SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP INC

Certain risk factors can significantly impact our business, liquidity, capital resources, results of operations, financial condition, and debt ratings. These risk factors might affect, alter, or change our actions in executing our long-term capital strategy. Examples include, without limitation, contributing capital to any or all of the Insurance Subsidiaries, issuing additional debt and/or equity securities, repurchasing our existing debt and/or equity securities, or increasing or decreasing common stockholders' dividends. We operate in a continually changing business environment, and new risk factors that we cannot predict or assess may emerge at any time. Consequently, we can neither predict such new risk factors nor assess the potential future impact on our business. Except as discussed below, there have been no material changes from the risk factors disclosed in Item 1A. "Risk Factors." in our 2024 Annual Report.

Changes in international trade policy could adversely and materially affect our business, results of operations, financial condition, and growth.

Changes in international trade policies and tariffs by the United States and other countries, particularly large trading partners like Canada, China, and Mexico, could (i) impact our claims severity across multiple lines of business and cause adverse reserve development by increasing costs for materials and parts used in claims involving real property and personal property, including commercial and personal automobiles and (ii) negatively affect our investments' fair value and/or our level of investment income.

Risks Associated with the Shutdown of the United States Government

The United States federal government has been shut down since October 1, 2025. When the government is not funded, non-essential federal employees are furloughed and services are limited or curtailed. A prolonged shutdown may lead to broader economic uncertainty and financial market volatility. These conditions could negatively affect our investment portfolio, policyholder behavior, and overall demand for property and casualty insurance products. Disruptions to federal disaster response or recovery programs, including the National Flood Insurance Program (“NFIP”), could impact funding for and our ability to pay NFIP claims in the event of significant natural disasters, potentially impacting our reputation.

While we strive to mitigate these risks through contingency planning and industry government affairs efforts, the ultimate impact of any government shutdown is difficult to predict and may be outside our control. Any material adverse effects resulting from a government shutdown could have a negative impact on our business, financial position, and results of operations.