LINCOLN NATIONAL CORP
For the period ended Dec 31, 2024. Filed Feb 21, 2025.
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FY2024 · Filed Feb 21, 2025
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Introduction –
Executive Summary
We are a holding company that operates multiple insurance and retirement businesses through subsidiary companies. We sell a wide range of wealth accumulation, wealth protection, group protection and retirement income products and solutions through our four business segments:
Annuities;
Life Insurance;
Group Protection; and
Retirement Plan Services
We also have Other Operations, which includes the financial results for operations that are not directly related to the business segments. See “Part I – Item 1. Business” above for a discussion of our business segments and products.
In this report, in addition to providing consolidated net income (loss), we also provide income (loss) from operations because we believe it is a meaningful measure of the profitability of our business segments and Other Operations. Income (loss) from operations is the financial performance measure we use to evaluate and assess the results of our segments and Other Operations. Accordingly, we define and report income (loss) from operations by segment in Note 19. Our management believes that income (loss) from operations explains the results of our ongoing businesses in a manner that allows for a better understanding of the underlying trends in and performance of our current businesses. Certain items are excluded from income (loss) from operations because they are unpredictable and not necessarily indicative of current operating fundamentals or future performance of the business segments, and, in many instances, decisions regarding these items do not necessarily relate to the operations of the individual segments.
We provide information about our business segments’ and Other Operations’ operating revenue and expense line items, key drivers of changes and historical details underlying the line items below. For factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth, see “Part I – Item 1A. Risk Factors” and “Forward-Looking Statements – Cautionary Language” above.
Industry Trends
Below is a discussion of certain trends impacting our business and industry:
Interest Rate Environment
During 2024, the Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate target range by 100 basis points to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%, stating that it had gained greater confidence that inflation was moving sustainably towards its target level of 2%. At the January 2025 meeting, the Federal Reserve decided to maintain the current federal funds target range.
While the federal funds rate target range decreased during 2024, we continue to experience an elevated interest rate environment. We continue to be proactive in our investment strategies, product designs, crediting rate strategies, expense management actions and overall asset-liability practices to mitigate the risk of unfavorable consequences in this interest rate environment. As a result of the elevated interest rate environment, sales of fixed annuities, fixed-indexed annuities and registered index-linked annuities (“RILA”) products increased across the industry. With the elevated interest rate environment expected to persist into 2025, these industry sales trends may continue in 2025.
We have provided disclosures around risks related to changes in interest rates in “Part I – Item 1A. Risk Factors – Market Conditions – Changes in interest rates and sustained low interest rates may cause interest rate spreads to decrease, impacting our profitability, and make it more challenging to meet certain statutory requirements,” “Part I – Item 1A. Risk Factors – Market Conditions – Increases in interest rates and sustained high interest rates may negatively affect our profitability, capital position and the value of our investment portfolio and may also result in increased contract withdrawals and surrenders,” “Summary of Critical Accounting Estimates – Annual Assumption Review – Long-Term New Money Investment Yield Sensitivity” below and “Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk – Interest Rate Risk.”
Regulatory Environment
U.S.-domiciled insurance entities are regulated at the state level, while certain products and services are also subject to federal regulation. Our Bermuda-based reinsurance subsidiary is licensed in Bermuda and is subject to regulations established by the Bermuda Monetary Authority (“BMA”). In addition, our Barbados-based reinsurance subsidiary is regulated by the Barbados Financial Services Commission. Regulators may refine capital requirements and introduce new reserving standards for the insurance industry. Regulations recently adopted or currently under review can potentially affect the capital requirements and profitability of the industry and result in increased regulation and oversight for the industry. See “Part I – Item 1. Business – Regulatory” and “Part I – Item 1A. Risk Factors – Legislative, Regulatory and Tax” for a discussion of regulatory developments that may impact the Company and the associated risks.
Significant Operational Matters
Throughout 2024, we executed against our strategic priorities of strengthening our balance sheet, improving our operational efficiency, increasing free cash flow and focusing on profitable growth. Notable actions in 2024 include the following:
In the first quarter of 2024, we completed the issuance of $350 million of fixed-rate senior notes and used the net proceeds to pre-fund the repayment of our senior notes due in 2025. Also, we refinanced our term loan in the third quarter of 2024, extending the maturity date to 2027.
We continued to focus on expense management, and, in the first quarter of 2024, we reduced our workforce by approximately 5% to streamline our organizational structure, improve operational efficiency and reduce expenses.
We received $723 million in cash in 2024 with the close of the sale of all of the ownership interests in the subsidiaries of the Company that comprised the Company’s wealth management business operated through Lincoln Financial Network (“LFN”) to Osaic Holdings, Inc. (“Osaic”). The proceeds were primarily used to increase The Lincoln National Life Insurance Company’s (“LNL”) risk-based capital (“RBC”) ratio above the Company’s target of 400%, and we used a portion of the proceeds to reduce our leverage ratio. For additional information, see “Results of Annuities” and “Liquidity and Capital Resources – Holding Company Sources and Uses of Liquidity and Capital – Subsidiaries’ Capital” below and Note 1.
