ELI LILLY & Co

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Results of Operations and Financial Condition

(Tables present dollars in millions, except per-share data, and numbers may not add due to rounding)

General

Management's discussion and analysis of results of operations and financial condition is intended to assist the reader in understanding and assessing significant changes and trends related to our results of operations and financial position. This discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with the consolidated condensed financial statements and accompanying footnotes in Part I, Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Certain statements in this Part I, Item 2 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q constitute forward-looking statements. Various risks and uncertainties, including those discussed in "Forward-Looking Statements" in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and "Risk Factors" in Part I, Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, may cause our actual results, financial position, and cash generated from operations to differ from these forward-looking statements.

EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW

This section provides an overview of our financial results, updates to our clinical development pipeline, and other matters affecting our company and industry.

Financial Results

The following table summarizes certain financial information:

Revenue increased for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, driven by increased volume, partially offset by lower realized prices. The increased volume and lower realized prices during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025 were primarily driven by Mounjaro and Zepbound.

Net income and earnings per share for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025 increased primarily due to higher gross margin, partially offset by increased marketing, selling, and administrative expenses and research and development expenses.

See "Results of Operations" for additional information.

Clinical Development Pipeline Updates

Our long-term success depends on our ability to continually discover or acquire, develop, and commercialize innovative new medicines. See “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Results of Operations and Financial Condition—Executive Overview—Clinical Development Pipeline” in Part II, Item 7 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024 for select new molecular entities (NMEs) and new indication line extension (NILEX) products in Phase 2 or Phase 3 clinical trials or that were submitted for regulatory review or received regulatory approval in the U.S., European Union (EU), or Japan. The following reflects certain developments since our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024:

(1) The FDA granted Breakthrough Therapy designation for the treatment of certain newly diagnosed metastatic KRAS G12C-mutant lung cancers. Breakthrough Therapy designation is designed to expedite the development and review of potential medicines that are intended to treat a serious condition when preliminary clinical evidence indicates that the treatment may demonstrate substantial improvement on a clinically significant endpoint(s) over already available therapies.

Other Matters

Trends Affecting Pharmaceutical Pricing, Reimbursement, and Access and Certain Other Regulatory Developments

Global concern over access to, and affordability of, pharmaceutical products continues to drive debate and action, as well as cost containment efforts by governmental authorities and scrutiny of pricing and access disparities. Cost containment measures include the use of mandated discounts, price reporting requirements, mandated reference prices, restrictive formularies, changes to available intellectual property protections, as well as other efforts.

Reforms, initiatives, and other actions, including those that may stem from political initiatives, periods of uneven economic growth or downturns, or as a result of inflation or deflation, trade and other global disputes and interruptions including related to tariffs, trade protection measures, and similar restrictions, the emergence or escalation of, and responses to, international tension and conflicts, or government budgeting priorities, are expected to continue to result in added pressure on cost, pricing, reimbursement, and access for our products.

For example, in May 2025, the U.S. presidential administration issued an executive order intended, in part, to encourage or impose the use of most-favored-nation pricing to tie U.S. prescription drug prices with prices in selected comparably developed nations. In July 2025, we and other pharmaceutical companies received letters from the U.S. presidential administration reiterating certain drug pricing objectives. We and other pharmaceutical manufacturers face uncertainty on the implementation of these objectives, which could result in reduced prices and reimbursement for certain of our or competing products and may significantly impact our business and results of operations. Additionally, in July 2025, the OBBBA was enacted into law. In addition to tax impacts, the OBBBA implements spending cuts to certain federal healthcare programs, including Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act.

The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (IRA) requires HHS to effectively set prices for certain single-source drugs and biologics reimbursed under Medicare Part B and Part D. Currently, these government prices generally apply beginning at nine years (for medicines approved under a New Drug Application) or thirteen years (for medicines approved under a Biologics License Application) following FDA approval or licensure for the molecule. In August 2023, HHS selected Jardiance, which is part of our collaboration with Boehringer Ingelheim, as one of the first ten medicines subject to government-set prices effective in 2026 and we expect additional of our significant products will be selected in future years. The IRA has, and will continue to, meaningfully influence our business strategies and those of our competitors and could significantly impact our business and consolidated results of operations.

Other policies, regulations, legislation, or enforcement, including those proposed or pursued by lawmakers, regulators, and other authorities in the U.S. and worldwide, have and may continue to adversely impact our business and consolidated results of operations. For example, the U.S. and other countries have recently imposed or reached alignment on new tariffs. In some cases, imposed tariffs have been paused but may come into effect quickly and unpredictably. While pharmaceuticals are exempt from certain of these tariffs, such exemptions may be terminated or may not apply to any future tariffs. The precise impact of tariffs, trade protection measures, and other restrictions depend on their ultimate scope, timing, and other factors. If enacted, additional restrictions could result in supply disruptions or delays, further increase costs, or otherwise have a negative impact on our business. Given the nature of pharmaceutical regulation and commercialization, we may not be able to share the burden of increased costs from tariffs and related impacts to any meaningful degree.

