FIRST HORIZON CORP

FHN’s future results could be affected both positively and negatively by several known trends. Key among those are changes in the U.S. and global economy and outlook, government actions affecting interest rates, and government actions and proposals which could have positive or negative impacts on the economy at large or on certain businesses, industries, or sectors. Additional risks relate to political uncertainty, changes in federal policies (including those publicly discussed, formally

proposed, or recently implemented) and the potential impacts of those changes on our businesses and clients, and whether FHN’s strategic initiatives will succeed.

In addition to trends and events noted elsewhere in this MD&A, FHN believes the following trends and events are noteworthy at this time.

Inflation, Recession, and Federal Reserve Policy

Economic Overview

The post-COVID economy in the U.S. was marked by: strong inflation, which began in 2021, peaked in 2022, and abated, though not fully, starting in 2023; the Federal Reserve "tightening" in 2022 and the first half of 2023 to contain inflation by rapidly increasing short-term interest rates; and, until September 2024, an inverted yield curve. Key aspects were:

•The rise in short-term interest rates by the Federal Reserve in 2022 was both rapid and substantial, taking the overnight Fed Funds rate from 0.20% in March 2022 to 4.65% a year later. Hikes after that were much more modest and infrequent.

•The Federal Reserve ended rate hikes in 2023. No rate actions were taken for more than a year, until a 50 basis point cut in September 2024 followed by cuts of 25 basis points in both November and December.

•In response to 2022's extremely rapid and vigorous tightening of monetary policy, the inflation rate in the U.S. now is well below 2022's levels. However, throughout 2024 and the first months of 2025, measures of inflation generally remain higher than the Federal Reserve's stated long-term goal of 2%.

•Monetary tightening often creates yield curve inversion for a time. In the current cycle, traditional inversion (when ten-year treasury rates are below two-year rates) was both very deep and unusually sustained, with inversion lasting from the summer of 2022 to September 2024 when the yield curve began to return to its more typical upward slope. The yield curve has continued to steepen in the first months of 2025.

Key events and circumstances are noted in the following discussions.

Federal Reserve and Rates

The Federal Reserve raised short-term rates several times in 2022 and in the first part of 2023. All but one of the rate increases in 2022 were 75 and 50 basis points each—aggressive by historical standards—while the 2023 rate increases were the more-typical 25 basis points each. The Federal Reserve cut rates 50 basis points in September 2024 and 25 basis points in November and again in December 2024, but the Federal Reserve has held rates steady through early May 2025.

FHN cannot predict when or how much short-term rates will be changed, how market-driven long-term rates will behave, nor how those actions may affect financial markets.

Yield Curve

Unusual yield curve effects, including inversion, are common when monetary policy changes. A traditional measure of inversion occurs when the two-year U.S. Treasury rate is higher than the ten-year rate. Traditional inversion was sustained continuously from the summer of 2022 until September 2024, an unusually long period. The degree of inversion varied during that period, but often was much deeper than is typical. Sustained traditional yield curve inversion is viewed, with statistical support, as a harbinger of economic recession, but recession did not occur.

Since the beginning of 2025, the yield curve has steepened as declines in short-term rates have outpaced declines in longer-term rates. FHN cannot predict whether this trend will continue.

Yield curve flattening and inversion generally reduce the profit FHN can make from lending by compressing FHN's net interest margin, and also generally reduce FHN's revenues from its fixed income bond trading. Both of those impacts occurred over the last three calendar years, with fluctuations. During the first quarter of 2025, net interest margin expanded, compared to the fourth quarter

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of 2024, as the yield curve maintained its more typical upward slope, while fixed income bond trading revenues declined modestly due to overall less favorable market conditions. Refer to Interest Rate & Yield Curve Risks, located in Item 1A. Risk Factors of FHN's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, for a discussion of the risks to FHN associated with flattening and inversion.

Recession

The U.S. economy contracted (experienced negative growth) during the first two quarters of 2022, in both cases modestly. Although the occurrence of two consecutive quarters of contraction often coincides with recession, in 2022 it did not. The economy has expanded in each quarter since then. The expansion rate has varied without a sustained trend.