We continued to focus on improving free cash flow through increasing our affiliate reinsurance capacity with the execution of affiliate reinsurance transactions during 2024 with Lincoln Pinehurst Reinsurance Company (Bermuda) Limited (“LPINE”), a wholly owned subsidiary of LNC that operates as a Bermuda-based life and annuity reinsurance company. For additional information, see “Liquidity and Capital Resources – Holding Company Sources and Uses of Liquidity and Capital – Subsidiaries’ Capital” below.
In the fourth quarter of 2024, LNL established a funding agreement-backed notes program pursuant to which LNL may issue funding agreements to a special purpose statutory trust for spread lending purposes. In January 2025, LNL issued a $500 million funding agreement with an annual fixed interest rate of 5.3%, maturing January 2030.
We continue to focus on the following actions in 2025:
Growing our industry-leading wholesale distribution through Lincoln Financial Distributors, which distributes our annuities and life insurance products as well as our retirement plan products and services through financial institutions and other financial intermediaries;
Making investments in our businesses and product enhancements to grow revenues, drive margin and reduce costs;
Shifting our new business to a more capital-efficient mix with higher risk-adjusted returns;
Improving the profitability of our Group Protection business through strategic pricing actions and repositioning our business through targeted segment strategies as part of our longer-term margin expansion initiatives;
Exploring reinsurance and other strategies to maximize the value of our businesses; and
Focusing on expense discipline to drive greater operational efficiency and enhance the operating leverage within our business.
Summary of Critical Accounting Estimates
We have identified the accounting estimates below as critical to the understanding of our results of operations and our financial condition. In applying these critical accounting estimates in preparing our financial statements, management must use critical assumptions, estimates and judgments concerning future results or other developments, including the likelihood, timing or amount of one or more future events. Actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions. On an ongoing basis, we evaluate our assumptions, estimates and judgments based upon historical experience and various other information that we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances. For a detailed discussion of significant accounting policies, see Note 1.
Investment Valuation
Our measurement of fair value is based on assumptions used by market participants in pricing the asset or liability, which may include inherent risk, restrictions on the sale or use of an asset or non-performance risk, which would include our own credit risk. Our estimate of an exchange price is the price in an orderly transaction between market participants to sell the asset or transfer the liability (“exit price”) in the principal market, or the most advantageous market in the absence of a principal market, for that asset or liability, as opposed to the price that would be paid to acquire the asset or receive a liability (“entry price”). We categorize our financial instruments carried at fair value into a three-level fair value hierarchy, based on the priority of inputs to the respective valuation technique. The three-level hierarchy for fair value measurement is defined in Note 1.
The following summarizes investments on the Consolidated Balance Sheets carried at fair value by pricing source and fair value hierarchy level (in millions) as of December 31, 2024:
| Quoted | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prices | |||||||||
| in Active | |||||||||
| Markets for · Significant · Significant | |||||||||
| Identical · Observable · Unobservable | |||||||||
| Assets · Inputs · Inputs · Total | |||||||||
| (Level 1) · (Level 2) · (Level 3) · Fair Value | |||||||||
| Priced by third-party pricing services | $419 | $76,909 | $162 | $77,490 | |||||
| Priced by independent broker quotations | – | – | – | 5,084 | – | 5,084 | |||
| Priced by matrices | – | – | 16,743 | – | 16,743 | ||||
| Priced by other methods (1) | – | – | – | 229 | – | 229 | |||
| Total | $419 | $93,652 | $5,475 | $99,546 | |||||
| Percent of total | 0% | 95% | 5% | 100% | |||||
(1)Represents primarily securities for which pricing models were used to compute fair value.
For the categories and associated fair value of our fixed maturity AFS securities classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy as of December 31, 2024 and 2023, see Notes 1 and 14.
Our investments are valued using the appropriate market inputs based on the investment type, and include benchmark yields, reported trades, broker-dealer quotes, issuer spreads, two-sided markets, benchmark securities, bids, offers and reference data. In addition, market indicators and industry and economic events are monitored, and further market data is acquired if certain triggers are met. We incorporate the issuer’s credit rating and a risk premium, if warranted, given the issuer’s industry and the security’s time to maturity. We use an internationally recognized pricing service as our primary pricing source, and we do not adjust prices received from third parties or obtain multiple prices when measuring the fair value of our investments. We generally use prices from the pricing service rather than broker quotes because we have documentation from the pricing service on the observable market inputs they use, as compared to the limited information on the pricing inputs from broker quotes. For private placement securities, we use pricing matrices that utilize observable pricing inputs of similar public securities and Treasury yields as inputs to the fair value measurement. It is possible that different valuation techniques and models, other than those described above, could produce materially different estimates of fair value.
When the volume and level of activity for an asset or liability has significantly decreased in relation to normal market activity for the asset or liability, we believe that the market is not active. Activities that may indicate a market is not active include fewer recent transactions in the market, price quotations that lack current information and/or vary substantially over time or among market makers, limited public information, uncorrelated indexes with recent fair values of assets and abnormally wide bid-ask spread. As of December 31, 2024, we evaluated the markets that our securities trade in and concluded that none were inactive. We will continue to re-evaluate this conclusion, as needed, based on market conditions.