Private payers and pharmacy benefit managers in the U.S. continue to significantly impact the market for pharmaceuticals through negotiation of access, manufacturer price or rebate concessions and pharmacy reimbursement rates. Restrictive or unfavorable pricing, coverage, or reimbursement determinations for our medicines or product candidates by governments, regulatory agencies, courts, or private actors have and may continue to adversely impact our business and consolidated results of operations. In addition, we are engaged in litigation and investigations related to the 340B program, access to insulin, pricing, product safety, and other matters that, if resolved adversely to us, could negatively impact our business and consolidated results of operations. It is not currently possible to predict the overall potential adverse impact to us or the general pharmaceutical industry of continued cost containment efforts worldwide.

In addition, regulatory issues concerning compliance with current Good Manufacturing Practices, quality assurance, safety signals, evolving standards, and increased scrutiny around excipients and potential impurities such as nitrosamines, and similar regulations and standards (and comparable foreign regulations and standards) for our products in some cases lead to regulatory and legal actions, product recalls and seizures, fines and penalties, interruption of production leading to product shortages, import bans or denials of import certifications, inability to realize the benefit of capital expenditures, or delays or denials in new product approvals, line extensions or supplemental approvals of current products pending resolution of the issues, or other negative impacts, any of which result in reputational harm or adversely affect our business.

Incretin Medicines

At various times during 2024, demand for our incretin medicines exceeded production. Tirzepatide supply currently exceeds demand in the U.S. Demand in launched markets remains dynamic, and increases or changes in demand, by dose or overall, as well as the complex supply chain, may result in periodic unavailability of certain presentations and dose levels at certain locations even when total tirzepatide supply can meet demand. Production increases and delivery presentation initiatives are ongoing, and additional capacity is expected to be operational over the next several years.

We continue to see the production, marketing, and sale of counterfeit, misbranded, adulterated, and compounded incretins. These practices may impact patient safety and undermine regulatory drug approval processes. While the FDA has confirmed that the previous shortage of tirzepatide has ended and that compounding pharmacies are required to cease mass production, we cannot guarantee adequate regulation or compliance. Lilly will continue to consider all options, including filing lawsuits where appropriate, to address unlawful practices and the patient safety risks of unapproved, untested, and manipulated drugs.

Tax Matters

We are subject to income taxes and various other taxes in the U.S. and in many foreign jurisdictions; therefore, changes in both domestic and international tax laws or regulations have affected and may affect our effective tax rate, results of operations, and cash flows. The U.S. and countries around the world are actively proposing and enacting tax law changes. Further, actions taken with respect to tax-related matters by associations such as the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the European Commission could influence tax laws in countries in which we operate. Tax authorities in the U.S. and other jurisdictions in which we do business routinely examine our tax returns and are expected to increase their scrutiny of cross-border tax issues. Changes to existing U.S. and foreign tax laws and increased scrutiny by tax authorities in the U.S. and other jurisdictions could have a material adverse impact on our future consolidated results of operations and cash flows.

In July 2025, the OBBBA, which implemented certain U.S. tax law changes, was enacted into law. The OBBBA modified and made permanent several provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, including reductions in scheduled increases for the rate of taxation of foreign income, immediate deductibility of U.S. research and development expenses, and reinstatement of 100% bonus depreciation for capital assets. For the three months ended September 30, 2025, we recorded income tax expense of $350.3 million related to adjusting our income tax provision for prior periods of 2025 and remeasuring our deferred tax assets and liabilities in connection with the enactment of OBBBA.

Effective January 1, 2024, several EU and non-EU countries enacted legislation (known as "Pillar Two") that provided for a minimum level of taxation of multinational companies. The increase to income tax expense as a result of the global minimum tax is not expected to be material in current and future years. Our assessment of the impact for 2025 and subsequent years could be affected by legislative guidance and future enactment of additional provisions.

Acquisitions

We invest in external research and technologies and manufacturing capabilities that we believe complement and strengthen our own efforts. These investments can take many forms, including acquisitions, collaborations, investments, and licensing arrangements. We view our business development activity as a way to enhance or refine our pipeline and strengthen our business.

See Note 3 to the consolidated condensed financial statements for further discussion regarding our recent acquisitions.

Continued regulatory focus on business combinations in our industry, including by the Federal Trade Commission and competition authorities in Europe and other jurisdictions, could continue to delay, jeopardize, or increase the costs of our business development activities and may negatively impact our consolidated financial position or results of operations.

Foreign Currency Exchange Rates

As a global company, we face foreign currency risk exposure from fluctuating currency exchange rates, primarily the U.S. dollar against the euro, Japanese yen, Chinese yuan and British pound sterling. While we seek to manage a portion of these exposures through hedging and other risk management techniques, significant fluctuations in currency rates can have a material impact, either positive or negative, on our consolidated results of operations in any given period. There is uncertainty in the future movements in foreign currency exchange rates, and fluctuations in these rates have and could adversely impact our consolidated results of operations and cash flows.

Other Factors

Other factors have had, and may continue to have, an impact on our consolidated results of operations. These factors include cost and wage inflation, supply chain and labor market complexities, international tension and conflicts, uneven economic growth, downturns or uncertainty, risks related to engaging in business globally, including legislation and regulatory action in or regarding foreign jurisdictions, and fluctuations due to channel dynamics or demand for certain products.

See "Business" in Part 1, Item 1 and "Risk Factors" in Part I, Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024 and Note 10 to the consolidated condensed financial statements for additional information and risks and uncertainties that could impact our business and operations, including the matters described within this Executive Overview.