LOEWS CORP

Note 9. Future Policy Benefits Reserves

Future policy benefits reserves are associated with CNA’s run-off long-term care business, included in Other Insurance Operations, and relate to policyholders that are currently receiving benefits, including claims that have been incurred but are not yet reported, as well as policyholders that are not yet receiving benefits. Future policy benefits reserves are comprised of the LFPB which is reflected as Insurance reserves: Future policy benefits on the Consolidated Balance Sheets.

The determination of Future policy benefits reserves requires management to make estimates and assumptions about expected policyholder experience over the remaining life of the policy. Since policies may be in force for several decades, these assumptions are subject to significant estimation risk. As a result of this variability, CNA’s future policy benefits reserves may be subject to material increases if actual experience develops adversely to its expectations.

Annually in the third quarter, actuarial analysis is performed on policyholder morbidity, persistency, premium rate increase and expense experience. This analysis, combined with judgment, informs the setting of updated cash flow assumptions used to estimate the LFPB. Actuarial analysis includes predictive modeling, actual to expected experience comparisons and trend analysis. Applicable industry research is also considered.

The cash flow assumption updates completed in the third quarter of 2024 resulted in a $15 million pretax increase in the LFPB. Included in the assumption updates was a favorable impact from outperformance on premium rate assumptions and an unfavorable impact from higher cost of care inflation. The cash flow assumption updates completed in the third quarter of 2023 resulted in an $8 million pretax increase in the LFPB. Persistency updates were unfavorable due to revisions to lapse rates. Morbidity updates were favorable, driven by claim severity assumption updates, and there was a favorable impact from outperformance on premium rate assumptions.

The following table summarizes balances and changes in the LFPB.

The following table presents earned premiums and interest expense associated with the long-term care business recognized on the Consolidated Statement of Operations.

The following table presents undiscounted expected future benefit and expense payments and undiscounted expected future gross premiums.

Discounted expected future gross premiums at the upper-medium grade fixed income instrument yield discount rate were $3.6 billion and $3.8 billion as of December 31, 2024 and 2023.

The weighted average effective duration of the LFPB calculated using the original locked in discount rate was 11 years as of December 31, 2024 and 2023.

The weighted average interest rates in the table below are calculated based on the rate used to discount all future cash flows.

For the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023, immediate charges to net income resulting from adverse development in certain cohorts where the NPR exceeded 100% were $159 million and $164 million. For the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023, the portion of losses recognized in a prior period due to NPR exceeding 100% for certain cohorts which, due to favorable development, was reversed through net income were $29 million and $42 million.