We use unobservable inputs to measure the fair value of securities trading in less liquid or illiquid markets with limited or no pricing information. We obtain broker quotes for securities such as synthetic convertibles, index-linked certificates of deposit and collateralized debt obligations when sufficient security structure or other market information is not available to produce an evaluation. For broker-quoted only securities, non-binding quotes from market makers or broker-dealers are obtained from sources recognized as market participants. Broker-quoted securities are based solely on receipt of updated quotes from a single market maker or a broker-dealer recognized as a market participant. Our broker-quoted only securities are generally classified as Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. As of December 31, 2024, we used broker quotes for 18 securities as our final price source, representing less than 1% of total securities owned.
In order to validate the pricing information and broker quotes, we employ, where possible, procedures that include comparisons with similar observable positions, comparisons with subsequent sales and observations of general market movements for those security classes. Our primary third-party pricing service has policies and processes to ensure that it is using objectively verifiable observable market data. The pricing service regularly reviews the evaluation inputs for securities covered, including broker quotes, executed trades and credit information, as applicable. If the pricing service determines it does not have sufficient objectively verifiable information about a security’s valuation, it discontinues providing a valuation for the security. The pricing service regularly publishes and updates a summary of inputs used in its valuations by major security type. In addition, we have policies and procedures in place to review the process that is utilized by the third-party pricing service and the output that is provided to us by the pricing service. On a periodic basis, we test the pricing for a sample of securities to evaluate the inputs and assumptions used by the pricing service, and we perform a comparison of the pricing service output to an alternative pricing source. In addition, we check prices provided by our primary pricing service to ensure that they are not stale or unreasonable by reviewing the prices for unusual changes from period to period based on certain parameters or for lack of change from one period to the next. If such anomalies in the pricing are observed, we may use pricing information from another pricing source.
Valuation of Alternative Investments
Recognition of investment income on alternative investments is delayed due to the availability of the related financial statements, which are generally obtained from the partnerships’ general partners, as our venture capital, real estate and oil and gas portfolios are generally reported to us on a three-month delay, and our hedge funds are reported to us on a one-month delay. In addition, the effect of annual audit adjustments related to completion of calendar-year financial statement audits of the investees are typically received during the first or second quarter of each calendar year. Accordingly, our investment income from alternative investments for any calendar year period may not include the complete effect of the change in the underlying net assets for the partnership for that calendar year period. Recorded audit adjustments affect our investment income on alternative investments in the period that the adjustments are recorded.
Measurement of Allowances for Credit Losses and Recognition of Impairments
We regularly review our fixed maturity AFS securities for declines in fair value that we determine to be impairment-related. Realized gains and losses generally originate from asset sales to reposition the portfolio or to respond to product experience. In the process of evaluating whether a security with an unrealized loss reflects declines that are related to credit losses, we consider our ability and intent to sell the security prior to a recovery of value. However, subsequent decisions on securities sales are made within the context of overall risk monitoring, assessing value relative to other comparable securities and overall portfolio maintenance. Although our portfolio managers may, at a given point in time, believe that the preferred course of action is to hold securities with unrealized losses attributable to factors other than credit loss until such losses are recovered, the dynamic nature of portfolio management may result in a subsequent decision to sell. These subsequent decisions are consistent with the classification of our investment portfolio as AFS. We expect to continue to manage all non-trading investments within our portfolios in a manner that is consistent with the AFS classification.
We consider economic factors and circumstances within industries and countries where recent impairments have occurred in our assessment of the position of securities we own of similarly situated issuers. While it is possible for realized or unrealized losses on a particular investment to affect other investments, our risk management strategy has been designed to identify correlation risks and other risks inherent in managing an investment portfolio. Once identified, strategies and procedures are developed to effectively monitor and manage these risks. The areas of risk correlation that we pay particular attention to are risks that may be correlated within specific financial and business markets, risks within specific industries and risks associated with related parties. When the detailed analysis by our external asset managers and investment portfolio managers leads us to the conclusion that a security’s decline in fair value is due to credit loss, a credit loss allowance is recorded. In instances where declines are related to factors other than credit loss, the security will continue to be carefully monitored.
There are risks and uncertainties associated with determining whether an investment shows indications of impairment. These include subsequent significant changes in general overall economic conditions, as well as specific business conditions affecting particular issuers, future financial market effects such as interest rate spreads, stability of foreign governments and economies, future rating agency actions and significant accounting, fraud or corporate governance issues that may adversely affect certain investments. In addition, there are often significant estimates and assumptions that we use to estimate the fair values of securities as described in “Investment Valuation” above. We continually monitor developments and update underlying assumptions and financial models based upon new information.
For certain securitized fixed maturity AFS securities with contractual cash flows, including asset-backed securities (“ABS”), we use our best estimate of cash flows for the life of the security to determine whether it is credit impaired. In addition, we review for other indicators of impairment as required by the Investments – Debt and Equity Securities Topic of the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”)Accounting Standards Codification TM(“ASC”).
Write-downs on real estate and other investments are experienced when the estimated value of the asset is deemed to be less than the carrying value. Write-downs and allowance for credit losses for commercial mortgage loans are established when the estimated value of the asset is deemed to be less than the carrying value. All commercial mortgage loans that are impaired are individually reviewed to determine an appropriate credit loss allowance. Changing economic conditions affect our valuation of commercial mortgage loans. Increasing vacancies, declining rents and the like are incorporated into the allowance for credit losses analysis that we perform for monitored loans and may contribute to an increase in the allowance for credit losses. In addition, we continue to monitor the entire commercial mortgage loan portfolio to identify both current and projected future risk based on reasonable and supportable forecasts. Areas of emphasis include properties that have deteriorating credits or have experienced debt-service coverage and/or loan-to-value (“LTV”) reduction. Where warranted, we have established or increased our allowance for credit losses based upon this analysis.