Recession expectations in the U.S. were high in 2022 and early 2023. They moderated significantly after that and became generally low in 2024, before reemerging in early 2025 due to the potential impact of tariffs.

Fiscal Policy

Fiscal policy (spending and taxation) directly affects U.S. government annual deficits or surpluses, along with the size and trajectory of the national debt. Fiscal policy often has a significant impact on the U.S. economy. Some of the unusual or unexpected aspects of the post-COVID economy likely were created or supported by historically unusual fiscal stimulus and other stimulative policies which pushed substantial amounts of money into the economy. The changes in the executive and legislative branches of government in 2025 could result in significant changes in U.S. fiscal policy in 2025 and 2026. Even if significant changes to policy are made quickly, however, it could take time for the effect of such changes to become a significant factor in the economic data.

Trade Policy

In the first months of 2025, the U.S. government announced new tariffs on a variety of goods and services. These measures included a universal 10% tariff on imports from all countries, with additional country-specific tariffs. As of early May 2025, the timing, scope and duration of tariffs, as well as the timing, scope and duration of any retaliatory measures by foreign governments, remains uncertain, as does the impact of tariffs on economic growth, inflation rates, and employment rates. Any significant deterioration in economic conditions related to tariffs could materially affect our financial condition and results of operations.

2023 Banking Crisis

In March 2023, two large regional U.S. banks failed after sudden large deposit outflows, and a major Swiss bank

was acquired by another bank at the behest of regulators. In May 2023, a third large regional U.S. bank failed after experiencing very large deposit outflows in March. In the aftermath of these failures, bank investors and clients across the U.S. became more focused on deposit mix, funding risk management, and other safety-soundness concerns. Most U.S. banks saw abrupt net outflows of deposits in the spring of 2023 following the failures. Most have since recouped those deposits, mainly by offering higher interest rates. In 2024, competition for deposits was quite intense, and such competition could continue in 2025.

Impacts on FHN

In 2022, FHN benefited significantly from rising rates as the rise in lending rates outpaced the rise in deposit and other funding rates. In the first quarter of 2023, that outpacing ended, and FHN's net interest margin ("NIM") started to compress. FHN was able to somewhat relieve the compression during 2023 fueled in part by using increased deposits and capital to reduce more-expensive borrowings, so that NIM in 2023 improved over 2022. NIM for the entire year 2024 was flat, declining very modestly from 2023, as improvements in loan yields were largely offset by higher funding costs, especially for deposits. However, during the first quarter of 2025 NIM expanded, with declines in deposit rates more than offsetting declines in loan yields.

In addition, some of FHN's businesses were negatively impacted by rate actions in 2022, 2023, and 2024 and by the unusual yield curve. Rate increases pushed home mortgage rates in the U.S. much higher in 2022 and 2023, reducing demand. FHN's direct mortgage lending and lending to mortgage companies saw business decline significantly in 2022 and 2023. Mortgage rates modestly abated early in 2024 and FHN's mortgage business saw improvement, but rates started to rise later in the year and have remained elevated in the first quarter of 2025. However, the negative impacts of these higher rates have been offset by gains in market share. Similarly, FHN's revenues from bond trading and related activities fell significantly in 2022 and 2023 due to rising rates coupled with elevated market volatility. In 2024, bond trading revenues improved markedly, but with significant volatility quarter-to-quarter due to changing market expectations about rate moves, among other things. During the first quarter of 2025, revenues from bond trading and related activities continued to show the improvement that marked 2024, but the volatility due to changing market expectations that marked 2024 and the first quarter of 2025 could continue throughout 2025.

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Other Regulatory Proposals

In 2023, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve and other regulators proposed regulatory changes that would, if implemented, significantly increase regulatory constraints and costs on all U.S. banks with assets over $100 billion, but those regulations appear unlikely to be adopted in the form originally proposed. A few new requirements would apply to banks, like FHN, with assets over $50 billion, but by far the main impacts would fall on banks greater than $100 billion in assets.

The proposals touch upon many regulatory requirements, including debt and equity capital requirements, credit risk standards, and asset risk-weighting. The increased requirements also would entail additional compliance costs.

Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Reporting Regimes

In October 2023, the state of California enacted laws which, taken together, will require most larger companies doing business in California to report annually their greenhouse gas ("GHG") emissions, with an external assurance requirement, and to report biennially their climate-related financial risks and risk-mitigation measures. The California laws include multi-year phase in periods and encompass Scope 1, Scope 2, and Scope 3 GHG emissions. As currently enacted, the laws require implementing regulations to be adopted by July 1, 2025, and reporting for Scopes 1 and 2 GHG emissions to begin in 2026 for the 2025 fiscal year. The California laws, especially the application of those laws to companies outside of California, have been challenged in court. While the federal court overseeing the litigation has dismissed certain challenges, others remain pending and, with appeals, these challenges could take many years to resolve. A motion for a preliminary injunction barring implementation of California's GHG regulations remains pending. Other states, including New York, New Jersey, and Illinois, are considering climate-related reporting measures similar to California's.

In March 2024, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") adopted final rules, “The Enhancement and Standardization of Climate-Related Disclosures for Investors” (the “SEC Climate Disclosures Rules”). These Rules would require all U.S. companies with publicly-traded securities to report annually their Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions and related risk management processes and would include a related financial statement and audit requirement, among other things. Refer to

"Accounting Changes" below for additional information. The SEC Climate Disclosures Rules also have a lengthy phase-in period. There is considerable uncertainty as to whether the SEC's Climate Disclosures Rules will be implemented as adopted, both because the SEC has suspended effectiveness of those rules while legal challenges are pending and because the shifts in the executive and legislative branches of government could lead the SEC to withdraw or significantly alter those rules. In March 2025, the SEC voted to end its defense of its Climate Disclosure Rules in the pending legal action, but the SEC has not withdrawn or modified its Climate Disclosure Rules nor has the legal challenge to those rules been dismissed.

Potential Business Impacts

Direct compliance costs related to the SEC's and California's GHG reporting regimes, if implemented, will include creating systems to measure or estimate and capture relevant data, staffing, and engagement of vendors, including a firm to provide required assurances (somewhat analogous to a financial statement auditor).

In addition, if FHN is required to support Scope 3 reporting by obtaining GHG-related information from customers, effectively FHN would be required to impose costs and/or inconveniences on its customers. Other banks in FHN's markets, particularly those that are private and not doing business in California, could provide financial services without those requirements, putting FHN at a competitive disadvantage.

Market Growth and Weather Events

FHN's principal markets are in the southern and southeastern United States, including most of the major gulf coast markets and several markets on the southern Atlantic seacoast. Many of FHN's markets, both coastal and non-coastal, have experienced significant population growth over at least the past twenty years, outpacing the growth rate for the U.S. as a whole. That population

growth generally has been accompanied by economic growth.

Many of FHN's fastest growing markets, including most significantly those in Florida, can be impacted significantly by hurricanes and other severe coastal weather events. As those markets grow, FHN's economic commitment to

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them grows, as does FHN's financial exposure to those events.

Especially since 2022, it has been widely reported that the economic costs of hurricane and other severe weather events in the southeastern U.S. have been rising significantly. This reported increase in casualty risks and costs is being reflected in property insurance practices which currently are in significant flux. The insurance industry and insurance regulators are being forced to revise their risk assessment and premium pricing policies in coastal and other impacted areas as loss experience has deviated from earlier predictions, sometimes badly. In Florida, for example, some smaller carriers failed, some larger carriers left markets, and other carriers significantly

increased the premiums of hurricane-related insurance, narrowed coverage, or both, resulting in numerous proposals for legislative and regulatory reform.

The availability, reliability, and cost of adequate property insurance is a significant concern for FHN as well as FHN's clients in affected markets. Instability in property insurance has made, and continues to make, FHN's business decisions more difficult. That instability increases FHN's risks of loan loss and business downturn.

More fundamentally, elevated insurance and casualty costs blunt a key factor driving growth in many of these high-growth markets: lower costs of living. If market growth slows, FHN's business could be impacted.