivity. Deposit attrition is projected based on a dynamic model developed using long-term historical deposit behavior in addition to management assumptions. PNC performs various sensitivity analyses to understand the impact of faster and slower deposit attrition, loan prepayments and deposit betas on our risk metrics, with the results reported to ALCO.
In the first quarter of 2025, PNC introduced a new deposit runoff model for EVE. Relative to the legacy model, the new deposit model
uses an improved functional form for capturing rate sensitivity and also takes into account more recent deposit behavioral data.
As a result of the introduction of the new deposit model, PNC’s estimated balance sheet duration decreased, becoming more neutral.
The model change results in our estimated EVE having more symmetrical exposure to +200 bps and -200 bps shocks, as compared to
the prior model which resulted in our balance sheet facing greater exposure to a +200 bps rate shock and minimal exposure to a -200
bps rate shock.
Market Risk Management – Customer-Related Trading Risk
We engage in fixed income securities, derivatives and foreign exchange transactions to support our customers’ investing and hedging activities. These transactions, related hedges and the credit and funding valuation adjustment related to our customer derivatives portfolio are marked-to-market daily and reported as customer-related trading activities. We do not engage in proprietary trading of these products.
We use VaR as the primary means to measure and monitor market risk in customer-related trading activities. VaR is used to estimate the probability of portfolio losses based on the statistical analysis of historical market risk factors. A diversified VaR reflects empirical correlations across different asset classes. We calculate a diversified VaR at a 95% confidence interval and the results for 2025 and 2024 were within our acceptable limits.
To help ensure the integrity of the models used to calculate VaR for each portfolio and enterprise-wide, we use a process known as backtesting. The backtesting process consists of comparing actual observations of gains or losses against the VaR levels that were calculated at the close of the prior day. Our VaR measure assumes that exposures remain constant and that recent market variability is a good predictor of future variability. Actual observations include customer-related revenue and intraday hedging, which helps to reduce losses and can reduce the number of instances actual losses exceed the prior day VaR measure. There were no instances during
70 The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. –2025 Form 10-K
2025 and 2024 under our diversified VaR measure where actual losses exceeded the prior-day VaR measure. Our portfolio and enterprise-wide VaR models utilize a historical approach with a 500-day look-back period.
Customer-related trading revenue was $236 million in 2025 compared to $122 million in 2024 and is recorded in Capital markets and advisory noninterest income and Other interest income on our Consolidated Income Statement. The increase was primarily due to higher derivative customer-related trading revenue.
Market Risk Management – Equity And Other Investment Risk
Equity investment risk is the risk of potential losses associated with investing in both private and public equity markets. In addition to extending credit, taking deposits, underwriting securities and trading financial instruments, we make and manage direct investments in a variety of transactions, including management buyouts, recapitalizations and growth financings in a variety of industries. We also have investments in affiliated and non-affiliated funds that make similar investments in private equity, consistent with regulatory limitations. The economic and/or book value of these investments and other assets are directly affected by changes in market factors.
Various PNC business units manage our equity and other investment activities. Our businesses are responsible for making investment decisions within the approved policy limits and associated guidelines.
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