We have also established an allowance for credit losses on our residential mortgage loan portfolio that includes a specific credit loss allowance for loans that are deemed to be impaired as well as an allowance for credit losses for pools of loans with similar risk characteristics. The allowance for credit losses for the performing population of loans is based on historical performance for similar loans, as well as projected future losses based on modeling, which includes reasonable and supportable forecasts. The historical data utilized in the allowance for credit losses calculation process is adjusted for current economic conditions.
Our additional liabilities for other insurance benefits reflect an assumption for an expected level of credit-related investment losses. When actual credit-related investment losses are realized, we recognize a true-up to our additional liabilities reserve. These actual to expected adjustments would be reported in benefits on the Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss).
Derivatives are primarily used for hedging purposes. We hedge certain portions of our exposure to interest rate risk, foreign currency exchange risk, equity market risk, basis risk, commodity risk and credit risk by entering into derivative transactions. We also purchase and issue financial instruments that contain embedded derivative instruments. See “Policyholder Account Balances” below for information on embedded derivatives. Assessing the effectiveness of hedging and evaluating the carrying values of the related derivatives often involve a variety of assumptions and estimates.
We carry our derivative instruments at fair value, which we determine through valuation techniques or models that use market data inputs or independent broker quotations. The fair values fluctuate from period to period due to the volatility of the valuation inputs, including but not limited to swap interest rates, interest and equity volatility and equity index levels, foreign currency forward and spot rates, credit spreads and correlations, some of which are significantly affected by economic conditions. The effect to revenue is reported in realized gain (loss) and such amount along with the associated federal income taxes is excluded from income (loss) from operations of our segments.
For more information on derivatives, see Notes 1 and 5. For more information on market exposures associated with our derivatives, including sensitivities, see “Part II –Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.”
Future Contract Benefits
Future contract benefits represent liability reserves that we have established and carry based on estimates of how much we will need to pay for future benefits and claims.
Liability for Future Policy Benefits
Liability for future policy benefits (“LFPB”) represents the reserve amounts associated with non-participating traditional life insurance contracts and limited payment life-contingent annuity contracts that are calculated to meet the various policy and contract obligations as they mature. Establishing adequate reserves for our obligations to policyholders requires assumptions to be made that are intended to represent an estimation of experience for the period that policy benefits are payable. If actual experience is better than or equal to the assumptions, then reserves should be adequate to provide for future benefits and expenses. If experience is worse than the assumptions, additional reserves may be required. Significant assumptions include mortality rates, morbidity and policyholder behavior (e.g., persistency) and withdrawals. During the third quarter of each year, we conduct our comprehensive review of the actuarial assumptions to best estimate future premium and benefit cash flows (“cash flow assumptions”) and projection models used in estimating these liabilities and update these assumptions as needed (excluding the claims settlement expense assumption that is locked-in at inception) in the calculation of the net premium ratio. We may also update these assumptions in other quarters as we become aware of information that is indicative of the need for such an update. See “Annual Assumption Review” below for more information. In measuring our LFPB, we establish cohorts, which are groupings of long-duration contracts. On a quarterly basis, we retrospectively update the net premium ratio at the cohort level for actual experience. For all contract cohorts issued after January 1, 2021, interest is accrued on LFPB at the single-A interest rate on the contract cohort inception date. For contract cohorts issued prior to January 1, 2021, interest remains accruing at the original discount rate in effect on the contract cohort inception date due to the modified retrospective transition method. We also remeasure the LFPB using the single-A interest rate as of the end of each reporting period.
Liability for Future Claims
Future contract benefits include reserves for long-term life and disability claims associated with our Group Protection segment. These reserves use actuarial assumptions primarily based on claim termination rates, offsets for other insurance including social security and long-term disability incidence and severity assumptions. Such cash flow assumptions are subject to the comprehensive review process discussed above. We remeasure the liability for future claims using a single-A interest rate as of the end of each reporting period. See “Annual Assumption Review” below for more information.
Additional Liabilities for Other Insurance Benefits
We previously issued UL-type contracts where we provided a secondary guarantee to the policyholder. The policy can remain in force, even if the base policy account balance is zero, as long as contractual secondary guarantee requirements have been met. These guaranteed benefits require an additional liability that is calculated based on the application of a benefit ratio (calculated as the present value of total expected benefit payments over the life of the contract from inception divided by the present value of total expected assessments over the life of the contract). These secondary guarantees are reported within future contract benefits on the Consolidated Balance Sheets. The level and direction of the change in reserves will vary over time based on the emergence of the benefit ratio and the level of assessments associated with the contracts. Cash flow assumptions incorporated in a benefit ratio in measuring these additional liabilities for other insurance benefits include mortality rates, morbidity, policyholder behavior (e.g., persistency) and withdrawals based principally on generally accepted actuarial methods and assumptions. During the third quarter of each year, we conduct our comprehensive review of the cash flow assumptions and projection models used in estimating these liabilities and update these assumptions in the calculation of the benefit ratio. We may also update these assumptions in other quarters as we become aware of information that is indicative of the need for such an update. See “Annual Assumption Review” below for more information.
For additional information on future contract benefits, see Note 12.
Market Risk Benefits
MRBs are contracts or contract features that provide protection to the policyholder from other-than-nominal capital market risk and expose us to other-than-nominal capital market risk upon the occurrence of a specific event or circumstance, such as death, annuitization or periodic withdrawal. An MRB can be in either an asset or a liability position. Our MRB assets and MRB liabilities are reported at fair value separately on the Consolidated Balance Sheets.
We issue variable and fixed annuity contracts that may include various types of guaranteed living benefit (“GLB”) and guaranteed death benefit (“GDB”) riders that we have accounted for as MRBs. For contracts that contain multiple riders that qualify as MRBs, the MRBs are valued on a combined basis using an integrated model. We have entered into reinsurance agreements to cede certain GLB and GDB riders where the reinsurance agreements themselves are accounted for as MRBs or contain MRBs. We therefore record ceded MRB assets and ceded MRB liabilities associated with these reinsurance agreements. We report ceded MRBs associated with these reinsurance agreements in other assets or other liabilities on the Consolidated Balance Sheets.
Net amount at risk (“NAR”) represents the amount of GLB or GDB in excess of a policyholder’s account balance at the balance sheet date. Underperforming markets increase our exposure to potential benefits with the GLB and GDB riders. A contract with a GDB rider is “in the money” if the policyholder’s account balance falls below the GDB. As of December 31, 2024 and 2023, 8% and 15%, respectively, of all in-force contracts with a GDB rider were “in the money.” A contract with a GLB rider is “in the money” if the policyholder’s account balance falls below the present value of GLB payments, assuming no full surrenders. As of December 31, 2024 and 2023,17% and 21%, respectively, of all in-force contracts with a GLB rider were “in the money.” However, the only way the policyholder can realize the excess of the present value of benefits over the account balance of the contract is through a series of withdrawals or income payments that do not exceed a maximum amount. If, after the series of withdrawals or income payments, the account balance is exhausted, the policyholder will continue to receive a series of annuity payments. The account balance can also fluctuate with market returns on a daily basis resulting in increases or decreases in the excess of the present value of benefits over account balance.
Many policyholders have both a GLB and GDB present on the same policy. The total NAR represents the greater of GLB NAR and GDB NAR for each policy as only one benefit can be exercised in practice. Details underlying the NAR, net of reinsurance, (in millions) were as follows:
| Annuities · Retirement Plan Services | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| As of December 31, | As of December 31, | |||
| 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | |
| GLB NAR | $1,521 | $1,805 | $1 | $1 |
| GDB NAR | 686 | 1,491 | 2 | 3 |
| Total NAR | 2,126 | 3,143 | 3 | 4 |
The change in the fair value of MRB assets and liabilities is reported in market risk benefit gain (loss) on the Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss), except for the portion attributable to the change in non-performance risk, which is recognized in other comprehensive income (loss) (“OCI”). The change in the fair value of ceded MRB assets and liabilities, including the changes in our counterparties’ non-performance risks, is reported in market risk benefit gain (loss) on the Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss).
MRBs are valued based on a stochastic projection of risk-neutral scenarios that incorporate a spread reflecting our non-performance risk. Ceded MRBs are valued based on a stochastic projection of risk-neutral scenarios that incorporate a spread reflecting our counterparties’ non-performance risk. The scenario assumptions, at each valuation date, are those we view to be appropriate for a hypothetical market participant and include assumptions for capital markets, lapse, benefit utilization, mortality, risk margin and administrative expenses. These assumptions are based on a combination of historical data and actuarial judgments. The assumption for our own non-performance risk and our counterparties’ non-performance risk for MRBs and ceded MRBs, respectively, are determined at each valuation date and reflect our risk and our counterparties’ risks of not fulfilling the obligations of the underlying liability. The spread for the non-performance risk is added to the discount rates used in determining the fair value from the net cash flows. We believe these assumptions are consistent with those that would be used by a market participant; however, as the related markets develop, we will continue to reassess our assumptions. During the third quarter of each year, we conduct our comprehensive review of the assumptions used in calculating the fair value of these MRBs and update these assumptions on a prospective basis as needed. We may also update these assumptions in other quarters as we become aware of information that is indicative of the need for such an update. For information on fair value inputs, see Note 14. See “Annual Assumption Review” below for more information.
For illustrative purposes, the following presents hypothetical effects to MRBs attributable to changes to key assumptions / inputs, assuming all other factors remain constant:
| Hypothetical | Hypothetical | |||
| Effect | Effect | |||
| Assumption / Input | Actual Experience | to MRB Liability | to Net Income | Description of Assumption / Input |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity market return | Increase / (Decrease) | (Decrease) / Increase | Increase / (Decrease) | Equity market return input represents impact based on movements in equity markets. |
| Interest rate | Higher / Lower | (Decrease) / Increase | Increase / (Decrease) | Interest rate input represents impact based on movements in interest rates and impact to fixed-income assets. |
| Volatility | Increase / (Decrease) | Increase / (Decrease) | (Decrease) / Increase | Volatility assumption represents overall volatilities assumed for the underlying variable annuity funds, which include a mixture of equity and fixed-income assets. Volatility assumptions vary by fund due to the benchmarking of difference indices. |
| Mortality | Increase / (Decrease) | (Decrease) / Increase | Increase / (Decrease) | Mortality represents the estimated probability of when an individual belonging to a particular group, categorized according to age or some other factor such as gender, will die. |
| Mortality contracts with only GDB rider | Increase / (Decrease) | Increase / (Decrease) | (Decrease) / Increase | Mortality represents the estimated probability of when an individual belonging to a particular group, categorized according to age or some other factor such as gender, will die. |
| Lapse | Higher / Lower | (Decrease) / Increase | Increase / (Decrease) | Lapse assumption represents the estimated probability of a contract surrendering during a year, thereby forgoing any future benefits. |
| Benefit utilization | Higher / Lower | Increase / (Decrease) | (Decrease) / Increase | Benefit utilization assumption of guaranteed withdrawals represents the estimated percentage of policyholders that utilize the guaranteed withdrawal feature. |
We use derivative instruments to hedge our exposure to selected risk caused by changes in equity markets and interest rates associated with GLB and GDB riders that are available in our variable annuity products and accounted for as MRBs. Our hedge program focuses on generating sufficient income to fund future claims with a goal of maximizing distributable earnings and explicitly protecting capital. We utilize options and total return swaps on U.S.-based equity indices, and futures on U.S.-based and international equity indices, as well as interest rate futures, interest rate swaps and currency futures. For additional information on our derivatives, see Note 5.
As part of our hedge program, equity market and interest rate conditions are monitored on a daily basis. We rebalance our hedge positions based upon changes in these factors as needed. While we actively manage our hedge positions, these positions may not completely offset changes in the fair value of our GLB and GDB riders caused by movements in these factors due to, among other things, differences in timing between when a market exposure changes and corresponding changes to the hedge positions, extreme swings in the equity markets, interest rates and market-implied volatilities, realized market volatility, policyholder behavior, divergence between the performance of the underlying funds and the hedging indices, divergence between the actual and expected performance of the hedge instruments or our ability to purchase hedging instruments at prices consistent with our desired risk and return trade-off.
The following table presents our after-tax estimates of the potential instantaneous effect to net income (loss) that could result from sudden changes that may occur in equity markets and interest rates (in millions) and excludes the net cost of operating the hedge program. The amounts represent the difference between the change in GLB and GDB riders and the change in the fair value of the underlying hedge instruments. These estimates are based upon the balance as of December 31, 2024, net of reinsurance, and the related hedge instruments in place as of that date. The effects presented in the table below are not representative of the aggregate impacts that could result if a combination of such changes to equity market returns and interest rates occurred.
| In-Force Sensitivities | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Market Return | -10% | +10% | |
| Hypothetical effect to net income | $(850) | $725 | |
| Interest Rates | -25 bps | +25 bps | |
| Hypothetical effect to net income | (350) | 325 | |
The actual effects of the results illustrated in the table above could vary significantly depending on a variety of factors, many of which are out of our control, and consideration should be given to the following:
The analysis is only valid as of December 31, 2024, due to changing market conditions, policyholder activity, hedge positions and other factors;
The analysis assumes instantaneous shifts in the capital market factors and no ability to rebalance hedge positions prior to the market changes;
The analysis assumes constant exchange rates and implied dividend yields;
Assumptions regarding shifts in the market factors, such as assuming parallel shifts in interest rates, may be overly simplistic and not indicative of actual market behavior in stress scenarios;
It is very unlikely that one capital market sector (e.g., equity markets) will sustain such a large instantaneous movement without affecting other capital market sectors; and
The analysis assumes that there is no tracking or basis risk between the funds and/or indices affecting the GLB and GDB riders and the instruments utilized to hedge these exposures.
For additional information on MRBs, see Note 9.
Policyholder Account Balances
Policyholder account balances include the contract value that has accrued to the benefit of the policyholder as of the balance sheet date. This liability includes universal life insurance (“UL”) and variable universal life insurance (“VUL”) and investment-type annuity products where account balances are equal to deposits plus interest credited less withdrawals, surrender charges, asset-based fees and policyholder administration charges (collectively known as “policyholder assessments”), as well as amounts representing the fair value of embedded derivative instruments associated with our indexed universal life insurance (“IUL”) and indexed annuity products. During the third quarter of each year, we conduct our comprehensive review of the assumptions and projection models underlying our reserves and embedded derivatives and update assumptions as needed. We may also update these assumptions in other quarters as we become aware of information that is indicative of the need for such an update. See “Annual Assumption Review” below for more information.
Our indexed annuity and IUL contracts permit the holder to elect a fixed interest rate return or a return where interest credited to the contracts is linked to the performance of the S&P 500® Index or other indices. The value of the variable portion of the policyholder’s account balance varies with the performance of the underlying variable funds chosen by the policyholder. Policyholders may elect to rebalance among the various accounts within the product at renewal dates. At the end of each indexed term, which can be up to six years, we have the opportunity to re-price the indexed component by establishing different participation rates, caps, spreads or specified rates, subject to contractual guarantees. We purchase and sell index options that are highly correlated to the portfolio allocation decisions of our policyholders, such that we are economically hedged with respect to equity returns for the current reset period. The mark-to-market of the options held generally offsets the change in value of the embedded derivative within the contract, both of which are recorded as a component of realized gain (loss) on the Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss). The Derivatives and Hedging and the Fair Value Measurements and Disclosures Topics of the FASB ASC require that we calculate fair values of index options we may purchase or sell in the future to hedge policyholder index allocations in future reset periods. These fair values represent an estimate of the cost of the options we will purchase or sell in the future, discounted back to the date of the balance sheet, using current market indicators of volatility and interest rates. Changes in the fair values of these liabilities are included as a component of realized gain (loss) on the Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss). For more information on indexed product derivative results, see Note 20.
For additional information on the liability for policyholder account balances, see Note 11.
Reinsurance Recoverables
Reinsurance recoverables are generally measured and recognized consistent with the assumptions and methodologies used to project the future performance of the underlying direct business as discussed in the “Future Contract Benefits” and “Policyholder Account Balances” sections above. During the third quarter of each year, we conduct our comprehensive review of the assumptions and projection models and update assumptions as needed. See “Annual Assumption Review” below for more information. In addition, we consider the potential impact of counterparty credit risks related to the reinsurance recoverable by estimating an allowance for credit losses using a probability of loss model approach to estimate expected credit losses for reinsurance recoverables. For additional information on our allowance for credit losses on reinsurance-related assets, see Note 7.
Annual Assumption Review
During the third quarter of each year, we conduct our comprehensive review of the assumptions and projection models used in estimating MRBs, our reserves and embedded derivatives. For more information on our comprehensive review, see Note 1. Details underlying the effect to net income (loss) from our annual assumption review (in millions) were as follows:
| For the Years Ended December 31, | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
| Income (loss) from operations: | |||
| Annuities | $1 | $1 | $1 |
| Life Insurance | 8 | (156) | (2,107) |
| Group Protection | (1) | 24 | (12) |
| Retirement Plan Services | – | – | – |
| Excluded from income (loss) from operations | 208 | (36) | 74 |
| Net income (loss) | $216 | $(167) | $(2,044) |
The impacts of our annual assumption review were driven primarily by the following:
For Life Insurance, the favorable impact was driven by updates to capital market assumptions on reinsured blocks of MoneyGuard® business and other items, partially offset by unfavorable updates to policyholder behavior assumptions on reinsured blocks of MoneyGuard business.
For Group Protection, the unfavorable impact was driven by updates to disability claim termination rate assumptions, partially offset by favorable updates to life waiver incurred assumptions.
For excluded from income (loss) from operations, the favorable impact, related to net annuity product features, was driven by model enhancements.
For Life Insurance, the unfavorable impact was driven by updates to policyholder lapse behavior and mortality assumptions, partially offset by the favorable impact of a 50-basis-point increase in our long-term new money investment yield assumption.
For Group Protection, the favorable impact was driven by updates to long-term disability and life waiver claim termination rate assumptions, partially offset by the unfavorable impact due to updates to long-term disability social security offset assumptions.
For excluded from income (loss) from operations, the unfavorable impact, related to net annuity product features, was driven by updates to mortality and policyholder lapse behavior assumptions and other items, partially offset by a favorable impact from updates to volatility and policyholder GLB utilization behavior assumptions.
For Life Insurance, the unfavorable impact was driven by updates to policyholder lapse behavior assumptions related to UL products with secondary guarantees in the amount of $1.9 billion, after-tax, as well as updates to mortality and morbidity assumptions and other items.
For Group Protection, the unfavorable impact was driven by updates to long-term disability incidence and severity assumptions, partially offset by the favorable impact of updates to life waiver termination assumptions.
For excluded from income (loss) from operations, the favorable impact, related to net annuity product features, was driven by updates to policyholder benefit utilization behavior and fund mapping and volatility assumptions, partially offset by an unfavorable impact from updates to policyholder lapse behavior assumptions related to UL products with secondary guarantees that impacted ceded reserves.
Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets
Goodwill and intangible assets with indefinite lives are not amortized, but are reviewed for impairment annually as of October 1 and more frequently if an event occurs or circumstances change that would more likely than not reduce the fair value of a reporting unit below its carrying value. Intangibles that do not have indefinite lives are amortized over their estimated useful lives. We perform a quantitative goodwill impairment test where the fair value of the reporting unit is determined and compared to the carrying value of the reporting unit. If the carrying value of the reporting unit exceeds the reporting unit’s fair value, goodwill is impaired and written down to the reporting unit’s fair value. The results of one test on one reporting unit cannot subsidize the results of another reporting unit.
For the purposes of the evaluation of the carrying value of goodwill, our reporting units correspond with our business segments.
The fair values of our reporting units are comprised of the value of in-force (i.e., existing) business and the value of new business. Specifically, new business is representative of cash flows and profitability associated with policies or contracts we expect to issue in the future, reflecting our forecasts of future sales volume and product mix over a 10-year period. To determine the values of in-force and new business, we use a discounted cash flows technique that applies a discount rate reflecting the market expected, weighted-average rate of return adjusted for the risk factors associated with operations to the projected future cash flows for each reporting unit.
We apply significant judgment when determining the estimated fair value of our reporting units. Factors that can influence the value of goodwill include the capital markets, competitive landscape, regulatory environment, consumer confidence and any items that can directly or indirectly affect new business future cash flows. Factors that could affect production levels and profitability of new business include mix of new business, pricing changes, customer acceptance of our products and distribution strength. Spread compression and related effects to profitability caused by lower interest rates affect the valuation of in-force business more significantly than the valuation of new business, as new business pricing assumptions reflect the current and anticipated future interest rate environment. Estimates of fair value are inherently uncertain and represent only management’s reasonable expectation regarding future developments.
Examples of unfavorable changes to assumptions or factors that could result in future impairment include, but are not limited to, the following:
Lower expectations for future sales levels or future sales profitability;
Higher discount rates on new business assumptions;
Weakened expectations for the ability to execute future reserve financing transactions for life insurance business over the long-term or expectations for significant increases in the associated costs;
Legislative, regulatory or tax changes that affect the cost of, or demand for, our subsidiaries’ products, the required amount of reserves and/or surplus, or otherwise affect our ability to conduct business, including changes to statutory reserve requirements or changes to RBC requirements; and
Valuations of significant mergers or acquisitions of companies or blocks of business that would provide relevant market-based inputs for our impairment assessment that could support less favorable conclusions regarding the estimated fair value of our reporting units.
As of October 1, 2024 and 2023, we performed our annual quantitative goodwill impairment test for our reporting units (Annuities, Group Protection and Retirement Plan Services), and, as of each such date, the fair value was in excess of the carrying value for each such reporting unit.
In the third quarter of 2022, as a result of the capital market environment, including (i) declining equity markets and (ii) the impact of rising interest rates on our discount rate assumption, we accelerated our quantitative goodwill impairment test for our Life Insurance reporting unit as we concluded that there were indicators of impairment. Based on this quantitative test, which included updating our best estimate assumptions therein, we incurred an impairment during the third quarter of 2022 of the Life Insurance reporting unit goodwill of $634 million, which represented the write-off of the entire balance of goodwill for the reporting unit.
As of October 1, 2022, we performed our annual quantitative goodwill impairment test for the remaining reporting units, and, as of October 1, 2022, the fair value was in excess of each such other reporting unit’s carrying value.
For more information on goodwill and specifically identifiable intangible assets by segment, see Notes 1 and 8.
Income Taxes
Management uses certain assumptions and estimates in determining the income taxes payable or refundable for the current year, the deferred income tax assets and liabilities for items recognized differently in its financial statements from amounts shown on its income tax returns and the federal income tax expense. Determining these amounts requires analysis and interpretation of current tax laws and regulations. Management exercises judgment in evaluating the amount and timing of recognition of the resulting income tax assets and liabilities. These judgments and estimates are re-evaluated on a continual basis as regulatory and business factors change. Legislative changes to the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, modifications or new regulations, administrative rulings, or court decisions could increase or decrease our effective tax rate.
In August 2022, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 was passed by the U.S. Congress and signed into law by President Biden. The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 established a new 15% corporate alternative minimum tax for corporations whose average adjusted net income for any consecutive three-year period beginning after December 31, 2022, exceeds $1.0 billion. While we have determined that we were not within the scope of the corporate alternative minimum tax for 2023 or 2024, we will continue to evaluate the potential impact of this new alternative minimum tax on our business, results of operations and financial condition in future periods.
The application of GAAP requires us to evaluate the recoverability of our deferred tax assets and establish a valuation allowance, if necessary, to reduce our deferred tax asset to an amount that is more likely than not to be realizable. Judgment and the use of estimates are required in determining whether a valuation allowance is necessary, and if so, the amount of such valuation allowance. In evaluating the need for a valuation allowance, we consider many factors, including: the nature and character of the deferred tax assets and liabilities; taxable income in prior carryback years; future reversals of existing temporary differences; the length of time carryovers can be utilized; and any future prudent and feasible tax planning strategies.
As of December 31, 2024, we had an approximate $2.2 billion deferred tax asset related to net unrealized losses on fixed maturity available-for-sale (“AFS”) securities. In the assessment of the future realizability of this deferred tax asset, management concluded that its tax planning strategies, including holding these securities to recovery, was prudent and feasible as these unrealized losses were caused by factors other than credit loss, and we have the intent and ability to hold these securities to recovery and collect all of the contractual cash flows.
We may experience an increased likelihood of recording a valuation allowance in the future based on the following factors:
Adverse global capital and credit market conditions that may impact the value of appreciated securities and the sale of certain corporate assets; and
Legislative, regulatory or tax changes that may impact the sale of certain corporate assets.
Additionally, as of December 31, 2024, we had a $478 million deferred tax asset related to net operating losses, a $169 million deferred tax asset related to federal income tax credits and a $56 million deferred tax asset related to capital losses generated from the Fortitude Re reinsurance transaction. These deferred tax assets can be used to offset taxable income in future periods and reduce our income taxes payable in those future periods. The net operating losses do not expire and can be carried forward indefinitely. The federal income tax credits expire in 10 years. The capital losses can be carried back three years and carried forward five years.
Although realization is not assured, management believes it is more likely than not that the deferred tax assets, will be realized.
For risks related to establishing a valuation allowance against our deferred tax assets, see “Part I – Item 1A. Risk Factors – Assumptions and Estimates – We may be required to recognize an impairment of our goodwill or to establish a valuation allowance against our deferred tax assets.”
For additional information on income taxes, see Note 22.
The text of this filing, as the company filed it with the SEC, without its images or exhibits. This is not investment advice.